Dolphins vs Patriots Prediction, Picks & Odds | 06 Oct 2024

Patriots Look a Great Bet to Win

There is a strong case that the Patriots will end up winning and that means wagering them on the Moneyline. You can get a value -110 that they overcome the Dolphins.

7 Wins for Dolphins in Last 10 H2H Encounters

Miami Dolphins suffered a third consecutive defeat when losing 31-12 in their previous game. This was at home to Tennessee Titans at Hard Rock Stadium. The Dolphins had a gain of 106 rushing and 78 passing yards, totalling 184 yards. They picked up 13 first downs and scored 1 touchdown.

New England Patriots have been beaten in their last three games. On the road at Levi's Stadium, San Francisco 49ers recently beat them 30-13. The Patriots enjoyed a gain of 143 passing and 73 rushing yards. This amounts to a total of 216 yards. They picked up 12 first downs and scored 1 passing TD.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Dolphins have claimed victories in the last two matchups against the Patriots. At Gillette Stadium, the scoreline was 24-17 and then we saw 31-17 at Hard Rock Stadium. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Dolphins land seven wins.

Dolphins vs Patriots Prediction & Picks

There is merit in simply backing the Patriots to beat their opponents in this NFL showdown. Especially as odds of -110 are available when it comes to this pick.

The NFL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com check injury updates regularly and combine this with the form guide. We’re also able to consult a database of stats and present the key numbers to our readers.

Key Dolphins vs Patriots stats:

• Dolphins have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
• Dolphins have lost 3 of their last 4 games this season.
• Dolphins have lost their last 3 games.

Patriots Moneyline Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. However, we think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

If you want to back the Patriots to claim victory at bigger odds, why not consider a wager on the Double Result lines? You simply need them to be leading after the second quarter and at full-time.

Best Bet

Patriots Moneyline @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Dolphins 20 - 24 Patriots

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close battle and we’ll have a play on the Patriots enjoying a 24-20 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

Dolphins vs Patriots Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Moneyline Odds Suggest a Close Contest

New England Patriots have been given Moneyline odds of +104 against Miami Dolphins who are -125. If you want to know the probability of the road team winning this game, it’s 56% according to the most popular sportsbooks.

The current spread is 1.5 and total points is 36.5. NFL fans regularly enjoy the opportunity to bet on the Totals. Those expecting a low total can back Under 36.5 at -108.

There are a wide range of game lines and team props when it comes to the National Football League and we recommend visiting the top betting sites to find the selection that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Dolphins

-125

Patriots

+104

Point Spread

Dolphins -1.5

-102

Patriots +1.5

-110

Total Points

Under 36.5

-108

Over 36.5

-104

Player Props & Micro Betting

The best gambling sites offer player and quarterback prop betting to their customers. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on an individual’s performance within a game and it often involves wagering over or under a line.

There are lots of exciting NFL micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are whether a field goal will be scored and you simply bet whether the player will make it or miss.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Miami Dolphins Stats

New England Patriots Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +1 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -1 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 41.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 50.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 36: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 36 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 16.40 pts and allowed 25.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.90 pts and allowed 28.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 34.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 34.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 36: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 36 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 14.00 pts and allowed 20.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 12.90 pts and allowed 21.10 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 308.50 Yds. Allowed 334.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 105.50 Yds. Allowed 111.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 203.00 Yds. Allowed 223.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.10. Allowed 19.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.50. Committed by opponents 6.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 62.30 Yds. Gained 52.00 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 242.30 Yds. Allowed 305.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 103.70 Yds. Allowed 94.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 138.60 Yds. Allowed 210.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 13.00. Allowed 17.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.00. Committed by opponents 3.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 37.00 Yds. Gained 31.10 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 349.90 Yds. Allowed 343.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 110.40 Yds. Allowed 119.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 239.50 Yds. Allowed 223.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 3.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.20. Allowed 21.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.80. Committed by opponents 5.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 53.40 Yds. Gained 47.70 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 274.90 Yds. Allowed 315.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 105.20 Yds. Allowed 95.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 169.70 Yds. Allowed 220.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.30. Allowed 18.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.90. Committed by opponents 5.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 38.40 Yds. Gained 38.10 Yds

Team News

NFL Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

AFC East	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bills	2	0	0	1.000	71	50	21	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Patriots	1	1	0	0.500	46	47	-1	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Jets	0	2	0	0.000	42	64	-22	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Dolphins	0	2	0	0.000	35	66	-31	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L

AFC North	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bengals	2	0	0	1.000	48	43	5	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Ravens	1	1	0	0.500	81	58	23	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Steelers	1	1	0	0.500	51	63	-12	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1L
Browns	0	2	0	0.000	33	58	-25	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L

AFC South	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Colts	2	0	0	1.000	62	36	26	2-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Jaguars	1	1	0	0.500	53	41	12	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Texans	0	2	0	0.000	28	34	-6	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	2L
Titans	0	2	0	0.000	31	53	-22	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L

AFC West	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Chargers	2	0	0	1.000	47	30	17	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Raiders	1	1	0	0.500	29	33	-4	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Broncos	1	1	0	0.500	48	41	7	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Chiefs	0	2	0	0.000	38	47	-9	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L

NFC East	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Eagles	2	0	0	1.000	44	37	7	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Commanders	1	1	0	0.500	39	33	6	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Cowboys	1	1	0	0.500	60	61	-1	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Giants	0	2	0	0.000	43	61	-18	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L

NFC North	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Packers	2	0	0	1.000	54	31	23	2-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Vikings	1	1	0	0.500	33	46	-13	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Lions	1	1	0	0.500	65	48	17	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Bears	0	2	0	0.000	45	79	-34	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L

NFC South	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Buccaneers	2	0	0	1.000	43	39	4	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Falcons	1	1	0	0.500	42	29	13	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Saints	0	2	0	0.000	34	46	-12	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Panthers	0	2	0	0.000	32	53	-21	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L

NFC West	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
49ers	2	0	0	1.000	43	34	9	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Cardinals	2	0	0	1.000	47	35	12	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Rams	2	0	0	1.000	47	28	19	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Seahawks	1	1	0	0.500	44	34	10	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1W

AFC Conference	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Colts	2	0	0	1.000	62	36	26	2-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Bills	2	0	0	1.000	71	50	21	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Chargers	2	0	0	1.000	47	30	17	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Bengals	2	0	0	1.000	48	43	5	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Raiders	1	1	0	0.500	29	33	-4	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Ravens	1	1	0	0.500	81	58	23	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Patriots	1	1	0	0.500	46	47	-1	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Steelers	1	1	0	0.500	51	63	-12	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1L
Broncos	1	1	0	0.500	48	41	7	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Jaguars	1	1	0	0.500	53	41	12	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Titans	0	2	0	0.000	31	53	-22	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L
Dolphins	0	2	0	0.000	35	66	-31	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Chiefs	0	2	0	0.000	38	47	-9	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L
Jets	0	2	0	0.000	42	64	-22	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Browns	0	2	0	0.000	33	58	-25	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Texans	0	2	0	0.000	28	34	-6	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	2L

NFC Conference	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Packers	2	0	0	1.000	54	31	23	2-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Eagles	2	0	0	1.000	44	37	7	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Buccaneers	2	0	0	1.000	43	39	4	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
49ers	2	0	0	1.000	43	34	9	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Cardinals	2	0	0	1.000	47	35	12	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Rams	2	0	0	1.000	47	28	19	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Falcons	1	1	0	0.500	42	29	13	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Commanders	1	1	0	0.500	39	33	6	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Vikings	1	1	0	0.500	33	46	-13	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Cowboys	1	1	0	0.500	60	61	-1	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Lions	1	1	0	0.500	65	48	17	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Seahawks	1	1	0	0.500	44	34	10	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Panthers	0	2	0	0.000	32	53	-21	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L
Bears	0	2	0	0.000	45	79	-34	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Saints	0	2	0	0.000	34	46	-12	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Giants	0	2	0	0.000	43	61	-18	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L

NFL Team	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Cardinals	2	0	0	1.000	47	35	12	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Bills	2	0	0	1.000	71	50	21	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Bengals	2	0	0	1.000	48	43	5	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Packers	2	0	0	1.000	54	31	23	2-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Colts	2	0	0	1.000	62	36	26	2-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Chargers	2	0	0	1.000	47	30	17	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Rams	2	0	0	1.000	47	28	19	1-0-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Eagles	2	0	0	1.000	44	37	7	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
49ers	2	0	0	1.000	43	34	9	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Buccaneers	2	0	0	1.000	43	39	4	0-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	2-0-0	2W
Falcons	1	1	0	0.500	42	29	13	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Ravens	1	1	0	0.500	81	58	23	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Cowboys	1	1	0	0.500	60	61	-1	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Broncos	1	1	0	0.500	48	41	7	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Lions	1	1	0	0.500	65	48	17	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Jaguars	1	1	0	0.500	53	41	12	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Raiders	1	1	0	0.500	29	33	-4	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Vikings	1	1	0	0.500	33	46	-13	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Patriots	1	1	0	0.500	46	47	-1	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Steelers	1	1	0	0.500	51	63	-12	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1L
Seahawks	1	1	0	0.500	44	34	10	0-1-0	1-0-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	1-1-0	1W
Commanders	1	1	0	0.500	39	33	6	1-0-0	0-1-0	1-0-0	1-1-0	1-1-0	1L
Panthers	0	2	0	0.000	32	53	-21	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L
Bears	0	2	0	0.000	45	79	-34	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Browns	0	2	0	0.000	33	58	-25	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Texans	0	2	0	0.000	28	34	-6	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	2L
Chiefs	0	2	0	0.000	38	47	-9	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L
Dolphins	0	2	0	0.000	35	66	-31	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Saints	0	2	0	0.000	34	46	-12	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Giants	0	2	0	0.000	43	61	-18	0-0-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Jets	0	2	0	0.000	42	64	-22	0-2-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	2L
Titans	0	2	0	0.000	31	53	-22	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	2L