Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction, Picks & Odds | 19 Oct 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Commanders vs Cowboys

The Washington Commanders face the Dallas Cowboys in this NFL Week 7 matchup at AT&T Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, October 19. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

We think that the Cowboys should prove too strong for the Commanders. Therefore, it’s all about going to the Moneyline to back them and there’s juice in the -112 available.

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Washington Commanders were defeated in their previous game. They were beaten at home to Chicago Bears by a 25-24 scoreline at Northwest Stadium. The Commanders totaled 329 yards, with 205 through the air and 124 on the ground. The offense converted for 22 first downs and scored 3 touchdowns, with all 3 coming by pass.

Dallas Cowboys were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 30-27 reverse against Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium. The Cowboys recorded 292 yards, breaking down to 261 passing and 31 rushing yards. They moved the chains 15 times and struck for 3 touchdowns.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Commanders claim a 23-19 win over the Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. The Cowboys have won six of the past 10 games that these teams have played.

Quarterbacks

Jayden Daniels

229.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Dak Prescott

269.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Commanders vs Cowboys Prediction & Picks

Your complete Commanders vs Cowboys betting guide is here, including our go-to match prediction, scoreline call, standout prop selections and a customized bet builder.

Game Prediction

It’s time to side with the Cowboys to record a victory in this NFL matchup. They should have the upper hand and the -112 for our pick on the Moneyline looks a good price.

The formbook is always a smart starting point when making NFL picks. Up-to-date team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.

Key Commanders vs Cowboys stats:

• Cowboys have won 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• Commanders have lost 2 of their last 3 games on the road this season.
• Commanders have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Cowboys have won 6 of their last 10 games against Commanders.

Cowboys Moneyline Probability

According to the latest betting odds, our pick has a 52.9% chance of winning. However, our analysts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

A betting alternative to back the Cowboys is the Double Result. You can get bigger odds by siding with them to lead at the halfway phase before running out winners.

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Our Game Prediction

Cowboys Moneyline @ -112 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: CeeDee Lamb Anytime TD +120

You can place a bet on CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys) to record a TD at +120. The Anytime Touchdown Scorer odds are appealing from all angles and we’re willing to take a chance on him.

Latest CeeDee Lamb Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+120

First

+800

Receiving Yards

Over 76.5

-112

Under 76.5

-112

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Jake Ferguson Over 38.5 Receiving Yards -114

Jake Ferguson (Commanders) is priced at -114 to exceed 38.5 receiving yards. We’re tempted to back him to cover the Player Receiving Yards line, with plenty of juice on offer.

Latest Jake Ferguson Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+165

First

+1100

Receiving Yards

Over 40.5

-112

Under 40.5

-112

Correct Score Prediction

Commanders 27 - 31 Cowboys

We’ll roll the dice and go for the Cowboys to enjoy a 31-27 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the massive odds.

Commanders vs Cowboys Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

You can choose Dallas Cowboys at +110 or alternatively Washington Commanders who have betting odds of -130. There is a 48% chance of the hosts winning according to the top sportsbooks.

The spread is 2.5 and the total points line is currently 48.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest NFL data to good effect. If you fancy Under 48.5, then the odds are -105.

You’ll find a huge variety of game lines and team props for every matchup. The top NFL sportsbooks provide an impressive mix of pre-game and in-game options to suit your betting style.

Moneyline

Commanders

-130

Cowboys

+110

Point Spread

Commanders -2.5

-105

Cowboys +2.5

-115

Total Points

Under 48.5

-105

Over 48.5

-115

Javonte Williams is available at -169 when it comes to Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The favorite is now priced at odds of +490 to score the first TD.

Touchdown

Javonte Williams (Cowboys)

First TD

+490

Anytime TD

-169

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

First TD

+650

Anytime TD

-115

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+105

CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+120

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+110

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+110

George Pickens (Cowboys)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+150

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+185

Jake Ferguson (Cowboys)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+165

Jaylin Lane (Commanders)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+240

Luke McCaffrey (Commanders)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+260

Chris Moore (Commanders)

First TD

+2000

Anytime TD

+300

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Commanders)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+330

KaVontae Turpin (Cowboys)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+390

Jeremy McNichols (Commanders)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+500

Jalen Tolbert (Cowboys)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+700

Dak Prescott (Cowboys)

First TD

+3500

Anytime TD

+600

Ryan Flournoy (Cowboys)

First TD

+4500

Anytime TD

+500

Jaydon Blue (Cowboys)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+750

John Bates (Commanders)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+1100

Luke Schoonmaker (Cowboys)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+950

Ben Sinnott (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2000

Colson Yankoff (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2000

Hunter Luepke (Cowboys)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1700

Brevyn Spann-Ford (Cowboys)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Malik Davis (Cowboys)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Receiving Yards

CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys)

Over 76.5

-112

Under 76.5

-112

George Pickens (Cowboys)

Over 64.5

-112

Under 64.5

-112

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

Over 42.5

-112

Under 42.5

-112

Luke McCaffrey (Commanders)

Over 41.5

-112

Under 41.5

-112

Jake Ferguson (Cowboys)

Over 40.5

-112

Under 40.5

-112

Jaylin Lane (Commanders)

Over 37.5

-112

Under 37.5

-112

Chris Moore (Commanders)

Over 36.5

-112

Under 36.5

-112

KaVontae Turpin (Cowboys)

Over 16.5

-112

Under 16.5

-112

Javonte Williams (Cowboys)

Over 15.5

-112

Under 15.5

-112

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

Over 11.5

-112

Under 11.5

-112

Jalen Tolbert (Cowboys)

Over 7.5

-112

Under 7.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

Over 66.5

-112

Under 66.5

-112

Javonte Williams (Cowboys)

Over 64.5

-112

Under 64.5

-112

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 46.5

-112

Under 46.5

-112

Dak Prescott (Cowboys)

Over 6.5

-112

Under 6.5

-112

Passing Yards

Dak Prescott (Cowboys)

Over 269.5

-112

Under 269.5

-112

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 229.5

-112

Under 229.5

-112

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Cowboys Have Six Losses From Past Ten at Home

The Commanders have six wins and four losses in the last 10 road games, scoring 25.10 points per matchup and conceding 26.30.

The Commanders defeated the Cowboys 23-19 the last time they played at AT&T Stadium. Across the last 6 head-to-head meetings at AT&T Stadium, the Cowboys have come out on top four times, with the Commanders having two wins.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O54.5	U54.5
Cowboys Home Stats		3-6	53.60	22.20	31.40	3	7
Commanders Away Stats		6-4	51.40	25.10	26.30	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O54.5 = Games Over 54.5 Points
• U54.5 = Games Under 54.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Commanders Stats

Dallas Cowboys Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 4 wins, 5 defeats and 1 draw in the last 10 games
• 3 wins, 6 defeats and 1 draw in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 52.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 51.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 54.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 54.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 27.20 pts and allowed 25.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 25.10 pts and allowed 26.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 54.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 53.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 54.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 54.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.00 pts and allowed 28.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 22.20 pts and allowed 31.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 352.40 Yds. Allowed 378.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 138.20 Yds. Allowed 141.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 214.20 Yds. Allowed 237.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.30 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.70. Allowed 21.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.50. Committed by opponents 7.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.70 Yds. Gained 57.30 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 369.80 Yds. Allowed 376.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 122.20 Yds. Allowed 133.90 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 247.60 Yds. Allowed 242.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 3.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.70. Allowed 22.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.10. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 8.60. Committed by opponents 7.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 66.20 Yds. Gained 67.40 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 331.10 Yds. Allowed 382.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 121.60 Yds. Allowed 156.00 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 209.50 Yds. Allowed 226.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.90 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.50. Allowed 22.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.80. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.90. Committed by opponents 6.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 45.50 Yds. Gained 53.60 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 344.50 Yds. Allowed 404.20 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 97.60 Yds. Allowed 147.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 246.90 Yds. Allowed 257.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 3.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.10. Allowed 23.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.60. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.30. Committed by opponents 9.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 56.30 Yds. Gained 77.60 Yds

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