Raiders vs Patriots Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Sep 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Raiders vs Patriots

The Las Vegas Raiders lock horns with the New England Patriots in this NFL Week 1 matchup at Gillette Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, September 7. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

We’re really confident about the Raiders who look capable of landing a win. They are our betting prediction to beat the Patriots on the Moneyline. You can land +114 which looks like a great way to go.

If you're siding with our Raiders to win prediction, make sure to secure the latest BetMGM promo code and read our full review to get the best value.

Las Vegas Raiders were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Los Angeles Chargers by a 34-20 scoreline at Allegiant Stadium. The Raiders totaled 264 yards, with 225 through the air and 39 on the ground. The offense scored two touchdowns and managed 16 first downs.

New England Patriots were winners last time out. It was a 23-16 home victory against Buffalo Bills at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots finished with 309 yards, including 232 passing and 77 rushing yards. The offense moved the chains 19 times and scored 2 touchdowns, splitting them between the run and the pass.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Raiders are bidding for a third successive win against the Patriots. They previously won 30-24 and 21-17 at Allegiant Stadium. It’s been two Raiders wins in the past 3 games between these teams.

Quarterbacks

Geno Smith

230.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Drake Maye

214.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Raiders vs Patriots Prediction & Picks

Our Raiders vs Patriots betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Game Prediction

Our pick is to confidently back the road team on the Moneyline for this NFL matchup. You can get +114 that the Raiders get the upper hand against their opponents.

Our NFL picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.

Key Raiders vs Patriots stats:

• Patriots have lost 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Patriots have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Patriots have lost their last 2 games against Raiders.

Raiders Moneyline Probability

According to the best NFL betting sites, there’s a 46.7% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 50-55%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

As an option, you could consider the spread where you can back the Raiders to cover a particular line. That means you might need a margin of victory to yield a return.

Boost your betting strategy with exclusive offers, free bets, and welcome bonuses—all in our straightforward guide.

Our Game Prediction

Raiders Moneyline @ +114 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (19:26, 05 September 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Drake Maye Under 214.5 Passing Yards -114

Drake Maye (Patriots) can be backed at -114 to record fewer than 214.5 passing yards. Several factors suggest he will fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, making this an appealing wager.

Latest Drake Maye Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+350

First

+1500

Passing Yards

Over 214.5

-114

Under 214.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Raiders 20 - 17 Patriots

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close battle and we’ll have a play on the Raiders enjoying a 20-17 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

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Raiders vs Patriots Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You can choose New England Patriots at -143 or alternatively Las Vegas Raiders who have betting odds of +120. According to the sportsbooks, the probability of the road team winning this game is 45%.

The spread is currently 2.5, with the total points line at 43.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular NFL bets. If you want to bet Under 43.5, there are odds of -105.

If you’re wagering on the National Football League, we recommend heading to the best sportsbooks and scanning through the hundreds of game lines and team props. There’s a chance to bet pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Raiders

+120

Patriots

-143

Point Spread

Raiders +2.5

-105

Patriots -2.5

-115

Total Points

Under 43.5

-105

Over 43.5

-115

Those interested in favorite Ashton Jeanty to score the first touchdown are able to get +480. If the Anytime TD angle makes appeal, then this is -141.

Touchdown

Ashton Jeanty (Raiders)

First TD

+480

Anytime TD

-141

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+125

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+145

Brock Bowers (Raiders)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+180

Stefon Diggs (Patriots)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+220

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+250

Jakobi Meyers (Raiders)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+240

Drake Maye (Patriots)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+350

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+410

Dont'e Thornton Jr. (Raiders)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+410

Tre Tucker (Raiders)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+550

Mack Hollins (Patriots)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

Austin Hooper (Patriots)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+650

Raheem Mostert (Raiders)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+600

Geno Smith (Raiders)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+750

Kayshon Boutte (Patriots)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+1000

Michael Mayer (Raiders)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+900

Antonio Gibson (Patriots)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1200

Kyle Williams (Patriots)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1700

Efton Chism III (Patriots)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1700

Jack Bech (Raiders)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1300

Zamir White (Raiders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Dylan Laube (Raiders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Jack Westover (Patriots)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Ian Thomas (Raiders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Alex Bachman (Raiders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Justin Shorter (Raiders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Receiving Yards

Brock Bowers (Raiders)

Over 64.5

-114

Under 64.5

-114

Jakobi Meyers (Raiders)

Over 53.5

-114

Under 53.5

-114

Stefon Diggs (Patriots)

Over 47.5

-114

Under 47.5

-114

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

Over 32.5

-114

Under 32.5

-114

Dont'e Thornton Jr. (Raiders)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Tre Tucker (Raiders)

Over 24.5

-114

Under 24.5

-114

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Ashton Jeanty (Raiders)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Kayshon Boutte (Patriots)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Michael Mayer (Raiders)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

Over 8.5

-114

Under 8.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Ashton Jeanty (Raiders)

Over 67.5

-114

Under 67.5

-114

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

Over 39.5

-114

Under 39.5

-114

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Geno Smith (Raiders)

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+114

Passing Yards

Geno Smith (Raiders)

Over 230.5

-114

Under 230.5

-114

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 214.5

-114

Under 214.5

-114

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Patriots Have Endured Eight Defeats in Previous Ten at Home

The Patriots own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 17.20 points scored and 25.40 points allowed.

The Raiders have a 2-8 record in their last 10 games away from home, posting 18.70 points per contest while yielding 25.40.

When the teams last met at Gillette Stadium, the Patriots beat the Raiders 36-20.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O43.5	U43.5
Patriots Home Stats		2-8	42.60	17.20	25.40	6	4
Raiders Away Stats		2-8	44.10	18.70	25.40	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O43.5 = Games Over 43.5 Points
• U43.5 = Games Under 43.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Las Vegas Raiders Stats

New England Patriots Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 44.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 43.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 18.50 pts and allowed 25.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 18.70 pts and allowed 25.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 42.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 43.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.00 pts and allowed 24.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 17.20 pts and allowed 25.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 307.60 Yds. Allowed 344.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 75.80 Yds. Allowed 103.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 231.90 Yds. Allowed 241.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.50. Allowed 20.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 6.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.30 Yds. Gained 48.20 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 312.30 Yds. Allowed 331.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 119.10 Yds. Allowed 128.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 193.20 Yds. Allowed 203.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.30. Allowed 20.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 0.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.70. Committed by opponents 6.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 55.40 Yds. Gained 44.70 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 322.50 Yds. Allowed 334.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 90.20 Yds. Allowed 119.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 232.40 Yds. Allowed 214.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.40. Allowed 18.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.10. Committed by opponents 6.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 49.50 Yds. Gained 52.20 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 276.60 Yds. Allowed 335.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 116.70 Yds. Allowed 129.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 159.90 Yds. Allowed 205.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.50. Allowed 20.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 4.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 57.90 Yds. Gained 38.70 Yds

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