Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 17 Jan 2026

A-League Betting Preview: Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory

Adelaide United host Melbourne Victory at Coopers Stadium, with kick-off set for 03:35 on Saturday 17 January.

Adelaide look capable of beating Melbourne Victory and we’ll take them on the Asian Handicap. Back the home team at -137 with a +0.25 goal start, with our stake split between 0 and +0.5 which means a return if they avoid defeat.

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Adelaide United played Wellington Phoenix away in their last game. It was a 2-2 draw at Sky Stadium. The Reds enjoyed just 32% possession and had four shots on target, with Ryan White and Luke Duzel scoring one goal apiece.

Melbourne Victory were defeated in their previous game, being turned over 1-0 at home to Western Sydney at AAMI Park. Arthur Diles' side were 51% in the possession stakes and recorded three shots on goal.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Melbourne are bidding for a third successive victory against Adelaide, having previously claimed home wins of 2-1 and 5-3 at AAMI Park. Melbourne have landed five victories, Adelaide have two wins and there’s been three draws in the past 10 H2H meetings.

A-League		G	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	GD	P
5	Adelaide United	15	7	2	6	24	23	1	24:23	23
8	Melb Victory	15	6	2	7	20	19	1	20:19	20

View Full Table

United have 4 wins, 5 losses and 1 draw, averaging 1.5 goals from 3.9 shots on goal and 7.4 attempts. The South Australia team have averaged 48.8% possession and 5.4 corners per match, with the opposition scoring 1.6 goals from 5.5 shots on goal, 11.7 attempts and 5.2 corners.

Top scorer is Luka Jovanovic on 4 goals, while Ryan White and Craig Goodwin have both racked up 2. Yaya Dukuly is the top assists maker on 3.

Victory have 5 victories, 4 defeats and 1 draw, averaging 4.9 shots on goal, 11.1 attempts and 1.3 goals. The Boys in Blue average 52.1% possession, 6.1 corners awarded and 4.9 corners against, while 1.1 goals have been conceded from 7.7 attempts and 3.0 shots on goal.

Nikolaos Vergos is top of the team’s scoring charts with 5, while Clarismario Rodrigus and Keegan Jelacic have 2. Juan Mata has been the top assist maker with 4 in the last 10 games.

Confirmed Lineups

Adelaide United confirmed lineup (4-4-2): Joshua Smits (GK), Jay Barnett, Bart Vriends, Panagiotis Kikianis, Ryan Kitto, Jonny Yull, Ryan White, Luke Duzel, Craig Goodwin, Ajak Riak, Anselmo.

Melbourne Victory confirmed lineup (4-2-3-1): Jack Warshawsky (GK), Joshua Inserra, Sebastian Esposito, Lachlan Jackson, Adama Traore, Louis D'Arrigo, Denis Genreau, Nishan Velupillay, Juan Mata, Clarismario Rodrigus, Nikolaos Vergos.

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips

Get the full betting picture for Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory, including our expert match prediction, likely scoreline, key corners pick, must-watch player props and a tailored bet builder ready to use.

Match Prediction

We’ll back Adelaide +0.25 for this A-League game, with odds of -137 available. We have a feeling that they can perform well and the Asian Handicap line looks more than fair for this outcome.

Our football experts study the form, while injuries and suspensions can also affect the potential outcome. Before coming up with a verdict, we combine this data with the latest A-League stats.

Key Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory league stats:

• The +0.25 line has been covered by Adelaide in 10 of their last 16 games at home.
• The +0.25 line has been covered by Adelaide in 6 of their last 10 games at home.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 11 of their last 18 games on the road.
• The -0.25 line hasn’t been covered by Victory in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

The best football bookies are estimating that there is a 57.8% likelihood of this pick landing a return. However, our experts have this number between 60-65% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

Buying and selling goals is something that can be done if you want to move the existing line. Take a position according to your viewpoint, whether you want more risk or reward.

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Our Match Prediction

Adelaide Asian Hcp +0.25 @ -137 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (09:38, 15 January 2026). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Adelaide 2 - 1 Victory

We’ve picked out a correct score of 2-1 being landed by Adelaide. You can secure odds of +700 and this provides an alternative way to place a wager.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Austin Ayoubi to Score +370

Austin Ayoubi (United) has scored two goals in his past four A-League games on home soil. This statistic guides us towards Anytime Goalscorer where we’re able to back him to find the net at appealing odds of +370.

Latest Austin Ayoubi Player Prop Odds

Goalscorer

Anytime

+400

First

+900

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Corners Prediction

Over 10.5 Corners -122

There has been over 10.5 corners in four consecutive Melbourne Victory away matches. We’re happy to back the -122 when it comes to the teams covering the Total Corners line which looks generous.

League Games

League Games

Last 10 Total For Against

Last 10 at Home Total For Against

Last 10 Away Total For Against

Adelaide

Total

10.60 5.40 5.20

Home

10.60 6.30 4.30

Away

9.80 4.50 5.30

Victory

Total

11.00 6.10 4.90

Home

8.70 5.10 3.60

Away

11.30 5.90 5.40

Latest Corner Odds

Total Corners

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-118

Adelaide Corners

Over 4.5

-143

Under 4.5

-105

Victory Corners

Over 5.5

-106

Under 5.5

-139

Most Corners

1

+120

X

+650

2

-119

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Melbourne Victory are the shortest price to win this A-League clash according to the bookies, with the favourites given a 47% probability due to their +112 betting odds. For those wanting to oppose the market leader, you can get +205 about Adelaide United.

You can take advantage of the Draw No Bet market if you want a less-risky option. Going down this route means you can back Melbourne at -175 or instead go for Adelaide at +120.

The lowest odds can be found for Over 2.5 Goals, which means at least three goals being netted. If both teams to score is something you think will happen, there’s an opportunity to wager Yes at -208 on the BTTS market.

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Full-Time Result

1

+205

X

+260

2

+112

Half-Time Result

1

+240

X

+143

2

+150

Double Chance

1X

-161

12

-417

X2

-313

Draw No Bet

1

+120

2

-175

Asian Handicap

1 Hcp +0.25

-118

2 Hcp -0.25

-122

Total Goals

Under 2.5

+123

Over 2.5

-175

Both Teams to Score

Yes

-208

No

+143

Those interested in favourite Nikos Vergos to find the net first are able to get +280. If the Anytime Goalscorer angle makes more appeal, then this is +107.

Nikos Vergos (Victory)

First

+107

Anytime

+280

Luka Jovanovic (United)

First

+180

Anytime

+500

Craig Goodwin (United)

First

+185

Anytime

+500

Nishan Velupillay (Victory)

First

+230

Anytime

+550

Jing Reec (Victory)

First

+250

Anytime

+600

Yaya Dukuly (United)

First

+275

Anytime

+700

Reno Piscopo (Victory)

First

+320

Anytime

+800

Jonny Yull (United)

First

+390

Anytime

+1000

Austin Ayoubi (United)

First

+400

Anytime

+900

Jordi Valadon (Victory)

First

+540

Anytime

+1300

Ethan Alagich (United)

First

+540

Anytime

+1400

Ryan Kitto (United)

First

+600

Anytime

+1500

Joshua Rawlins (Victory)

First

+700

Anytime

+1700

Roderick Miranda (Victory)

First

+750

Anytime

+1700

Joshua Inserra (Victory)

First

+800

Anytime

+1900

Jay Barnett (United)

First

+850

Anytime

+2000

Adelaide have collected five victories, four losses and one draw in the last 10 home games, recording an average of 2.10 goals per match and conceding 2.00.

Melbourne have racked up five wins, four defeats and one draw in the last 10 away matches, scoring an average of 1.10 goals per game and conceding 1.20.

The past meeting at Coopers Stadium saw Adelaide defeat Melbourne 3-2. In the past 10 H2H games at Coopers Stadium, there have been six Adelaide victories, three Melbourne wins and a draw.

Last 10 League Games		W-D-L	G	GF	GA	O2.5	U2.5	B-Y	B-No
Adelaide United Home Stats		5-1-4	4.10	2.10	2.00	7	3	7	3
Melbourne Victory Away Stats		5-1-4	2.30	1.10	1.20	4	6	3	7

• W-D-L = Wins-Draws-Losses
• G = Avg. Goals
• GF = Avg. Goals For
• GA = Avg. Goals Against
• O2.5 = Matches Over 2.5 Goals
• U2.5 = Matches Under 2.5 Goals
• B-Y = Matches BTTS Yes
• B-No = Matches BTTS No

Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Lineups & Team News

Be smart with your bets — check the Adelaide vs Victory team news beforehand. Get the predicted and confirmed A-League lineups plus the latest injury updates from us.

Adelaide United Team Page Melbourne Victory Team Page

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