NFL Betting Preview: Buccaneers vs Falcons

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers go up against the Atlanta Falcons in this NFL Week 1 matchup at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday 7 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

Side With Bucs on the Moneyline

The wager we really like is the Buccaneers on the Moneyline. Our betting prediction is trading at -120 for them to beat the Falcons and this looks great value.

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Teams’ Previous Meet Saw 31-26 Falcons Win

Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ last game was a 23–20 home loss to the Washington Commanders in the Wild Card Round of the NFC playoffs at Raymond James Stadium, ending their season. The Bucs totaled 284 yards with 183 passing and 101 rushing, while moving the chains 19 times and scoring 2 touchdowns, both through the air.

Atlanta Falcons lost their last game, being beaten at home to Carolina Panthers 44-38 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Falcons put up 539 yards, split between 312 passing and 227 rushing yards. The offense picked up 31 first downs and crossed the goal line 5 times.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Falcons have beaten the Bucs in the last two meetings. They won 36-30 (OT) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium and triumphed 31-26 at Raymond James Stadium. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in six Bucs victories.

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

Michael Penix Jr.

Buccaneers vs Falcons Prediction & Picks

We’ve lined up expert Buccaneers vs Falcons betting tips, from our match prediction and correct score call to player prop picks and best bet builder advice. Read on for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

There’s merit in simply backing the Buccaneers to beat their opponents in this NFL matchup. Especially as odds of -120 are available when it comes to this pick.

Sportsgambler.com brings strong NFL expertise, built on knowing the team news as soon as it’s confirmed. Recent form plays a big part in our predictions and we always back it up with the most relevant stats.

Key Buccaneers vs Falcons stats:

Buccaneers have won 6 of their last 10 games.
Buccaneers have won 3 of their last 5 games.
Falcons have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Falcons have lost 6 of their last 10 games.
Falcons have lost their last 2 games.
Falcons have lost 6 of their last 10 games against Buccaneers.

Bucs Moneyline Probability

The best betting apps make it a 54.6% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our team calculate this probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

Looking for Bigger Odds?

As an option, you could consider the spread where you can back the Bucs to cover a particular line. That means you might need a margin of victory to yield a return.

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Best Bet

Buccaneers Moneyline @ -120 Watch Live Bet Now

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Published 19:26, 05 September 2025

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Emeka Egbuka Anytime TD +210

Emeka Egbuka (Bucs) can be backed at +210 to hit the end zone. He looks like an attractive wager to take it to the house and we recommend backing this Anytime Touchdown Scorer selection.

Latest Emeka Egbuka Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Receiving Yards

Baker Mayfield Over 242.5 Passing Yards -114

You can place a bet on Baker Mayfield (Bucs) at -114 to go over 242.5 passing yards. With confidence, we can back him to cover the generous QB Passing Yards line, as all the signs point to him reaching the expected total.

Latest Baker Mayfield Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Passing Yards

Rushing Yards

Same Game Parlay Picks

Moneyline Buccaneers

Totals Over 47.5

Anytime Touchdown Emeka Egbuka

Our same game parlay has three options: Bucs to win, Over 47.5 points and Emeka Egbuka (Bucs) being among the touchdown scorers.

The same game parlay option is great for bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same football game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

Bet Boosts

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Correct Score Prediction

Buccaneers Buccaneers logo

28 - 24 Falcons logo

Falcons

We’ll throw a dart when it comes to the Buccaneers claiming a 28-24 victory. This correct score prediction is available at monster odds and could be an entertaining wager to place.

Buccaneers vs Falcons Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

Books Anticipating a Tight Affair

Atlanta Falcons are on offer at +102 on the Moneyline if you want to back this team, with Tampa Bay Buccaneers available at -120. This means the top sportsbooks give the road team a 55% chance of winning.

There is a spread of 1.5 and total points has a line of 47.5. The Totals offers NFL fans an alternative way of getting involved. If you’re going for Under 47.5, this outcome can be backed at -120.

You’ll find a huge variety of game lines and team props for every matchup. The top NFL sportsbooks provide an impressive mix of pre-game and in-game options to suit your betting style.

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total Points

Bijan Robinson Favorite to Score First Touchdown

There is -196 available that Bijan Robinson scores a TD at any stage. He is available at +400 to record the first touchdown which makes him favorite.

Touchdown

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

Mike Evans (Buccaneers)

Drake London (Falcons)

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Receiving Yards

Drake London (Falcons)

Mike Evans (Buccaneers)

Emeka Egbuka (Buccaneers)

Kyle Pitts (Falcons)

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Rushing Yards

Bijan Robinson (Falcons)

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

Tyler Allgeier (Falcons)

Rachaad White (Buccaneers)

View More View Less

Passing Yards

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

Michael Penix Jr. (Falcons)

Best Betting Offers

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Falcons Have Collected Five Wins in Past Ten Home Games

The Falcons have a 5-5 record in their last 10 home games, putting up 24.40 points per contest and giving up 22.70.

The Bucs are 6-4 in their last 10 games away from home, scoring 27.70 points per contest and conceding 21.30.

The Falcons earned a 36-30 win over the Bucs the last time they played at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Across the last 6 head-to-head meetings at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, the Bucs have come out on top four times, with the Falcons having two wins.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O47.5	U47.5
Falcons Home Stats		5-5	47.10	24.40	22.70	5	5
Buccaneers Away Stats		6-4	49.00	27.70	21.30	7	3

W-L = Wins-Losses
P = Avg. Points
PF = Avg. Points For
PA = Avg. Points Against
O47.5 = Games Over 47.5 Points
U47.5 = Games Under 47.5 Points

Last 5 & H2H

All
Home
Away

Last 5 Games

Buccaneers

NFL Playoffs: 13/01 Commanders23 Buccaneers 20
NFL: 05/01 Saints19 Buccaneers 27
NFL: 29/12 Panthers14 Buccaneers 48
NFL: 23/12 Buccaneers24 Cowboys 26
NFL: 15/12 Buccaneers40 Chargers 17

Falcons

NFL: 05/01 Panthers44 Falcons 38
NFL: 30/12 Falcons24 Commanders 30
NFL: 22/12 Giants7 Falcons 34
NFL: 17/12 Falcons15 Raiders 9
NFL: 08/12 Falcons21 Vikings 42

Head to Head

Buccaneers vs Falcons

NFL: 27/10 2024 Falcons 31 Buccaneers 26
NFL: 04/10 2024 Buccaneers 30 Falcons 36
NFL: 10/12 2023 Buccaneers 29 Falcons 25
NFL: 22/10 2023 Falcons 16 Buccaneers 13
NFL: 08/01 2023 Buccaneers 17 Falcons 30
NFL: 09/10 2022 Falcons 15 Buccaneers 21
NFL: 05/12 2021 Buccaneers 30 Falcons 17
NFL: 19/09 2021 Falcons 25 Buccaneers 48
NFL: 03/01 2021 Falcons 27 Buccaneers 44
NFL: 20/12 2020 Buccaneers 31 Falcons 27

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats

Atlanta Falcons Stats

Moneyline

6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

-1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
-1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

+1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
+1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 48.20 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 49.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 47.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 47.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.70 pts and allowed 19.50 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 27.70 pts and allowed 21.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 48.00 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 47.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 47.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
Over 47.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.60 pts and allowed 25.40 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 24.40 pts and allowed 22.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

Total Yards: Gained 396.10 Yds. Allowed 306.40 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 158.80 Yds. Allowed 69.20 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 237.30 Yds. Allowed 237.20 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.30 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.80. Allowed 18.70
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 0.80
Total Penalties: Committed 6.50. Committed by opponents 5.20
Penalty Yards: Lost 53.10 Yds. Gained 45.00 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

Total Yards: Gained 371.50 Yds. Allowed 351.50 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 138.20 Yds. Allowed 109.20 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 232.80 Yds. Allowed 242.30 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 3.10 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.40. Allowed 20.00
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.10
Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 7.20
Penalty Yards: Lost 44.30 Yds. Gained 56.70 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

Total Yards: Gained 387.50 Yds. Allowed 342.50 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 155.30 Yds. Allowed 87.90 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 232.20 Yds. Allowed 254.60 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.00. Allowed 20.30
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.40. Committed by opponents 1.30
Total Penalties: Committed 6.00. Committed by opponents 5.10
Penalty Yards: Lost 47.90 Yds. Gained 47.60 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

Total Yards: Gained 372.10 Yds. Allowed 313.90 Yds
Rushing Yards: Gained 123.40 Yds. Allowed 114.40 Yds
Passing Yards: Gained 248.70 Yds. Allowed 199.50 Yds
Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.50. Allowed 19.60
Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 0.90
Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 6.30
Penalty Yards: Lost 45.60 Yds. Gained 50.20 Yds

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Team News

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injuries

Type

Name

Info

Chris Godwin

Ankle

Garret Greenfield

Undisclosed

Christian Izien

Oblique

Jalen McMillan

Neck

Benjamin Morrison

Quadriceps

J.J. Roberts

Knee

Jaden Smith

Undisclosed

Vita Vea

Foot

David Walker

Knee

Tristan Wirfs

Knee

Atlanta Falcons Injuries

Type

Name

Info

Troy Andersen

Knee

Ta'Quon Graham

Undisclosed

DeMarcco Hellams

Hamstring

Emory Jones

Concussion

Kaleb McGary

Leg

Darnell Mooney

Shoulder

Jack Nelson

Calf

Storm Norton

Ankle

Bralen Trice

Knee

Malik Verdon

Undisclosed

Tyrone Wheatley

Undisclosed

Previous Tampa Bay Buccaneers Lineups

12 Jan NFL Playoffs

Commanders 23-20 Buccaneers

AFC East	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bills	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Dolphins	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Patriots	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jets	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC North	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Ravens	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Bengals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Browns	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Steelers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC South	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Texans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Colts	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Jaguars	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Titans	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

AFC West	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Broncos	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chiefs	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Raiders	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Chargers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC East	W	L	PCT	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Eagles	1	0	1.000	24	20	4	1-0-0	0-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	1W
Giants	0	0	-	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Commanders	0	0	-	0	0	0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Cowboys	0	1	0.000	20	24	-4	0-0-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	0-1-0	1L

NFC North	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Bears	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Lions	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Packers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Vikings	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFC West	PCT	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 5	Strk
Cardinals	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Rams	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
49ers	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-
Seahawks	-	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	0-0-0	-	-

NFL Betting Preview: Buccaneers vs Falcons

Head-to-Head Statistics

Buccaneers vs Falcons Prediction & Picks

Game Prediction

Bucs Moneyline Probability

Best Bet

Player Prop Picks

Same Game Parlay Picks

Correct Score Prediction

Buccaneers vs Falcons Odds

Last 5 & H2H

Live Streaming

Team News

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Injuries

Atlanta Falcons Injuries

Previous Tampa Bay Buccaneers Lineups

Previous Atlanta Falcons Lineups

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