Seahawks vs Patriots Prediction, Picks & Odds | 08 Feb 2026

Super Bowl LX Betting Preview: Seahawks vs Patriots

No. 1 Seattle Seahawks square off against No. 2 New England Patriots in Super Bowl LX at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California, with kickoff scheduled for 19:30 on Sunday, February 8. New England is chasing history, aiming to become the first NFL franchise to claim a seventh Super Bowl title.

The case for backing the Seahawks to cover the spread is built on defensive control and quarterback efficiency. Seattle’s aggressive defense is expected to pressure Drake Maye into mistakes, while Sam Darnold is projected to manage the game effectively, limit turnovers and take advantage of favorable field position.

The Seattle Seahawks (14-3, 1st in NFC West) continued their run of form by outlasting the Los Angeles Rams 31–27 in the NFC Championship Game at Lumen Field, extending their winning streak to nine straight victories and punching their ticket to the title game.

The Hawks finished with 396 yards against the Rams, including 321 passing and 75 rushing yards. They moved the chains 24 times and struck for four touchdowns.

The New England Patriots (14-3, 1st in AFC East) enter the Super Bowl riding a six-game winning streak, capped by a 10–7 road victory over the Denver Broncos in the AFC Championship Game at Empower Field at Mile High.

The Pats generated 206 yards, including 65 passing and 141 rushing yards. Their output included 12 first downs along with a single touchdown.

Head-to-Head Statistics

When the teams last met, the Hawks defeated the Pats 23–20 in overtime at Gillette Stadium, with a 31-yard field goal sealing the win in the 2024 regular season game.

Seattle holds an 11–9 edge in the all-time head-to-head meetings, while the matchup also revisits Super Bowl history, with the Pats defeating the Hawks 28–24 in Super Bowl XLIX.

Quarterbacks

Sam Darnold

233.5 Passing Yards

Over -110

Under -110

Drake Maye

224.5 Passing Yards

Over -110

Under -110

Seahawks vs Patriots Prediction & Picks

From our key match prediction to a correct score pick, top player prop insights and a same game parlay tailored for value, our Seahawks vs Patriots analysis covers it all.

Game Prediction

We’re backing the Seahawks to cover the spread in the championship game. The favorites look well-placed to clear the -4.5 line, with odds of -112 on offer.

The NFL handicappers at Sportsgambler.com keep close tabs on team news as it develops, while also leaning on recent form and key performance indicators such as EPA per play and turnover differential to help shape our predictions and guide the final call.

Key Seahawks vs Patriots stats:

• The -4.5 line has been covered by Seahawks in 13 of their last 20 games.
• The -4.5 line has been covered by Seahawks in 12 of their 19 games this season.

Seahawks -4.5 Probability

According to the top sportsbooks, this pick carries an implied probability of 52.9%. Our internal assessment places the likelihood slightly higher, in the 55–60% range, after accounting for matchup dynamics, efficiency metrics, turnover expectations and situational factors. The difference between market pricing and our projection is narrow but meaningful, which is why the play meets our threshold for recommendation.

If you’re seeking a higher price on your spread selection, alternative lines can offer a different risk-reward profile. Adjusting the spread allows you to trade margin for odds, depending on how you see the matchup playing out.

Looking for Super Bowl betting promos? Our guide outlines a wide range of welcome bonuses from top-rated sportsbooks that are available ahead of the championship matchup.

Our Game Prediction

Seahawks -4.5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 7, 02:25). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Sam Darnold Over 229.5 Passing Yards -110

Sam Darnold is priced at -110 to go over 229.5 passing yards and this line looks achievable given the expected game flow. Seattle’s offensive setup points toward sustained passing volume, while Darnold’s recent efficiency and ability to exploit favorable field position support a projection above this total.

Latest Sam Darnold Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+850

First

+3500

Passing Yards

Over 233.5

-110

Under 233.5

-110

Rushing Yards

Over 5.5

-115

Under 5.5

-105

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Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime TD -110

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is priced at -110 to score a touchdown at any point in the game and the matchup sets up well for him to feature in key scoring situations. His role in the passing attack, combined with Seattle’s ability to generate red-zone opportunities, makes this a logical angle in the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market.

Latest Jaxon Smith-Njigba Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

-105

First

+550

Receiving Yards

Over 91.5

-110

Under 91.5

-110

Rushing Yards

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-357

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Seahawks 27 - 13 Patriots

The correct score market provides a fun long-shot angle if the showdown follows the expected script. We’re siding with Seattle to claim a 27–13 victory, a scoreline that fits the projected scoring pace, defensive efficiency and the expectation of limited red-zone opportunities for New England.

T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Seahawks vs Patriots Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With the sportsbooks giving the Seahawks a 70% probability of winning the Super Bowl, Seattle is likely to be a popular pick. That is reflected in their -233 Moneyline odds. For those looking to oppose the favorites, New England is priced at +190.

The current spread is 4.5, while the total points line sits at 45.5. The Totals market offers NFL fans an alternative way of getting involved. If you’re going for Under 45.5, this outcome can be backed at -115.

The top NFL sportsbooks provide access to a broad selection of game lines, team props and player props, alongside pre-game and live betting options across the slate.

Moneyline

Seahawks

-233

Patriots

+190

Point Spread

Seahawks -4.5

-115

Patriots +4.5

-105

Total Points

Under 45.5

-115

Over 45.5

-105

Kenneth Walker III is priced at +390 to score the first touchdown of the game. He is also available in the anytime touchdown market at odds of -175.

Touchdown

Kenneth Walker III (Seahawks)

First TD

+390

Anytime TD

-175

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks)

First TD

+550

Anytime TD

-105

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+150

AJ Barner (Seahawks)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+260

Cooper Kupp (Seahawks)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+270

Stefon Diggs (Patriots)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+260

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+230

Kayshon Boutte (Patriots)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+310

Drake Maye (Patriots)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+300

Rashid Shaheed (Seahawks)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+390

Mack Hollins (Patriots)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+480

George Holani (Seahawks)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+500

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+500

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+700

Austin Hooper (Patriots)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+800

Sam Darnold (Seahawks)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+850

Elijah Arroyo (Seahawks)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1100

Jake Bobo (Seahawks)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1300

Efton Chism III (Patriots)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1100

Kyle Williams (Patriots)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1500

D'Ernest Johnson (Patriots)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Brady Russell (Seahawks)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+5500

Velus Jones Jr. (Seahawks)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Jack Westover (Patriots)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3300

Dareke Young (Seahawks)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4500

Cam Akers (Seahawks)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Eric Saubert (Seahawks)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2000

Robbie Ouzts (Seahawks)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+5500

Nick Kallerup (Seahawks)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Receiving Yards

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks)

Over 91.5

-110

Under 91.5

-110

Stefon Diggs (Patriots)

Over 41.5

-110

Under 41.5

-110

Hunter Henry (Patriots)

Over 38.5

-110

Under 38.5

-110

Cooper Kupp (Seahawks)

Over 32.5

-110

Under 32.5

-110

Kayshon Boutte (Patriots)

Over 30.5

-110

Under 30.5

-110

Mack Hollins (Patriots)

Over 24.5

-110

Under 24.5

-110

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

Over 23.5

-110

Under 23.5

-110

AJ Barner (Seahawks)

Over 23.5

-110

Under 23.5

-110

Rashid Shaheed (Seahawks)

Over 21.5

-110

Under 21.5

-110

Kenneth Walker III (Seahawks)

Over 20.5

-110

Under 20.5

-110

DeMario Douglas (Patriots)

Over 10.5

-110

Under 10.5

-110

George Holani (Seahawks)

Over 10.5

-110

Under 10.5

-110

Austin Hooper (Patriots)

Over 7.5

-110

Under 7.5

-110

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

Over 4.5

-110

Under 4.5

-110

Jake Bobo (Seahawks)

Over 0.5

+172

Under 0.5

-213

Kyle Williams (Patriots)

Over 0.5

+186

Under 0.5

-233

Elijah Arroyo (Seahawks)

Over 0.5

-110

Under 0.5

-110

Rushing Yards

Kenneth Walker III (Seahawks)

Over 70.5

-110

Under 70.5

-110

Rhamondre Stevenson (Patriots)

Over 48.5

-110

Under 48.5

-110

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 35.5

-110

Under 35.5

-110

TreVeyon Henderson (Patriots)

Over 18.5

-110

Under 18.5

-110

George Holani (Seahawks)

Over 10.5

-110

Under 10.5

-110

Sam Darnold (Seahawks)

Over 5.5

-115

Under 5.5

-105

Rashid Shaheed (Seahawks)

Over 4.5

-104

Under 4.5

-118

AJ Barner (Seahawks)

Over 0.5

+108

Under 0.5

-132

Jaxon Smith-Njigba (Seahawks)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-357

Passing Yards

Sam Darnold (Seahawks)

Over 233.5

-110

Under 233.5

-110

Drake Maye (Patriots)

Over 224.5

-110

Under 224.5

-110

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to NFL and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether a player will make or miss a field goal.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Seattle Seahawks Stats

New England Patriots Stats

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 9 wins and 1 defeat in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 42.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 45.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 45.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.00 pts and allowed 15.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 26.80 pts and allowed 15.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 44.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 45.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 45.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.90 pts and allowed 15.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 28.50 pts and allowed 16.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 340.60 Yds. Allowed 280.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 131.70 Yds. Allowed 96.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 208.90 Yds. Allowed 184.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.40 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.40. Allowed 15.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 5.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 39.50 Yds. Gained 42.70 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 369.30 Yds. Allowed 258.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 140.60 Yds. Allowed 115.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 228.70 Yds. Allowed 143.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.20 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.60 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.20. Allowed 16.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.90. Committed by opponents 1.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 3.30. Committed by opponents 4.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 37.70 Yds. Gained 36.20 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 366.00 Yds. Allowed 261.70 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 126.70 Yds. Allowed 91.60 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 239.30 Yds. Allowed 170.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.90 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.90. Allowed 15.10
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.40
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 5.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.80 Yds. Gained 44.70 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 363.10 Yds. Allowed 249.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 143.40 Yds. Allowed 94.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 219.70 Yds. Allowed 154.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.40 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.50. Allowed 16.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.40. Committed by opponents 5.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 42.70 Yds. Gained 36.90 Yds

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