Buccaneers vs Dolphins Prediction, Picks & Odds | 28 Dec 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Buccaneers vs Dolphins

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers go up against the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, December 28.

We’re happy to get with the Dolphins against the spread. -108 is available that they are able to cover +5.5 against the Buccaneers and that looks more than reasonable.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers were beaten in their previous three games and the latest was on the road at Bank of America Stadium. Carolina Panthers claimed a 23-20 win. The Buccaneers put up 296 yards, including 127 passing and 169 rushing yards. They picked up 20 first downs and managed 2 touchdowns, combining a passing score with one on the ground.

Miami Dolphins were beaten 45-21 at Hard Rock Stadium in their last game. This loss at home to Cincinnati Bengals was their second straight defeat. The Dolphins moved the ball for 389 yards, with 260 through the air and 129 on the ground. The offense picked up 19 first downs and crossed the goal line 3 times.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Bucs triumphed 45-17 when they last played the Dolphins. This head-to-head was played at Raymond James Stadium.

Quarterbacks

Baker Mayfield

218.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Quinn Ewers

207.5 Passing Yards

Over -114

Under -114

Buccaneers vs Dolphins Prediction & Picks

Approach Buccaneers vs Dolphins fully prepared with our expert match prediction, likely score outcome, standout player prop picks and a hand-picked bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re confident that the Dolphins can push for a victory in this NFL matchup and the +5.5 about the underdogs on the spread makes appeal. Take -108 that they cover the line.

Team news plays a key role in our NFL predictions and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Buccaneers vs Dolphins stats:

• The +5.5 line has been covered by Dolphins in 14 of their last 20 games at home.
• The +5.5 line has been covered by Dolphins in 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Buccaneers in 7 consecutive games.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Buccaneers in 13 of their last 15 games this season.
• The -5.5 line hasn’t been covered by Buccaneers in 8 of their last 10 games.

Dolphins +5.5 Probability

The best betting apps imply that our pick has a 51.8% chance of winning. Based on our in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you want to back the Dolphins without taking them against the spread, there’s the alternative to go for a Winning Margin wager instead. There are lots of different options here.

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Our Game Prediction

Dolphins +5.5 @ -108 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Baker Mayfield Under 218.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Baker Mayfield (Bucs) to record fewer than 218.5 passing yards are -114. The line looks too high and we’re confident he’ll fall short of the QB Passing Yards total.

Latest Baker Mayfield Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+600

First

+2700

Passing Yards

Over 218.5

-114

Under 218.5

-114

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Bucky Irving Under 59.5 Rushing Yards -114

You can place a bet on Bucky Irving (Dolphins) at -114 to finish with fewer than 59.5 rushing yards. He’s not guaranteed to cover the Player Rushing Yards line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Latest Bucky Irving Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+125

First

+700

Rushing Yards

Over 59.5

-114

Under 59.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Buccaneers 27 - 23 Dolphins

We’re expecting this to be a close battle and we’ll take the Buccaneers to win 27-23. This is available at huge odds for those that want to have a speculative wager.

Buccaneers vs Dolphins Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

With a 73% chance of securing victory, Tampa Bay Buccaneers are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -270. Miami Dolphins are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +220.

The current spread is 5.5 and total points is 44.5. The advantage of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you fancy Under 44.5, then the odds are -115.

There’s no shortage of betting opportunities when it comes to the National Football League. The top sportsbooks offer a wide variety of game lines and team props for each matchup, so be sure to explore both the pre-game and in-game markets before making your pick.

Moneyline

Buccaneers

-270

Dolphins

+220

Point Spread

Buccaneers -5.5

-112

Dolphins +5.5

-108

Total Points

Under 44.5

-115

Over 44.5

-105

De'Von Achane can be backed to score a TD at any stage at -125. There is the opportunity to back the market leader to grab the first touchdown at +500.

Touchdown

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-125

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+125

Mike Evans (Buccaneers)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+140

Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+220

Sean Tucker (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+170

Chris Godwin (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+250

Emeka Egbuka (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+250

Darren Waller (Dolphins)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+230

Cade Otton (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+320

Rachaad White (Buccaneers)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+400

Jalen McMillan (Buccaneers)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+500

Sterling Shepard (Buccaneers)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+500

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+600

Malik Washington (Dolphins)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+500

Ollie Gordon II (Dolphins)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+700

Greg Dulcich (Dolphins)

First TD

+3300

Anytime TD

+650

Jaylen Wright (Dolphins)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+750

Quinn Ewers (Dolphins)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+900

Tez Johnson (Buccaneers)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+1100

Julian Hill (Dolphins)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1200

Cedrick Wilson Jr. (Dolphins)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1400

Payne Durham (Buccaneers)

First TD

+7000

Anytime TD

+1700

Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1900

Tahj Washington (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1900

Alec Ingold (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Dee Eskridge (Dolphins)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2200

Kameron Johnson (Buccaneers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Devin Culp (Buccaneers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3000

Receiving Yards

Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins)

Over 55.5

-114

Under 55.5

-114

Rushing Yards

De'Von Achane (Dolphins)

Over 73.5

-114

Under 73.5

-114

Bucky Irving (Buccaneers)

Over 59.5

-114

Under 59.5

-114

Rachaad White (Buccaneers)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Passing Yards

Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers)

Over 218.5

-114

Under 218.5

-114

Quinn Ewers (Dolphins)

Over 207.5

-114

Under 207.5

-114

Dolphins Hold Six Wins in Previous Ten at Home

The Dolphins own a 6-4 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 25.40 points per contest and giving up 24.40.

The Buccaneers have suffered three consecutive road defeats. They have gone 5-5 across their last 10 games away from home, averaging 23.60 points on offense and surrendering 24.50 on defense.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O44.5	U44.5
Dolphins Home Stats		6-4	49.80	25.40	24.40	7	3
Buccaneers Away Stats		5-5	48.10	23.60	24.50	4	6

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O44.5 = Games Over 44.5 Points
• U44.5 = Games Under 44.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats

Miami Dolphins Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 48.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 44.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.20 pts and allowed 24.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 23.60 pts and allowed 24.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 43.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 47.80 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 44.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 44.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 21.00 pts and allowed 22.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 23.60 pts and allowed 24.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 296.00 Yds. Allowed 359.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 120.20 Yds. Allowed 105.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 175.80 Yds. Allowed 253.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.40 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.60 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.70. Allowed 18.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.60
• Total Penalties: Committed 4.90. Committed by opponents 7.70
• Penalty Yards: Lost 34.10 Yds. Gained 55.10 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 324.20 Yds. Allowed 315.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 142.50 Yds. Allowed 108.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 181.70 Yds. Allowed 207.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.20 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.30 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 18.40. Allowed 18.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.00. Committed by opponents 5.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 44.10 Yds. Gained 44.20 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 328.20 Yds. Allowed 328.60 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 130.60 Yds. Allowed 81.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 197.60 Yds. Allowed 246.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 2.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.90. Allowed 18.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.20. Committed by opponents 6.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 42.80 Yds. Gained 44.30 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 345.60 Yds. Allowed 371.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 127.80 Yds. Allowed 121.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 217.80 Yds. Allowed 249.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 2.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.40. Allowed 20.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.20
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.40. Committed by opponents 7.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 39.80 Yds. Gained 60.30 Yds

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