Commanders vs Chargers Prediction, Picks & Odds | 05 Oct 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Commanders vs Chargers

The Washington Commanders meet the Los Angeles Chargers in this NFL Week 5 matchup at SoFi Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 16:25 on Sunday, October 5. Our betting preview features expert predictions, picks, updated betting odds, head-to-head stats and the latest team news, including injuries.

The total line of 47.5 points looks pretty low and we can take advantage by backing the Overs at -105. We can see the Chargers and the Commanders combining to go bigger.

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Washington Commanders have now lost back-to-back road games. In their previous game, Atlanta Falcons won 34-27 at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. The Commanders recorded 294 yards, breaking down to 147 passing and 147 rushing yards. They converted for 17 first downs and found the end zone twice.

Los Angeles Chargers have landed two home wins on the spin. It was a road defeat to New York Giants in their last game, losing 21-18 at MetLife Stadium. The Chargers moved the ball for 338 yards, made up of 186 through the air and 152 on the ground. The offense moved the chains 17 times and scored 2 touchdowns, splitting them between the run and the pass.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Chargers had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. At Northwest Stadium, they recorded a 20-16 win over the Commanders.

Quarterbacks

Jayden Daniels

207.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Justin Herbert

260.5 Passing Yards

Over -112

Under -112

Commanders vs Chargers Prediction & Picks

Our Commanders vs Chargers betting preview covers everything you need, including a key match prediction, correct score insight, top player prop bets and a value-packed bet builder recommendation.

Game Prediction

The two teams should be able to accumulate enough points for our pick to win. We’re predicting Over 47.5 and odds of -105 are available for this NFL battle.

Incoming team news often impacts the betting lines and odds in significant ways. Our NFL handicappers factor this in alongside recent form, while key stats are also carefully weighed to strengthen each pick.

Key Commanders vs Chargers stats:

• The 47.5 line has been covered in 3 of the last 5 Commanders games.
• The 47.5 line has been covered in 6 of the last 10 Commanders games.
• The 47.5 line has been covered in the last 2 Commanders games.
• The 47.5 line has been covered in 4 of the last 5 Chargers games at home.

Over 47.5 Probability

The top betting sites imply that our pick has a 51.3% prospect of winning. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this bet.

The sportsbooks give you the option to get bigger odds for your Overs selection by combining this pick on the Result & Total lines. Predict a franchise to win as part of the deal.

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Our Game Prediction

Over 47.5 Points @ -105 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Jayden Daniels Over 205.5 Passing Yards -114

The odds for Jayden Daniels (Commanders) to reach over 205.5 passing yards are -114. We're confident in him covering the QB Passing Yards line and hitting our Over bet.

Latest Jayden Daniels Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+260

First

+1300

Passing Yards

Over 207.5

-112

Under 207.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 43.5

-112

Under 43.5

-112

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Jacory Croskey-Merritt Over 30.5 Rushing Yards -114

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders) is available at -114 to rack up over 30.5 rushing yards. The line for Player Rushing Yards looks attractive and we’re confident of securing a return.

Latest Jacory Croskey-Merritt Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+280

First

+1600

Receiving Yards

Over 6.5

-112

Under 6.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Over 30.5

-112

Under 30.5

-112

Correct Score Prediction

Commanders 24 - 28 Chargers

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close battle and we’ll have a play on the Chargers enjoying a 28-24 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

Commanders vs Chargers Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

For this game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Los Angeles Chargers are -125 favorites to win and that means a 56% chance of landing a victory. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +105 about Washington Commanders.

The spread currently stands at 1.5 and the total points line is 47.5. A Total bet is always available and can often provide value selections. The Over 47.5 selection is available to back at -112.

There’s a wide variety of game lines and team props available and we recommend checking out the best NFL betting sites to find the markets that align with your take on the matchup.

Moneyline

Commanders

+105

Chargers

-125

Point Spread

Commanders +1.5

-115

Chargers -1.5

-105

Total Points

Under 47.5

-108

Over 47.5

-112

Omarion Hampton is priced at +500 when it comes to First TD Scorer. He’s the favorite and also available at odds of -130 to score a touchdown at anytime.

Touchdown

Omarion Hampton (Chargers)

First TD

+500

Anytime TD

-130

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

First TD

+850

Anytime TD

+130

Keenan Allen (Chargers)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+165

Quentin Johnston (Chargers)

First TD

+900

Anytime TD

+160

Ladd McConkey (Chargers)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+200

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

First TD

+1300

Anytime TD

+260

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

First TD

+1400

Anytime TD

+220

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Commanders)

First TD

+1500

Anytime TD

+310

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+280

Oronde Gadsden II (Chargers)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+370

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+380

Jeremy McNichols (Commanders)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+500

Luke McCaffrey (Commanders)

First TD

+2200

Anytime TD

+430

Chris Moore (Commanders)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+460

Jaylin Lane (Commanders)

First TD

+2700

Anytime TD

+550

Hassan Haskins (Chargers)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+800

Ben Sinnott (Commanders)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+1200

Will Dissly (Chargers)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+750

Tyler Conklin (Chargers)

First TD

+5500

Anytime TD

+750

Tre Harris (Chargers)

First TD

+6500

Anytime TD

+1100

Derius Davis (Chargers)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+1500

KeAndre Lambert-Smith (Chargers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1600

Colson Yankoff (Commanders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+2000

Kimani Vidal (Chargers)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1400

Tucker Fisk (Chargers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

John Bates (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2500

Scott Matlock (Chargers)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+4500

Tay Martin (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Receiving Yards

Quentin Johnston (Chargers)

Over 63.5

-112

Under 63.5

-112

Ladd McConkey (Chargers)

Over 56.5

-112

Under 56.5

-112

Keenan Allen (Chargers)

Over 54.5

-112

Under 54.5

-112

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

Over 53.5

-112

Under 53.5

-112

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

Over 39.5

-112

Under 39.5

-112

Chris Moore (Commanders)

Over 26.5

-112

Under 26.5

-112

Omarion Hampton (Chargers)

Over 21.5

-112

Under 21.5

-112

Luke McCaffrey (Commanders)

Over 19.5

-112

Under 19.5

-112

Oronde Gadsden II (Chargers)

Over 18.5

-112

Under 18.5

-112

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

Over 6.5

-112

Under 6.5

-112

Rushing Yards

Omarion Hampton (Chargers)

Over 65.5

-112

Under 65.5

-112

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 43.5

-112

Under 43.5

-112

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

Over 30.5

-112

Under 30.5

-112

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Commanders)

Over 26.5

-112

Under 26.5

-112

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

Over 15.5

-106

Under 15.5

-120

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

Over 7.5

-133

Under 7.5

+106

Passing Yards

Justin Herbert (Chargers)

Over 260.5

-112

Under 260.5

-112

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 207.5

-112

Under 207.5

-112

There are always opportunities to enjoy NFL micro betting. It’s generally the case that you will find team and player props in-game and bettors can use their insight to wager on outcomes such as the Next Punt, Turnover or Score Play.

Chargers Looking to Keep Rolling at Home

The Chargers have reeled off three in a row at SoFi Stadium. They have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 home games, averaging 24.30 points on offense and surrendering 21.70 on defense.

The Commanders have been on the losing end in three straight road games. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games away from home, putting up 24.70 points per contest and giving up 28.30.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O47.5	U47.5
Chargers Home Stats		7-3	46.00	24.30	21.70	5	5
Commanders Away Stats		5-5	53.00	24.70	28.30	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O47.5 = Games Over 47.5 Points
• U47.5 = Games Under 47.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Commanders Stats

Los Angeles Chargers Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 56.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 53.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 47.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 28.70 pts and allowed 27.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 24.70 pts and allowed 28.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 45.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 46.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 47.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 47.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 24.20 pts and allowed 21.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 24.30 pts and allowed 21.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 358.60 Yds. Allowed 374.10 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 142.50 Yds. Allowed 144.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 216.10 Yds. Allowed 229.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 3.60 TD. Allowed 3.20 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.80 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 2.10 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.50. Allowed 22.30
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.20. Committed by opponents 6.90
• Penalty Yards: Lost 59.00 Yds. Gained 52.00 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 346.10 Yds. Allowed 311.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 100.60 Yds. Allowed 117.70 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 245.50 Yds. Allowed 193.60 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.50 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.60 TD. Allowed 0.50 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 21.00. Allowed 17.50
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.20. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.00. Committed by opponents 7.40
• Penalty Yards: Lost 43.60 Yds. Gained 66.70 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 322.70 Yds. Allowed 397.00 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 110.50 Yds. Allowed 158.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 212.20 Yds. Allowed 238.90 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 3.50 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 2.00 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.80 TD. Allowed 1.20 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.10. Allowed 23.90
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.70. Committed by opponents 1.00
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.80. Committed by opponents 5.80
• Penalty Yards: Lost 45.30 Yds. Gained 48.40 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 330.30 Yds. Allowed 359.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 108.10 Yds. Allowed 129.20 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 222.20 Yds. Allowed 230.20 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 2.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.00 TD. Allowed 0.60 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.60. Allowed 18.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 0.60. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 5.50. Committed by opponents 7.50
• Penalty Yards: Lost 41.90 Yds. Gained 65.20 Yds

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