Steelers vs Commanders Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 Nov 2024

The Teams Might Struggle to Score Big

We’re going for a modest total when the Commanders clash with the Steelers. Under 45 could be on the money and our prediction is currently available at odds of -110.

Commanders Beat Steelers When Teams Last Met

Pittsburgh Steelers made it three consecutive wins after a 26-18 home success over New York Giants at Acrisure Stadium. The Steelers gained 167 rushing and 259 passing yards, making 426 yards in total. They scored 2 touchdowns and picked up 20 first downs.

Washington Commanders have triumphed in their last four home games. Most recently, they won on the road when beating New York Giants 27-22 at MetLife Stadium. The Commanders gained a total of 358 yards, comprising 209 passing and 149 rushing yards. They picked up 21 first downs and scored 3 touchdowns.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was a 23-17 win for the Commanders at Heinz Field when they last played the Steelers.

Steelers vs Commanders Prediction & Picks

Under 45 points could be on the money for this NFL matchup. Our pick is based on a low-scoring game and the odds of -110 looks like a value bet.

A good deal of research goes into our NFL predictions. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Steelers vs Commanders stats:

• The 45 line hasn’t been covered in 15 of the last 20 Steelers games on the road.
• The 45 line hasn’t been covered in 5 of the last 8 Steelers games this season.
• The 45 line hasn’t been covered in 13 of the last 20 Commanders games at home.

Under 45 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick winning. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

The bigger odds can be found if you combine your Under bet on the Totals with other picks in a Bet Builder. This is popular way of betting on multiple outcomes in a single game.

Best Bet

Under 45 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Steelers 13 - 23 Commanders

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a huge potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Commanders to achieve a 23-13 victory at monster odds.

Steelers vs Commanders Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Commanders Trading at Shorter Odds Than Steelers

With the sportsbooks giving them a 60% probability of winning this game, Washington Commanders might be a popular parlay pick. That is reflected in their -147 Moneyline betting odds. Pittsburgh Steelers are the underdogs at +120 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is 2.5 and the total points line is currently 45.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular NFL bets. Those that want to back Under 45.5 can find odds of -111 available.

Consider every angle when placing your National Football League bets. The betting sites have hundreds of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

Steelers

+120

Commanders

-147

Point Spread

Steelers +2.5

-103

Commanders -2.5

-114

Total Points

Under 45.5

-111

Over 45.5

-102

Player Props & Micro Betting

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player and quarterback prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to First, Last or Anytime Touchdown Scorer, while there are lots of other options.

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to NFL micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Drive Result. Check out the live team, score and player props and see if you can find an angle.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Pittsburgh Steelers Stats

Washington Commanders Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 38.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 36.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 45: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 45 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.10 pts and allowed 16.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 19.00 pts and allowed 17.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 50.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 49.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 45: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 45 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.30 pts and allowed 22.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 21.80 pts and allowed 27.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 323.80 Yds. Allowed 307.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 136.60 Yds. Allowed 100.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 187.20 Yds. Allowed 206.70 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.90. Allowed 17.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.20. Committed by opponents 6.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 46.70 Yds. Gained 55.90 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 370.80 Yds. Allowed 337.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 152.50 Yds. Allowed 141.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 218.30 Yds. Allowed 196.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.40. Allowed 20.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.80. Committed by opponents 5.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 45.00 Yds. Gained 43.90 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 318.50 Yds. Allowed 296.80 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 144.50 Yds. Allowed 100.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 174.00 Yds. Allowed 196.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.30. Allowed 16.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.30. Committed by opponents 3.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 52.80 Yds. Gained 36.90 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 367.40 Yds. Allowed 337.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 134.90 Yds. Allowed 129.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 232.50 Yds. Allowed 208.40 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 3.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 2.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.20. Allowed 18.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.90. Committed by opponents 4.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 38.40 Yds. Gained 32.80 Yds

Team News

NFL Standings Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

AFC East	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Patriots	5	2	0	0.714	181	133	48	1-2-0	4-0-0	2-0-0	3-2-0	4-1-0	4W
Bills	4	2	0	0.667	167	137	30	3-1-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	3-1-0	3-2-0	2L
Dolphins	1	6	0	0.143	140	205	-65	1-2-0	0-4-0	1-2-0	1-5-0	1-4-0	3L
Jets	0	7	0	0.000	129	183	-54	0-5-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-4-0	0-5-0	7L

AFC North	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Steelers	4	2	0	0.667	150	140	10	2-1-0	2-1-0	1-1-0	3-1-0	3-2-0	1L
Bengals	3	4	0	0.429	136	214	-78	2-1-0	1-3-0	2-0-0	3-1-0	1-4-0	1W
Browns	2	5	0	0.286	113	152	-39	2-2-0	0-3-0	0-3-0	1-3-0	2-3-0	1W
Ravens	1	5	0	0.167	144	194	-50	1-3-0	0-2-0	1-0-0	1-3-0	1-4-0	4L

AFC South	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Colts	6	1	0	0.857	232	140	92	4-0-0	2-1-0	1-0-0	5-0-0	4-1-0	3W
Jaguars	4	3	0	0.571	146	155	-9	3-2-0	1-1-0	1-0-0	2-1-0	3-2-0	2L
Texans	2	4	0	0.333	127	88	39	1-1-0	1-3-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	2-3-0	1L
Titans	1	6	0	0.143	96	192	-96	0-3-0	1-3-0	0-2-0	0-5-0	1-4-0	2L

AFC West	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Broncos	5	2	0	0.714	163	127	36	3-0-0	2-2-0	0-1-0	3-2-0	4-1-0	4W
Chargers	5	3	0	0.625	188	173	15	3-2-0	2-1-0	3-0-0	4-1-0	2-3-0	1W
Chiefs	4	3	0	0.571	186	124	62	3-1-0	1-2-0	1-1-0	2-2-0	4-1-0	2W
Raiders	2	5	0	0.286	103	180	-77	1-2-0	1-3-0	0-2-0	2-3-0	1-4-0	1L

NFC East	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Eagles	5	2	0	0.714	170	165	5	2-1-0	3-1-0	1-1-0	4-1-0	3-2-0	1W
Cowboys	3	3	1	0.429	222	206	16	2-0-1	1-3-0	2-1-0	2-3-1	2-2-1	1W
Commanders	3	4	0	0.429	180	170	10	2-1-0	1-3-0	1-1-0	1-4-0	2-3-0	2L
Giants	2	5	0	0.286	153	177	-24	2-1-0	0-4-0	1-2-0	1-3-0	2-3-0	1L

NFC North	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Packers	4	1	1	0.667	158	125	33	3-0-0	1-1-1	1-0-0	3-0-1	3-1-1	2W
Lions	5	2	0	0.714	215	151	64	3-0-0	2-2-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	4-1-0	1W
Bears	4	2	0	0.667	152	155	-3	2-1-0	2-1-0	0-2-0	3-2-0	4-1-0	4W
Vikings	3	4	0	0.429	155	162	-7	1-2-0	2-2-0	1-0-0	1-2-0	2-3-0	2L

NFC South	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Buccaneers	5	2	0	0.714	174	175	-1	2-1-0	3-1-0	1-0-0	3-2-0	3-2-0	1L
Panthers	4	3	0	0.571	145	152	-7	3-0-0	1-3-0	1-0-0	2-1-0	4-1-0	3W
Falcons	3	3	0	0.500	110	120	-10	2-1-0	1-2-0	0-2-0	2-3-0	3-2-0	1L
Saints	1	6	0	0.143	125	186	-61	1-3-0	0-3-0	0-0-0	1-4-0	1-4-0	2L

NFC West	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
49ers	5	2	0	0.714	145	138	7	2-1-0	3-1-0	3-0-0	5-1-0	3-2-0	1W
Seahawks	5	2	0	0.714	193	136	57	2-2-0	3-0-0	1-1-0	2-2-0	4-1-0	2W
Rams	5	2	0	0.714	175	117	58	2-1-0	3-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	3-2-0	2W
Cardinals	2	5	0	0.286	153	154	-1	1-3-0	1-2-0	0-2-0	2-3-0	0-5-0	5L

AFC Conference	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Colts	6	1	0	0.857	232	140	92	4-0-0	2-1-0	1-0-0	5-0-0	4-1-0	3W
Patriots	5	2	0	0.714	181	133	48	1-2-0	4-0-0	2-0-0	3-2-0	4-1-0	4W
Broncos	5	2	0	0.714	163	127	36	3-0-0	2-2-0	0-1-0	3-2-0	4-1-0	4W
Steelers	4	2	0	0.667	150	140	10	2-1-0	2-1-0	1-1-0	3-1-0	3-2-0	1L
Bills	4	2	0	0.667	167	137	30	3-1-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	3-1-0	3-2-0	2L
Chargers	5	3	0	0.625	188	173	15	3-2-0	2-1-0	3-0-0	4-1-0	2-3-0	1W
Jaguars	4	3	0	0.571	146	155	-9	3-2-0	1-1-0	1-0-0	2-1-0	3-2-0	2L
Chiefs	4	3	0	0.571	186	124	62	3-1-0	1-2-0	1-1-0	2-2-0	4-1-0	2W
Bengals	3	4	0	0.429	136	214	-78	2-1-0	1-3-0	2-0-0	3-1-0	1-4-0	1W
Texans	2	4	0	0.333	127	88	39	1-1-0	1-3-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	2-3-0	1L
Raiders	2	5	0	0.286	103	180	-77	1-2-0	1-3-0	0-2-0	2-3-0	1-4-0	1L
Browns	2	5	0	0.286	113	152	-39	2-2-0	0-3-0	0-3-0	1-3-0	2-3-0	1W
Ravens	1	5	0	0.167	144	194	-50	1-3-0	0-2-0	1-0-0	1-3-0	1-4-0	4L
Dolphins	1	6	0	0.143	140	205	-65	1-2-0	0-4-0	1-2-0	1-5-0	1-4-0	3L
Titans	1	6	0	0.143	96	192	-96	0-3-0	1-3-0	0-2-0	0-5-0	1-4-0	2L
Jets	0	7	0	0.000	129	183	-54	0-5-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-4-0	0-5-0	7L

NFC Conference	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Packers	4	1	1	0.667	158	125	33	3-0-0	1-1-1	1-0-0	3-0-1	3-1-1	2W
49ers	5	2	0	0.714	145	138	7	2-1-0	3-1-0	3-0-0	5-1-0	3-2-0	1W
Eagles	5	2	0	0.714	170	165	5	2-1-0	3-1-0	1-1-0	4-1-0	3-2-0	1W
Buccaneers	5	2	0	0.714	174	175	-1	2-1-0	3-1-0	1-0-0	3-2-0	3-2-0	1L
Lions	5	2	0	0.714	215	151	64	3-0-0	2-2-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	4-1-0	1W
Seahawks	5	2	0	0.714	193	136	57	2-2-0	3-0-0	1-1-0	2-2-0	4-1-0	2W
Rams	5	2	0	0.714	175	117	58	2-1-0	3-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	3-2-0	2W
Bears	4	2	0	0.667	152	155	-3	2-1-0	2-1-0	0-2-0	3-2-0	4-1-0	4W
Panthers	4	3	0	0.571	145	152	-7	3-0-0	1-3-0	1-0-0	2-1-0	4-1-0	3W
Cowboys	3	3	1	0.429	222	206	16	2-0-1	1-3-0	2-1-0	2-3-1	2-2-1	1W
Falcons	3	3	0	0.500	110	120	-10	2-1-0	1-2-0	0-2-0	2-3-0	3-2-0	1L
Vikings	3	4	0	0.429	155	162	-7	1-2-0	2-2-0	1-0-0	1-2-0	2-3-0	2L
Commanders	3	4	0	0.429	180	170	10	2-1-0	1-3-0	1-1-0	1-4-0	2-3-0	2L
Cardinals	2	5	0	0.286	153	154	-1	1-3-0	1-2-0	0-2-0	2-3-0	0-5-0	5L
Giants	2	5	0	0.286	153	177	-24	2-1-0	0-4-0	1-2-0	1-3-0	2-3-0	1L
Saints	1	6	0	0.143	125	186	-61	1-3-0	0-3-0	0-0-0	1-4-0	1-4-0	2L

NFL Team	W	L	T	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Colts	6	1	0	0.857	232	140	92	4-0-0	2-1-0	1-0-0	5-0-0	4-1-0	3W
Packers	4	1	1	0.667	158	125	33	3-0-0	1-1-1	1-0-0	3-0-1	3-1-1	2W
Broncos	5	2	0	0.714	163	127	36	3-0-0	2-2-0	0-1-0	3-2-0	4-1-0	4W
Lions	5	2	0	0.714	215	151	64	3-0-0	2-2-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	4-1-0	1W
Rams	5	2	0	0.714	175	117	58	2-1-0	3-1-0	0-1-0	0-2-0	3-2-0	2W
Patriots	5	2	0	0.714	181	133	48	1-2-0	4-0-0	2-0-0	3-2-0	4-1-0	4W
Eagles	5	2	0	0.714	170	165	5	2-1-0	3-1-0	1-1-0	4-1-0	3-2-0	1W
49ers	5	2	0	0.714	145	138	7	2-1-0	3-1-0	3-0-0	5-1-0	3-2-0	1W
Seahawks	5	2	0	0.714	193	136	57	2-2-0	3-0-0	1-1-0	2-2-0	4-1-0	2W
Buccaneers	5	2	0	0.714	174	175	-1	2-1-0	3-1-0	1-0-0	3-2-0	3-2-0	1L
Bills	4	2	0	0.667	167	137	30	3-1-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	3-1-0	3-2-0	2L
Bears	4	2	0	0.667	152	155	-3	2-1-0	2-1-0	0-2-0	3-2-0	4-1-0	4W
Steelers	4	2	0	0.667	150	140	10	2-1-0	2-1-0	1-1-0	3-1-0	3-2-0	1L
Chargers	5	3	0	0.625	188	173	15	3-2-0	2-1-0	3-0-0	4-1-0	2-3-0	1W
Panthers	4	3	0	0.571	145	152	-7	3-0-0	1-3-0	1-0-0	2-1-0	4-1-0	3W
Jaguars	4	3	0	0.571	146	155	-9	3-2-0	1-1-0	1-0-0	2-1-0	3-2-0	2L
Chiefs	4	3	0	0.571	186	124	62	3-1-0	1-2-0	1-1-0	2-2-0	4-1-0	2W
Falcons	3	3	0	0.500	110	120	-10	2-1-0	1-2-0	0-2-0	2-3-0	3-2-0	1L
Cowboys	3	3	1	0.429	222	206	16	2-0-1	1-3-0	2-1-0	2-3-1	2-2-1	1W
Bengals	3	4	0	0.429	136	214	-78	2-1-0	1-3-0	2-0-0	3-1-0	1-4-0	1W
Vikings	3	4	0	0.429	155	162	-7	1-2-0	2-2-0	1-0-0	1-2-0	2-3-0	2L
Commanders	3	4	0	0.429	180	170	10	2-1-0	1-3-0	1-1-0	1-4-0	2-3-0	2L
Texans	2	4	0	0.333	127	88	39	1-1-0	1-3-0	1-1-0	2-1-0	2-3-0	1L
Cardinals	2	5	0	0.286	153	154	-1	1-3-0	1-2-0	0-2-0	2-3-0	0-5-0	5L
Browns	2	5	0	0.286	113	152	-39	2-2-0	0-3-0	0-3-0	1-3-0	2-3-0	1W
Raiders	2	5	0	0.286	103	180	-77	1-2-0	1-3-0	0-2-0	2-3-0	1-4-0	1L
Giants	2	5	0	0.286	153	177	-24	2-1-0	0-4-0	1-2-0	1-3-0	2-3-0	1L
Ravens	1	5	0	0.167	144	194	-50	1-3-0	0-2-0	1-0-0	1-3-0	1-4-0	4L
Dolphins	1	6	0	0.143	140	205	-65	1-2-0	0-4-0	1-2-0	1-5-0	1-4-0	3L
Saints	1	6	0	0.143	125	186	-61	1-3-0	0-3-0	0-0-0	1-4-0	1-4-0	2L
Titans	1	6	0	0.143	96	192	-96	0-3-0	1-3-0	0-2-0	0-5-0	1-4-0	2L
Jets	0	7	0	0.000	129	183	-54	0-5-0	0-2-0	0-2-0	0-4-0	0-5-0	7L