Dolphins vs Colts Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Sep 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Dolphins vs Colts

The Miami Dolphins face the Indianapolis Colts in this NFL Week 1 matchup at Lucas Oil Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, September 7. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

The best wager could be taking the Dolphins to simply achieve a victory over the Colts. Our prediction can be taken at -108 on the Moneyline which yields a potentially nice return.

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Miami Dolphins lost on the road in their previous game. New York Jets won 32-20 at MetLife Stadium. The Dolphins moved the ball for 334 yards, made up of 199 through the air and 135 on the ground. They produced 21 first downs and found the end zone twice, combining a passing score with one on the ground.

Indianapolis Colts last game saw them claim a 26-23 home win over Jacksonville Jaguars at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts finished with 429 total yards, made up of 252 through the air and 177 on the ground. They produced 24 first downs and scored 2 touchdowns, one on the ground and one through the air.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Colts have beaten the Dolphins in the last two meetings. They won 27-17 at Hard Rock Stadium and triumphed 16-10 at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts have triumphed in two of the previous 3 clashes between these teams.

Quarterbacks

Tua Tagovailoa

249.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Daniel Jones

207.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Dolphins vs Colts Prediction & Picks

Our Dolphins vs Colts betting tips provide expert coverage of all major angles, including our main match prediction, top player prop picks, correct score recommendation and best bet builder insights.

Game Prediction

The pick is that the Dolphins will outscore their opponents, with odds of -108 currently available that they win this NFL battle. That looks a price worth taking on this value selection.

The NFL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com regularly track injury updates and pair that with current form. We also tap into a deep stats database to highlight the key numbers that help shape our predictions.

Key Dolphins vs Colts stats:

• Dolphins have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Dolphins have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• Colts have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Colts have lost 11 of their last 20 games.

Dolphins Moneyline Probability

According to the best NFL betting sites, there’s a 51.8% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

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Our Game Prediction

Dolphins Moneyline @ -108 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (19:26, 05 September 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Daniel Jones Under 205.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Daniel Jones (Colts) to finish with fewer than 205.5 passing yards are -114. Considering all factors, we’re confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards line.

Latest Daniel Jones Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+210

First

+1000

Passing Yards

Over 207.5

-114

Under 207.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

---

Jonathan Taylor Under 80.5 Rushing Yards -114

You can back Jonathan Taylor (Colts) at -114 to end with fewer than 80.5 rushing yards. There’s no reason to doubt our instinct, so we’ll bet on him falling short of the Player Rushing Yards line.

Latest Jonathan Taylor Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-189

First

+330

Receiving Yards

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 79.5

-114

Under 79.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Dolphins 24 - 14 Colts

We’re going for the Dolphins to win by a 24-14 scoreline, something which is available at huge odds. This speculative wager can provide a big return for a small stake.

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Dolphins vs Colts Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The betting odds about Indianapolis Colts winning is -132, with Miami Dolphins priced up at +112 to achieve victory. The leading sportsbooks give the hosts a 57% chance of success.

The spread is calculated to be 1.5, while total points comes in at 46.5. There are many ways to bet on the NFL including the Totals. If you’re going for Under 46.5, this outcome can be backed at -102.

There’s no shortage of betting opportunities when it comes to the National Football League. The top sportsbooks offer a wide variety of game lines and team props for each matchup, so be sure to explore both the pre-game and in-game markets before making your pick.

Moneyline

Dolphins

+112

Colts

-132

Point Spread

Dolphins +1.5

-104

Colts -1.5

-118

Total Points

Under 46.5

-102

Over 46.5

-120

The First Touchdown Scorer favorite is Jonathan Taylor at +330. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the final TD.

Touchdown

Jonathan Taylor (Colts)

First TD

+330

Anytime TD

-189

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

-120

Tyreek Hill (Dolphins)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+140

Daniel Jones (Colts)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+210

Michael Pittman Jr. (Colts)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+230

Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+180

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+220

Tyler Warren (Colts)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+290

Josh Downs (Colts)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+310

Alec Pierce (Colts)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+400

Adonai Mitchell (Colts)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

Julian Hill (Dolphins)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+500

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+500

Darren Waller (Dolphins)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+390

DJ Giddens (Colts)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+850

Mo Alie-Cox (Colts)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1000

Dee Eskridge (Dolphins)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+750

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (Dolphins)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+750

Tyler Goodson (Colts)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+850

Ashton Dulin (Colts)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1000

Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1500

Tanner Conner (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1300

Drew Ogletree (Colts)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Alec Ingold (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Tahj Washington (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1600

Anthony Gould (Colts)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1800

Jeff Wilson Jr. (Dolphins)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1800

Will Mallory (Colts)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Receiving Yards

Tyreek Hill (Dolphins)

Over 68.5

-114

Under 68.5

-114

Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins)

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

Michael Pittman Jr. (Colts)

Over 46.5

-114

Under 46.5

-114

Josh Downs (Colts)

Over 45.5

-114

Under 45.5

-114

Tyler Warren (Colts)

Over 35.5

-114

Under 35.5

-114

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

Over 30.5

-114

Under 30.5

-114

Alec Pierce (Colts)

Over 24.5

-114

Under 24.5

-114

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

Julian Hill (Dolphins)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Adonai Mitchell (Colts)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Jonathan Taylor (Colts)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Jonathan Taylor (Colts)

Over 79.5

-114

Under 79.5

-114

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

Daniel Jones (Colts)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-114

Passing Yards

Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)

Over 249.5

-114

Under 249.5

-114

Daniel Jones (Colts)

Over 207.5

-114

Under 207.5

-114

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Colts Have Picked Up Six Wins From Last Ten Home Games

The Colts own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 22.30 points on average and giving up 22.90.

The Dolphins have gone 3-7 across their last 10 games away from home, averaging 15.40 points on offense and surrendering 20.60 on defense.

The Colts defeated the Dolphins 16-10 the last time they played at Lucas Oil Stadium.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O46.5	U46.5
Colts Home Stats		6-4	45.20	22.30	22.90	5	5
Dolphins Away Stats		3-7	36.00	15.40	20.60	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O46.5 = Games Over 46.5 Points
• U46.5 = Games Under 46.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Dolphins Stats

Indianapolis Colts Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 36.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 46.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 46.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.80 pts and allowed 20.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 15.40 pts and allowed 20.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 50.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 45.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 46.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 46.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.20 pts and allowed 27.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 22.30 pts and allowed 22.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 330.70 Yds. Allowed 324.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 87.40 Yds. Allowed 89.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 243.30 Yds. Allowed 234.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.70. Allowed 19.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 7.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.10 Yds. Gained 63.40 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 338.70 Yds. Allowed 346.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 147.00 Yds. Allowed 112.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 191.70 Yds. Allowed 234.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.40. Allowed 19.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 2.00. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.90. Committed by opponents 5.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 42.90 Yds. Gained 51.60 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 300.20 Yds. Allowed 323.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 103.80 Yds. Allowed 114.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 196.40 Yds. Allowed 209.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.70. Allowed 19.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.80. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.30. Committed by opponents 7.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.80 Yds. Gained 60.40 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 347.60 Yds. Allowed 366.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 163.20 Yds. Allowed 118.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 184.40 Yds. Allowed 248.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.70. Allowed 21.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 40.40 Yds. Gained 47.20 Yds

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