Jets vs Bills Prediction, Picks & Odds | 04 Jan 2026

NFL Betting Preview: Jets vs Bills

The New York Jets battle the Buffalo Bills at Highmark Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 17:25 on Sunday, January 4, in a game that sees the Bills already locked into the playoffs and bidding farewell to Highmark Stadium.

Let’s go for Over 37.5 when the Bills face the Jets. We think the line is too generous and we’re expecting the final total to be higher at -110.

New York Jets have suffered four straight defeats, recently being beaten at home by New England Patriots 42-10 at MetLife Stadium. The Jets totaled 307 yards, split between 143 passing and 164 rushing yards. They managed 14 first downs and found the end zone once.

Buffalo Bills lost their last game, being beaten at home to Philadelphia Eagles 13-12 at Highmark Stadium. The Bills finished with 331 yards, including 211 passing and 120 rushing yards. They moved the chains 20 times and scored two touchdowns.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Bills who came out on top when they last played the Jets. At MetLife Stadium, a 30-10 win was recorded. The past 10 H2H games have seen the Bills land eight wins.

Jets vs Bills Prediction & Picks

Gear up for Jets vs Bills with our betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a hand-picked bet builder. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

The total line of 37.5 points looks pretty low and we can take advantage by backing the Overs at -110. We can see these NFL competitors combining to go bigger.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert NFL picks. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate predictions possible.

Key Jets vs Bills stats:

• The 37.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Jets games on the road.
• The 37.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Jets games.
• The 37.5 line has been covered in 19 of the last 20 Bills games at home.
• The 37.5 line has been covered in 9 of the last 10 Bills games at home.
• The 37.5 line has been covered in the last 5 games between these teams.

Over 37.5 Probability

According to the best NFL betting sites, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

Want more juice from your Over bet on the Totals? Bigger odds can be found if you move the line and go for a riskier wager. You can choose from a wide range of options.

Find top value before betting. Our guide includes the latest free bets and sign-up bonuses from trusted sites.

Our Game Prediction

Over 37.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Jan 2, 23:26). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Jets 13 - 27 Bills

There’s the chance to land huge odds when it comes to the Bills winning on the correct score lines. We’ll try a 27-13 triumph in their favor and this should be in the right ball park.

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Jets vs Bills Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Buffalo Bills are strong -769 favorites to win this game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 88% chance of claiming victory. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +540 about New York Jets.

The current spread is 11.5 and total points is 38.5. There are many ways to bet on the NFL including the Totals. If you want to wager Over 38.5, there are odds of -115.

You can find hundreds of team props and game lines for every National Football League matchup, with the top sportsbooks creating lots of different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Jets

+540

Bills

-769

Point Spread

Jets +11.5

-105

Bills -11.5

-115

Total Points

Under 38.5

-105

Over 38.5

-115

If you have a view on Player Interceptions, Longest Pass Completion or Passing Attempts, then the player and quarterback prop betting could be up your street. It’s a great way of wagering on a player to perform well.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the NFL micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term wagers and this might include the Next Play or Next Drive Result.

Bills Have Dominated Recent Head-to-Head Matchups at Highmark Stadium

The Bills have eight wins and two losses in the last 10 home games, putting up 30.40 points on average and giving up 23.50.

The Jets are on a skid of four straight road defeats. They have two wins and eight losses in the last 10 road games, averaging 20.90 points on offense and surrendering 31.80 on defense.

The Bills defeated the Jets 40-14 the last time they played at Highmark Stadium. The last 6 head-to-heads at Highmark Stadium show the Bills with five wins, while the Jets have one to their name.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O37.5	U37.5
Bills Home Stats		8-2	53.90	30.40	23.50	9	1
Jets Away Stats		2-8	52.70	20.90	31.80	8	2

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O37.5 = Games Over 37.5 Points
• U37.5 = Games Under 37.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Jets Stats

Buffalo Bills Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 52.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 37.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 37.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 16.90 pts and allowed 29.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.90 pts and allowed 31.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 49.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 53.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 37.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 37.5 at Home: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.90 pts and allowed 22.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 30.40 pts and allowed 23.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 268.10 Yds. Allowed 359.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 121.40 Yds. Allowed 138.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 146.70 Yds. Allowed 221.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 3.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 15.20. Allowed 22.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 0.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.20. Committed by opponents 4.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 51.50 Yds. Gained 37.90 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 365.70 Yds. Allowed 292.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 159.70 Yds. Allowed 130.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 206.00 Yds. Allowed 161.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.70 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.50. Allowed 17.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 4.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 46.90 Yds. Gained 39.20 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 326.30 Yds. Allowed 361.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 128.30 Yds. Allowed 105.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 198.00 Yds. Allowed 255.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.50. Allowed 22.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 0.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.40. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 71.30 Yds. Gained 53.40 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 388.50 Yds. Allowed 318.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 144.60 Yds. Allowed 130.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 243.90 Yds. Allowed 187.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.80 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.70. Allowed 19.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.00. Committed by opponents 4.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 46.60 Yds. Gained 43.30 Yds

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