Vélez Sarsfield vs Sarmiento Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 14 Apr 2025

Find Out Why We’re Backing Vélez

We believe that Vélez Sarsfield will get the better of Sarmiento and the favourites are excellent value at -143. The Full-Time Result odds look really attractive and we’re confident of landing a return here.

1-0 Win for Vélez in Last Head-to-Head

Vélez Sarsfield have suffered two straight Primera División defeats. Away from home, they recently experienced a 2-1 loss against Rosario Central. Guillermo Barros Schelotto's side had just 35% possession and recorded three shots on target, while Braian Romero bagged the goal.

On Wednesday night, Vélez won 4-0 when visiting Paraguayan Primera División side Club Olimpia in the Copa Libertadores.

Sarmiento played out a 1-1 draw against River Plate in their previous league game, with this being at home. El Verde were restricted to just 29% possession and managed seven shots on goal, with Juan Manuel Insaurralde finding the net.

Last time out, Sarmiento lost 1-0 when hosting Primera C outfit Central Córdoba de Rosario in the Copa Argentina.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Vélez haven’t lost to Sarmiento in their past four games. Their last encounter saw Vélez win by a 1-0 scoreline. The past 4 H2H matches have included two Vélez wins along with two draws.

Primera División		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
24	Sarmiento	16	2	9	5	11	19	-8	11:19	15
28	Vélez Sarsfield	16	4	2	10	7	22	-15	7:22	14

View Full Table

Vélez have 2 wins, 6 losses and 2 draws, averaging 0.4 goals from 2.0 shots on goal and 5.5 attempts. El Fortín have averaged 57.0% possession and 3.7 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.3 goals from 3.6 shots on goal, 8.1 attempts and 4.7 corners.

Braian Romero has scored 3 goals, followed by Maher Carrizo on 1. Leading assistor is Isaias Andrada with 1.

Sarmiento have won 1, lost 3 and drawn 6, with an average of 0.7 goals from 3.8 shots on goal and 9.3 attempts. The Junín outfit have averaged 47.0% possession, 4.0 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.4 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 11.6 attempts.

Gabriel Carabajal has scored 2 goals, followed by Juan Manuel Insaurralde, Pablo Magnin, Ivan Morales and Valentin Burgoa on 1. Joaquin Gho has had 1 assists in the previous 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Vélez Sarsfield confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Tomas Marchiori (GK), Agustin Lagos, Damian Fernandez, Valentin Gomez, Elias Gomez, Maher Carrizo, Kevin Vazquez, Christian Ordonez, Agustin Bouzat, Michael Santos, Alvaro Montoro.

Sarmiento confirmed lineup (4-4-1-1): Lucas Acosta (GK), Jeremias Vallejos, Facundo Roncaglia, Juan Manuel Insaurralde, Joel Godoy, Leandro Suhr, Carlos Villalba, Elian Gimenez, Joaquin Gho, Gabriel Carabajal, Ivan Morales.

Vélez Sarsfield vs Sarmiento Prediction & Betting Tips

There’s a strong chance that we’ll see Vélez Sarsfield record a victory and they are priced at -143 to win this Primera División clash. We think that the latest odds offer bettors plenty of value.

A good deal of research goes into our football picks. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Vélez Sarsfield vs Sarmiento league stats:

• Vélez have won 11 of their last 19 games at home.
• Sarmiento have lost 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Sarmiento have lost 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Vélez to Win Probability

When you look at the latest odds, our pick has a 58.8% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 65-70%. It’s the reason why we are recommending this bet.

If you can correctly predict that Vélez will triumph along with the number of goals, then you are able to combine the two options and getting bigger odds on the Match Result & Total market.

Our Match Prediction

Vélez To Win @ -143 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Vélez 2 - 0 Sarmiento

Our correct score prediction is a 2-0 win for Vélez which is available at odds of +550. We think they’ll achieve victory and this is a way of getting bigger odds and more excitement.

Corners Prediction

Vélez Under 5.5 Corners -120

Vélez have had under 5.5 corners in six consecutive games, while the previous 5 Sarmiento away matches have seen them concede an average of 4.20 corners. It looks a logical viewpoint that the Team Corners line won’t be reached and you can land a price of -120 for this Vélez wager.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Vélez

Total

8.40 3.70 4.70

Home

8.90 6.10 2.80

Away

8.40 3.30 5.10

Sarmiento

Total

8.90 4.00 4.90

Home

9.10 4.20 4.90

Away

8.90 3.10 5.80

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 9.5

-102

Under 9.5

-139

Vélez Corners

Over 5.5

-128

Under 5.5

-111

Sarmiento Corners

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-167

Most Corners

1

-286

X

+600

2

+255

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Vélez Sarsfield vs Sarmiento Odds

The bookies betting odds have Vélez Sarsfield as -139 favourites for this Primera Division clash, implying that they are 58% likely to win the match. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Sarmiento are trading at +460.

The game is predicted to be a low-scoring one and that is borne out by Under 2.5 Goals trading at short odds.

There are hundreds of markets when it comes to betting on the Primera División coupon and we recommend visiting the leading betting sites to find the bet that matches your view on the game.

Full-Time Result

1

-139

X

+230

2

+460

Half-Time Result

1

+140

X

-102

2

+460

Double Chance

1X

-714

12

-313

X2

+107

Draw No Bet

1

-455

2

+275

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -0.75

-105

2 Hcp +0.75

-123

Total Goals

Under 2.5

-200

Over 2.5

+150

Both Teams to Score

Yes

+123

No

-179

Vélez Sarsfield vs Sarmiento Lineups & Team News

Make sure you know the lineups ahead of kick-off, with injuries also playing a part when it comes to Vélez vs Sarmiento team news.

Getting the player information you need is easy thanks to the Primera División squads.

Vélez Sarsfield Team Page Sarmiento Team Page