Chiefs vs Steelers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Dec 2024

We’re very confident of the Steelers staying close to the Chiefs, with our prediction being that they’ll cover the spread. The +2.5 looks more than generous at -105.

Kansas City Chiefs claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 27-19 triumph against Houston Texans at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium made it five straight wins. The Chiefs total gain of 375 yards was split between 124 rushing and 251 passing yards. They scored 2 rushing and 1 passing touchdown. 3 TD’s in total.

Pittsburgh Steelers have enjoyed four straight home wins. In their last game, they lost on the road to Baltimore Ravens 34-17 at M&T Bank Stadium. The Steelers total gain of 315 yards was split between 117 rushing and 198 passing yards. They picked up 18 first downs and scored 2 touchdowns.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Chiefs beat the Steelers when the teams last met. It was a 42-21 scoreline at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Patrick Mahomes

256.5 Passing Yards

Over -110

Under -110

Russell Wilson

227.5 Passing Yards

Over -110

Under -110

Chiefs vs Steelers Prediction & Picks

The best bet could involve backing the Steelers against the spread in this NFL matchup. There’s an attractive +2.5 available at -105 that the underdogs cover the line and that has to be our pick.

The NFL predictions are only made once we have established the latest team news. It’s also important to study the form and investigate the most relevant stats to get the full picture.

Key Chiefs vs Steelers stats:

• The +2.5 line has been covered by Steelers in 5 of their last 6 games at home this season.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by Steelers in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by Steelers in 4 consecutive games at home.

Steelers +2.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick landing a return. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

In the hunt for bigger odds, you might be interested to know that you can move the betting line. This allows you to shoot for a team to perform better than expected by the sportsbooks.

Our Game Prediction

Steelers +2.5 @ -105 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Correct Score Prediction

Chiefs 24 - 28 Steelers

Don’t pass up the opportunity to have a speculative wager on the Steelers to claim a 28-24 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams.

Chiefs vs Steelers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

For this game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Kansas City Chiefs are -147 favorites to win and that means a 60% chance of landing a victory. For those wanting to back Pittsburgh Steelers, you will find +124 about the underdogs.

The spread is currently 2.5, with the total points line at 44.5. NFL fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 44.5 at -102.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game on the National Football League, you can feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many options.

Moneyline

Chiefs

-147

Steelers

+124

Point Spread

Chiefs -2.5

-110

Steelers +2.5

-110

Total Points

Under 44.5

-102

Over 44.5

-120

Favorite Najee Harris is now available at +700 to be the First Touchdown Scorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last TD.

Touchdown

Najee Harris (Steelers)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+135

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+150

George Pickens (Steelers)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+140

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+185

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+180

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+240

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+280

DeAndre Hopkins (Chiefs)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+290

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+330

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+380

Calvin Austin III (Steelers)

First TD

+2100

Anytime TD

+460

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+550

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

First TD

+2600

Anytime TD

+600

Van Jefferson (Steelers)

First TD

+2800

Anytime TD

+550

Russell Wilson (Steelers)

First TD

+2800

Anytime TD

+600

Mike Williams (Steelers)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+700

Kansas City Chiefs Defense (Chiefs)

First TD

+3600

Anytime TD

+750

Pittsburgh Steelers Defense (Steelers)

First TD

+4100

Anytime TD

+850

Darnell Washington (Steelers)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

Cordarrelle Patterson (Steelers)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1000

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+900

Scott Miller (Steelers)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1300

Connor Heyward (Steelers)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1700

Justin Watson (Chiefs)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+1200

Samaje Perine (Chiefs)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1300

MyCole Pruitt (Steelers)

First TD

+9000

Anytime TD

+1600

Anthony Firkser (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3200

Carson Steele (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3900

Nikko Remigio (Chiefs)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3600

Receiving Yards

George Pickens (Steelers)

Over 62.5

-110

Under 62.5

-110

Xavier Worthy (Chiefs)

Over 49.5

-110

Under 49.5

-110

Travis Kelce (Chiefs)

Over 45.5

-110

Under 45.5

-110

Marquise Brown (Chiefs)

Over 37.5

-110

Under 37.5

-110

DeAndre Hopkins (Chiefs)

Over 35.5

-110

Under 35.5

-110

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

Over 28.5

-110

Under 28.5

-110

Calvin Austin III (Steelers)

Over 27.5

-110

Under 27.5

-110

Noah Gray (Chiefs)

Over 18.5

-110

Under 18.5

-110

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 18.5

-110

Under 18.5

-110

Van Jefferson (Steelers)

Over 14.5

-110

Under 14.5

-110

Mike Williams (Steelers)

Over 13.5

-110

Under 13.5

-110

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

Over 8.5

-110

Under 8.5

-110

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

Over 7.5

-110

Under 7.5

-110

Najee Harris (Steelers)

Over 6.5

-100

Under 6.5

-122

Rushing Yards

Najee Harris (Steelers)

Over 43.5

-110

Under 43.5

-110

Isiah Pacheco (Chiefs)

Over 42.5

-110

Under 42.5

-110

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 33.5

-110

Under 33.5

-110

Kareem Hunt (Chiefs)

Over 32.5

-110

Under 32.5

-110

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 16.5

-110

Under 16.5

-110

Russell Wilson (Steelers)

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-110

Passing Yards

Patrick Mahomes (Chiefs)

Over 256.5

-110

Under 256.5

-110

Russell Wilson (Steelers)

Over 227.5

-110

Under 227.5

-110

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Kansas City Chiefs Stats

Pittsburgh Steelers Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 39.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 44.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.80 pts and allowed 19.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.30 pts and allowed 17.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 39.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 44.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 at Home: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.10 pts and allowed 22.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.00 pts and allowed 16.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 331.00 Yds. Allowed 308.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 110.50 Yds. Allowed 92.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 220.50 Yds. Allowed 215.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.90. Allowed 18.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.90 Yds. Gained 47.50 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 337.60 Yds. Allowed 336.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 128.40 Yds. Allowed 108.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 209.20 Yds. Allowed 227.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.70. Allowed 19.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 2.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.90. Committed by opponents 7.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 52.20 Yds. Gained 57.20 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 324.60 Yds. Allowed 309.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 122.80 Yds. Allowed 98.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 201.80 Yds. Allowed 211.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.20. Allowed 19.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.10. Committed by opponents 5.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 48.40 Yds. Gained 41.70 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 327.90 Yds. Allowed 331.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 129.40 Yds. Allowed 101.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 198.50 Yds. Allowed 229.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.40. Allowed 17.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.80. Committed by opponents 7.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 38.10 Yds. Gained 59.40 Yds

Top American Football Pages