Commanders vs Vikings Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Dec 2025

NFL Betting Preview: Commanders vs Vikings

The Washington Commanders battle the Minnesota Vikings at US Bank Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 13:00 on Sunday, December 7.

The Vikings look great value on the Moneyline and our prediction is that they will claim a victory over the Commanders. We’re happy to take the +104 that they win.

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Washington Commanders have suffered seven straight defeats, recently being beaten at home by Denver Broncos 27-26 (OT) at Northwest Stadium. The Commanders put up 419 yards, split between 276 passing and 143 rushing yards. The offense converted for 30 first downs along with 3 touchdowns.

Minnesota Vikings have been beaten in their last four games. On the road at Lumen Field, Seattle Seahawks recently beat them 26-0. The Vikings put up 162 yards, including 96 passing and 66 rushing yards. They picked up 11 first downs and allowed 17.

Head-to-Head Statistics

These two teams last met at Northwest Stadium, with the Vikings claiming the win. Beating the Commanders by a 20-17 scoreline.

Commanders vs Vikings Prediction & Picks

Dive into our full Commanders vs Vikings betting preview, featuring an expert match prediction, a projected scoreline, top player prop bets and a bet builder designed for value.

Game Prediction

The +104 about the Vikings look really attractive when it comes to the Moneyline. We think their opponents can be beaten in this NFL battle, so this is our pick.

We only publish our NFL predictions once we’ve got a clear and confident read on team news and the latest form. We also stay sharp by digging into the most valuable stats to support every pick we make.

Key Commanders vs Vikings stats:

• Vikings have won 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• Vikings have won 11 of their last 20 games at home.
• Commanders have lost their last 7 games.
• Commanders have lost 8 of their last 10 games.
• Commanders have lost 9 of their last 12 games this season.

Vikings Moneyline Probability

When looking at the latest odds, our pick has a 49% chance of delivering a return. After careful examination, our experts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. This wager can therefore be backed with confidence.

It’s worth considering all the options. If you’re looking for bigger odds about the Vikings to triumph and a certain number of points to be scored, then the Result & Total lines could be a good way forward.

Thinking about placing a wager? Explore our updated guide filled with top betting offers, free bets, and promotions.

Our Game Prediction

Vikings Moneyline @ +104 Watch Live Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Justin Jefferson Anytime TD +155

Justin Jefferson (Vikings) is priced at +155 to score a TD. The Anytime Touchdown Scorer odds look attractive based on the evidence, and we’ll back him to take it to the house.

Latest Justin Jefferson Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+155

First

+800

Receiving Yards

Over 63.5

-114

Under 63.5

-114

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Aaron Jones Over 44.5 Rushing Yards -114

The odds for Aaron Jones (Vikings) to go over 44.5 rushing yards are -114. The line for him on the Overs looks attractive and bettors can get plenty of juice from this Player Rushing Yards wager.

Latest Aaron Jones Player Prop Odds

Touchdown

Anytime

+140

First

+700

Receiving Yards

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Over 44.5

-114

Under 44.5

-114

Correct Score Prediction

Commanders 21 - 31 Vikings

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a huge potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Vikings to achieve a 31-21 victory at monster odds.

Commanders vs Vikings Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the betting predictions and bet builder tips.

The betting odds about Minnesota Vikings winning is +104, with Washington Commanders priced up at -122 to achieve victory. The sportsbook traders give the road team a 55% probability of success.

The spread is 1.5 and the total points line is currently 43.5. There are many ways to bet on the NFL including the Totals. If you fancy Under 43.5, then the odds are -105.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of game lines and team props for every National Football League matchup. The best betting apps offer a great selection of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Commanders

-122

Vikings

+104

Point Spread

Commanders -1.5

-110

Vikings +1.5

-110

Total Points

Under 43.5

-105

Over 43.5

-115

You will find Aaron Jones at +700 to be First Touchdown Scorer which makes him the favorite. There’s the chance to get +140 that he scores a TD at anytime.

Touchdown

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

First TD

+700

Anytime TD

+140

Justin Jefferson (Vikings)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+155

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Commanders)

First TD

+800

Anytime TD

+160

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+210

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

First TD

+1000

Anytime TD

+200

Jordan Addison (Vikings)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+240

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+240

Jordan Mason (Vikings)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+240

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

First TD

+1200

Anytime TD

+240

Marcus Mariota (Commanders)

First TD

+1600

Anytime TD

+390

T.J. Hockenson (Vikings)

First TD

+1700

Anytime TD

+340

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

First TD

+1800

Anytime TD

+340

J.J. McCarthy (Vikings)

First TD

+1900

Anytime TD

+370

Jalen Nailor (Vikings)

First TD

+2500

Anytime TD

+500

Noah Brown (Commanders)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+700

Jeremy McNichols (Commanders)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+600

Treylon Burks (Commanders)

First TD

+3000

Anytime TD

+750

Josh Oliver (Vikings)

First TD

+5000

Anytime TD

+800

John Bates (Commanders)

First TD

+6000

Anytime TD

+1100

Jaylin Lane (Commanders)

First TD

+7500

Anytime TD

+1300

Chris Moore (Commanders)

First TD

+8000

Anytime TD

+1700

Zavier Scott (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Tai Felton (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1800

Myles Price (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+1900

Ben Sinnott (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

Ben Yurosek (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Ben Sims (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2700

Colson Yankoff (Commanders)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+2200

C.J. Ham (Vikings)

First TD

+10000

Anytime TD

+3500

Receiving Yards

Justin Jefferson (Vikings)

Over 63.5

-114

Under 63.5

-114

Terry McLaurin (Commanders)

Over 56.5

-114

Under 56.5

-114

Jordan Addison (Vikings)

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

Deebo Samuel Sr. (Commanders)

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

Zach Ertz (Commanders)

Over 36.5

-114

Under 36.5

-114

T.J. Hockenson (Vikings)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-114

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

Over 19.5

-114

Under 19.5

-114

Jalen Nailor (Vikings)

Over 16.5

-114

Under 16.5

-114

Noah Brown (Commanders)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Treylon Burks (Commanders)

Over 10.5

-114

Under 10.5

-114

Jeremy McNichols (Commanders)

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Aaron Jones (Vikings)

Over 44.5

-114

Under 44.5

-114

Chris Rodriguez Jr. (Commanders)

Over 42.5

-114

Under 42.5

-114

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 38.5

-114

Under 38.5

-114

Marcus Mariota (Commanders)

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-114

Jordan Mason (Vikings)

Over 31.5

-114

Under 31.5

-114

Jacory Croskey-Merritt (Commanders)

Over 18.5

-114

Under 18.5

-114

J.J. McCarthy (Vikings)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-114

Passing Yards

Jayden Daniels (Commanders)

Over 216.5

-114

Under 216.5

-114

Marcus Mariota (Commanders)

Over 211.5

-114

Under 211.5

-114

J.J. McCarthy (Vikings)

Over 183.5

-114

Under 183.5

-114

Vikings Have Fallen in Three Successive Home Matches

The Vikings are riding a skid of three straight defeats at US Bank Stadium. They have six wins and four losses in the last 10 home games, averaging 25.50 points scored and 19.90 points allowed.

The Commanders have suffered three consecutive road defeats. They have gone 4-6 across their last 10 road games, posting 22.80 points per contest while yielding 28.40.

In their most recent matchup at US Bank Stadium, the Vikings got the better of the Commanders 19-9.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O43.5	U43.5
Vikings Home Stats		6-4	45.40	25.50	19.90	6	4
Commanders Away Stats		4-6	51.20	22.80	28.40	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O43.5 = Games Over 43.5 Points
• U43.5 = Games Under 43.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Washington Commanders Stats

Minnesota Vikings Stats

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 51.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 51.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 43.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 22.30 pts and allowed 29.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 22.80 pts and allowed 28.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 42.60 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 45.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 43.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 43.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 19.10 pts and allowed 23.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 25.50 pts and allowed 19.90 pts in the last 10 home games

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 338.90 Yds. Allowed 402.40 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 139.60 Yds. Allowed 139.10 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 199.30 Yds. Allowed 263.30 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.60 TD. Allowed 3.30 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 1.10 TD. Allowed 1.10 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.40 TD. Allowed 2.10 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.50. Allowed 21.80
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.50. Committed by opponents 0.70
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.60. Committed by opponents 6.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 55.90 Yds. Gained 55.90 Yds

Game Stats

Last 10 Games

• Total Yards: Gained 281.90 Yds. Allowed 303.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 99.50 Yds. Allowed 120.40 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 182.40 Yds. Allowed 183.50 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.00 TD. Allowed 2.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.70 TD. Allowed 0.90 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.20 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 17.20. Allowed 18.60
• Total Turnovers: Committed 2.10. Committed by opponents 0.90
• Total Penalties: Committed 7.30. Committed by opponents 6.20
• Penalty Yards: Lost 61.50 Yds. Gained 48.10 Yds

Last 10 Games on the Road

• Total Yards: Gained 334.30 Yds. Allowed 396.90 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 120.50 Yds. Allowed 156.80 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 213.80 Yds. Allowed 240.10 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.70 TD. Allowed 3.40 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.90 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.50 TD. Allowed 1.40 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 19.70. Allowed 23.00
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.30. Committed by opponents 1.10
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.10. Committed by opponents 7.60
• Penalty Yards: Lost 47.80 Yds. Gained 61.30 Yds

Last 10 Home Games

• Total Yards: Gained 345.80 Yds. Allowed 318.30 Yds
• Rushing Yards: Gained 107.00 Yds. Allowed 120.50 Yds
• Passing Yards: Gained 238.80 Yds. Allowed 197.80 Yds
• Total Touchdowns: Scored 2.80 TD. Allowed 1.70 TD
• Rushing Touchdowns: Scored 0.80 TD. Allowed 0.70 TD
• Passing Touchdowns: Scored 1.90 TD. Allowed 0.80 TD
• Total 1st Downs: Picked up 20.70. Allowed 18.20
• Total Turnovers: Committed 1.70. Committed by opponents 1.50
• Total Penalties: Committed 6.80. Committed by opponents 7.30
• Penalty Yards: Lost 53.70 Yds. Gained 65.70 Yds

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