Patriots vs Buccaneers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 09 Nov 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Patriots vs Buccaneers

The New England Patriots square off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, November 9. Our betting preview features expert NFL predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

The market might have underrated the Patriots and -110 makes appeal considering they are +2.5 on the spread. Bet on the underdogs to cover the line against the Buccaneers.

Rolling with our spread angle? Read our comprehensive BetMGM review, then secure the best promo code before placing your wager.

New England Patriots claimed a home victory in their previous game. A 24-23 triumph against Atlanta Falcons at Gillette Stadium made it six straight wins. The Patriots moved the ball for 331 yards, with 221 through the air and 110 on the ground. They generated 23 first downs to go with 3 trips to the end zone.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers won last time out by a 23-3 scoreline. It was on the road against New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome. The Buccaneers finished with 212 total yards, breaking down to 124 passing and 88 rushing yards. The offense picked up 14 first downs and scored 2 touchdowns. One passing and one rushing TD.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Bucs beat the Patriots in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 19-17 scoreline at Gillette Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Drake Maye

243.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Baker Mayfield

244.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Patriots vs Buccaneers Prediction & Picks

Be fully equipped for Patriots vs Buccaneers with our betting guide, offering a key match prediction, a correct score recommendation, top player prop picks and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Our best wager is for the Patriots to cover the spread. +2.5 at odds of -110 look very generous and we’re happy to back this NFL betting pick.

Incoming team news often impacts the betting lines and odds in significant ways. Our NFL handicappers factor this in alongside recent form, while key stats are also carefully weighed to strengthen each pick.

Key Patriots vs Buccaneers stats:

• The +2.5 line has been covered by Patriots in 6 consecutive games.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by Patriots in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The +2.5 line has been covered by Patriots in 7 of their last 9 games this season.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Buccaneers in 2 of their last 3 games at home this season.
• The -2.5 line hasn’t been covered by Buccaneers in 6 of their last 10 games at home.

Pats +2.5 Probability

According to the best NFL betting sites, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

There are bigger odds available to bettors who are prepared to move the line. By taking on more risk, you are able to get more juice from your selections as a result.

Unlock top value before betting. Our guide lists the latest offers and welcome bonuses you won’t want to miss.

Our Game Prediction

Patriots +2.5 @ -110 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (19:26, 07 November 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Stefon Diggs Anytime TD +160

The odds for Stefon Diggs (Patriots) to make it to the end zone are +160. All things considered, we believe the odds are appealing for betting on him in the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.

Latest Stefon Diggs Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+160

First

+950

Receiving Yards

Over 55.5

-112

Under 55.5

-112

---

Drake Maye Over 241.5 Passing Yards -114

You can back Drake Maye (Patriots) at -114 to exceed 241.5 passing yards. The line for him on the Overs is highly appealing, with QB Passing Yards bettors able to get plenty of juice.

Latest Drake Maye Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+460

First

+2200

Passing Yards

Over 243.5

-112

Under 243.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 30.5

-112

Under 30.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Patriots 23 - 21 Buccaneers

There might not be too much between these teams, with our correct score prediction being a 23-21 win for the Patriots. There are enormous odds available when it comes to this pick.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Patriots vs Buccaneers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 67% chance of securing victory, Tampa Bay Buccaneers are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -204. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, New England Patriots are trading at +170.

4.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 46.5 right now. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. Those expecting a low total can back Under 46.5 at -110.

Whether you are wagering pre-game or in-game on the National Football League, the best betting apps offer a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless and it’s great to have so many different options.

Moneyline

Patriots

+170

Buccaneers

-204

Point Spread

Patriots +4.5

-110

Buccaneers -4.5

-110

Total Points

Under 46.5

-110

Over 46.5

-110

Favorite Rachaad White is available at +550 to be the First TD Scorer. Similar odds apply if you’re interested in this player to score the final touchdown.

Touchdown

Rachaad White (Buccaneers)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

-110

Emeka Egbuka (Buccaneers)

First TD

+600

Anytime TD

+105

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

First TD

+600

Anytime TD

-120

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+115

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+145

Stefon Diggs (Patriots)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+160

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+165

Cade Otton (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+190

Chris Godwin (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+220

Tez Johnson (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+230

Kayshon Boutte (Patriots)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+250

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+280

Terrell Jennings (Patriots)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+300

Sterling Shepard (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+390

Mack Hollins (Patriots)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+460

Drake Maye (Patriots)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+460

Sean Tucker (Buccaneers)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+390

Austin Hooper (Patriots)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+500

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+700

Kyle Williams (Patriots)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+500

Payne Durham (Buccaneers)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+700

Kameron Johnson (Buccaneers)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+1100

Ryan Miller (Buccaneers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1600

Devin Culp (Buccaneers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2000

Efton Chism III (Patriots)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Josh Williams (Buccaneers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

D'Ernest Johnson (Patriots)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Jack Westover (Patriots)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Receiving Yards

Emeka Egbuka (Buccaneers)

Over 71.5

-112

Under 71.5

-112

Stefon Diggs (Patriots)

Over 55.5

-112

Under 55.5

-112

Tez Johnson (Buccaneers)

Over 44.5

-112

Under 44.5

-112

Cade Otton (Buccaneers)

Over 41.5

-112

Under 41.5

-112

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

Over 35.5

-112

Under 35.5

-112

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

Over 35.5

-112

Under 35.5

-112

Sterling Shepard (Buccaneers)

Over 30.5

-112

Under 30.5

-112

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-112

Mack Hollins (Patriots)

Over 22.5

-112

Under 22.5

-112

Rachaad White (Buccaneers)

Over 21.5

-112

Under 21.5

-112

Austin Hooper (Patriots)

Over 12.5

-112

Under 12.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Rachaad White (Buccaneers)

Over 44.5

-112

Under 44.5

-112

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

Over 42.5

-112

Under 42.5

-112

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 30.5

-112

Under 30.5

-112

Terrell Jennings (Patriots)

Over 26.5

-114

Under 26.5

-114

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

Over 15.5

-112

Under 15.5

-112

Passing Yards

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

Over 244.5

-112

Under 244.5

-112

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 243.5

-112

Under 243.5

-112

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to NFL and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether a player will make or miss a field goal.

Bucs With Five Wins in Past Ten Home Games

The Bucs have five wins and five losses in the last 10 home games, averaging 28.40 points on offense and surrendering 24.10 on defense.

The Patriots have reeled off four straight road wins. They have five wins and five losses in the last 10 games on the road, putting up 21.70 points on average and giving up 22.20.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O48.5	U48.5
Buccaneers Home Stats		5-5	52.50	28.40	24.10	6	4
Patriots Away Stats		5-5	43.90	21.70	22.20	2	8

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O48.5 = Games Over 48.5 Points
• U48.5 = Games Under 48.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New England Patriots Stats

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 43.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 48.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.00 pts and allowed 18.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 21.70 pts and allowed 22.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 52.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 48.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.40 pts and allowed 22.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 28.40 pts and allowed 24.10 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 346.50 Yds. Allowed 295.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 108.80 Yds. Allowed 80.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 237.70 Yds. Allowed 214.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.00 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.50. Allowed 17.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.50. Committed by opponents 7.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 57.50 Yds. Gained 51.10 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 326.30 Yds. Allowed 324.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 106.50 Yds. Allowed 92.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 219.80 Yds. Allowed 232.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.00. Allowed 19.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 7.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 55.20 Yds. Gained 59.10 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 326.80 Yds. Allowed 327.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 106.10 Yds. Allowed 110.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 220.70 Yds. Allowed 216.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.20. Allowed 19.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.70. Committed by opponents 7.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 55.60 Yds. Gained 48.30 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 385.30 Yds. Allowed 331.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 130.10 Yds. Allowed 101.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 255.20 Yds. Allowed 229.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.20 TD. Allowed 2.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.90. Allowed 19.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.20. Committed by opponents 6.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 58.30 Yds. Gained 58.30 Yds

Top American Football Pages