Steelers vs Lions Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Dec 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Steelers vs Lions

The Pittsburgh Steelers battle the Detroit Lions at Ford Field, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, December 21.

If you agree that the Steelers can push the Lions to the wire, then bet the underdogs against the spread here. The +6.5 makes plenty of appeal at odds of -102.

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Pittsburgh Steelers have won their previous two games. The latest was a 28-15 home triumph at Acrisure Stadium against Miami Dolphins. The Steelers recorded 336 total yards, made up of 201 through the air and 135 on the ground. The offense picked up 22 first downs along with 4 touchdowns.

Detroit Lions were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 41-34 reverse against Los Angeles Rams at SoFi Stadium. The Lions moved the ball for 396 yards, breaking down to 326 passing and 70 rushing yards. They picked up 21 first downs and found the end zone 4 times.

Head-to-Head Statistics

We saw the Steelers and the Lions tie 16-16 at Acrisure Stadium when the teams last went head-to-head.

Quarterbacks

Aaron Rodgers

230.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Jared Goff

264.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Steelers vs Lions Prediction & Picks

Head into Steelers vs Lions with expert betting insights, including our main match prediction, expected scoreline, key player prop picks and a thoughtfully built bet builder.

Game Prediction

There’s some value on the spread for this NFL matchup and we really like the underdogs at +6.5. We’re happy to take the Steelers with this advantage at odds of -102.

Injuries are always factored in by the NFL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our picks are also shaped by recent form, with up-to-date stats playing a key role before any selections are locked in.

Key Steelers vs Lions stats:

• The +6.5 line has been covered by Steelers in 5 of their last 6 games on the road this season.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by Steelers in 4 of their last 5 games.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by Steelers in 2 consecutive games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Lions in 3 of their last 5 games.

Steelers +6.5 Probability

When you look at the latest betting odds, our pick has a 50.5% chance of winning. Taking all factors into consideration, our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There’s the opportunity to sell points and that means moving the line until you’re happy with the wager. It means a riskier spread bet but a bigger return on the odds available.

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Our Game Prediction

Steelers +6.5 @ -102 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Aaron Rodgers Over 230.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Aaron Rodgers (Steelers) to exceed 230.5 passing yards are -114. We can place a QB Passing Yards bet with confidence, as we expect him to cover the line.

Latest Aaron Rodgers Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+2500

First

+10000

Passing Yards

Over 230.5

-114

Under 230.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-135

Correct Score Prediction

Steelers 28 - 31 Lions

We’ll roll the dice and go for the Lions to enjoy a 31-28 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the massive odds.

Steelers vs Lions Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Detroit Lions as -333 favorites for this game, implying that they are 77% likely to win. Pittsburgh Steelers are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +265.

6.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 51.5 right now. There are many ways to bet on the NFL including the Totals. If you fancy Under 51.5, then the odds are -106.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of game lines and team props for every National Football League matchup. The best betting apps offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Steelers

+265

Lions

-333

Point Spread

Steelers +6.5

-102

Lions -6.5

-120

Total Points

Under 51.5

-106

Over 51.5

-114

Jahmyr Gibbs is the market leader to be First TD Scorer at +320. Alternatively, there’s the chance to back him to register a touchdown at any stage at -278.

Touchdown

Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)

First TD

+320

Anytime TD

-278

Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

-120

David Montgomery (Lions)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

-110

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+135

Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+120

Jameson Williams (Lions)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+155

DK Metcalf (Steelers)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+160

Isaac TeSlaa (Lions)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+370

Darnell Washington (Steelers)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+430

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+420

Jonnu Smith (Steelers)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+470

Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Steelers)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+700

Shane Zylstra (Lions)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+450

Anthony Firkser (Lions)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+700

Kalif Raymond (Lions)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+650

Adam Thielen (Steelers)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1100

Calvin Austin III (Steelers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+700

Roman Wilson (Steelers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+700

Jared Goff (Lions)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1500

Connor Heyward (Steelers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+750

Kaleb Johnson (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1700

Tom Kennedy (Lions)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1600

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Sione Vaki (Lions)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Jacob Saylors (Lions)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Ben Skowronek (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Scott Miller (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Giovanni Ricci (Lions)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Receiving Yards

Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions)

Over 82.5

-114

Under 82.5

-114

Jameson Williams (Lions)

Over 67.5

-114

Under 67.5

-114

DK Metcalf (Steelers)

Over 60.5

-114

Under 60.5

-114

Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Darnell Washington (Steelers)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Steelers)

Over 13.5

-114

Under 13.5

-114

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Jonnu Smith (Steelers)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Isaac TeSlaa (Lions)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

David Montgomery (Lions)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Adam Thielen (Steelers)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Jahmyr Gibbs (Lions)

Over 72.5

-114

Under 72.5

-114

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 40.5

-114

Under 40.5

-114

David Montgomery (Lions)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)

Over 30.5

-114

Under 30.5

-114

Jared Goff (Lions)

Over 0.5

+148

Under 0.5

-200

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-135

Passing Yards

Jared Goff (Lions)

Over 264.5

-114

Under 264.5

-114

Aaron Rodgers (Steelers)

Over 230.5

-114

Under 230.5

-114

Lions Hold Six Wins From Last Ten at Home

The Lions have gone 6-4 across their last 10 home games, scoring 34.00 points per contest and conceding 25.70.

The Steelers own a 4-6 mark in their past 10 games away from home, averaging 23.90 points scored and 28.40 points allowed.

The Lions defeated the Steelers 24-17 the last time they played at Ford Field.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O51.5	U51.5
Lions Home Stats		6-4	59.70	34.00	25.70	6	4
Steelers Away Stats		4-6	52.30	23.90	28.40	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O51.5 = Games Over 51.5 Points
• U51.5 = Games Under 51.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Pittsburgh Steelers Stats

Detroit Lions Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 52.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 51.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.00 pts and allowed 22.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.90 pts and allowed 28.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 54.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 59.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 51.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 51.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 29.10 pts and allowed 25.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 34.00 pts and allowed 25.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 298.00 Yds. Allowed 355.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 97.50 Yds. Allowed 120.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 200.50 Yds. Allowed 235.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.10. Allowed 21.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.50. Committed by opponents 6.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 50.00 Yds. Gained 49.90 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 385.90 Yds. Allowed 355.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 128.00 Yds. Allowed 111.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 257.90 Yds. Allowed 244.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.50 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.00. Allowed 21.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.20. Committed by opponents 5.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.70 Yds. Gained 42.30 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 303.20 Yds. Allowed 395.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 86.90 Yds. Allowed 161.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 216.30 Yds. Allowed 233.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.90 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 16.90. Allowed 24.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.20. Committed by opponents 6.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 48.00 Yds. Gained 51.90 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 416.20 Yds. Allowed 369.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 140.70 Yds. Allowed 123.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 275.50 Yds. Allowed 245.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 4.30 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.00. Allowed 20.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.50. Committed by opponents 6.00
• Penalty Yards: Lost 46.20 Yds. Gained 44.40 Yds

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