Chargers vs Patriots Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Dec 2024

Go for the Chargers against the spread in order to get the best value. The favorites should be able to cover the -4.5 line at -105 when they take on the Patriots.

Los Angeles Chargers won their previous game, beating Denver Broncos at home. It was a 34-27 win at SoFi Stadium. The Chargers had a gain of 117 rushing and 263 passing yards, totalling 380 yards. They picked up 23 first downs and scored 4 touchdowns.

New England Patriots have suffered defeat in their last five games. Most recently, a 24-21 scoreline occurred on the road at Highmark Stadium against Buffalo Bills. The Patriots total gain of 379 yards was split between 126 rushing and 253 passing yards. They picked up 28 first downs and scored 3 touchdowns.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Gillette Stadium, with the Chargers claiming the win. Beating the Patriots by a 6-0 scoreline. The previous 4 H2H meetings have involved the Patriots winning three times.

Quarterbacks

Justin Herbert

233.5 Passing Yards

Over -110

Under -110

Drake Maye

217.5 Passing Yards

Over -110

Under -110

Chargers vs Patriots Prediction & Picks

It’s time to go for the Chargers against the spread, especially with a -4.5 line at odds of -105. Our prediction is that the betting favorites can achieve a comfortable victory in this NFL showdown.

It’s always a case of checking out the latest team news to make expert NFL predictions. Then we get to work when it comes to unearthing the stats that are the most valuable.

Key Chargers vs Patriots stats:

• The -4.5 line has been covered by Chargers in 8 of their last 15 games this season.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Patriots in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by Patriots in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chargers -4.5 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 51.3% prospect of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Selling points can be a good option and allows bettors to enjoy a bigger return on the same selection. For a more conservative pick, you can alternatively buy points.

Our Game Prediction

Chargers -4.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Chargers 30 - 23 Patriots

There’s the chance to bet on the Chargers in lots of different ways and this includes predicting the correct winning score. We’ll go for a 30-23 victory in their favor.

Chargers vs Patriots Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Los Angeles Chargers are regarded as likeliest victors for this game and the -294 about them triumphing means a 75% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. New England Patriots are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +235.

The spread is calculated to be 5.5, while total points comes in at 42.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. Those who wager Under 42.5 can get -104.

Fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of game lines and team props which are available for every National Football League clash on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Chargers

-294

Patriots

+235

Point Spread

Chargers -5.5

-115

Patriots +5.5

-105

Total Points

Under 42.5

-104

Over 42.5

-118

Favorite J.K. Dobbins is now available at +500 to be the First Touchdown Scorer. You will find similar odds apply when it comes to him scoring the last TD.

Touchdown

J.K. Dobbins (Chargers)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-105

Gus Edwards (Chargers)

First TD

+600

Anytime TD

+120

Ladd McConkey (Chargers)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+145

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+155

Quentin Johnston (Chargers)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+240

Kimani Vidal (Chargers)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+250

Joshua Palmer (Chargers)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+300

Stone Smartt (Chargers)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+280

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+300

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+340

Antonio Gibson (Patriots)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+340

Will Dissly (Chargers)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+280

Drake Maye (Patriots)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+400

Kayshon Boutte (Patriots)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+350

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+390

Austin Hooper (Patriots)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+500

Kendrick Bourne (Patriots)

First TD

+2800

Anytime TD

+550

Los Angeles Chargers Defense (Chargers)

First TD

+3200

Anytime TD

+700

New England Patriots Defense (Patriots)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1000

Hayden Hurst (Chargers)

First TD

+4700

Anytime TD

+1000

Tucker Fisk (Chargers)

First TD

+4700

Anytime TD

+1000

Hassan Haskins (Chargers)

First TD

+4900

Anytime TD

+1000

DJ Chark Jr. (Chargers)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1200

Derius Davis (Chargers)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1500

Scott Matlock (Chargers)

First TD

+9500

Anytime TD

+2300

Ja'Lynn Polk (Patriots)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1800

Javon Baker (Patriots)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1800

Terrell Jennings (Patriots)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1700

JaMycal Hasty (Patriots)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1700

Jaheim Bell (Patriots)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Receiving Yards

Ladd McConkey (Chargers)

Over 70.5

-110

Under 70.5

-110

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

Over 42.5

-110

Under 42.5

-110

Kayshon Boutte (Patriots)

Over 37.5

-110

Under 37.5

-110

Quentin Johnston (Chargers)

Over 33.5

-110

Under 33.5

-110

Joshua Palmer (Chargers)

Over 32.5

-110

Under 32.5

-110

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

Over 32.5

-110

Under 32.5

-110

Austin Hooper (Patriots)

Over 23.5

-110

Under 23.5

-110

Kendrick Bourne (Patriots)

Over 22.5

-110

Under 22.5

-110

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-110

J.K. Dobbins (Chargers)

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-110

Antonio Gibson (Patriots)

Over 10.5

-110

Under 10.5

-110

Rushing Yards

J.K. Dobbins (Chargers)

Over 58.5

-110

Under 58.5

-110

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

Over 41.5

-110

Under 41.5

-110

Antonio Gibson (Patriots)

Over 29.5

-110

Under 29.5

-110

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 26.5

-110

Under 26.5

-110

Kimani Vidal (Chargers)

Over 26.5

-110

Under 26.5

-110

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

Over 15.5

-110

Under 15.5

-110

Passing Yards

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

Over 233.5

-110

Under 233.5

-110

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 217.5

-110

Under 217.5

-110

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Los Angeles Chargers Stats

New England Patriots Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 34.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 43.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.70 pts and allowed 20.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 17.10 pts and allowed 17.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 36.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 43.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.70 pts and allowed 25.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 14.80 pts and allowed 21.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 320.50 Yds. Allowed 362.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 95.90 Yds. Allowed 137.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 224.60 Yds. Allowed 224.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.50. Allowed 21.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 41.90 Yds. Gained 58.40 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 321.90 Yds. Allowed 335.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 113.80 Yds. Allowed 136.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 208.10 Yds. Allowed 199.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.70. Allowed 20.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 0.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 52.00 Yds. Gained 42.00 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 294.70 Yds. Allowed 303.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 92.00 Yds. Allowed 115.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 202.70 Yds. Allowed 187.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.40. Allowed 18.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.00. Committed by opponents 5.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 41.20 Yds. Gained 38.30 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 287.30 Yds. Allowed 317.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 130.90 Yds. Allowed 112.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 156.40 Yds. Allowed 205.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.90. Allowed 18.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.00. Committed by opponents 4.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 50.80 Yds. Gained 35.20 Yds

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