Steelers vs Jets Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Sep 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Steelers vs Jets

The Pittsburgh Steelers lock horns with the New York Jets in this NFL Week 1 matchup at MetLife Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, September 7. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

The best betting angle could be wagering on the totals when the Jets clash with the Steelers. Our prediction is for Over 37.5 points to be scored at odds of -112.

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Pittsburgh Steelers lost their previous game in the Wild Card Round, falling 28–14 on the road to the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium. The Steelers generated 280 total yards, including 251 through the air and just 29 on the ground. Their offense produced 11 first downs and accounted for two touchdowns.

New York Jets were winners last time out. It was a 32-20 home victory against Miami Dolphins at MetLife Stadium. The Jets generated 375 total yards, made up of 257 passing and 118 rushing yards. They picked up 22 first downs and found the end zone 4 times.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Steelers triumphed 37-15 when they last played the Jets. This head-to-head was played at Acrisure Stadium. The previous 3 games featuring these teams have resulted in two Jets victories.

Quarterbacks

Justin Fields

173.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Aaron Rodgers

201.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Steelers vs Jets Prediction & Picks

From our key match prediction to correct score pick, top player prop insights and a builder tailored for value — our Steelers vs Jets betting tips covers it all.

Game Prediction

We think that 37.5 is a generous total for Over backers in this NFL matchup. Take the -112 that we see the teams combine to good effect.

The NFL predictions at Sportsgambler.com are always guided by the latest team news, injury updates and overall form. Once we've reviewed that, we dive into the most relevant stats to confidently recommend every pick.

Key Steelers vs Jets stats:

• The 37.5 line has been covered in the last 8 Steelers games on the road.
• The 37.5 line has been covered in 13 of the last 20 Steelers games.
• The 37.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Jets games.
• The 37.5 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Jets games.
• The 37.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Jets games.
• The 37.5 line has been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Over 37.5 Probability

The best betting apps make it a 52.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts have this number closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

It’s possible to increase the odds on your Over wager by combining it with other picks. A Bet Builder allows you to place multiple bets from the same game into one single parlay.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 37.5 Points @ -112 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (19:26, 05 September 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Justin Fields Over 173.5 Passing Yards -114

You can place a bet on Justin Fields (Steelers) at -114 to reach over 173.5 passing yards. We’re happy to take him to cover the QB Passing Yards line and bettors can place this wager with confidence.

Latest Justin Fields Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+220

First

+950

Passing Yards

Over 173.5

-114

Under 173.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 44.5

-114

Under 44.5

-114

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DK Metcalf Anytime TD +175

DK Metcalf (Steelers) can be backed at +175 to score in the red zone. We think this is the pick of the player props, with generous odds available when it comes to backing him to score a touchdown at any time.

Latest DK Metcalf Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+180

First

+750

Receiving Yards

Over 54.5

-114

Under 54.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Steelers 20 - 21 Jets

We’re expecting this to be a close battle and we’ll take the Jets to win 21-20. This is available at huge odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

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Steelers vs Jets Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Pittsburgh Steelers are regarded as having a 62% chance of winning this game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -161. New York Jets are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +136.

3 is the spread and 37.5 is the total points line. A Total wager relates to the number of points that will be scored overall. The Over 37.5 selection is available to back at -115.

If you're betting on the National Football League, it's a good idea to visit the best sportsbooks and browse the extensive selection of game lines and team props. You'll find great opportunities to place bets both pre-game and in-game.

Moneyline

Steelers

-161

Jets

+136

Point Spread

Steelers -3

-110

Jets +3

-110

Total Points

Under 37.5

-105

Over 37.5

-115

You will find Jaylen Warren at +600 to be First Touchdown Scorer which makes him the favorite. There’s the chance to get +140 that he scores a TD at anytime.

Touchdown

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

First TD

+600

Anytime TD

+140

Breece Hall (Jets)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+160

DK Metcalf (Steelers)

First TD

+750

Anytime TD

+180

Justin Fields (Steelers)

First TD

+950

Anytime TD

+220

Garrett Wilson (Jets)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+270

Braelon Allen (Jets)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+260

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+410

Kaleb Johnson (Steelers)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+430

Jonnu Smith (Steelers)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+450

Calvin Austin III (Steelers)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+440

Roman Wilson (Steelers)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+550

Kenneth Gainwell (Steelers)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+550

Mason Taylor (Jets)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+700

Allen Lazard (Jets)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+750

Josh Reynolds (Jets)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+900

Robert Woods (Steelers)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+950

Scott Miller (Steelers)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1200

Aaron Rodgers (Jets)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1600

Darnell Washington (Steelers)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1900

Tyler Johnson (Jets)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Jeremy Ruckert (Jets)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Isaiah Davis (Jets)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1700

Kene Nwangwu (Jets)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1700

Ben Skowronek (Steelers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2500

Stone Smartt (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Connor Heyward (Steelers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Andrew Beck (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Arian Smith (Jets)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Receiving Yards

DK Metcalf (Steelers)

Over 54.5

-114

Under 54.5

-114

Garrett Wilson (Jets)

Over 51.5

-114

Under 51.5

-114

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Jonnu Smith (Steelers)

Over 27.5

-114

Under 27.5

-114

Calvin Austin III (Steelers)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Mason Taylor (Jets)

Over 22.5

-114

Under 22.5

-114

Josh Reynolds (Jets)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Breece Hall (Jets)

Over 17.5

-114

Under 17.5

-114

Allen Lazard (Jets)

Over 11.5

-114

Under 11.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Jaylen Warren (Steelers)

Over 53.5

-114

Under 53.5

-114

Breece Hall (Jets)

Over 44.5

-114

Under 44.5

-114

Justin Fields (Steelers)

Over 44.5

-114

Under 44.5

-114

Braelon Allen (Jets)

Over 28.5

-114

Under 28.5

-114

Kaleb Johnson (Steelers)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

Passing Yards

Aaron Rodgers (Jets)

Over 201.5

-114

Under 201.5

-114

Justin Fields (Steelers)

Over 173.5

-114

Under 173.5

-114

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to NFL micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Last Ten Home Games Have Produced Five Wins for Jets

The Jets have five wins and five losses in the last 10 home games, averaging 22.30 points on offense and surrendering 17.60 on defense.

The Steelers have stumbled to three consecutive losses away from home. They have gone 5-5 across their last 10 road games, putting up 22.20 points on average and giving up 23.40.

The most recent MetLife Stadium meeting saw the Jets claim a 16-10 win over the Steelers.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O37.5	U37.5
Jets Home Stats		5-5	39.90	22.30	17.60	5	5
Steelers Away Stats		5-5	45.60	22.20	23.40	8	2

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O37.5 = Games Over 37.5 Points
• U37.5 = Games Under 37.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Pittsburgh Steelers Stats

New York Jets Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 45.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 37.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 37.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 20.70 pts and allowed 25.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.20 pts and allowed 23.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 46.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 39.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 37.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 37.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.00 pts and allowed 25.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 22.30 pts and allowed 17.60 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 308.50 Yds. Allowed 353.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 109.00 Yds. Allowed 125.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 199.50 Yds. Allowed 228.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.80. Allowed 21.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 7.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.20 Yds. Gained 54.40 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 312.60 Yds. Allowed 328.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 98.40 Yds. Allowed 116.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 214.20 Yds. Allowed 212.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.40 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.70. Allowed 21.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.20. Committed by opponents 5.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 62.20 Yds. Gained 55.00 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 317.60 Yds. Allowed 335.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 115.50 Yds. Allowed 123.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 202.10 Yds. Allowed 212.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.90. Allowed 20.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 1.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.90. Committed by opponents 5.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 56.20 Yds. Gained 50.60 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 326.90 Yds. Allowed 255.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 103.40 Yds. Allowed 116.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 223.50 Yds. Allowed 138.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.50 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.20. Allowed 16.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 9.10. Committed by opponents 5.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 78.50 Yds. Gained 56.80 Yds

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