Chargers vs Dolphins Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Oct 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Chargers vs Dolphins

The Los Angeles Chargers go up against the Miami Dolphins in this NFL Week 6 matchup at Hard Rock Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, October 12. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

We’re confident that the Dolphins can produce a strong performance against the Chargers. Our prediction is that they’ll cover the spread of +4.5 and you can currently get -120.

Confident in our wager? Snag our exclusive BetMGM promo code and read our in-depth site review before placing locking in your spread pick.

Los Angeles Chargers suffered a second consecutive defeat when losing 27-10 in their previous game. This was at home to Washington Commanders at SoFi Stadium. The Chargers put up 336 yards, split between 181 passing and 155 rushing yards. Their output included 18 first downs and one passing TD.

Miami Dolphins suffered a defeat in their last game. A 27-24 scoreline occurred on the road at Bank of America Stadium against Carolina Panthers. The Dolphins moved the ball for 248 yards, with 229 through the air and 19 on the ground. The offense managed 15 first downs and found the end zone 3 times.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at SoFi Stadium, with the Dolphins claiming the win. Beating the Chargers by a 36-34 scoreline. The previous 4 games have seen both teams achieve two victories.

Quarterbacks

Justin Herbert

247.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Tua Tagovailoa

223.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Chargers vs Dolphins Prediction & Picks

Be ready for Chargers vs Dolphins with our in-depth betting tips, featuring a key match prediction, our expected scoreline, best player prop picks and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re making the Dolphins against the spread our pick for this NFL matchup. The line is favorably set at +4.5 and you can secure -120 that this happens.

Tracking injury updates is a big part of our analysis and team news plays a major role in shaping our NFL predictions. We combine this with recent form and the most important stats to get a complete picture.

Key Chargers vs Dolphins stats:

• The +4.5 line has been covered by Dolphins in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Dolphins in 16 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +4.5 line has been covered by Dolphins in 2 consecutive games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chargers in 3 consecutive games.
• The -4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Chargers in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.

Dolphins +4.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 54.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability close to 60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you want to secure a bigger potential payout on your wager, there’s the option to move the betting line. Take a look at the various prices and see which spread you think will be covered.

Thinking of betting? Browse our detailed guide for the best current offers, including free bets and the latest bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Dolphins +4.5 @ -120 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Keenan Allen Anytime TD +170

Keenan Allen (Chargers) can be backed at +170 to record a TD. Based on all the evidence, we're happy to back him to punch it in on the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.

Latest Keenan Allen Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+135

First

+750

Receiving Yards

Over 59.5

-112

Under 59.5

-112

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Justin Herbert Under 254.5 Passing Yards -114

Justin Herbert (Chargers) is available at -114 to finish with fewer than 254.5 passing yards. The line looks too high and we’re confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards total.

Latest Justin Herbert Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+360

First

+1700

Passing Yards

Over 247.5

-112

Under 247.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 22.5

-112

Under 22.5

-112

Correct Score Prediction

Chargers 24 - 23 Dolphins

We’re expecting this to be a close battle and we’ll take the Chargers to win 24-23. This is available at huge odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

Chargers vs Dolphins Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Los Angeles Chargers are regarded as having a 57% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -135. Miami Dolphins are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +114.

There is a spread of 2.5 and total points has a line of 45.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. Those who wager Under 45.5 can get -110.

National Football League bettors are spoilt for choice thanks to the hundreds of team props and game lines which are available for every matchup on the coupon. Head to the top sportsbooks and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Chargers

-135

Dolphins

+114

Point Spread

Chargers -2.5

-112

Dolphins +2.5

-108

Total Points

Under 45.5

-110

Over 45.5

-110

There’s the chance to back De'Von Achane at +500 to be the First Touchdown Scorer. He’s the favorite and available at similar odds to record the last TD instead.

Touchdown

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-125

Keenan Allen (Chargers)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+135

Hassan Haskins (Chargers)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+150

Ladd McConkey (Chargers)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+145

Quentin Johnston (Chargers)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+190

Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+155

Kimani Vidal (Chargers)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+200

Darren Waller (Dolphins)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+270

Jaylen Wright (Dolphins)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+370

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+370

Oronde Gadsden II (Chargers)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+350

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+360

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+420

Tyler Conklin (Chargers)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

Will Dissly (Chargers)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

Tre Harris (Chargers)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (Dolphins)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+750

KeAndre Lambert-Smith (Chargers)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+800

Julian Hill (Dolphins)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1000

Nyheim Hines (Chargers)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1100

Derius Davis (Chargers)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1200

Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1700

Tahj Washington (Dolphins)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+1500

Tanner Conner (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Dee Eskridge (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Alec Ingold (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Tucker Fisk (Chargers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Receiving Yards

Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins)

Over 68.5

-112

Under 68.5

-112

Ladd McConkey (Chargers)

Over 64.5

-112

Under 64.5

-112

Keenan Allen (Chargers)

Over 59.5

-112

Under 59.5

-112

Quentin Johnston (Chargers)

Over 54.5

-114

Under 54.5

-114

Darren Waller (Dolphins)

Over 40.5

-112

Under 40.5

-112

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

Over 32.5

-112

Under 32.5

-112

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-112

Oronde Gadsden II (Chargers)

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-112

Rushing Yards

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

Over 57.5

-112

Under 57.5

-112

Hassan Haskins (Chargers)

Over 45.5

-112

Under 45.5

-112

Kimani Vidal (Chargers)

Over 26.5

-112

Under 26.5

-112

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

Over 22.5

-112

Under 22.5

-112

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-112

Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-102

Passing Yards

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

Over 247.5

-112

Under 247.5

-112

Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)

Over 223.5

-112

Under 223.5

-112

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to NFL micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Dolphins Own Six Wins From Last Ten at Home

The Dolphins are 6-4 in their last 10 home games, scoring 25.20 points per contest and conceding 23.80.

The Chargers are 6-4 in their last 10 games on the road, posting 22.30 points per contest while yielding 16.40.

The last time the Dolphins faced the Chargers at Hard Rock Stadium, they won 29-21.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O43.5	U43.5
Dolphins Home Stats		6-4	49.00	25.20	23.80	7	3
Chargers Away Stats		6-4	38.70	22.30	16.40	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O43.5 = Games Over 43.5 Points
• U43.5 = Games Under 43.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Los Angeles Chargers Stats

Miami Dolphins Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 38.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 43.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.50 pts and allowed 22.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.30 pts and allowed 16.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 49.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 43.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.00 pts and allowed 24.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 25.20 pts and allowed 23.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 350.90 Yds. Allowed 320.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 106.70 Yds. Allowed 124.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 244.20 Yds. Allowed 196.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.80. Allowed 17.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 7.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.10 Yds. Gained 61.70 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 298.80 Yds. Allowed 354.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 88.30 Yds. Allowed 134.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 210.50 Yds. Allowed 219.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.80. Allowed 21.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.10. Committed by opponents 8.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 52.50 Yds. Gained 66.40 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 337.90 Yds. Allowed 292.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 100.00 Yds. Allowed 111.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 237.90 Yds. Allowed 181.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.70. Allowed 18.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.20. Committed by opponents 5.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 43.90 Yds. Gained 44.90 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 345.30 Yds. Allowed 325.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 101.80 Yds. Allowed 108.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 243.50 Yds. Allowed 216.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.60. Allowed 18.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.50. Committed by opponents 8.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 50.50 Yds. Gained 64.70 Yds

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