Jets vs Dolphins Prediction, Picks & Odds | 29 Sep 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Jets vs Dolphins

The New York Jets clash with the Miami Dolphins in this NFL Week 4 Monday Night Football matchup at Hard Rock Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 19:15 on Monday, September 29. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

The Dolphins and the Jets are capable of scoring more than 44.5 points. Therefore, we’re going Over the total line and expect a payout at -108.

Think our Totals pick is worth a shot? Grab the latest BetMGM promo code and check out our comprehensive site review. It could be a smart move.

New York Jets have now lost three straight games. On the road in their previous game, Tampa Bay Buccaneers won 29-27 at Raymond James Stadium. The Jets totaled 267 yards, with 168 through the air and 99 on the ground. They converted for 21 first downs and reached the end zone 3 times.

Miami Dolphins have suffered defeat in their last three games. Most recently, a 31-21 scoreline occurred on the road at Highmark Stadium against Buffalo Bills. The Dolphins recorded 276 total yards, made up of 146 through the air and 130 on the ground. They picked up 19 first downs and produced 3 TD's, including 2 passing scores and a rushing touchdown.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Jets claim a 32-20 win over the Dolphins at MetLife Stadium. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen eight Dolphins wins.

Quarterbacks

Justin Fields

181.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Tua Tagovailoa

234.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Jets vs Dolphins Prediction & Picks

Get ahead of the game with our Jets vs Dolphins betting rundown, featuring our trusted match prediction, likely score outcome, standout player prop plays and a fully loaded bet builder.

Game Prediction

The total line of 44.5 points looks pretty low and we can take advantage by backing the Overs at -108. We can see these NFL competitors combining to go bigger.

Our NFL picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.

Key Jets vs Dolphins stats:

• The 44.5 line has been covered in the last 4 Jets games on the road.
• The 44.5 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Jets games.
• The 44.5 line has been covered in 11 of the last 20 Jets games.
• The 44.5 line has been covered in the last 6 Dolphins games at home.
• The 44.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Dolphins games.
• The 44.5 line has been covered in 12 of the last 20 Dolphins games at home.
• The 44.5 line has been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Over 44.5 Probability

Based on the odds from the top NFL betting sites, there’s a 51.8% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Based on our analysts in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

There are ways to boost the odds on an Over pick and some bettors go down the Bet Builder route. It’s effectively a same game parlay where you throw in other selections.

Make your next bet count. Discover the best betting offers, including generous welcome bonuses and free bets.

Our Game Prediction

Over 44.5 Points @ -108 Bet Now

BetMGM Promo Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Get Bonus T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Tua Tagovailoa Over 236.5 Passing Yards -114

Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins) is available at -114 to accumulate over 236.5 passing yards. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous QB Passing Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.

Latest Tua Tagovailoa Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+2200

First

+8000

Passing Yards

Over 234.5

-112

Under 234.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

+102

---

Breece Hall Anytime TD +150

Breece Hall (Jets) can be backed at +150 to score a TD. He looks like a value pick and we think that the odds offer plenty of appeal when it comes to wagering on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.

Latest Breece Hall Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+150

First

+750

Receiving Yards

Over 21.5

-112

Under 21.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 56.5

-112

Under 56.5

-112

Correct Score Prediction

Jets 21 - 28 Dolphins

A 28-21 victory for the Dolphins is clearly a risky wager although this could be an exciting correct score pick where there’s the chance to enjoy a huge potential return.

Jets vs Dolphins Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

For this game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Miami Dolphins are -244 favorites to win and that means a 71% chance of landing a victory. At +200, New York Jets are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

5.5 is the spread and 44.5 is the total points line. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you’re going for Over 44.5, then the odds are -110.

If a National Football League wager is on your mind, visit the top sportsbooks and check out the huge selection of available game lines and team props. Find the betting odds and lines which are the most appealing.

Moneyline

Jets

+200

Dolphins

-244

Point Spread

Jets +5.5

-110

Dolphins -5.5

-110

Total Points

Under 44.5

-110

Over 44.5

-110

Those interested in favorite De'Von Achane to score the first touchdown are able to get +480. If the Anytime TD angle makes appeal, then this is -130.

Touchdown

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

First TD

+480

Anytime TD

-130

Tyreek Hill (Dolphins)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+120

Breece Hall (Jets)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+150

Garrett Wilson (Jets)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+155

Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+195

Justin Fields (Jets)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+200

Braelon Allen (Jets)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+260

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+310

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+410

Josh Reynolds (Jets)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+500

Mason Taylor (Jets)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+480

Darren Waller (Dolphins)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+550

Allen Lazard (Jets)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+1000

Tanner Conner (Dolphins)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+850

Arian Smith (Jets)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+800

Tyler Johnson (Jets)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+750

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (Dolphins)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

Jeremy Ruckert (Jets)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1300

Kene Nwangwu (Jets)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1400

Jaylen Wright (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Julian Hill (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Alec Ingold (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Tahj Washington (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1400

Dee Eskridge (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Isaiah Davis (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1600

Isaiah Williams (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Jelani Woods (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1800

Stone Smartt (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Andrew Beck (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4000

Receiving Yards

Tyreek Hill (Dolphins)

Over 64.5

-112

Under 64.5

-112

Garrett Wilson (Jets)

Over 63.5

-112

Under 63.5

-112

Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins)

Over 48.5

-112

Under 48.5

-112

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

Over 39.5

-112

Under 39.5

-112

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

Over 22.5

-112

Under 22.5

-112

Mason Taylor (Jets)

Over 21.5

-112

Under 21.5

-112

Breece Hall (Jets)

Over 21.5

-112

Under 21.5

-112

Josh Reynolds (Jets)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-112

Darren Waller (Dolphins)

Over 9.5

-112

Under 9.5

-112

Allen Lazard (Jets)

Over 7.5

+112

Under 7.5

-143

Rushing Yards

Breece Hall (Jets)

Over 56.5

-112

Under 56.5

-112

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

Over 55.5

-112

Under 55.5

-112

Justin Fields (Jets)

Over 47.5

-112

Under 47.5

-112

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

Over 25.5

-112

Under 25.5

-112

Braelon Allen (Jets)

Over 21.5

-112

Under 21.5

-112

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

Over 7.5

-112

Under 7.5

-112

Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

+102

Passing Yards

Tua Tagovailoa (Dolphins)

Over 234.5

-112

Under 234.5

-112

Justin Fields (Jets)

Over 181.5

-112

Under 181.5

-112

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to NFL and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether a player will make or miss a field goal.

Dolphins Have Bossed Recent Head-to-Heads at Hard Rock Stadium

The Dolphins own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 home games, posting 23.90 points per contest while yielding 23.80.

The Jets have two wins and eight losses in the last 10 road games, scoring 20.20 points per matchup and conceding 29.10.

The Dolphins defeated the Jets 32-26 when the teams last met at Hard Rock Stadium. Across 6 head-to-head meetings at Hard Rock Stadium, the Dolphins have come out on top each time.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O44.5	U44.5
Dolphins Home Stats		5-5	47.70	23.90	23.80	6	4
Jets Away Stats		2-8	49.30	20.20	29.10	7	3

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O44.5 = Games Over 44.5 Points
• U44.5 = Games Under 44.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

New York Jets Stats

Miami Dolphins Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 51.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 44.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 23.00 pts and allowed 28.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 20.20 pts and allowed 29.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 47.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 44.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.00 pts and allowed 24.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.90 pts and allowed 23.80 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 310.50 Yds. Allowed 333.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 107.40 Yds. Allowed 111.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 203.10 Yds. Allowed 221.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.60. Allowed 21.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.10. Committed by opponents 6.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 64.90 Yds. Gained 60.10 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 318.80 Yds. Allowed 337.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 84.50 Yds. Allowed 110.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 234.30 Yds. Allowed 226.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.80. Allowed 19.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 7.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 51.30 Yds. Gained 63.60 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 300.10 Yds. Allowed 350.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 86.90 Yds. Allowed 119.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 213.20 Yds. Allowed 230.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.90. Allowed 22.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 0.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.50. Committed by opponents 7.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 63.20 Yds. Gained 64.80 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 342.80 Yds. Allowed 332.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 100.30 Yds. Allowed 102.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 242.50 Yds. Allowed 230.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 2.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.30. Allowed 19.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 7.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 49.40 Yds. Gained 58.70 Yds

Top American Football Pages