Steelers vs Bears Prediction, Picks & Odds | 23 Nov 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Steelers vs Bears

The Pittsburgh Steelers face the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, November 23.

Over 44.5 points seems like a realistic outcome when the Bears go up against the Steelers. We’re taking odds of -120 on the basis that the total line is too low.

Going with our Totals selection? Make sure you’ve locked in the latest BetMGM promo code and checked out our full review before placing your wager.

Pittsburgh Steelers have experienced back-to-back road defeats. In their previous game, they beat Cincinnati Bengals at home, winning 34-12 at Acrisure Stadium. The Steelers totaled 343 yards, with 232 through the air and 111 on the ground. The offense produced 22 first downs to go with 4 trips to the end zone.

Chicago Bears won their last game 19-17, making it three on the bounce. This was a road victory at US Bank Stadium against Minnesota Vikings. The Bears put up 320 yards, including 180 passing and 140 rushing yards. They picked up 19 first downs and scored one rushing TD.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Steelers won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 29-27 victory was registered against the Bears at Acrisure Stadium.

Steelers vs Bears Prediction & Picks

We cover the key Steelers vs Bears betting angles, showcasing our expert match prediction, best correct score selection, top player props and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

We’re confident that Over 44.5 is the value play at -120. We’re expecting these NFL rivals to rack up the points, so a total bet could be the way forward.

The formbook is always a smart starting point when making NFL picks. Up-to-date team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.

Key Steelers vs Bears stats:

• The 44.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Steelers games.
• The 44.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Steelers games.
• The 44.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Bears games.
• The 44.5 line has been covered in 11 of the last 20 Bears games.

Over 44.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 54.6% chance of delivering a return. However, our research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

If you want to get larger odds on your Over bet, there’s a smart way of doing this. The sportsbooks will allow you to move the line on the Totals.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 44.5 Points @ -120 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Caleb Williams Over 219.5 Passing Yards -114

You can place a bet on Caleb Williams (Bears) at -114 to reach over 219.5 passing yards. We're confident in him covering the QB Passing Yards line and hitting our Over bet.

Latest Caleb Williams Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+330

First

+1600

Passing Yards

Over 219.5

-114

Under 219.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-114

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DK Metcalf Over 48.5 Receiving Yards -114

You can back DK Metcalf (Bears) at -114 surpass 48.5 receiving yards. We’re happy to take him to cover the Player Receiving Yards line and bettors can place this wager with confidence.

Latest DK Metcalf Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+165

First

+950

Receiving Yards

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Steelers 20 - 31 Bears

The Bears are capable of landing a victory and we’re going for a correct score line of 31-20 at huge odds. There’s a big return that can be achieved with this wager.

Steelers vs Bears Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

The Chicago Bears odds have been priced up by the sportsbooks and they are -143 betting favorites to land victory in this game which means a 59% chance of winning. At +120, Pittsburgh Steelers are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The current spread is 2.5 and the total points line is 44.5. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. The Over 44.5 selection is available to back at -120.

Consider every angle when placing your National Football League wagers. The top betting apps have a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Steelers

+120

Bears

-143

Point Spread

Steelers +2.5

-105

Bears -2.5

-115

Total Points

Under 44.5

-102

Over 44.5

-120

D'Andre Swift is the favorite to be First Touchdown Scorer at +600. If you’re interested in backing him to score a TD at anytime, then the price is +115.

Touchdown

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

First TD

+600

Anytime TD

+115

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+115

Rome Odunze (Bears)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+165

DK Metcalf (Steelers)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+165

Kyle Monangai (Bears)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+200

DJ Moore (Bears)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+230

Colston Loveland (Bears)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+280

Luther Burden III (Bears)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+350

Caleb Williams (Bears)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+330

Jonnu Smith (Steelers)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+320

Darnell Washington (Steelers)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+290

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+360

Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+290

Kaleb Johnson (Steelers)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+290

Calvin Austin III (Steelers)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+500

Cole Kmet (Bears)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

Roman Wilson (Steelers)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+550

Olamide Zaccheaus (Bears)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+650

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Ben Skowronek (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Durham Smythe (Bears)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Ke'Shawn Williams (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Scott Miller (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Connor Heyward (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1500

Jahdae Walker (Bears)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1300

Devin Duvernay (Bears)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1300

Travis Homer (Bears)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1300

Roschon Johnson (Bears)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1300

Receiving Yards

Rome Odunze (Bears)

Over 50.5

-114

Under 50.5

-114

DK Metcalf (Steelers)

Over 48.5

-114

Under 48.5

-114

DJ Moore (Bears)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

Luther Burden III (Bears)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

Colston Loveland (Bears)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Darnell Washington (Steelers)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Jonnu Smith (Steelers)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Calvin Austin III (Steelers)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Cole Kmet (Bears)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 60.5

-114

Under 60.5

-114

D'Andre Swift (Bears)

Over 59.5

-114

Under 59.5

-114

Kyle Monangai (Bears)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

Caleb Williams (Bears)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-114

Will Bears Keep Their Home Streak Going?

The Bears have posted three consecutive wins at Soldier Field. They have four wins and six losses in the last 10 games at home, averaging 21.00 points on offense and surrendering 19.40 on defense.

The Steelers have a 4-6 record in their last 10 games on the road, averaging 23.10 points scored and 28.20 points allowed.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O44.5	U44.5
Bears Home Stats		4-6	40.40	21.00	19.40	5	5
Steelers Away Stats		4-6	51.30	23.10	28.20	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O44.5 = Games Over 44.5 Points
• U44.5 = Games Under 44.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Pittsburgh Steelers Stats

Chicago Bears Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 47.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 51.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 44.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.60 pts and allowed 23.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.10 pts and allowed 28.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 52.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 40.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 44.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 25.80 pts and allowed 26.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 20.90 pts and allowed 20.00 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 286.90 Yds. Allowed 368.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 88.20 Yds. Allowed 106.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 198.70 Yds. Allowed 261.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.20. Allowed 22.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.20. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 46.90 Yds. Gained 52.10 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 373.90 Yds. Allowed 364.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 146.60 Yds. Allowed 133.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 227.30 Yds. Allowed 231.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.70. Allowed 20.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 2.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.00. Committed by opponents 5.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 51.90 Yds. Gained 38.70 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 304.90 Yds. Allowed 375.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 90.90 Yds. Allowed 144.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 214.00 Yds. Allowed 230.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.20. Allowed 23.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.00. Committed by opponents 6.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 49.40 Yds. Gained 48.60 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 334.50 Yds. Allowed 349.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 124.30 Yds. Allowed 116.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 210.20 Yds. Allowed 233.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.40. Allowed 18.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 42.10 Yds. Gained 40.70 Yds

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