Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds

Don’t Underestimate Atléti

Estadio Santiago Bernabeu plays host to a Madrid derby when Real and Atléti clash in the first leg of this Champions League round of 16 tie.

Our betting prediction is that Real won’t win, so our pick is to back Atléti and the draw on the Double Chance market. You can get -110 for this bet.

Match Preview & H2H

Real Madrid enjoyed 59% possession and had two shots on target when losing 2-1 away to Real Betis in their last game. This was a La Liga match at Estadio Benito Villamarin, with Brahim Diaz finding the net for Los Merengues.

Atlético Madrid approach this fixture after winning 1-0 at home against Athletic Club. Diego Simeone's team had 51% possession and three shots on goal in the La Liga encounter, with Julian Alvarez scoring the winner at Riyadh Air Metropolitano.

In their most recent Champions League encounters, Real beat Manchester City 3-1 at home, while Atléti won 4-1 on the road against Red Bull Salzburg.

There has been three consecutive draws between Real and Atléti, with the last clash ending in a 1-1 La Liga scoreline. The previous 10 H2H games have resulted in four draws and three wins apiece.

Real have 5 wins, 2 losses and 3 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 6.4 shots on goal and 18.6 attempts. Carlo Ancelotti's side have averaged 63.1% possession, 628.7 passes and 5.8 corners per match, with their opponents getting 1.2 goals from 3.1 shots on goal, 9.6 attempts and 3.7 corners.

Kylian Mbappe leads the way with 8 goals, with Brahim Diaz and Rodrygo getting 3 apiece. Rodrygo is the leading assists maker on 4, with goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois keeping 2 clean sheets.

Atléti have won 6, lost 1 and drawn 3, with an average of 1.3 goals from 4.3 shots on goal and 12.3 attempts. There’s been an average of 49.9% possession, 493.2 passes, 4.8 corners awarded and 4.8 corners against, while Los Colchoneros have conceded 0.5 goals from 3.2 shots on goal and 12.4 attempts.

Julian Alvarez has top scored with 5 goals, while Alexander Soerloth and Samuel Dias Lino are next on 3 and 2. Giuliano Simeone and Nahuel Molina have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games, while Jan Oblak has 5 clean sheets to his name.

Confirmed Lineups

Real Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Thibaut Courtois (GK), Federico Valverde, Raul Asencio, Antonio Ruediger, Ferland Mendy, Rodrygo, Aurelien Tchouameni, Eduardo Camavinga, Brahim Diaz, Kylian Mbappe, Vinicius Junior.

Atlético Madrid confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Jan Oblak (GK), Marcos Llorente, Jose Gimenez, Clement Lenglet, Javi Galan, Giuliano Simeone, Rodrigo De Paul, Pablo Barrios, Samuel Dias Lino, Julian Alvarez, Antoine Griezmann.

Expert Champions League Analysis

A good deal of research goes into our football picks. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid stats:

• Atléti have not lost any of their last 9 matches
• Atléti have won 16 of their past 20 matches
• Atléti have scored 2 or more goals in 12 of their past 20 matches
• Atléti have kept 13 clean sheets in their 26 La Liga matches this season

Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid Prediction

Jump on the -110 about Atlético Madrid and the Draw on the Double Chance market, with our experts making the Champions League prediction that Real will not triumph over the ninety minutes.

If the odds are too skinny for this selection, why not check out the Full-Time Result market where you can choose one of the options at bigger odds.

Our Pick

Double Chance X2 @ -110 Bet Now

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Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid Odds

The bookies have Real Madrid at -118 in the Full-Time Result market, implying the market leaders are 54% likely to win this Champions League match according to the latest betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +310 about Atlético Madrid.

You can back Over 2.5 Goals or Under 2.5 Goals at similar odds right now. If you think both teams will score, then BTTS Yes could appeal. Otherwise, you can back BTTS No as an alternative.

Should you want to back Real Madrid to win this Champions League match, then there is -275 available on the Draw No Bet market, with Atlético Madrid chalked at +200.

Team Stats

Latest Champions League and domestic league stats. Full Time Result, Goals, Corners and Possession.

Team News

It’s great to get the latest lineups for the match, with injuries being flagged up thanks to our up-to-date Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid team news.

We’ve got details of the Champions League squads so that you know every player on the roster.

Real Madrid Team Page Atlético Madrid Team Page

If you’re looking for the Real Madrid vs Atlético Madrid lineups, then we have predicted lineups and confirmed starting 11s along with the substitutes for each team.

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