Dolphins vs Falcons Prediction, Picks & Odds | 26 Oct 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Dolphins vs Falcons

The Miami Dolphins face off against the Atlanta Falcons in this NFL Week 8 matchup at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 12:00 on Sunday, October 26. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

The Falcons and the Dolphins are capable of scoring more than 44.5 points. Therefore, we’re going Over the total line and expect a payout at -114.

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Miami Dolphins have been defeated in their previous four road games. They recently suffered a 31-6 loss against Cleveland Browns at Huntington Bank Field. The Dolphins generated 219 yards, including 120 passing and 99 rushing yards. They allowed 15 first downs and managed 12.

Atlanta Falcons have enjoyed two home wins in a row. They were defeated in their last game when losing 20-10 on the road against San Francisco 49ers. The Falcons generated 292 total yards, made up of 230 passing and 62 rushing yards. They scored one passing TD and moved the chains 19 times.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Falcons beat the Dolphins in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 30-28 scoreline at Hard Rock Stadium.

Dolphins vs Falcons Prediction & Picks

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Dolphins vs Falcons, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Game Prediction

There could be plenty of points being racked up during this NFL battle, with our pick being Over 44.5 points in total. Odds of -114 look worth taking for this outcome.

We use the latest team news and injury updates to help shape the best possible NFL picks. You’ll also notice we take a stats-led approach by factoring in the key numbers that truly make a difference.

Key Dolphins vs Falcons stats:

• The 44.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Dolphins games.
• The 44.5 line has been covered in 5 of the last 7 Dolphins games this season.
• The 44.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Falcons games at home.

Over 44.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

Secure more desirable odds by moving the line when you place an Over bet. You can choose from a range of options on the Totals until you’re happy with your wager.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 44.5 Points @ -114 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tyler Allgeier Anytime TD +135

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons) can be backed at odds of +135 to hit paydirt. All things considered, we believe the odds are appealing for betting on him in the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.

Latest Tyler Allgeier Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+140

First

+800

Rushing Yards

Over 40.5

-112

Under 40.5

-112

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Michael Penix Jr. Over 216.5 Passing Yards -114

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons) is available at -114 to rack up over 216.5 passing yards. We're confident in him covering the QB Passing Yards line and hitting our Over bet.

Latest Michael Penix Jr. Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+550

First

+3300

Passing Yards

Over 216.5

-114

Under 216.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Dolphins 20 - 30 Falcons

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a huge potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Falcons to achieve a 30-20 victory at monster odds.

Dolphins vs Falcons Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

According to the Moneyline betting odds, Atlanta Falcons are red-hot -120 favorites with the sportsbooks and that means a 55% chance of winning this game. For those wanting to back Miami Dolphins, you will find -100 about the underdogs.

1.5 is the spread and 46.5 is the total points line. The Totals offers NFL fans an alternative way of getting involved. If you want to back Over 46.5, it’s -110.

Bettors have no shortage of options with the extensive range of game lines and team props available for every matchup. Head to the best NFL sportsbooks and uncover the wagers that offer the best value.

Moneyline

Dolphins

-100

Falcons

-120

Point Spread

Dolphins +1.5

-110

Falcons -1.5

-110

Total Points

Under 46.5

-110

Over 46.5

-110

Bijan Robinson is the favorite to be First Touchdown Scorer at +260. If you’re interested in backing him to score a TD at anytime, then the price is -250.

Touchdown

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

First TD

+260

Anytime TD

-250

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

First TD

+600

Anytime TD

-125

Drake London (Falcons)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+145

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+150

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+140

Darnell Mooney (Falcons)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+190

Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+180

Casey Washington (Falcons)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+470

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+490

Julian Hill (Dolphins)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+420

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+600

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+550

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (Dolphins)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+650

Tanner Conner (Dolphins)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+600

David Sills V (Falcons)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+800

Greg Dulcich (Dolphins)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+650

Charlie Woerner (Falcons)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+950

KhaDarel Hodge (Falcons)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1200

Jaylen Wright (Dolphins)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+950

Kirk Cousins (Falcons)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1200

Hayden Rucci (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1400

Dylan Drummond (Falcons)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Tahj Washington (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Dee Eskridge (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Jamal Agnew (Falcons)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1800

Nathan Carter (Falcons)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1900

Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Feleipe Franks (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Teagan Quitoriano (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Alec Ingold (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Receiving Yards

Drake London (Falcons)

Over 62.5

-114

Under 62.5

-114

Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins)

Over 61.5

-112

Under 61.5

-112

Darnell Mooney (Falcons)

Over 48.5

-112

Under 48.5

-112

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

Over 46.5

-112

Under 46.5

-112

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 42.5

-112

Under 42.5

-112

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

Over 31.5

-112

Under 31.5

-112

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

Over 26.5

-112

Under 26.5

-112

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (Dolphins)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 91.5

-112

Under 91.5

-112

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

Over 60.5

-118

Under 60.5

-108

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

Over 40.5

-112

Under 40.5

-112

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

Over 12.5

-122

Under 12.5

-106

Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)

Over 2.5

-127

Under 2.5

-102

Passing Yards

Kirk Cousins (Falcons)

Over 221.5

-112

Under 221.5

-112

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

Over 216.5

-114

Under 216.5

-114

Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)

Over 198.5

-112

Under 198.5

-112

There are always opportunities to enjoy NFL micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Punt, Turnover or Score Play.

Falcons Sitting on Six Wins in Past Ten at Home

The Falcons have a 6-4 record in their last 10 home games, averaging 26.60 points on offense and surrendering 24.10 on defense.

The Dolphins have lost five straight on the road. They own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 games on the road, scoring 17.80 points per contest and conceding 25.20.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O44.5	U44.5
Falcons Home Stats		6-4	50.70	26.60	24.10	6	4
Dolphins Away Stats		2-8	43.00	17.80	25.20	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O44.5 = Games Over 44.5 Points
• U44.5 = Games Under 44.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Dolphins Stats

Atlanta Falcons Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 43.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 44.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.90 pts and allowed 25.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 17.80 pts and allowed 25.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 50.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 44.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.10 pts and allowed 21.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 26.60 pts and allowed 24.10 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 294.90 Yds. Allowed 356.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 102.30 Yds. Allowed 142.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 192.60 Yds. Allowed 213.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.30. Allowed 21.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.00. Committed by opponents 7.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 56.00 Yds. Gained 59.30 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 365.20 Yds. Allowed 291.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 146.60 Yds. Allowed 122.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 218.60 Yds. Allowed 168.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.40. Allowed 18.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.30. Committed by opponents 6.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 37.00 Yds. Gained 58.20 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 277.80 Yds. Allowed 327.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 84.20 Yds. Allowed 124.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 193.60 Yds. Allowed 203.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.70. Allowed 20.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 2.00. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.10. Committed by opponents 5.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 57.60 Yds. Gained 50.00 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 401.40 Yds. Allowed 310.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 129.30 Yds. Allowed 116.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 272.10 Yds. Allowed 193.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.70. Allowed 18.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.10. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.80 Yds. Gained 52.60 Yds

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