Miami Dolphins
American Football NFL Highmark Stadium Thu 18 Sep 20:15
Buffalo Bills
  1. Prediction
  2. SGP Picks
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Stats
  6. Team News
  7. Lineups
  8. Injuries
  9. Standings

NFL Betting Preview: Dolphins vs Bills

The Miami Dolphins clash with the Buffalo Bills in this NFL Week 3 Thursday Night Football matchup at Highmark Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 20:15 on Thursday, September 18. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

We’re Expecting a Big Bills Win

We have decided to go for the Bills on the spread. The favorites should be able to cover the -11.5 line at odds of -114 when they take on the Dolphins.

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9 Bills Victories in Previous 10 H2H Clashes

Miami Dolphins suffered a second consecutive defeat when losing 33-27 in their previous game. This was at home to New England Patriots at Hard Rock Stadium. The Dolphins finished with 358 total yards, made up of 297 through the air and 61 on the ground. They moved the chains 16 times and produced 3 touchdowns.

Buffalo Bills have triumphed in back-to-back games. The latest of these was on the road where New York Jets were beaten 30-10 at MetLife Stadium. The Bills moved the ball for 403 yards, including 179 passing and 224 rushing yards. The offense picked up 25 first downs and produced 3 touchdowns, each one a rushing score.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Bills claim a 30-27 win over the Dolphins at Highmark Stadium. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Bills have won nine.

Quarterbacks

Dolphins vs Bills Prediction & Picks

Get the edge with our best Dolphins vs Bills tips: a key match prediction, correct score recommendation, top player prop bets and a ready-made bet builder.

Game Prediction

There’s a case to be made for the Bills on the spread in this NFL matchup. Our prediction is that the favorites can cover the -11.5 line at odds of -114 considering they should be superior.

Our NFL predictions are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into up-to-date stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the action might unfold.

Key Dolphins vs Bills stats:

  • The +11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Dolphins in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.
  • The +11.5 line hasn’t been covered by Dolphins in 2 consecutive games on the road.

Bills -11.5 Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 53.2% chance of winning. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If the price on display doesn’t appeal, you can make the choice to secure bigger odds by moving the line for your selection. It’s a case of taking a view which you are happy with.

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Best Bet

Bills -11.5 @ -114 Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Published 02:26, 17 September 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Josh Allen Over 233.5 Passing Yards -114 BetMGM logo

Josh Allen (Bills) can be backed at -114 to go beyond 233.5 passing yards. We’re confident in taking him to cover the QB Passing Yards line and bettors can back this pick with conviction.

Latest Josh Allen Player Prop Odds

Malik Washington Over 4.5 Rushing Yards +106 BetMGM logo

You can place a bet on Malik Washington (Bills) at +106 to reach over 4.5 rushing yards. The line for him on the Overs looks attractive and bettors can get plenty of juice from this Player Rushing Yards wager.

Latest Malik Washington Player Prop Odds

Same Game Parlay Picks

Spread Bills -11.5
Totals Under 49.5
Passing Yards Josh Allen Over 233.5

We’ve compiled a same game parlay that includes Bills -11.5 on the spread, combined with Under 49.5 and Josh Allen (Bills) to go Over 233.5 passing yards.

The same game parlay option is great for bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same football game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

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Correct Score Prediction

Dolphins Dolphins logo 14 - 28 Bills logo Bills

Should you wish to go for a speculative wager, try the Bills to win 28-14 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun bet which could potentially yield a big return.

Dolphins vs Bills Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Bills Heavy Favorites in Eyes of the Books

With an estimated 88% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -769 betting odds about Buffalo Bills triumphing in this game. At +540, Miami Dolphins are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

11.5 is the spread and 50.5 is the total points line. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. Those who wager Under 50.5 can get -108.

Whether you're placing bets before kickoff or during the game, the best NFL sportsbooks delivers a massive range of game lines and team props. The betting sites give you endless ways to get involved with plenty of exciting alternatives.

James Cook Favorite to Score First Touchdown

There’s the chance to back James Cook at +420 to be the First Touchdown Scorer. He’s the favorite and available at similar odds to record the last TD instead.

Touchdown

Receiving Yards

Tyreek Hill (Dolphins)
Over 66.5
-112
Under 66.5
-112
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Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins)
Over 48.5
-112
Under 48.5
-112
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De'Von Achane (Dolphins)
Over 42.5
-112
Under 42.5
-112
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Rushing Yards

Passing Yards

Micro Betting

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the NFL micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term wagers and this might include the Next Play or Next Drive Result.

Best Betting Offers
Highmark Stadium
Highmark Stadium

Bills Rolling at Home

The Bills have gone 10-0 across their last 10 home games, scoring 33.90 points per contest and conceding 18.50.

The Dolphins own a 3-7 mark in their past 10 games away from home, putting up 15.50 points per contest and giving up 21.30.

The Bills defeated the Dolphins 30-27 the last time they played at Highmark Stadium. The last 7 head-to-head matchups at Highmark Stadium have all gone the way of the Bills.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O49.5 U49.5
Bills logo Bills Home Stats 10-0 52.40 33.90 18.50 6 4
Dolphins logo Dolphins Away Stats 3-7 36.80 15.50 21.30 2 8
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O49.5 = Games Over 49.5 Points
  • U49.5 = Games Under 49.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Dolphins logo Miami Dolphins Stats
Buffalo Bills logo Buffalo Bills Stats
Moneyline
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Game Stats
Last 10 Games
Game Stats
Last 10 Games
Last 10 Games on the Road
Last 10 Home Games

Team News

Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills Lineups

Miami Dolphins Lineup

  • Head Coach Mike McDaniel

Buffalo Bills Lineup

  • Head Coach Sean McDermott

Miami Dolphins Injuries

Type
Name
Info
Terron Armstead
Undisclosed
Ethan Bonner
Hamstring
Aaron Brewer
Hip
Artie Burns
Knee - ACL
Yodny Cajuste
Undisclosed
Jalin Conyers
Leg
James Daniels
Pectoral
Storm Duck
Ankle
Liam Eichenberg
Undisclosed
Obinna Eze
Undisclosed
Germain Ifedi
Undisclosed
Austin Jackson
Toe
Benito Jones
Oblique
Kader Kohou
Knee - ACL
Jason Maitre
Undisclosed
Alexander Mattison
Neck
Ifeatu Melifonwu
Calf
Andrew Meyer
Undisclosed
Chop Robinson
Knee
Jason Sanders
Hip
Cam Smith
Undisclosed
Jaylen Waddle
Shoulder
Darren Waller
Hip
Malik Washington
Thumb
Jaylen Wright
Knee

Buffalo Bills Injuries

Type
Name
Info
Tyler Bass
Hip
DeWayne Carter
Achilles
Tylan Grable
Concussion
Maxwell Hairston
Knee
Michael Hoecht
Suspension
Taron Johnson
Quadriceps
Cam Lewis
Shoulder
Matt Milano
Pectoral
Larry Ogunjobi
Suspension
Ed Oliver
Ankle
Wande Owens
Undisclosed
Shaq Thompson
Hamstring

Previous Miami Dolphins Lineups

14 Sep NFL
Patriots 33-27 Dolphins
07 Sep NFL
Dolphins 8-33 Colts
05 Jan NFL
Dolphins 20-32 Jets
29 Dec NFL
Dolphins 20-3 Browns
22 Dec NFL
49ers 17-29 Dolphins
15 Dec NFL
Dolphins 12-20 Texans
08 Dec NFL
Jets 26-32 Dolphins
28 Nov NFL
Dolphins 17-30 Packers
24 Nov NFL
Patriots 15-34 Dolphins
17 Nov NFL
Raiders 19-34 Dolphins

Previous Buffalo Bills Lineups

14 Sep NFL
Bills 30-10 Jets
07 Sep NFL
Ravens 40-41 Bills
26 Jan NFL Playoffs
Bills 29-32 Chiefs
19 Jan NFL Playoffs
Ravens 25-27 Bills
12 Jan NFL Playoffs
Broncos 7-31 Bills
05 Jan NFL
Bills 16-23 Patriots
29 Dec NFL
Jets 14-40 Bills
22 Dec NFL
Patriots 21-24 Bills
15 Dec NFL
Bills 48-42 Lions
08 Dec NFL
Bills 42-44 Rams

NFL Standings Select Season

AFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Patriots 7 2 0 0.778 237 169 68 3-2-0 4-0-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Bills 6 2 0 0.750 235 167 68 4-1-0 2-1-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Dolphins 2 7 0 0.222 180 243 -63 1-3-0 1-4-0 1-2-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 1L
Jets 1 7 0 0.125 168 221 -53 0-5-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1W
AFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Steelers 5 3 0 0.625 202 195 7 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Ravens 3 5 0 0.375 202 216 -14 2-3-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 2W
Bengals 3 6 0 0.333 216 300 -84 2-3-0 1-3-0 2-0-0 3-2-0 1-4-0 2L
Browns 2 6 0 0.250 126 184 -58 2-2-0 0-4-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1L
AFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Colts 7 2 0 0.778 290 181 109 5-0-0 2-2-0 2-0-0 6-1-0 4-1-0 1L
Jaguars 5 3 0 0.625 176 184 -8 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Texans 3 5 0 0.375 168 121 47 2-2-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Titans 1 8 0 0.111 130 257 -127 0-4-0 1-4-0 0-3-0 0-7-0 1-4-0 4L
AFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Broncos 7 2 0 0.778 225 166 59 4-0-0 3-2-0 0-1-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Chargers 6 3 0 0.667 215 193 22 3-2-0 3-1-0 3-0-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Chiefs 5 4 0 0.556 235 159 76 4-1-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-3-0 3-2-0 1L
Raiders 2 6 0 0.250 132 210 -78 1-3-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-4-0 1-4-0 2L
NFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Eagles 6 2 0 0.750 208 185 23 3-1-0 3-1-0 2-1-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Cowboys 3 5 1 0.333 263 277 -14 2-1-1 1-4-0 2-1-0 2-4-1 2-3-0 2L
Commanders 3 6 0 0.333 201 236 -35 2-2-0 1-4-0 1-1-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 4L
Giants 2 7 0 0.222 197 249 -52 2-2-0 0-5-0 1-3-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 3L
NFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Packers 5 2 1 0.625 206 166 40 3-1-0 2-1-1 1-0-0 3-1-1 3-1-1 1L
Lions 5 3 0 0.625 239 178 61 3-1-0 2-2-0 1-2-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Bears 5 3 0 0.625 215 227 -12 2-1-0 3-2-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 1W
Vikings 4 4 0 0.500 182 186 -4 1-2-0 3-2-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 2-3-0 1W
NFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Buccaneers 6 2 0 0.750 197 178 19 2-1-0 4-1-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Panthers 5 4 0 0.556 170 205 -35 3-1-0 2-3-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 1W
Falcons 3 5 0 0.375 143 178 -35 2-2-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 3L
Saints 1 8 0 0.111 138 243 -105 1-4-0 0-4-0 0-1-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 4L
NFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Seahawks 6 2 0 0.750 231 150 81 2-2-0 4-0-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Rams 6 2 0 0.750 209 127 82 3-1-0 3-1-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 4-1-0 3W
49ers 6 3 0 0.667 194 188 6 2-1-0 4-2-0 3-0-0 6-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Cardinals 3 5 0 0.375 180 171 9 1-3-0 2-2-0 0-2-0 3-3-0 1-4-0 1W
AFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Colts 7 2 0 0.778 290 181 109 5-0-0 2-2-0 2-0-0 6-1-0 4-1-0 1L
Patriots 7 2 0 0.778 237 169 68 3-2-0 4-0-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Broncos 7 2 0 0.778 225 166 59 4-0-0 3-2-0 0-1-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Steelers 5 3 0 0.625 202 195 7 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Bills 6 2 0 0.750 235 167 68 4-1-0 2-1-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Chargers 6 3 0 0.667 215 193 22 3-2-0 3-1-0 3-0-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Jaguars 5 3 0 0.625 176 184 -8 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Chiefs 5 4 0 0.556 235 159 76 4-1-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-3-0 3-2-0 1L
Texans 3 5 0 0.375 168 121 47 2-2-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Ravens 3 5 0 0.375 202 216 -14 2-3-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 2W
Bengals 3 6 0 0.333 216 300 -84 2-3-0 1-3-0 2-0-0 3-2-0 1-4-0 2L
Raiders 2 6 0 0.250 132 210 -78 1-3-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-4-0 1-4-0 2L
Browns 2 6 0 0.250 126 184 -58 2-2-0 0-4-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1L
Dolphins 2 7 0 0.222 180 243 -63 1-3-0 1-4-0 1-2-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 1L
Jets 1 7 0 0.125 168 221 -53 0-5-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1W
Titans 1 8 0 0.111 130 257 -127 0-4-0 1-4-0 0-3-0 0-7-0 1-4-0 4L
NFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Eagles 6 2 0 0.750 208 185 23 3-1-0 3-1-0 2-1-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Buccaneers 6 2 0 0.750 197 178 19 2-1-0 4-1-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Seahawks 6 2 0 0.750 231 150 81 2-2-0 4-0-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Packers 5 2 1 0.625 206 166 40 3-1-0 2-1-1 1-0-0 3-1-1 3-1-1 1L
Rams 6 2 0 0.750 209 127 82 3-1-0 3-1-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 4-1-0 3W
49ers 6 3 0 0.667 194 188 6 2-1-0 4-2-0 3-0-0 6-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Lions 5 3 0 0.625 239 178 61 3-1-0 2-2-0 1-2-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Bears 5 3 0 0.625 215 227 -12 2-1-0 3-2-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 1W
Panthers 5 4 0 0.556 170 205 -35 3-1-0 2-3-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 1W
Vikings 4 4 0 0.500 182 186 -4 1-2-0 3-2-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 2-3-0 1W
Cowboys 3 5 1 0.333 263 277 -14 2-1-1 1-4-0 2-1-0 2-4-1 2-3-0 2L
Falcons 3 5 0 0.375 143 178 -35 2-2-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 3L
Commanders 3 6 0 0.333 201 236 -35 2-2-0 1-4-0 1-1-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 4L
Cardinals 3 5 0 0.375 180 171 9 1-3-0 2-2-0 0-2-0 3-3-0 1-4-0 1W
Giants 2 7 0 0.222 197 249 -52 2-2-0 0-5-0 1-3-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 3L
Saints 1 8 0 0.111 138 243 -105 1-4-0 0-4-0 0-1-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 4L
NFL Team W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Broncos 7 2 0 0.778 225 166 59 4-0-0 3-2-0 0-1-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Colts 7 2 0 0.778 290 181 109 5-0-0 2-2-0 2-0-0 6-1-0 4-1-0 1L
Patriots 7 2 0 0.778 237 169 68 3-2-0 4-0-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 5-0-0 6W
Bills 6 2 0 0.750 235 167 68 4-1-0 2-1-0 2-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Rams 6 2 0 0.750 209 127 82 3-1-0 3-1-0 0-1-0 1-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Eagles 6 2 0 0.750 208 185 23 3-1-0 3-1-0 2-1-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
Seahawks 6 2 0 0.750 231 150 81 2-2-0 4-0-0 1-1-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 3W
Buccaneers 6 2 0 0.750 197 178 19 2-1-0 4-1-0 2-0-0 4-2-0 3-2-0 1W
Packers 5 2 1 0.625 206 166 40 3-1-0 2-1-1 1-0-0 3-1-1 3-1-1 1L
Chargers 6 3 0 0.667 215 193 22 3-2-0 3-1-0 3-0-0 5-1-0 3-2-0 2W
49ers 6 3 0 0.667 194 188 6 2-1-0 4-2-0 3-0-0 6-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Bears 5 3 0 0.625 215 227 -12 2-1-0 3-2-0 0-2-0 3-2-0 4-1-0 1W
Lions 5 3 0 0.625 239 178 61 3-1-0 2-2-0 1-2-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Jaguars 5 3 0 0.625 176 184 -8 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Steelers 5 3 0 0.625 202 195 7 3-2-0 2-1-0 1-1-0 4-1-0 3-2-0 1W
Panthers 5 4 0 0.556 170 205 -35 3-1-0 2-3-0 1-0-0 3-1-0 4-1-0 1W
Chiefs 5 4 0 0.556 235 159 76 4-1-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-3-0 3-2-0 1L
Vikings 4 4 0 0.500 182 186 -4 1-2-0 3-2-0 2-0-0 2-2-0 2-3-0 1W
Cowboys 3 5 1 0.333 263 277 -14 2-1-1 1-4-0 2-1-0 2-4-1 2-3-0 2L
Cardinals 3 5 0 0.375 180 171 9 1-3-0 2-2-0 0-2-0 3-3-0 1-4-0 1W
Falcons 3 5 0 0.375 143 178 -35 2-2-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 3L
Ravens 3 5 0 0.375 202 216 -14 2-3-0 1-2-0 1-0-0 2-3-0 2-3-0 2W
Texans 3 5 0 0.375 168 121 47 2-2-0 1-3-0 1-1-0 2-2-0 3-2-0 1L
Bengals 3 6 0 0.333 216 300 -84 2-3-0 1-3-0 2-0-0 3-2-0 1-4-0 2L
Commanders 3 6 0 0.333 201 236 -35 2-2-0 1-4-0 1-1-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 4L
Browns 2 6 0 0.250 126 184 -58 2-2-0 0-4-0 0-3-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1L
Raiders 2 6 0 0.250 132 210 -78 1-3-0 1-3-0 0-2-0 2-4-0 1-4-0 2L
Dolphins 2 7 0 0.222 180 243 -63 1-3-0 1-4-0 1-2-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 1L
Giants 2 7 0 0.222 197 249 -52 2-2-0 0-5-0 1-3-0 1-5-0 1-4-0 3L
Jets 1 7 0 0.125 168 221 -53 0-5-0 1-2-0 0-2-0 1-4-0 1-4-0 1W
Saints 1 8 0 0.111 138 243 -105 1-4-0 0-4-0 0-1-0 1-6-0 1-4-0 4L
Titans 1 8 0 0.111 130 257 -127 0-4-0 1-4-0 0-3-0 0-7-0 1-4-0 4L