Raiders vs Commanders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Sep 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Raiders vs Commanders

The Las Vegas Raiders face the Washington Commanders in this NFL Week 3 matchup at Northwest Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, September 21. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

We’re backing the Commanders against the spread when they face the Raiders. It could be shrewd to bet on them to cover the appealing -3 line, with odds of -106 on offer.

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Las Vegas Raiders were beaten 20-9 at SoFi Stadium in their previous game, being turned over at home to Los Angeles Chargers. The Raiders put up 218 total yards, made up of 150 through the air and 68 on the ground. They produced 15 first downs and allowed 15.

Washington Commanders were beaten last game and this was on the road at Lambeau Field. Green Bay Packers claimed a 27-18 win. The Commanders generated 230 yards, including 179 passing and 51 rushing yards. They picked up 15 first downs and scored two touchdowns.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Commanders won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 17-15 victory was registered against the Raiders at Allegiant Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Geno Smith

245.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Marcus Mariota

204.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Raiders vs Commanders Prediction & Picks

Our Raiders vs Commanders betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation and best bet builder insights.

Game Prediction

We expect the Commanders to cover the -3 line on the spread. This is a good number and that’s why we’re playing the favorites at -106 for this NFL showdown.

Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert picks, our NFL handicappers also analyze the latest stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.

Key Raiders vs Commanders stats:

• The -3 line has been covered by Commanders in 4 consecutive games at home.
• The -3 line has been covered by Commanders in 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -3 line has been covered by Commanders in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The +3 line hasn’t been covered by Raiders in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The +3 line hasn’t been covered by Raiders in 6 of their last 10 games.

Commanders -3 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 51.5% likelihood of this pick winning. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

You have the choice to buy or sell points depending on which direction you want to move the line. Decide whether or not you want to play it safer or take a riskier option.

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Our Game Prediction

Commanders -3 @ -106 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Brock Bowers Anytime TD +175

Brock Bowers (Raiders) can be backed at +175 to reach the goal line. He looks like an attractive wager to take it to the house and we recommend backing this Anytime Touchdown Scorer selection.

Latest Brock Bowers Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+180

First

+950

Receiving Yards

Over 58.5

-112

Under 58.5

-112

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Geno Smith Under 245.5 Passing Yards -114

Geno Smith (Raiders) is priced at -114 to have less than 245.5 passing yards. We're confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line, so we're backing the Under.

Latest Geno Smith Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+850

First

+3500

Passing Yards

Over 245.5

-112

Under 245.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 13.5

-112

Under 13.5

-112

Correct Score Prediction

Raiders 17 - 30 Commanders

Should you want to go for a selection at huge odds, head to the correct score lines where the Commanders can be backed speculatively to achieve a 30-17 victory.

Raiders vs Commanders Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

With a 61% chance of securing victory, Washington Commanders are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -154. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Las Vegas Raiders are trading at +130.

The spread currently stands at 3 and the total points line is 43.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. If you’re going for Under 43.5, this outcome can be backed at -105.

Every matchup offers a deep selection of team props and game lines and the top NFL betting sites deliver excellent pre-game and in-game wagering opportunities. It’s all about finding the bets that match your game plan.

Moneyline

Raiders

+130

Commanders

-154

Point Spread

Raiders +3

-115

Commanders -3

-105

Total Points

Under 43.5

-105

Over 43.5

-115

Those interested in favorite Ashton Jeanty to score the first touchdown are able to get +550. If the Anytime TD angle makes appeal, then this is -105.

Touchdown

Ashton Jeanty (Raiders)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

-105

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+120

Brock Bowers (Raiders)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+180

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+200

Jakobi Meyers (Raiders)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+185

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+200

Marcus Mariota (Commanders)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+270

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+260

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Commanders)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+370

Tre Tucker (Raiders)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+390

Jeremy McNichols (Commanders)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+470

Dont'e Thornton Jr. (Raiders)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+440

Noah Brown (Commanders)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+700

Jaylin Lane (Commanders)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

Michael Mayer (Raiders)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+500

Geno Smith (Raiders)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+850

Luke McCaffrey (Commanders)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+900

Zamir White (Raiders)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1200

Chris Moore (Commanders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Justin Shorter (Raiders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Colson Yankoff (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Alex Bachman (Raiders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Ben Sinnott (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Ian Thomas (Raiders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Dylan Laube (Raiders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Raheem Mostert (Raiders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Jack Bech (Raiders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2000

John Bates (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Receiving Yards

Jakobi Meyers (Raiders)

Over 62.5

-112

Under 62.5

-112

Brock Bowers (Raiders)

Over 58.5

-112

Under 58.5

-112

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

Over 46.5

-112

Under 46.5

-112

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

Over 45.5

-112

Under 45.5

-112

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

Over 32.5

-112

Under 32.5

-112

Tre Tucker (Raiders)

Over 26.5

-112

Under 26.5

-112

Dont'e Thornton Jr. (Raiders)

Over 26.5

-112

Under 26.5

-112

Noah Brown (Commanders)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-114

Jaylin Lane (Commanders)

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-112

Ashton Jeanty (Raiders)

Over 12.5

-112

Under 12.5

-112

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

Over 8.5

-112

Under 8.5

-112

Jeremy McNichols (Commanders)

Over 8.5

-112

Under 8.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Ashton Jeanty (Raiders)

Over 61.5

-112

Under 61.5

-112

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

Over 50.5

-112

Under 50.5

-112

Marcus Mariota (Commanders)

Over 28.5

-112

Under 28.5

-112

Jeremy McNichols (Commanders)

Over 15.5

-112

Under 15.5

-112

Geno Smith (Raiders)

Over 13.5

-112

Under 13.5

-112

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

Over 4.5

-108

Under 4.5

-118

Passing Yards

Geno Smith (Raiders)

Over 245.5

-112

Under 245.5

-112

Marcus Mariota (Commanders)

Over 204.5

-112

Under 204.5

-112

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the NFL micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term wagers and this might include the Next Play or Next Drive Result.

Can Commanders Keep Their Home Form Going?

The Commanders are riding four straight wins at Northwest Stadium. They have eight wins and two losses in the last 10 games at home, scoring 29.50 points per matchup and conceding 19.70.

The Raiders have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 games on the road, posting 18.70 points per contest while yielding 24.40.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O43.5	U43.5
Commanders Home Stats		8-2	49.20	29.50	19.70	7	3
Raiders Away Stats		3-7	43.10	18.70	24.40	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O43.5 = Games Over 43.5 Points
• U43.5 = Games Under 43.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Las Vegas Raiders Stats

Washington Commanders Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +3 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -3 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 38.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 43.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 43.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.00 pts and allowed 21.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 18.70 pts and allowed 24.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 53.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 49.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 43.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.10 pts and allowed 25.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 29.50 pts and allowed 19.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 323.80 Yds. Allowed 339.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 78.90 Yds. Allowed 95.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 245.00 Yds. Allowed 243.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.00. Allowed 18.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 6.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 51.80 Yds. Gained 47.00 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 368.10 Yds. Allowed 344.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 148.10 Yds. Allowed 133.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 220.00 Yds. Allowed 211.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.50 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.30. Allowed 21.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.50. Committed by opponents 7.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 63.50 Yds. Gained 55.00 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 324.40 Yds. Allowed 332.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 87.40 Yds. Allowed 111.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 237.10 Yds. Allowed 220.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.90. Allowed 18.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.80. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 7.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 52.20 Yds. Gained 54.00 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 409.00 Yds. Allowed 279.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 183.40 Yds. Allowed 120.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 225.60 Yds. Allowed 159.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.30 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.40. Allowed 16.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.90. Committed by opponents 6.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 65.90 Yds. Gained 50.40 Yds

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