NFL Betting Preview: Giants vs Commanders

The New York Giants battle the Washington Commanders in this NFL Week 1 matchup at Northwest Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday 7 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

The Total Line Looks Too Generous to Miss

There could be plenty of points when the Commanders clash with the Giants, with our prediction being Over 45.5 points in total. Odds of -105 look worth taking for this outcome.

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27-22 Win for Commanders in Pair’s Last Encounter

New York Giants were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Lincoln Financial Field. Philadelphia Eagles claimed a 20-13 win. The Giants finished with 238 yards, including 138 passing and 100 rushing yards. Their output included 10 first downs and one touchdown through the air.

Washington Commanders lost their last game, suffering a 55-23 road defeat to the Philadelphia Eagles in the NFC Championship Game at Lincoln Financial Field. The Commanders generated 350 total yards, including 251 passing and 99 rushing yards. They converted 22 first downs and scored two touchdowns, split evenly between run and pass.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Commanders have beaten the Giants in the last two meetings. They won 21-18 at Northwest Stadium and triumphed 27-22 at MetLife Stadium. In the past 10 clashes between these teams, there has been one draw. The Giants have won five games and the Commanders four.

Quarterbacks

Russell Wilson

Jayden Daniels

Giants vs Commanders Prediction & Picks

Head into Giants vs Commanders with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a thoughtfully built bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re expecting Over 45.5 points to be scored by the two teams combined. There’s an attractive -105 for our pick and we’re anticipating that the scoreboard will tick over in this NFL matchup.

The NFL predictions at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant stats to confidently recommend every pick.

Key Giants vs Commanders stats:

The 45.5 line has been covered in the last 5 Commanders games at home.
The 45.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Commanders games at home.
The 45.5 line has been covered in 14 of the last 20 Commanders games.

Over 45.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. After careful examination, our cappers have this probability close to 60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

Looking for a bigger return on your Total bet? Consider the Result & Total lines where you combine the winning franchise and Over a certain number of points.

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Best Bet

Over 45.5 Points @ -105 Watch Live Bet Now

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Published 19:26, 05 September 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Austin Ekeler Anytime TD +145

You can place a bet on Austin Ekeler (Commanders) to score a TD at +145. Attractive odds are available for this Anytime Touchdown Scorer wager, and we believe it's a value proposition for him to take it to the house.

Latest Austin Ekeler Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Receiving Yards

Rushing Yards

Russell Wilson Over 217.5 Passing Yards -114

You can back Russell Wilson (Giants) at -114 to go over 217.5 passing yards. The line for him on the Overs looks attractive and bettors can get plenty of juice from this QB Passing Yards wager.

Latest Russell Wilson Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Passing Yards

Rushing Yards

Same Game Parlay Picks

Totals Over 45.5

Spread Commanders -6.5

Anytime Touchdown Austin Ekeler

Get in the game with a same game parlay. Our picks are Over 45.5 on the total, Commanders to cover the -6.5 spread and Austin Ekeler (Commanders) among the touchdown scorers.

A same game parlay is a fantastic way of cheering on different picks within the same football game. You can predict a number of outcomes and get bigger odds than a single bet. The odds can combine to great effect.

Bet Boosts

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Correct Score Prediction

Giants

20 - 31 Commanders logo

Commanders

The Commanders might be able to claim a victory and we’re siding with a 31-20 scoreline in their favor. A small stake can provide a big return and there are monster odds available.

Giants vs Commanders Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Commanders Have the Shortest Odds to Win

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Washington Commanders as -270 favorites for this game, implying that they are 73% likely to win. The market suggests that New York Giants are least likely to win at +220.

The spread currently stands at 6.5 and the total points line is 45.5. NFL bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you want to back Over 45.5, it’s -105.

Whether you're placing bets before kickoff or during the game, the best NFL sportsbooks delivers a massive range of game lines and team props. The betting sites give you endless ways to get involved with plenty of exciting alternatives.

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total Points

Austin Ekeler Favorite to Be First TD Scorer

The First Touchdown Scorer favorite is Austin Ekeler at +750. Similar odds can be found if you’re interested in this player to register the final TD.

Touchdown

Austin Ekeler (Commanders)

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

Tyrone Tracy Jr. (Giants)

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

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Receiving Yards

Malik Nabers (Giants)

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

Wan'Dale Robinson (Giants)

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Rushing Yards

Tyrone Tracy Jr. (Giants)

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Commanders)

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Passing Yards

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Russell Wilson (Giants)

Best Betting Offers

Northwest Stadium

Can Commanders Keep Their Home Streak Alive?

The Commanders have reeled off three in a row at Northwest Stadium. They are 7-3 in their last 10 home games, putting up 28.40 points per contest and giving up 22.90.

The Giants have fallen in five consecutive away contests. They have two wins and eight losses in the last 10 road games, posting 17.40 points per matchup while yielding 24.00.

The last time these teams met at Northwest Stadium, the Commanders came out on top 21-18 against the Giants. In 6 meetings at Northwest Stadium, the Giants have four wins to their name, with the Commanders having two.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O45.5	U45.5
Commanders Home Stats		7-3	51.30	28.40	22.90	8	2
Giants Away Stats		2-8	41.40	17.40	24.00	3	7

W-L = Wins-Losses
P = Avg. Points
PF = Avg. Points For
PA = Avg. Points Against
O45.5 = Games Over 45.5 Points
U45.5 = Games Under 45.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

All
Home
Away

Last 5 Games

Giants

NFL: 05/01 Giants13 Eagles 20
NFL: 29/12 Colts33 Giants 45
NFL: 22/12 Giants7 Falcons 34
NFL: 15/12 Ravens35 Giants 14
NFL: 08/12 Saints14 Giants 11

Commanders

NFL Playoffs: 26/01 Commanders23 Eagles 55
NFL Playoffs: 19/01 Commanders45 Lions 31
NFL Playoffs: 13/01 Commanders23 Buccaneers 20
NFL: 05/01 Commanders23 Cowboys 19
NFL: 30/12 Falcons24 Commanders 30

Head to Head

Giants vs Commanders

NFL: 03/11 2024 Commanders 27 Giants 22
NFL: 15/09 2024 Giants 18 Commanders 21
NFL: 19/11 2023 Giants 31 Commanders 19
NFL: 22/10 2023 Commanders 7 Giants 14
NFL: 19/12 2022 Giants 20 Commanders 12
NFL: 04/12 2022 Commanders 20 Giants 20
NFL: 09/01 2022 Commanders 22 Giants 7
NFL: 17/09 2021 Giants 29 Commanders 30
NFL: 08/11 2020 Giants 23 Commanders 20
NFL: 18/10 2020 Commanders 19 Giants 20

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Giants Stats

Washington Commanders Stats

Moneyline

1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games
2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

+6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
+6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

-6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
-6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 44.00 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 41.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 45.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 45.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 17.40 pts and allowed 26.60 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 17.40 pts and allowed 24.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 56.60 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 51.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 45.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
Over 45.5 at Home: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.60 pts and allowed 28.00 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 28.40 pts and allowed 22.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

Total Yards: Gained 297.60 Yds. Allowed 367.20 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 107.20 Yds. Allowed 134.80 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 190.40 Yds. Allowed 232.40 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.50. Allowed 21.20
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 0.90
Total Penalties: Committed 7.60. Committed by opponents 5.50
Penalty Yards: Lost 64.60 Yds. Gained 46.90 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

Total Yards: Gained 369.50 Yds. Allowed 357.30 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 144.80 Yds. Allowed 144.10 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 224.70 Yds. Allowed 213.20 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.50 TD. Allowed 3.20 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.00. Allowed 21.40
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 1.30
Total Penalties: Committed 7.00. Committed by opponents 6.60
Penalty Yards: Lost 61.90 Yds. Gained 50.70 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

Total Yards: Gained 300.40 Yds. Allowed 341.70 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 116.70 Yds. Allowed 129.80 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 183.70 Yds. Allowed 211.90 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.20. Allowed 20.20
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 0.80
Total Penalties: Committed 6.70. Committed by opponents 6.10
Penalty Yards: Lost 45.60 Yds. Gained 48.50 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

Total Yards: Gained 383.80 Yds. Allowed 300.70 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 166.40 Yds. Allowed 125.80 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 217.40 Yds. Allowed 174.90 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.10. Allowed 18.10
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 1.40
Total Penalties: Committed 7.10. Committed by opponents 6.50
Penalty Yards: Lost 60.90 Yds. Gained 48.90 Yds

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Team News

New York Giants Injuries

Type

Name

Info

Victor Dimukeje

Pectoral

Joshua Ezeudu

Undisclosed

Da'Quan Felton

Undisclosed

Bryce Ford-Wheaton

Achilles

Eric Gray

Undisclosed

Tre Hawkins

Undisclosed

Anthony Johnson

Undisclosed

T.J. Moore

Upper Leg

Rico Payton

Undisclosed

Andrew Thomas

Foot

Washington Commanders Injuries

Type

Name

Info

Sam Cosmi

Knee - ACL

Nate Herbig

Undisclosed

Tyree Jackson

Undisclosed

Lucas Niang

Knee - ACL

Previous New York Giants Lineups

05 Jan NFL

Giants 13-20 Eagles

AFC East	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bills	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Dolphins	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Patriots	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jets	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC North	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Ravens	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bengals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Browns	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Steelers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC South	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Texans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Colts	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jaguars	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Titans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC West	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Chargers	1	0	1.000	27	21	6	1-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1W
Broncos	0	0	-	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Raiders	0	0	-	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chiefs	0	1	0.000	21	27	-6	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	1L

NFC East	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Eagles	1	0	1.000	24	20	4	1-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1W
Giants	0	0	-	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Commanders	0	0	-	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Cowboys	0	1	0.000	20	24	-4	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	1L

NFC North	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bears	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Lions	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Packers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Vikings	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC South	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Falcons	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Panthers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Saints	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Buccaneers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC West	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Cardinals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Rams	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
49ers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Seahawks	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFL Betting Preview: Giants vs Commanders

Head-to-Head Statistics

Giants vs Commanders Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

Over 45.5 Probability

Best Bet

Player Prop Picks

Same Game Parlay Picks

Correct Score Prediction

Giants vs Commanders Odds

Last 5 & H2H

Live Streaming

Team News

New York Giants Injuries

Washington Commanders Injuries

Previous New York Giants Lineups

Previous Washington Commanders Lineups

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