Miami Dolphins
American Football NFL Highmark Stadium Thu 18 Sep 20:15
Buffalo Bills
  1. Prediction
  2. Bet Builder
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Stats
  6. Live Stream
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Standings

NFL Betting Preview: Dolphins vs Bills

The Miami Dolphins clash with the Buffalo Bills in this NFL Week 3 Thursday Night Football matchup at Highmark Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:15 on Thursday 18 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

We’re Expecting a Big Bills Win

We have decided to go for the Bills on the spread. The favorites should be able to cover the -11.5 line at odds of -114 when they take on the Dolphins.

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9 Bills Victories in Previous 10 H2H Clashes

Miami Dolphins suffered a second consecutive defeat when losing 33-27 in their previous game. This was at home to New England Patriots at Hard Rock Stadium. The Dolphins finished with 358 total yards, made up of 297 through the air and 61 on the ground. They moved the chains 16 times and produced 3 touchdowns.

Buffalo Bills have triumphed in back-to-back games. The latest of these was on the road where New York Jets were beaten 30-10 at MetLife Stadium. The Bills moved the ball for 403 yards, including 179 passing and 224 rushing yards. The offense picked up 25 first downs and produced 3 touchdowns, each one a rushing score.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Bills claim a 30-27 win over the Dolphins at Highmark Stadium. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Bills have won nine.

Quarterbacks

Dolphins vs Bills Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our best Dolphins vs Bills tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

There’s a case to be made for the Bills on the spread in this NFL matchup. Our prediction is that the favorites can cover the -11.5 line at odds of -114 considering they should be superior.

Our NFL predictions are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into up-to-date stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the action might unfold.

Key Dolphins vs Bills stats:

  • The +11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Dolphins in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
  • The +11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Dolphins in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Bills -11.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If the price on display doesn’t appeal, you can make the choice to secure bigger odds by moving the line for your selection. It’s a case of taking a view which you are happy with.

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Best Bet

Bills -11.5 @ -114 Watch Live Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 02:26, 17 September 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Josh Allen Over 233.5 Passing Yards -114 BetMGM logo

Josh Allen (Bills) can be backed at -114 to go beyond 233.5 passing yards. We’re confident in taking him to cover the QB Passing Yards line and bettors can back this pick with conviction.

Latest Josh Allen Player Prop Odds

Malik Washington Over 4.5 Rushing Yards +106 BetMGM logo

You can place a bet on Malik Washington (Bills) at +106 to reach over 4.5 rushing yards. The line for him on the Overs looks attractive and bettors can get plenty of juice from this Player Rushing Yards wager.

Latest Malik Washington Player Prop Odds

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Bills -11.5
Totals Under 49.5
Passing Yards Josh Allen Over 233.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Bills -11.5 on the spread, combined with Under 49.5 and Josh Allen (Bills) to go Over 233.5 passing yards.

The same game parlay option is great for bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same football game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

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Correct Score Prediction

Dolphins Dolphins logo 14 - 28 Bills logo Bills

Should you wish to go for a speculative wager, try the Bills to win 28-14 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun bet which could potentially yield a big return.

Dolphins vs Bills Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Bills Heavy Favorites in Eyes of the Books

With an estimated 89% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -833 betting odds about Buffalo Bills triumphing in this game. At +590, Miami Dolphins are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

11.5 is the spread and 49.5 is the total points line. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those who wager Under 49.5 can get -104.

Whether you're placing bets before kickoff or during the game, the best NFL sportsbooks delivers a massive range of game lines and team props. The betting sites give you endless ways to get involved with plenty of exciting alternatives.

James Cook Favorite to Score First Touchdown

There’s the chance to back James Cook at +420 to be the First Touchdown Scorer. He’s the favorite and available at similar odds to record the last TD instead.

Touchdown

Receiving Yards

Tyreek Hill (Dolphins)
Over 64.5
-114
Under 64.5
-114
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Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins)
Over 50.5
-114
Under 50.5
-114
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Khalil Shakir (Bills)
Over 40.5
-114
Under 40.5
-114
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Rushing Yards

Passing Yards

Best Betting Offers
Highmark Stadium
Highmark Stadium

Bills Rolling at Home

The Bills have gone 10-0 across their last 10 home games, scoring 33.90 points per contest and conceding 18.50.

The Dolphins own a 3-7 mark in their past 10 games away from home, putting up 15.50 points per contest and giving up 21.30.

The Bills defeated the Dolphins 30-27 the last time they played at Highmark Stadium. The last 7 head-to-head matchups at Highmark Stadium have all gone the way of the Bills.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O49.5 U49.5
Bills logo Bills Home Stats 10-0 52.40 33.90 18.50 6 4
Dolphins logo Dolphins Away Stats 3-7 36.80 15.50 21.30 2 8
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
  • U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Dolphins logo Miami Dolphins Stats
Buffalo Bills logo Buffalo Bills Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Game Stats
Last 10 Games
Game Stats
Last 10 Games
Last 10 Games on the Road
Last 10 Home Games

Live Streaming

You can watch and bet on NFL games thanks to the live streaming service that’s available. This is only available to eligible sportsbook customers and is subject to geo-restrictions.

You can log into your betting account on a daily basis and enjoy the chance to access high quality streams.

Team News

Miami Dolphins Injuries

Type
Name
Info
Terron Armstead
Undisclosed
Ethan Bonner
Hamstring
Aaron Brewer
Hip
Artie Burns
Knee - ACL
Yodny Cajuste
Undisclosed
Jalin Conyers
Leg
James Daniels
Pectoral
Storm Duck
Ankle
Liam Eichenberg
Undisclosed
Obinna Eze
Undisclosed
Germain Ifedi
Undisclosed
Austin Jackson
Toe
Benito Jones
Oblique
Kader Kohou
Knee - ACL
Jason Maitre
Undisclosed
Alexander Mattison
Neck
Ifeatu Melifonwu
Calf
Andrew Meyer
Undisclosed
Chop Robinson
Knee
Jason Sanders
Hip
Cam Smith
Undisclosed
Jaylen Waddle
Shoulder
Darren Waller
Hip
Malik Washington
Thumb
Jaylen Wright
Knee

Buffalo Bills Injuries

Type
Name
Info
Tyler Bass
Hip
DeWayne Carter
Achilles
Tylan Grable
Concussion
Maxwell Hairston
Knee
Michael Hoecht
Suspension
Taron Johnson
Quadriceps
Cam Lewis
Shoulder
Matt Milano
Pectoral
Larry Ogunjobi
Suspension
Ed Oliver
Ankle
Wande Owens
Undisclosed
Shaq Thompson
Hamstring

Previous Miami Dolphins Lineups

14 Sep NFL
Patriots 33-27 Dolphins
07 Sep NFL
Dolphins 8-33 Colts
05 Jan NFL
Dolphins 20-32 Jets
29 Dec NFL
Dolphins 20-3 Browns
22 Dec NFL
49ers 17-29 Dolphins
15 Dec NFL
Dolphins 12-20 Texans
08 Dec NFL
Jets 26-32 Dolphins
28 Nov NFL
Dolphins 17-30 Packers
24 Nov NFL
Patriots 15-34 Dolphins
17 Nov NFL
Raiders 19-34 Dolphins

Previous Buffalo Bills Lineups

14 Sep NFL
Bills 30-10 Jets
07 Sep NFL
Ravens 40-41 Bills
26 Jan NFL Playoffs
Bills 29-32 Chiefs
19 Jan NFL Playoffs
Ravens 25-27 Bills
12 Jan NFL Playoffs
Broncos 7-31 Bills
05 Jan NFL
Bills 16-23 Patriots
29 Dec NFL
Jets 14-40 Bills
22 Dec NFL
Patriots 21-24 Bills
15 Dec NFL
Bills 48-42 Lions
08 Dec NFL
Bills 42-44 Rams

NFL Standings Select Season

AFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Bills 2 0 0 1.000 71 50 21 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Patriots 1 1 0 0.500 46 47 -1 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Jets 0 2 0 0.000 42 64 -22 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Dolphins 0 2 0 0.000 35 66 -31 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
AFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Bengals 2 0 0 1.000 48 43 5 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Ravens 1 1 0 0.500 81 58 23 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Steelers 1 1 0 0.500 51 63 -12 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1L
Browns 0 2 0 0.000 33 58 -25 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
AFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Colts 2 0 0 1.000 62 36 26 2-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Jaguars 1 1 0 0.500 53 41 12 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Texans 0 2 0 0.000 28 34 -6 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 2L
Titans 0 2 0 0.000 31 53 -22 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L
AFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Chargers 2 0 0 1.000 47 30 17 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Raiders 1 1 0 0.500 29 33 -4 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Broncos 1 1 0 0.500 48 41 7 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Chiefs 0 2 0 0.000 38 47 -9 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L
NFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Eagles 2 0 0 1.000 44 37 7 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Commanders 1 1 0 0.500 39 33 6 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Cowboys 1 1 0 0.500 60 61 -1 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Giants 0 2 0 0.000 43 61 -18 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
NFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Packers 2 0 0 1.000 54 31 23 2-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Vikings 1 1 0 0.500 33 46 -13 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Lions 1 1 0 0.500 65 48 17 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Bears 0 2 0 0.000 45 79 -34 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
NFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Buccaneers 2 0 0 1.000 43 39 4 0-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Falcons 1 1 0 0.500 42 29 13 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Saints 0 2 0 0.000 34 46 -12 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Panthers 0 2 0 0.000 32 53 -21 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L
NFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
49ers 2 0 0 1.000 43 34 9 0-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Cardinals 2 0 0 1.000 47 35 12 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Rams 2 0 0 1.000 47 28 19 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Seahawks 1 1 0 0.500 44 34 10 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1W
AFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Colts 2 0 0 1.000 62 36 26 2-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Bills 2 0 0 1.000 71 50 21 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Chargers 2 0 0 1.000 47 30 17 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Bengals 2 0 0 1.000 48 43 5 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Raiders 1 1 0 0.500 29 33 -4 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Ravens 1 1 0 0.500 81 58 23 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Patriots 1 1 0 0.500 46 47 -1 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Steelers 1 1 0 0.500 51 63 -12 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1L
Broncos 1 1 0 0.500 48 41 7 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Jaguars 1 1 0 0.500 53 41 12 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Titans 0 2 0 0.000 31 53 -22 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L
Dolphins 0 2 0 0.000 35 66 -31 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Chiefs 0 2 0 0.000 38 47 -9 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L
Jets 0 2 0 0.000 42 64 -22 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Browns 0 2 0 0.000 33 58 -25 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Texans 0 2 0 0.000 28 34 -6 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 2L
NFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Packers 2 0 0 1.000 54 31 23 2-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Eagles 2 0 0 1.000 44 37 7 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Buccaneers 2 0 0 1.000 43 39 4 0-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2W
49ers 2 0 0 1.000 43 34 9 0-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Cardinals 2 0 0 1.000 47 35 12 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Rams 2 0 0 1.000 47 28 19 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Falcons 1 1 0 0.500 42 29 13 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Commanders 1 1 0 0.500 39 33 6 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Vikings 1 1 0 0.500 33 46 -13 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Cowboys 1 1 0 0.500 60 61 -1 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Lions 1 1 0 0.500 65 48 17 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Seahawks 1 1 0 0.500 44 34 10 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Panthers 0 2 0 0.000 32 53 -21 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L
Bears 0 2 0 0.000 45 79 -34 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Saints 0 2 0 0.000 34 46 -12 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Giants 0 2 0 0.000 43 61 -18 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
NFL Team W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Cardinals 2 0 0 1.000 47 35 12 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Bills 2 0 0 1.000 71 50 21 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Bengals 2 0 0 1.000 48 43 5 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Packers 2 0 0 1.000 54 31 23 2-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Colts 2 0 0 1.000 62 36 26 2-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Chargers 2 0 0 1.000 47 30 17 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Rams 2 0 0 1.000 47 28 19 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Eagles 2 0 0 1.000 44 37 7 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2W
49ers 2 0 0 1.000 43 34 9 0-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Buccaneers 2 0 0 1.000 43 39 4 0-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Falcons 1 1 0 0.500 42 29 13 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Ravens 1 1 0 0.500 81 58 23 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Cowboys 1 1 0 0.500 60 61 -1 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Broncos 1 1 0 0.500 48 41 7 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Lions 1 1 0 0.500 65 48 17 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Jaguars 1 1 0 0.500 53 41 12 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Raiders 1 1 0 0.500 29 33 -4 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Vikings 1 1 0 0.500 33 46 -13 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Patriots 1 1 0 0.500 46 47 -1 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Steelers 1 1 0 0.500 51 63 -12 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1L
Seahawks 1 1 0 0.500 44 34 10 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Commanders 1 1 0 0.500 39 33 6 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Panthers 0 2 0 0.000 32 53 -21 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L
Bears 0 2 0 0.000 45 79 -34 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Browns 0 2 0 0.000 33 58 -25 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Texans 0 2 0 0.000 28 34 -6 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 2L
Chiefs 0 2 0 0.000 38 47 -9 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L
Dolphins 0 2 0 0.000 35 66 -31 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Saints 0 2 0 0.000 34 46 -12 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Giants 0 2 0 0.000 43 61 -18 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Jets 0 2 0 0.000 42 64 -22 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Titans 0 2 0 0.000 31 53 -22 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L