Buccaneers vs Falcons Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Sep 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Buccaneers vs Falcons

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers go up against the Atlanta Falcons in this NFL Week 1 matchup at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, September 7. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

The wager we really like is the Buccaneers on the Moneyline. Our betting prediction is trading at -120 for them to beat the Falcons and this looks great value.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ last game was a 23–20 home loss to the Washington Commanders in the Wild Card Round of the NFC playoffs at Raymond James Stadium, ending their season. The Bucs totaled 284 yards with 183 passing and 101 rushing, while moving the chains 19 times and scoring 2 touchdowns, both through the air.

Atlanta Falcons lost their last game, being beaten at home to Carolina Panthers 44-38 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons put up 539 yards, split between 312 passing and 227 rushing yards. The offense picked up 31 first downs and crossed the goal line 5 times.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Falcons have beaten the Bucs in the last two meetings. They won 36-30 (OT) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium and triumphed 31-26 at Raymond James Stadium. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in six Bucs victories.

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

244.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Michael Penix Jr.

232.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Buccaneers vs Falcons Prediction & Picks

We’ve lined up expert Buccaneers vs Falcons betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to player prop picks and best bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

There’s merit in simply backing the Buccaneers to beat their opponents in this NFL matchup. Especially as odds of -120 are available when it comes to this pick.

Sportsgambler.com brings strong NFL expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our predictions and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.

Key Buccaneers vs Falcons stats:

• Buccaneers have won 6 of their last 10 games.
• Buccaneers have won 3 of their last 5 games.
• Falcons have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Falcons have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
• Falcons have lost their last 2 games.
• Falcons have lost 6 of their last 10 games against Buccaneers.

Bucs Moneyline Probability

The best betting apps make it a 54.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

As an option, you could consider the spread where you can back the Bucs to cover a particular line. That means you might need a margin of victory to yield a return.

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Our Game Prediction

Buccaneers Moneyline @ -120 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (19:26, 05 September 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Emeka Egbuka Anytime TD +210

Emeka Egbuka (Bucs) can be backed at +210 to hit the end zone. He looks like an attractive wager to take it to the house and we recommend backing this Anytime Touchdown Scorer selection.

Latest Emeka Egbuka Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+210

First

+1300

Receiving Yards

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

---

Baker Mayfield Over 242.5 Passing Yards -114

You can place a bet on Baker Mayfield (Bucs) at -114 to go over 242.5 passing yards. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous QB Passing Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.

Latest Baker Mayfield Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+700

First

+3000

Passing Yards

Over 244.5

-114

Under 244.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Buccaneers 28 - 24 Falcons

We’ll throw a dart when it comes to the Buccaneers claiming a 28-24 victory. This correct score prediction is available at monster odds and could be an entertaining wager to place.

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Buccaneers vs Falcons Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Atlanta Falcons are on offer at -104 on the Moneyline if you want to back this team, with Tampa Bay Buccaneers available at -112. This means the top sportsbooks give the road team a 53% chance of winning.

There is a spread of 1.5 and total points has a line of 47.5. The Totals offers NFL fans an alternative way of getting involved. If you’re going for Under 47.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

You’ll find a huge variety of game lines and team props for every matchup. The top NFL sportsbooks provide an impressive mix of pre-game and in-game options to suit your betting style.

Moneyline

Buccaneers

-112

Falcons

-104

Point Spread

Buccaneers -1.5

-102

Falcons +1.5

-120

Total Points

Under 47.5

-110

Over 47.5

-110

There is -222 available that Bijan Robinson scores a TD at any stage. He is available at +370 to record the first touchdown which makes him favorite.

Touchdown

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

First TD

+370

Anytime TD

-222

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-120

Mike Evans (Buccaneers)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+120

Drake London (Falcons)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+140

Emeka Egbuka (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+210

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+250

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+270

Rachaad White (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+300

Cade Otton (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+290

Darnell Mooney (Falcons)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+290

Ray-Ray McCloud III (Falcons)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+290

Sterling Shepard (Buccaneers)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+500

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+700

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Defense (Buccaneers)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+650

Atlanta Falcons Defense (Falcons)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+750

Trey Palmer (Buccaneers)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+850

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+700

David Sills V (Falcons)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1000

KhaDarel Hodge (Falcons)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+900

Casey Washington (Falcons)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1000

Payne Durham (Buccaneers)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

Tez Johnson (Buccaneers)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+1100

Sean Tucker (Buccaneers)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1000

Charlie Woerner (Falcons)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1400

Ryan Miller (Buccaneers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1700

Devin Culp (Buccaneers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1900

Ko Kieft (Buccaneers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1900

Kameron Johnson (Buccaneers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1700

Jamal Agnew (Falcons)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Carlos Washington Jr. (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Teagan Quitoriano (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Feleipe Franks (Falcons)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Receiving Yards

Drake London (Falcons)

Over 78.5

-114

Under 78.5

-114

Mike Evans (Buccaneers)

Over 71.5

-114

Under 71.5

-114

Emeka Egbuka (Buccaneers)

Over 57.5

-114

Under 57.5

-114

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

Over 37.5

-114

Under 37.5

-114

Cade Otton (Buccaneers)

Over 33.5

-114

Under 33.5

-114

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 24.5

-114

Under 24.5

-114

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-114

Sterling Shepard (Buccaneers)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Over 75.5

-114

Under 75.5

-114

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

Over 71.5

-114

Under 71.5

-114

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

Over 25.5

-114

Under 25.5

-114

Rachaad White (Buccaneers)

Over 21.5

-114

Under 21.5

-114

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-114

Passing Yards

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

Over 244.5

-114

Under 244.5

-114

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

Over 232.5

-114

Under 232.5

-114

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Falcons Have Collected Five Wins in Past Ten Home Games

The Falcons have a 5-5 record in their last 10 home games, putting up 24.40 points per contest and giving up 22.70.

The Bucs are 6-4 in their last 10 games away from home, scoring 27.70 points per contest and conceding 21.30.

The Falcons earned a 36-30 win over the Bucs the last time they played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Across the last 6 head-to-head meetings at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, the Bucs have come out on top four times, with the Falcons having two wins.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O47.5	U47.5
Falcons Home Stats		5-5	47.10	24.40	22.70	5	5
Buccaneers Away Stats		6-4	49.00	27.70	21.30	7	3

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O47.5 = Games Over 47.5 Points
• U47.5 = Games Under 47.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats

Atlanta Falcons Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 47.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.70 pts and allowed 19.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 27.70 pts and allowed 21.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 48.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 47.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 47.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.60 pts and allowed 25.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 24.40 pts and allowed 22.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 396.10 Yds. Allowed 306.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 158.80 Yds. Allowed 69.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 237.30 Yds. Allowed 237.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.30 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.80. Allowed 18.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 0.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.50. Committed by opponents 5.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 53.10 Yds. Gained 45.00 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 371.50 Yds. Allowed 351.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 138.20 Yds. Allowed 109.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 232.80 Yds. Allowed 242.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.40. Allowed 20.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 7.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.30 Yds. Gained 56.70 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 387.50 Yds. Allowed 342.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 155.30 Yds. Allowed 87.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 232.20 Yds. Allowed 254.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.00. Allowed 20.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.00. Committed by opponents 5.10
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.90 Yds. Gained 47.60 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 372.10 Yds. Allowed 313.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 123.40 Yds. Allowed 114.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 248.70 Yds. Allowed 199.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.50. Allowed 19.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 45.60 Yds. Gained 50.20 Yds

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