Commanders vs Packers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Sep 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Commanders vs Packers

The Washington Commanders go up against the Green Bay Packers in this NFL Week 2 matchup at Lambeau Field, with kickoff scheduled for 20:15 on Thursday, September 11. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

Don’t miss out on the chance to side with the Packers on the spread at -3.5. On the face of it, this seems a generous line and odds of -105 can be backed against the Commanders.

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Washington Commanders won their previous game, beating New York Giants at home. It was a 21-6 win at Northwest Stadium. The Commanders recorded 432 total yards, made up of 212 through the air and 220 on the ground. They produced 25 first downs and scored 3 touchdowns, with one through the air and 2 on the ground.

Green Bay Packers won their last game which was at home. It was a 27-13 triumph at Lambeau Field against Detroit Lions. The Packers totaled 266 yards, with 188 through the air and 78 on the ground. They produced 14 first downs and crossed the goal line 3 times.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Commanders beat the Packers in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 23-21 scoreline at Northwest Stadium. The past 3 H2H games have seen the Packers land two wins.

Quarterbacks

Jayden Daniels

228.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Jordan Love

236.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Commanders vs Packers Prediction & Picks

Unlock a complete betting breakdown for Commanders vs Packers, featuring our expert match prediction, expected final score, standout player prop picks and a ready-to-play bet builder.

Game Prediction

Back the Packers against the spread in order to get the best value. They should be able to cover an attractive -3.5 line at -105 for this NFL matchup.

The formbook is always a smart starting point when making NFL picks. Up-to-date team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.

Key Commanders vs Packers stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by Packers in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Packers in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by Packers in 2 of their last 3 games against Commanders.

Packers -3.5 Probability

According to the best NFL betting sites, there’s a 51.3% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and estimate the probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this wager.

If you’re looking for a bigger potential return on your stake, there is the option to move the line. Consider the odds and whether each betting line can be covered.

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Our Game Prediction

Packers -3.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (02:26, 10 September 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Terry McLaurin Anytime TD +155

Terry McLaurin (Commanders) can be backed at +155 to score a TD. We think this is the pick of the player props, with generous odds available when it comes to backing him to score a touchdown at any time.

Latest Terry McLaurin Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+170

First

+1200

Receiving Yards

Over 51.5

-112

Under 51.5

-112

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Jayden Daniels Under 225.5 Passing Yards -114

Jayden Daniels (Commanders) can be backed at -114 to have less than 225.5 passing yards. It’s reasonable to expect he may fall short, making the QB Passing Yards line appealing.

Latest Jayden Daniels Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+165

First

+1100

Passing Yards

Over 228.5

-112

Under 228.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 44.5

-112

Under 44.5

-112

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Commanders 24 - 31 Packers

We’re going for the Packers to achieve a 31-24 win and the good news is that there are massive odds for this outcome. A small stake can return a potentially large amount.

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Commanders vs Packers Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With a 64% chance of securing victory, Green Bay Packers are favorites for this game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -175. Washington Commanders are the underdogs at +148 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The current spread is 3 and total points is 48.5. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. Those that want to back Under 48.5 can find odds of -105 available.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of game lines and team props for every National Football League matchup. The best betting apps offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Commanders

+148

Packers

-175

Point Spread

Commanders +3

-105

Packers -3

-115

Total Points

Under 48.5

-105

Over 48.5

-115

There is -222 available that Josh Jacobs scores a TD at any stage. He is available at +310 to record the first touchdown which makes him favorite.

Touchdown

Josh Jacobs (Packers)

First TD

+310

Anytime TD

-222

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

First TD

+1100

Anytime TD

+165

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+170

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+180

Jayden Reed (Packers)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+200

Tucker Kraft (Packers)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+220

Romeo Doubs (Packers)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+230

Matthew Golden (Packers)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+260

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+200

Austin Ekeler (Commanders)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+220

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+290

Dontayvion Wicks (Packers)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+500

Jordan Love (Packers)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+550

Noah Brown (Commanders)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+650

Chris Brooks (Packers)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+700

Emanuel Wilson (Packers)

First TD

+4000

Anytime TD

+800

Luke Musgrave (Packers)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1100

Jaylin Lane (Commanders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+950

Jeremy McNichols (Commanders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1400

Malik Heath (Packers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1800

Savion Williams (Packers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2000

Luke McCaffrey (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Chris Moore (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1900

John FitzPatrick (Packers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

John Bates (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Colson Yankoff (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Ben Sinnott (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Receiving Yards

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

Over 51.5

-112

Under 51.5

-112

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

Over 49.5

-112

Under 49.5

-112

Romeo Doubs (Packers)

Over 42.5

-112

Under 42.5

-112

Tucker Kraft (Packers)

Over 41.5

-112

Under 41.5

-112

Jayden Reed (Packers)

Over 38.5

-112

Under 38.5

-112

Matthew Golden (Packers)

Over 34.5

-112

Under 34.5

-112

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

Over 34.5

-112

Under 34.5

-112

Austin Ekeler (Commanders)

Over 23.5

-112

Under 23.5

-112

Noah Brown (Commanders)

Over 20.5

-112

Under 20.5

-112

Dontayvion Wicks (Packers)

Over 17.5

-112

Under 17.5

-112

Josh Jacobs (Packers)

Over 14.5

-112

Under 14.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Josh Jacobs (Packers)

Over 77.5

-112

Under 77.5

-112

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 44.5

-112

Under 44.5

-112

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

Over 38.5

-112

Under 38.5

-112

Austin Ekeler (Commanders)

Over 20.5

-112

Under 20.5

-112

Jordan Love (Packers)

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-112

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

Over 4.5

+102

Under 4.5

-130

Passing Yards

Jordan Love (Packers)

Over 236.5

-112

Under 236.5

-112

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 228.5

-112

Under 228.5

-112

Among the various options for wagering on the NFL, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as whether a touchdown will be scored within the next 10 minutes.

Packers Have Collected Seven Wins From Last Ten at Home

The Packers own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, averaging 26.80 points on offense and surrendering 16.40 on defense.

The Commanders have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 games away from home, scoring 28.20 points per contest and conceding 26.90.

In their last matchup at Lambeau Field, the Packers came out on top 24-10 against the Commanders.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O48.5	U48.5
Packers Home Stats		7-3	43.20	26.80	16.40	1	9
Commanders Away Stats		7-3	55.10	28.20	26.90	6	4

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O48.5 = Games Over 48.5 Points
• U48.5 = Games Under 48.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Commanders Stats

Green Bay Packers Stats

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 54.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 55.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 48.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.90 pts and allowed 26.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 28.20 pts and allowed 26.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 44.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 43.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 48.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 48.5 at Home: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 26.70 pts and allowed 17.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 26.80 pts and allowed 16.40 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 386.30 Yds. Allowed 337.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 157.50 Yds. Allowed 128.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 228.80 Yds. Allowed 208.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.60 TD. Allowed 2.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.30 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 23.70. Allowed 20.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.80. Committed by opponents 6.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 68.30 Yds. Gained 49.30 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 335.60 Yds. Allowed 300.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 128.80 Yds. Allowed 88.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 206.80 Yds. Allowed 211.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.10 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.00. Allowed 18.40
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.00. Committed by opponents 1.30
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.70. Committed by opponents 7.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.60 Yds. Gained 60.20 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 350.80 Yds. Allowed 386.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 123.10 Yds. Allowed 162.30 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 227.70 Yds. Allowed 224.00 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.20 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 1.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.70 TD. Allowed 1.30 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 22.00. Allowed 24.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 5.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 45.00 Yds. Gained 46.00 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 372.30 Yds. Allowed 275.50 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 147.80 Yds. Allowed 89.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 224.50 Yds. Allowed 186.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.00 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.70. Allowed 16.70
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.80
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.40. Committed by opponents 7.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 50.90 Yds. Gained 55.80 Yds

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