Vikings vs Steelers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Sep 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Vikings vs Steelers

The Minnesota Vikings go up against the Pittsburgh Steelers in this NFL Week 4 matchup at Croke Park in Dublin, Ireland, with kickoff scheduled for 09:30 on Sunday, September 28. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

We’re confident that Over 40.5 is the value play at -112. We’re expecting the Steelers and the Vikings to rack up the points, so head to the totals.

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Minnesota Vikings claimed a victory in their previous game. A 48-10 home win occurred against Cincinnati Bengals at US Bank Stadium. The Vikings moved the ball for 352 yards, made up of 183 through the air and 169 on the ground. The offense moved the chains 22 times and managed 6 touchdowns, with 3 through the air and 2 on the ground.

Pittsburgh Steelers won their last game 21-14. This was a road victory at Gillette Stadium against New England Patriots. The Steelers generated 203 yards, including 139 passing and 64 rushing yards. The offense managed 17 first downs and found the end zone 3 times.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Vikings won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 36-28 triumph when facing the Steelers at US Bank Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Carson Wentz

212.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Aaron Rodgers

202.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Vikings vs Steelers Prediction & Picks

We’ve broken down Vikings vs Steelers from every angle, offering our expert match prediction, expected final score, best player prop recommendations and a well-constructed bet builder.

Game Prediction

Let’s go for Over 40.5 when these NFL teams lock horns. We think the line is too generous and we’re expecting the final total to be higher at -112.

Incoming team news often impacts the betting lines and odds in significant ways. Our NFL handicappers factor this in alongside recent form, while key stats are also carefully weighed to strengthen each pick.

Key Vikings vs Steelers stats:

• The 40.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Vikings games.
• The 40.5 line has been covered in 2 of the last 3 Vikings games this season.
• The 40.5 line has been covered in 2 of the last 3 Steelers games this season.
• The 40.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Steelers games.

Over 40.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 40.5 Points @ -112 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jaylen Warren Anytime TD +160

You can place a bet on Jaylen Warren (Steelers) to score a TD at +160. There are appealing odds on offer for this Anytime Touchdown Scorer pick, and we believe it's an attractive wager for him to punch it in.

Latest Jaylen Warren Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+145

First

+700

Receiving Yards

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 53.5

-112

Under 53.5

-112

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Carson Wentz Over 210.5 Passing Yards -114

Carson Wentz (Vikings) is priced at -114 to rack up over 210.5 passing yards. There’s an opportunity to place a QB Passing Yards bet, with him capable of covering an appealing line.

Latest Carson Wentz Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+750

First

+3000

Passing Yards

Over 212.5

-112

Under 212.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 10.5

-112

Under 10.5

-112

Correct Score Prediction

Vikings 28 - 21 Steelers

There’s lots of entertainment when it comes to a correct score bet. A play on the Vikings to claim a 28-21 victory should give bettors a good run for their money.

Vikings vs Steelers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

With a 60% chance of securing victory, Minnesota Vikings are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -147. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +124 about Pittsburgh Steelers.

There is a spread of 2.5 and total points has a line of 40.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 40.5, the odds are -112.

If you're betting on the matchups, it's worth checking out the best NFL sportsbooks, where you'll find a massive range of game lines and team props. You can place your bets before kickoff or while the action is underway.

Moneyline

Vikings

-147

Steelers

+124

Point Spread

Vikings -2.5

-112

Steelers +2.5

-108

Total Points

Under 40.5

-108

Over 40.5

-112

Jordan Mason can be backed to score a touchdown at anytime at -125. He is the favorite to score the first TD at odds of +400.

Touchdown

Jordan Mason (Vikings)

First TD

+400

Anytime TD

-125

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+145

Justin Jefferson (Vikings)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+150

DK Metcalf (Steelers)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+170

Jordan Addison (Vikings)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+260

Calvin Austin III (Steelers)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+290

T.J. Hockenson (Vikings)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+310

Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+390

Jonnu Smith (Steelers)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+430

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+460

Jalen Nailor (Vikings)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+700

Carson Wentz (Vikings)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+750

Zavier Scott (Vikings)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+800

Adam Thielen (Vikings)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1100

Ben Yurosek (Vikings)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1000

Roman Wilson (Steelers)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1300

Josh Oliver (Vikings)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1200

Cam Akers (Vikings)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1400

Darnell Washington (Steelers)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1200

Kaleb Johnson (Steelers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Ben Skowronek (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Myles Price (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Tai Felton (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4000

Scott Miller (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Connor Heyward (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4000

Trey Sermon (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4500

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Nick Vannett (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Receiving Yards

Justin Jefferson (Vikings)

Over 72.5

-112

Under 72.5

-112

DK Metcalf (Steelers)

Over 50.5

-112

Under 50.5

-112

Jordan Addison (Vikings)

Over 38.5

-112

Under 38.5

-112

Calvin Austin III (Steelers)

Over 37.5

-112

Under 37.5

-112

T.J. Hockenson (Vikings)

Over 36.5

-112

Under 36.5

-112

Jonnu Smith (Steelers)

Over 29.5

-112

Under 29.5

-112

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-112

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

Over 22.5

-112

Under 22.5

-112

Jalen Nailor (Vikings)

Over 15.5

-112

Under 15.5

-112

Jordan Mason (Vikings)

Over 12.5

-112

Under 12.5

-112

Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)

Over 11.5

-112

Under 11.5

-112

Adam Thielen (Vikings)

Over 7.5

-112

Under 7.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Jordan Mason (Vikings)

Over 80.5

-112

Under 80.5

-112

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 53.5

-112

Under 53.5

-112

Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-112

Carson Wentz (Vikings)

Over 10.5

-112

Under 10.5

-112

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

Over 1.5

-110

Under 1.5

-116

Passing Yards

Carson Wentz (Vikings)

Over 212.5

-112

Under 212.5

-112

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

Over 202.5

-112

Under 202.5

-112

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Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Minnesota Vikings Stats

Pittsburgh Steelers Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 43.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 40.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 40.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.80 pts and allowed 21.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.60 pts and allowed 21.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 40.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 40.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 40.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.40 pts and allowed 26.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 22.30 pts and allowed 18.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 310.90 Yds. Allowed 331.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 104.00 Yds. Allowed 124.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 206.90 Yds. Allowed 207.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.10. Allowed 19.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.00. Committed by opponents 8.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 51.90 Yds. Gained 66.70 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 284.30 Yds. Allowed 381.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 89.70 Yds. Allowed 140.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 194.60 Yds. Allowed 241.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.10. Allowed 23.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.30. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 43.90 Yds. Gained 51.30 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 321.70 Yds. Allowed 329.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 109.70 Yds. Allowed 88.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 212.00 Yds. Allowed 241.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.70. Allowed 18.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.00. Committed by opponents 8.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 45.80 Yds. Gained 62.50 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 319.80 Yds. Allowed 342.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 122.50 Yds. Allowed 92.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 197.30 Yds. Allowed 250.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.90. Allowed 18.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 2.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.40. Committed by opponents 7.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 33.20 Yds. Gained 57.70 Yds

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