Western United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction, Lineups & Odds | A-League, 08 Mar 2025

Take United to Cover the Asian Handicap Line

It makes sense to back Western United -1.25 at +106 on the Asian Handicap. The favourites should beat Wellington by two goals or more, although we have the insurance of half our stake back should they win by a single goal.

7 Nix Victories in Previous 10 H2H Clashes

Western United won their previous game 3-1. This away victory at Industree Group Stadium against Central Coast Mariners was their second on the spin. John Aloisi's team had 50% possession and managed ten shots on target, with Noah Botic, Luke Vickery and Michael Ruhs among the goals.

Wellington Phoenix have suffered three straight defeats, recently being beaten at home by Melbourne City 1-0 at Sky Stadium. The Nix were restricted to 40% possession and didn’t have any shots on goal.

Wellington have not lost to United in the past four meetings, with their last encounter ending in a 1-1 draw at Sky Stadium. The past 10 H2H meetings have included seven victories for Wellington, two wins for United and a single draw.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
3	Western United	26	14	5	7	55	37	18	55:37	47
11	Wellington	26	6	6	14	27	43	-16	27:43	24

View Full Table

United have 6 wins, 2 losses and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals from 6.1 shots on goal and 10.7 attempts. The Green and Black have averaged 53.5% possession and 6.6 corners per game, with the opposition getting 1.5 goals from 3.4 shots on goal, 7.9 attempts and 3.6 corners.

Noah Botic is the top scorer with 7 goals, Hiroshi Ibusuki has 4, with Riku Danzaki and Abel Walatee on 2. Benjamin Garuccio has recorded the most assists with 4.

Wellington have won 2, lost 5 and drawn 3, with an average of 0.7 goals from 2.5 shots on goal and 4.6 attempts. The New Zealand outfit have averaged 45.8% possession, 3.2 corners awarded and 6.6 corners against, while they’ve conceded 1.5 goals from 5.9 shots on goal and 12.5 attempts.

Kosta Barbarouses has scored 2 goals, followed by Luke Brooke-Smith, Isaac Robert Hughes, Kazuki Nagasawa and Corban Piper on 1. Hideki Ishige has been the chief assist maker in the previous 10 games with 3.

Confirmed Lineups

Western United confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Matthew Sutton (GK), Tate Russell, Tomoki Imai, Dylan Leonard, Charbel Shamoon, Matthew Grimaldi, Rhys Bozinovski, Angus Thurgate, Riku Danzaki, Noah Botic, Hiroshi Ibusuki.

Wellington Phoenix confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Alby Kelly-Heald (GK), Corban Piper, Scott Wootton, Isaac Robert Hughes, Sam Sutton, Tim Payne, Alex Rufer, Matthew Sheridan, Chico Geraldes, Kosta Barbarouses, Marco Rojas.

Expert A-League Analysis

Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest stats.

Key Western United vs Wellington Phoenix league stats:

• The -1.25 line has been covered by WU in 2 consecutive games.
• The +1.25 line hasn’t been covered by Wellington in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Western United vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction

Western United should have the upper hand when it comes to this A-League encounter. Taking the -1.25 at odds of +106 should be the way forward and there’s a chance of a nice return for a comfortable win.

There are larger odds available for bettors who want to move the line. If you have a strong view on a team performing well, then you can get more juice from your bet.

United -1.25 Probability

The betting sites make it a 48.5% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our experts think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. This is why we regard this as a value wager.

Our Pick

Western United Asian Hcp -1.25 @ +106 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Western United 3 - 1 Wellington

We’re going for Western United at +850 to secure a 3-1 win. It’s exciting to bet on the correct score and this wager will hopefully be able to land a nice return.

Corners Prediction

Under 10.5 Corners -125

The 5 past away games involving Wellington have had an average of 8.20 corners, with the previous 10 Western United home matches featuring 9.00. There is value when it comes to going under the Total Corners line and this is available at -125.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Western United

Total

10.20 6.60 3.60

Home

9.00 5.40 3.60

Away

11.70 6.30 5.40

Wellington

Total

9.80 3.20 6.60

Home

10.00 3.60 6.40

Away

10.20 3.60 6.60

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-110

Under 10.5

-125

Western United Corners

Over 7.5

-102

Under 7.5

-147

Wellington Corners

Over 3.5

+104

Under 3.5

-156

Most Corners

1

-500

X

+800

2

+380

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Western United vs Wellington Phoenix Odds

You might not get rich backing Western United at -238 to win this A-League match. However, these bookies betting odds imply a high 70% chance of winning the game. Wellington Phoenix are regarded as the least likely winner at +550.

The expectation is that Over 2.5 Goals will be scored according to the latest odds.

The leading football betting sites offer hundreds of markets when it comes to A-League matches. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Full-Time Result

1

-238

X

+400

2

+550

Half-Time Result

1

-105

X

+150

2

+500

Double Chance

1X

-901

12

-549

X2

+162.5

Draw No Bet

1

-599

2

+400

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp -1.25

-100

2 Hcp +1.25

-111

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+137.5

Over 2.5

-175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-143

No

+105

Best Betting Offers

Team Stats

Team News

Make sure you know the United vs Wellington team news before placing your bets. We’ll bring you the information when we have it.

Western United Team Page Wellington Phoenix Team Page

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