Patriots vs Jets Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Dec 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Patriots vs Jets

The New England Patriots face the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, December 28.

The total line looks to be on the low side at 42.5. There’s a strong chance that the Jets and the Patriots will conspire to go above the line and we’re backing Over at -114.

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New England Patriots won their previous game 28-24. This victory at M&T Bank Stadium against Baltimore Ravens was their seventh road win on the spin. The Patriots moved the ball for 453 yards, with 374 through the air and 79 on the ground. The offense produced 24 first downs and managed 3 touchdowns in total, with 2 through the air and a rushing TD.

New York Jets lost on the road in their last game, making it three straight defeats. New Orleans Saints won 29-6 at Caesars Superdome. The Jets recorded 195 total yards, made up of 131 through the air and 64 on the ground. They converted for 12 first downs and allowed 23.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Patriots have beaten the Jets in their last two matchups, winning by 25-22 and 27-14 scorelines. Both encounters were played at Gillette Stadium. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in eight Patriots victories.

Quarterbacks

Drake Maye

255.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Brady Cook

167.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Patriots vs Jets Prediction & Picks

Join us as we dissect the top Patriots vs Jets betting picks — from the main match prediction and scoreline forecast to standout player props and a value-focused bet builder.

Game Prediction

There are odds of -114 available for our NFL pick. We think that the points will be racked up cumulatively and we’re going for Over 42.5 in total.

Injuries are always factored in by the NFL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our picks are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.

Key Patriots vs Jets stats:

• The 42.5 line has been covered in the last 10 Patriots games on the road.
• The 42.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 15 Patriots games this season.
• The 42.5 line has been covered in 16 of the last 20 Patriots games.
• The 42.5 line has been covered in the last 3 Jets games at home.
• The 42.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Jets games.
• The 42.5 line has been covered in 5 of the last 8 Jets games at home this season.

Over 42.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 53.2% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. That means we are regarding it as a value wager.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 42.5 Points @ -114 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Brady Cook Over 167.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Brady Cook (Jets) to go over 167.5 passing yards stand at -114. We’re happy to take him to cover the QB Passing Yards line and bettors can place this wager with confidence.

Latest Brady Cook Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+700

First

+3300

Passing Yards

Over 167.5

-114

Under 167.5

-114

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Drake Maye Anytime TD +210

Drake Maye (Patriots) can be backed at +210 to record a TD. Based on all the evidence, we're happy to back him to punch it in on the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.

Latest Drake Maye Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+210

First

+1000

Passing Yards

Over 255.5

-114

Under 255.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Patriots 27 - 21 Jets

We’re going for the Patriots to achieve a 27-21 win and the good news is that there are massive odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.

Patriots vs Jets Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

With an estimated 93% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -1250 betting odds about New England Patriots triumphing in this game. New York Jets are the underdogs at +750 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The current spread is 13.5 and total points is 42.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. If you want to back Over 42.5, it’s -114.

The best NFL sportsbooks offer a wide range of team props and game lines for every matchup. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Patriots

-1250

Jets

+750

Point Spread

Patriots -13.5

-110

Jets +13.5

-110

Total Points

Under 42.5

-106

Over 42.5

-114

There’s the chance to back Rhamondre Stevenson at +360 to be the First Touchdown Scorer. He’s the favorite and available at similar odds to record the last TD instead.

Touchdown

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

First TD

+360

Anytime TD

-189

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

First TD

+360

Anytime TD

-189

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

+105

Stefon Diggs (Patriots)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

+120

Breece Hall (Jets)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+150

Drake Maye (Patriots)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+210

Kyle Williams (Patriots)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+260

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+260

D'Ernest Johnson (Patriots)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+280

Efton Chism III (Patriots)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+460

Austin Hooper (Patriots)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+550

Adonai Mitchell (Jets)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+370

John Metchie III (Jets)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+500

Isaiah Davis (Jets)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+550

Jeremy Ruckert (Jets)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+550

Brady Cook (Jets)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+700

Isaiah Williams (Jets)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+750

Jack Westover (Patriots)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1100

CJ Dippre (Patriots)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+1100

Jelani Woods (Jets)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Stone Smartt (Jets)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1800

Tyler Johnson (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Arian Smith (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Andrew Beck (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Khalil Herbert (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4000

Kene Nwangwu (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4000

Passing Yards

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 255.5

-114

Under 255.5

-114

Brady Cook (Jets)

Over 167.5

-114

Under 167.5

-114

Jets Sitting on Seven Losses in Their Previous Ten at Home

The Jets have three wins and seven losses in the last 10 home games, averaging 19.60 points scored and 25.70 points allowed.

The Patriots have built a run of seven straight road victories. They own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 games away from home, scoring 24.70 points per contest and conceding 23.40.

The Jets earned a 24-3 win over the Patriots the last time they played at MetLife Stadium. In 6 recent head-to-head matchups at MetLife Stadium, the Patriots have notched five victories, while the Jets have recorded one.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O42.5	U42.5
Jets Home Stats		3-7	45.30	19.60	25.70	7	3
Patriots Away Stats		7-3	48.10	24.70	23.40	10	0

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O42.5 = Games Over 42.5 Points
• U42.5 = Games Under 42.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New England Patriots Stats

New York Jets Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -13.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +13.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +13.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 48.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 42.5: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games
• Over 42.5 on the Road: Covered in the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.50 pts and allowed 19.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 24.70 pts and allowed 23.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 43.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 42.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 42.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.00 pts and allowed 26.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 18.60 pts and allowed 24.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 386.90 Yds. Allowed 289.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 131.70 Yds. Allowed 107.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 255.20 Yds. Allowed 181.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.20 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.10. Allowed 17.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.10. Committed by opponents 5.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 43.60 Yds. Gained 39.20 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 245.60 Yds. Allowed 339.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 114.20 Yds. Allowed 130.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 131.40 Yds. Allowed 209.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 14.60. Allowed 21.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 0.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.90. Committed by opponents 4.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.70 Yds. Gained 39.60 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 363.00 Yds. Allowed 337.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 112.10 Yds. Allowed 109.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 250.90 Yds. Allowed 227.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.90 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.00. Allowed 19.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 7.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 57.40 Yds. Gained 50.00 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 256.90 Yds. Allowed 323.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 109.40 Yds. Allowed 149.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 147.50 Yds. Allowed 174.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 15.80. Allowed 20.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.50. Committed by opponents 5.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.80 Yds. Gained 50.40 Yds

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