Pittsburgh Steelers
American Football NFL Gillette Stadium Sun 21 Sep 13:00
New England Patriots
  1. Prediction
  2. Bet Builder
  3. Odds
  4. Player Props
  5. Stats
  6. Live Stream
  7. Team News
  8. Lineups
  9. Injuries
  10. Standings

NFL Betting Preview: Steelers vs Patriots

The Pittsburgh Steelers clash with the New England Patriots in this NFL matchup at Gillette Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday 21 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

Can Patriots Gain the Upper Hand?

Our betting prediction is that there will be home-field advantage when the Patriots face the Steelers. You can currently get +102 about this happening which look like great odds.

Backing Patriots to come through? Be sure to grab the exclusive BetMGM promo code and check out our sportsbook review before placing your bet.

Patriots Won Previous H2H Clash

Pittsburgh Steelers were beaten 31-17 at Acrisure Stadium in their previous game, being turned over at home to Seattle Seahawks. The Steelers finished with 267 total yards, made up of 195 through the air and 72 on the ground. They produced 13 first downs and scored a touchdown through the air.

New England Patriots triumphed in their last game. It was on the road where Miami Dolphins were beaten 33-27 at Hard Rock Stadium. The Patriots put up 333 yards, including 211 passing and 122 rushing yards. The offense picked up 18 first downs and crossed the goal line 4 times.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Patriots had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. At Acrisure Stadium, they recorded a 21-18 win over the Steelers. The Patriots have a 100% win record when it comes to the previous 3 H2H meetings.

Quarterbacks

Steelers vs Patriots Prediction & Picks

Discover the top Steelers vs Patriots betting angles — from our trusted match prediction and likely score to the best prop plays and a customized bet builder.

Game Prediction

We can’t resist going for the Patriots on the Moneyline, with our pick made with confidence and there is +102 available that they win this NFL matchup.

Our NFL predictions are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into up-to-date stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the action might unfold.

Key Steelers vs Patriots stats:

  • Steelers have lost 4 of their last 5 games.
  • Steelers have lost 7 of their last 10 games.
  • Patriots have won the last 3 games between these teams.

Patriots Moneyline Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 49.5% chance of winning. Our cappers think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

If you’re looking for greater odds, the Patriots can be backed at a bigger price against the spread. Also consider the option of looking at the Result & Total and Double Result lines.

Before your next bet, explore our betting offers guide filled with top bonuses, the latest promotions, and free bet deals.

Best Bet

Patriots Moneyline @ +102 Watch Live Bet Now BetMGM logo
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Gamble responsibly 18+. All odds are correct at time of publishing and are subject to change. To use the Bookmaker Live Streaming services you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Geo-restrictions apply.
Published 19:26, 19 September 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Drake Maye Over 221.5 Passing Yards -114 BetMGM logo

You can back Drake Maye (Patriots) at -114 to go beyond 221.5 passing yards. He looks capable of covering the line and that leads us to taking this QB Passing Yards bet.

Latest Drake Maye Player Prop Odds

Stefon Diggs Over 43.5 Receiving Yards -114 BetMGM logo

The odds for Stefon Diggs (Patriots) to go beyond 43.5 receiving yards are -114. We can place a Player Receiving Yards bet with confidence, as we expect him to cover the line.

Latest Stefon Diggs Player Prop Odds

Same Game Parlay Picks

Moneyline Patriots
Totals Over 44.5
Passing Yards Drake Maye Over 221.5

Our same game parlay has three options: Patriots to win, Over 44.5 points and Drake Maye (Patriots) to go Over 221.5 passing yards.

The same game parlay option is great for bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same football game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

T&C apply. Gamble responsibly 18+

Correct Score Prediction

Steelers Steelers logo 20 - 28 Patriots logo Patriots

The Patriots will be chasing down a victory and a winning scoreline of 28-20 might be along the right lines. There are enormous odds available about this bet.

Steelers vs Patriots Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Tight Affair Likely According to the Books

When you consider the latest Moneyline odds, you can find New England Patriots at +102 whereas Pittsburgh Steelers are -120. The leading sportsbooks give the hosts a 50% chance of success.

1.5 is the spread and 44.5 is the total points line. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest NFL data to good effect. Those expecting a low total can back Under 44.5 at -118.

Every matchup offers a deep selection of team props and game lines and the top NFL betting sites deliver excellent pre-game and in-game wagering opportunities. It’s all about finding the bets that match your game plan.

Jaylen Warren Favorite to Be First Touchdown Scorer

Those interested in favorite Jaylen Warren to score the first touchdown are able to get +550. If the Anytime TD angle makes appeal, then this is -105.

Touchdown

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)
First TD
+550
Anytime TD
-105
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Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)
First TD
+700
Anytime TD
+135
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DK Metcalf (Steelers)
First TD
+800
Anytime TD
+140
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TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)
First TD
+1000
Anytime TD
+195
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Receiving Yards

DK Metcalf (Steelers)
Over 58.5
-114
Under 58.5
-114
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Stefon Diggs (Patriots)
Over 43.5
-114
Under 43.5
-114
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Calvin Austin III (Steelers)
Over 36.5
-114
Under 36.5
-114
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Hunter Henry (Patriots)
Over 36.5
-114
Under 36.5
-114
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Rushing Yards

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)
Over 54.5
-114
Under 54.5
-114
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Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)
Over 40.5
-114
Under 40.5
-114
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Drake Maye (Patriots)
Over 24.5
-114
Under 24.5
-114
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Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)
Over 23.5
-114
Under 23.5
-114
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Passing Yards

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Patriots Have Suffered Eight Losses in Past Ten at Home

The Patriots own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 16.80 points on average and giving up 24.70.

The Steelers own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 games on the road, putting up 23.80 points on average and giving up 25.60.

The last Gillette Stadium meeting saw the Patriots beat the Steelers 33-3.

Last 10 Games W-L P PF PA O44.5 U44.5
Patriots logo Patriots Home Stats 2-8 41.50 16.80 24.70 5 5
Steelers logo Steelers Away Stats 5-5 49.40 23.80 25.60 6 4
  • W-L = Wins-Losses
  • P = Avg. Points
  • PF = Avg. Points For
  • PA = Avg. Points Against
  • O44.5 = Games Over 44.5 Points
  • U44.5 = Games Under 44.5 Points
Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Pittsburgh Steelers logo Pittsburgh Steelers Stats
New England Patriots logo New England Patriots Stats
Moneyline
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road
Moneyline
  • 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
  • 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 home games
Point Spread
Point Spread
Total Points
Total Points
Game Stats
Last 10 Games
Game Stats
Last 10 Games
Last 10 Games on the Road
Last 10 Home Games

Live Streaming

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Team News

Pittsburgh Steelers Injuries

Type
Name
Info
Domenique Davis
Undisclosed
DeShon Elliott
Knee - MCL
Derrick Harmon
Knee - MCL
Malik Harrison
Knee
Alex Highsmith
Ankle
Will Howard
Hand
Donte Kent
Foot
Isaiahh Loudermilk
Ankle
Dean Lowry
Knee
Donald Parham
Achilles
Joey Porter
Hamstring
Max Scharping
Knee
Jacob Slade
Undisclosed
Skylar Thompson
Hamstring
Cory Trice
Hamstring
Gareth Warren
Concussion

New England Patriots Injuries

Type
Name
Info
K'Lavon Chaisson
Hamstring
Carlton Davis
Achilles
Marcellas Dial
Knee - ACL
Yasir Durant
Undisclosed
Christian Gonzalez
Hamstring
Isaiah Iton
Hip
Brock Lampe
Undisclosed
Harold Landry
Foot
Lan Larison
Foot
Marte Mapu
Neck
Morgan Moses
Foot
Deneric Prince
Undisclosed
Layden Robinson
Undisclosed
Jaquelin Roy
Undisclosed
Wes Schweitzer
Undisclosed
Jahlani Tavai
Undisclosed
Jack Westover
Hamstring
Keion White
Illness
Jared Wilson
Thigh

Previous Pittsburgh Steelers Lineups

14 Sep NFL
Seahawks 31-17 Steelers
07 Sep NFL
Steelers 34-32 Jets
11 Jan NFL Playoffs
Steelers 14-28 Ravens
04 Jan NFL
Bengals 19-17 Steelers
25 Dec NFL
Chiefs 29-10 Steelers
21 Dec NFL
Steelers 17-34 Ravens
15 Dec NFL
Steelers 13-27 Eagles
08 Dec NFL
Browns 14-27 Steelers
01 Dec NFL
Steelers 44-38 Bengals
21 Nov NFL
Steelers 19-24 Browns

Previous New England Patriots Lineups

14 Sep NFL
Patriots 33-27 Dolphins
07 Sep NFL
Raiders 20-13 Patriots
05 Jan NFL
Bills 16-23 Patriots
28 Dec NFL
Chargers 40-7 Patriots
22 Dec NFL
Patriots 21-24 Bills
15 Dec NFL
Patriots 17-30 Cardinals
01 Dec NFL
Colts 25-24 Patriots
24 Nov NFL
Patriots 15-34 Dolphins
17 Nov NFL
Rams 28-22 Patriots
10 Nov NFL
Patriots 19-3 Bears

NFL Standings Select Season

AFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Bills 3 0 0 1.000 102 71 31 2-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 3-0-0 3-0-0 3W
Patriots 1 1 0 0.500 46 47 -1 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Jets 0 2 0 0.000 42 64 -22 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Dolphins 0 3 0 0.000 56 97 -41 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-3-0 0-3-0 3L
AFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Bengals 2 0 0 1.000 48 43 5 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Ravens 1 1 0 0.500 81 58 23 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Steelers 1 1 0 0.500 51 63 -12 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1L
Browns 0 2 0 0.000 33 58 -25 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
AFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Colts 2 0 0 1.000 62 36 26 2-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Jaguars 1 1 0 0.500 53 41 12 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Texans 0 2 0 0.000 28 34 -6 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 2L
Titans 0 2 0 0.000 31 53 -22 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L
AFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Chargers 2 0 0 1.000 47 30 17 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Raiders 1 1 0 0.500 29 33 -4 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Broncos 1 1 0 0.500 48 41 7 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Chiefs 0 2 0 0.000 38 47 -9 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L
NFC East W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Eagles 2 0 0 1.000 44 37 7 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Commanders 1 1 0 0.500 39 33 6 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Cowboys 1 1 0 0.500 60 61 -1 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Giants 0 2 0 0.000 43 61 -18 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
NFC North W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Packers 2 0 0 1.000 54 31 23 2-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Vikings 1 1 0 0.500 33 46 -13 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Lions 1 1 0 0.500 65 48 17 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Bears 0 2 0 0.000 45 79 -34 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
NFC South W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Buccaneers 2 0 0 1.000 43 39 4 0-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Falcons 1 1 0 0.500 42 29 13 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Saints 0 2 0 0.000 34 46 -12 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Panthers 0 2 0 0.000 32 53 -21 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L
NFC West W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
49ers 2 0 0 1.000 43 34 9 0-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Cardinals 2 0 0 1.000 47 35 12 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Rams 2 0 0 1.000 47 28 19 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Seahawks 1 1 0 0.500 44 34 10 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1W
AFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Bills 3 0 0 1.000 102 71 31 2-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 3-0-0 3-0-0 3W
Chargers 2 0 0 1.000 47 30 17 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Bengals 2 0 0 1.000 48 43 5 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Colts 2 0 0 1.000 62 36 26 2-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Raiders 1 1 0 0.500 29 33 -4 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Ravens 1 1 0 0.500 81 58 23 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Patriots 1 1 0 0.500 46 47 -1 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Steelers 1 1 0 0.500 51 63 -12 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1L
Broncos 1 1 0 0.500 48 41 7 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Jaguars 1 1 0 0.500 53 41 12 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Titans 0 2 0 0.000 31 53 -22 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L
Chiefs 0 2 0 0.000 38 47 -9 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L
Jets 0 2 0 0.000 42 64 -22 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Browns 0 2 0 0.000 33 58 -25 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Texans 0 2 0 0.000 28 34 -6 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 2L
Dolphins 0 3 0 0.000 56 97 -41 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-3-0 0-3-0 3L
NFC Conference W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Packers 2 0 0 1.000 54 31 23 2-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Eagles 2 0 0 1.000 44 37 7 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Buccaneers 2 0 0 1.000 43 39 4 0-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2W
49ers 2 0 0 1.000 43 34 9 0-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Cardinals 2 0 0 1.000 47 35 12 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Rams 2 0 0 1.000 47 28 19 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Falcons 1 1 0 0.500 42 29 13 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Commanders 1 1 0 0.500 39 33 6 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Vikings 1 1 0 0.500 33 46 -13 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Cowboys 1 1 0 0.500 60 61 -1 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Lions 1 1 0 0.500 65 48 17 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Seahawks 1 1 0 0.500 44 34 10 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Panthers 0 2 0 0.000 32 53 -21 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L
Bears 0 2 0 0.000 45 79 -34 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Saints 0 2 0 0.000 34 46 -12 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Giants 0 2 0 0.000 43 61 -18 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
NFL Team W L T PCT PF PA N. Pts Home Road Div Conf Last 5 Strk
Cardinals 2 0 0 1.000 47 35 12 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Bengals 2 0 0 1.000 48 43 5 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Packers 2 0 0 1.000 54 31 23 2-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Colts 2 0 0 1.000 62 36 26 2-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Chargers 2 0 0 1.000 47 30 17 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Rams 2 0 0 1.000 47 28 19 1-0-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Eagles 2 0 0 1.000 44 37 7 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2W
49ers 2 0 0 1.000 43 34 9 0-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Buccaneers 2 0 0 1.000 43 39 4 0-0-0 2-0-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 2W
Bills 3 0 0 1.000 102 71 31 2-0-0 1-0-0 2-0-0 3-0-0 3-0-0 3W
Falcons 1 1 0 0.500 42 29 13 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Ravens 1 1 0 0.500 81 58 23 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Cowboys 1 1 0 0.500 60 61 -1 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Broncos 1 1 0 0.500 48 41 7 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Lions 1 1 0 0.500 65 48 17 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Jaguars 1 1 0 0.500 53 41 12 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Raiders 1 1 0 0.500 29 33 -4 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Vikings 1 1 0 0.500 33 46 -13 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Patriots 1 1 0 0.500 46 47 -1 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Steelers 1 1 0 0.500 51 63 -12 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-0-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1L
Seahawks 1 1 0 0.500 44 34 10 0-1-0 1-0-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 1-1-0 1W
Commanders 1 1 0 0.500 39 33 6 1-0-0 0-1-0 1-0-0 1-1-0 1-1-0 1L
Panthers 0 2 0 0.000 32 53 -21 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L
Bears 0 2 0 0.000 45 79 -34 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Browns 0 2 0 0.000 33 58 -25 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Texans 0 2 0 0.000 28 34 -6 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 2L
Chiefs 0 2 0 0.000 38 47 -9 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L
Dolphins 0 3 0 0.000 56 97 -41 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-3-0 0-3-0 3L
Saints 0 2 0 0.000 34 46 -12 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Giants 0 2 0 0.000 43 61 -18 0-0-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Jets 0 2 0 0.000 42 64 -22 0-2-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 0-2-0 2L
Titans 0 2 0 0.000 31 53 -22 0-1-0 0-1-0 0-0-0 0-1-0 0-2-0 2L