Rams vs Falcons Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Dec 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Rams vs Falcons

The Los Angeles Rams go up against the Atlanta Falcons in this Week 17 Monday Night Football matchup at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:15 on Monday, December 29.

The Falcons and the Rams are capable of scoring more than 49.5 points. Therefore, we’re going Over the total line and expect a payout at -114.

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Los Angeles Rams were defeated in their previous game. On the road, they suffered a 38-37 reverse against Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field. The Rams moved the ball for 581 yards, made up of 457 through the air and 124 on the ground. They picked up 26 first downs and produced 4 TD's, including 3 passing scores and a rushing touchdown.

Atlanta Falcons have now suffered three straight home defeats. In their last game, they won on the road at State Farm Stadium when beating Arizona Cardinals 26-19. The Falcons totaled 342 yards, split between 190 passing and 152 rushing yards. The offense converted for 24 first downs and managed 3 touchdowns, 2 through the air along with one rushing score.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Rams won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 31-27 victory was registered against the Falcons at SoFi Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Matthew Stafford

263.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Kirk Cousins

225.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Rams vs Falcons Prediction & Picks

Your complete Rams vs Falcons betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.

Game Prediction

The total line looks to be on the low side at 49.5. There’s a strong chance that the NFL rivals will conspire to go above the line and we’re backing Over at -114.

To deliver the best possible NFL predictions, we start by locking in the team news and taking time to review the latest form. There’s also no shortage of data to crunch from the most up-to-date stats available.

Key Rams vs Falcons stats:

• The 49.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Rams games.
• The 49.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 8 Rams games on the road this season.
• The 49.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Rams games on the road.

Over 49.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. Based on our analysts research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

In order to land bigger odds on your Overs wager, it’s possible to combine this with the winning franchise. The Result & Total lines can provide a larger potential payout.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 49.5 Points @ -114 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (02:25, 28 December 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Matthew Stafford Over 268.5 Passing Yards -114

Matthew Stafford (Rams) is available at -114 to go beyond over 268.5 passing yards. The line for QB Passing Yards looks attractive and we’re confident of securing a return.

Latest Matthew Stafford Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+1700

First

+10000

Passing Yards

Over 263.5

-112

Under 263.5

-112

---

Bijan Robinson Over 43.5 Receiving Yards -114

The odds for Bijan Robinson (Falcons) to reach over 43.5 receiving yards stand at -114. The line for him on the Overs is highly appealing, with Player Receiving Yards bettors able to get plenty of juice.

Latest Bijan Robinson Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-125

First

+550

Receiving Yards

Over 42.5

-112

Under 42.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 73.5

-112

Under 73.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Rams 38 - 21 Falcons

The Rams can be wagered in lots of different ways and this includes the correct score lines. There’s the chance to back them to win 38-21 for a big potential return.

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Rams vs Falcons Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

You might not get rich backing Los Angeles Rams at -161. However, the sportsbooks’ betting odds imply a 62% chance of winning this game. At +136, Atlanta Falcons are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

3 is the spread and 46.5 is the total points line. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you're keen on Over 46.5, this selection is available at -110.

There are hundreds of team props and game lines when it comes to wagering on the National Football League and we recommend visiting the best sportsbooks to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Rams

-161

Falcons

+136

Point Spread

Rams -3

-110

Falcons +3

-110

Total Points

Under 46.5

-110

Over 46.5

-110

Puka Nacua is the market leader at +410 to be the First TD Scorer. Should you think he will score the final touchdown, then a similar price can be found.

Touchdown

Puka Nacua (Rams)

First TD

+410

Anytime TD

-145

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

-125

Kyren Williams (Rams)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

-115

Colby Parkinson (Rams)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+150

Drake London (Falcons)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+170

Blake Corum (Rams)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+165

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+210

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+210

Terrance Ferguson (Rams)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+280

Konata Mumpfield (Rams)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+340

Davis Allen (Rams)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+320

Darnell Mooney (Falcons)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+500

Xavier Smith (Rams)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+600

Jordan Whittington (Rams)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+800

Kirk Cousins (Falcons)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Tutu Atwell (Rams)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+800

David Sills V (Falcons)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+800

Nick Vannett (Rams)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+800

Malik Heath (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1500

Casey Washington (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1500

Dylan Drummond (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1500

Charlie Woerner (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1600

Nathan Carter (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1600

Matthew Stafford (Rams)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1700

Jarquez Hunter (Rams)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2000

Ronnie Rivers (Rams)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2000

Deven Thompkins (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Feleipe Franks (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Teagan Quitoriano (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Chris Blair (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Receiving Yards

Puka Nacua (Rams)

Over 108.5

-112

Under 108.5

-112

Drake London (Falcons)

Over 66.5

-112

Under 66.5

-112

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

Over 51.5

-112

Under 51.5

-112

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 42.5

-112

Under 42.5

-112

Colby Parkinson (Rams)

Over 33.5

-112

Under 33.5

-112

Darnell Mooney (Falcons)

Over 24.5

-112

Under 24.5

-112

Konata Mumpfield (Rams)

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-112

Terrance Ferguson (Rams)

Over 22.5

-112

Under 22.5

-112

Davis Allen (Rams)

Over 15.5

-112

Under 15.5

-112

Kyren Williams (Rams)

Over 11.5

-108

Under 11.5

-118

Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 73.5

-112

Under 73.5

-112

Kyren Williams (Rams)

Over 63.5

-112

Under 63.5

-112

Blake Corum (Rams)

Over 45.5

-112

Under 45.5

-112

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

Over 25.5

-112

Under 25.5

-112

Passing Yards

Matthew Stafford (Rams)

Over 263.5

-112

Under 263.5

-112

Kirk Cousins (Falcons)

Over 225.5

-112

Under 225.5

-112

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the NFL micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term wagers and this might include the Next Play or Next Drive Result.

Falcons Currently at Three Home Losses in a Row

The Falcons have lost three straight at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. They own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 23.60 points on average and giving up 25.40.

The Rams have six wins and four losses in the last 10 road games, putting up 30.40 points on average and giving up 21.10.

The last time the Rams faced the Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, they won 37-10.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O49.5	U49.5
Falcons Home Stats		4-6	49.00	23.60	25.40	3	7
Rams Away Stats		6-4	51.50	30.40	21.10	7	3

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
• U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Los Angeles Rams Stats

Atlanta Falcons Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -8.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +8.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +8.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 52.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 51.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 49.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 33.40 pts and allowed 19.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 30.40 pts and allowed 21.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 49.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 49.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 49.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.70 pts and allowed 26.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.60 pts and allowed 25.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 394.20 Yds. Allowed 336.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 133.30 Yds. Allowed 111.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 260.90 Yds. Allowed 224.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 4.40 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.90 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 24.20. Allowed 19.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.00. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 28.90 Yds. Gained 51.10 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 321.40 Yds. Allowed 358.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 111.40 Yds. Allowed 135.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 210.00 Yds. Allowed 223.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.60. Allowed 21.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 5.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 54.80 Yds. Gained 39.30 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 384.20 Yds. Allowed 334.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 136.60 Yds. Allowed 128.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 247.60 Yds. Allowed 205.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.70 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.90. Allowed 19.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.10. Committed by opponents 7.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 31.90 Yds. Gained 58.40 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 359.90 Yds. Allowed 325.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 126.70 Yds. Allowed 111.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 233.20 Yds. Allowed 214.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.20. Allowed 18.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 43.20 Yds. Gained 54.00 Yds

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