São Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Sep 2025

Série A Betting Preview: São Paulo vs Botafogo

São Paulo host Botafogo in this Brazilian Série A clash, with kick-off set for 16:30 on Sunday 14 September. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, team news and both predicted and confirmed lineups.

The Value Lies With Fogo

Botafogo have a strong chance against São Paulo and we’ll side with the visitors on the Asian Handicap. It’s worth chancing the -106 with a +0.25 goal headstart, meaning that our stake is split between 0 and +0.5.

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2-2 Draw When Teams Last Clashed

São Paulo have won four home games in a row. However, their last appearance was away from home where Cruzeiro beat them 1-0. Tricolor Paulista had five shots on target and enjoyed 60% possession.

Botafogo have enjoyed five successive road wins. In their previous game, it was a 4-1 home triumph against Red Bull Bragantino. Davide Ancelotti's team had 52% possession and recorded seven shots on goal, while Danilo, Vitinho, Jefferson Savarino and Alvaro Montoro found the net.

On Thursday night, Botafogo were beaten at home in the Copa do Brasil when Vasco da Gama landed a penalty shootout win (1-1 AET).

Head-to-Head Statistics

Botafogo haven’t lost to São Paulo in their past ten games, with their last clash ending 2-2. The past 10 H2H meetings have featured five Botafogo wins and five draws.

Série A		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
6	Botafogo	21	10	5	6	30	14	16	30:14	35
7	São Paulo	23	9	8	6	27	23	4	27:23	35

View Full Table

São Paulo have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 1.6 goals from 4.4 shots on goal and 9.2 attempts. Tricolor Paulista have averaged 53.8% possession and 5.9 corners per match, with their opponents getting 0.9 goals from 2.9 shots on goal, 6.3 attempts and 4.2 corners.

Top scorer Luciano Neves has found the net 3 times, with Gonzalo Tapia, Damian Bobadilla, Robert Arboleda and Andre getting 2 goals each. Nahuel Ferraresi and Luciano Neves have recorded the most assists with 3 apiece.

Botafogo have 6 victories, 2 defeats and 2 draws, with an average of 6.4 shots on goal, 13.3 attempts and 1.9 goals. Davide Ancelotti's team average 56.1% possession, 5.1 corners awarded and 4.1 corners against, while 0.8 goals have been conceded from 7.3 attempts and 3.2 shots on goal.

Arthur Cabral has top scored with 3, while Alex Telles, Christopher Ramos and Fernando Marcal are next on 2. Santiago Rodriguez, Arthur Cabral and Alex Telles have managed 2 assists in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

São Paulo confirmed lineup (3-5-2): Rafael (GK), Rafael Toloi, Alan Franco, Sabino, Cedric Soares, Alisson, Pablo Maia, Rodriguinho, Enzo Hernan Diaz, Gonzalo Tapia, Juan Dinenno.

Botafogo confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Neto (GK), Vitinho, Kaio, David Ricardo, Fernando Marcal, Allan, Newton, Danilo, Jefferson Savarino, Christopher Ramos, Jeffinho.

São Paulo vs Botafogo Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for São Paulo vs Botafogo, including a key match prediction, our correct score selection, best corners advice, top player prop picks and a ready-made bet builder.

Match Prediction

Wager on Botafogo +0.25 on the Asian Handicap at -106 for this Série A game. We’re keen on their prospects of outperforming their match winner price and this wager looks like good value.

Plenty of research goes into our football picks. It begins by focusing on the latest Série A form and knowing the injury situation. The important numbers can then be utilised to help complete the picture.

Key São Paulo vs Botafogo league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Botafogo in 6 consecutive games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Botafogo in 14 of their last 17 games on the road.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Botafogo in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by São Paulo in 10 consecutive games against Botafogo.

Fogo +0.25 Probability

The latest betting odds imply that our pick has a 51.5% prospect of winning. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

If you’re in pursuit of bigger odds, then a Bet Builder could be a way forward. Take Fogo to cover the line with additional selections until you’re satisfied with the price.

Before you place your next wager, browse our guide for top betting offers including the latest free bets and welcome bonuses.

Our Match Prediction

Botafogo Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -106 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

São Paulo 0 - 1 Botafogo

There are odds of +650 available that Botafogo land a 1-0 win. We like the correct score option as there’s a nice reward if you can accurately predict the outcome.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Emiliano Rigoni Under 0.5 Shots On Target -164

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo) can be backed to finish without a shot on goal at -164. It’s difficult to pass up such an appealing price for this Shots on Target pick and we’ll have a play.

Latest Emiliano Rigoni Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+420

First

+850

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-164

Shots

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

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Álvaro Montoro To Score +700

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo) can be backed to be on the scoresheet at +700. We believe that there is merit in backing him for an Anytime Goalscorer prop wager which means we need him to be on the scoresheet.

Latest Álvaro Montoro Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+700

First

+1300

Shots On Target

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Shots

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

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Corners Prediction

São Paulo To Have Most Corners -141

São Paulo have won the Corner Match Bet in eight straight games. São Paulo look value at -141 to rack up the most corners.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

São Paulo

Total

10.10 5.90 4.20

Home

9.80 5.30 4.50

Away

10.50 4.70 5.80

Botafogo

Total

9.20 5.10 4.10

Home

9.30 5.30 4.00

Away

8.80 4.20 4.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-114

Under 9.5

-125

São Paulo Corners

Over 5.5

+110

Under 5.5

-150

Botafogo Corners

Over 3.5

-150

Under 3.5

+110

Most Corners

1

-156

X

+700

2

+170

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São Paulo vs Botafogo Odds

The odds are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Bookies Think São Paulo Most Likely to Win

São Paulo are forecasted to be the most likely winner in this Série A encounter. The +125 for them coming out on top suggests a 44% probability based on their latest betting odds. If you want to get against the market leader, then you’re able to secure +260 for Botafogo.

It sometimes pays to take the Draw No Bet option meaning there’s a safety net if the game ends all square. São Paulo can be backed at -189 or alternatively Botafogo are on offer at +138.

If you’re anticipating that two goals or less will be netted throughout the contest, then Under 2.5 Goals is a definite runner. If you anticipate that a minimum of one side can manage a clean sheet, you might want to take the -161 about Both Teams to Score No.

The leading football betting sites provide hundreds of markets for the latest Série A games. Be sure to peruse all of the available options before going ahead with your preferred wager.

Full-Time Result

1

+125

X

+195

2

+260

Half-Time Result

1

+200

X

-106

2

+310

Double Chance

1X

-385

12

-270

X2

-172

Draw No Bet

1

-189

2

+138

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.25

-111

2 Hcp +0.25

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-217

Over 2.5

+165

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+114

No

-161

Gonzalo Tapia Top of First Goalscorer List

Gonzalo Tapia is available at +280 when it comes to Anytime Goalscorer, with the favourite priced at odds of +550 to find the net first.

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

First

+280

Anytime

+550

Arthur Cabral (Botafogo)

First

+295

Anytime

+550

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

First

+300

Anytime

+600

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

First

+310

Anytime

+600

Oscar (São Paulo)

First

+400

Anytime

+800

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

First

+420

Anytime

+850

Artur Victor Guimarães (Botafogo)

First

+480

Anytime

+950

Maílton (São Paulo)

First

+500

Anytime

+1000

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

First

+540

Anytime

+1050

Joaquín Correa (Botafogo)

First

+550

Anytime

+1050

Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo)

First

+550

Anytime

+1100

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1400

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Santiago Rodríguez (Botafogo)

First

+700

Anytime

+1300

Jefferson Ruan Santos "Jeffinho" (Botafogo)

First

+750

Anytime

+1300

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

First

+800

Anytime

+1700

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

First

+850

Anytime

+1600

Robert Arboleda (São Paulo)

First

+900

Anytime

+1800

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira (Botafogo)

First

+1000

Anytime

+1900

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

First

+1050

Anytime

+2000

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2000

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

First

+1100

Anytime

+2200

Alisson Castro (São Paulo)

First

+1200

Anytime

+2200

Arthur Cabral (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-185

Under 0.5

+108

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-172

Under 0.5

-100

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-167

Under 0.5

-100

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-147

Under 0.5

-116

Oscar (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-105

Under 0.5

-149

Artur Victor Guimarães (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+102

Under 0.5

-161

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+105

Under 0.5

-164

Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+115

Under 0.5

-182

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+120

Under 0.5

-192

Joaquín Correa (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+123

Under 0.5

-200

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+150

Under 0.5

-250

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+160

Under 0.5

-263

Santiago Rodríguez (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+165

Under 0.5

-286

Jefferson Ruan Santos "Jeffinho" (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+195

Under 0.5

-345

Rafael Tolói (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+220

Under 0.5

-400

Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

+270

Under 0.5

-526

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+290

Under 0.5

-588

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+300

Under 0.5

-588

Cédric Soares (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

+310

Under 0.5

-667

Gonzalo Tapia (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-

Arthur Cabral (Botafogo)

Over 2.5

-143

Under 2.5

-

Aldemir Ferreira (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

-128

Under 2.5

-

Juan Dinenno (São Paulo)

Over 2.5

+104

Under 2.5

-

Oscar (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-164

Under 1.5

-

Emiliano Rigoni (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-139

Under 1.5

-

Artur Victor Guimarães (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

-123

Under 1.5

-

Matheus Martins (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

-115

Under 1.5

-

Joaquín Correa (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

-118

Under 1.5

-

Jefferson Savarino (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

-128

Under 1.5

-

Rodrigo Almeida Mendonca "Rodriguinho" (São Paulo)

Over 1.5

-179

Under 1.5

-

Álvaro Montoro (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

+118

Under 1.5

-

Santiago Rodríguez (Botafogo)

Over 1.5

+140

Under 1.5

-

Alex Telles (Botafogo)

Over 0.5

-192

Under 0.5

-

Marcos Antônio Silva Santos (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-133

Under 0.5

-

Pablo Maia (São Paulo)

Over 0.5

-135

Under 0.5

-

São Paulo vs Botafogo Lineups & Team News

Stay informed and review the São Paulo vs Botafogo team news before placing your bets. We’ll share the predicted and confirmed lineups for Série A together with updated injury news.

São Paulo Team Page Botafogo Team Page