Mississippi State vs Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Mississippi State vs Alabama

The Mississippi State Bulldogs square off against the Alabama Crimson Tide, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Wednesday, February 25.

There are good reasons for anticipating that the Mississippi State and Alabama points tally will be lower than the line. If you agree with our prediction of Under 175.5, you will find -110 available.

Mississippi State Bulldogs suffered a defeat in their previous game. A 97-89 scoreline occurred on the road against South Carolina Gamecocks.

Alabama Crimson Tide won their last game 90-83. This was a road victory against LSU Tigers.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Alabama won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 97-82 victory was registered against Mississippi State. Alabama have nine straight victories against Mississippi State. They have won 9 of the 10 previous head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Alabama	21-7	2601	2340	261	14-5	7-2	7W
Mississippi State	13-15	2189	2241	-52	9-8	4-7	2L

View Full Standings

Mississippi State vs Alabama Prediction & Picks

Step into Mississippi State vs Alabama with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Game Prediction

Don’t expect fireworks in this college matchup. The two teams might not score a huge combined total and our pick is to back Under 175.5 points at odds of -110.

Team news plays a key role in our basketball forecasts and we’re always tracking players with injury concerns. We also stay on top of the college hoops form guide, supported by detailed stats that help paint a clearer picture of what to expect.

Key Mississippi State vs Alabama stats:

• The 175.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 MS State games.
• The 175.5 line hasn’t been covered in 16 of the last 20 MS State games.
• The 175.5 line hasn’t been covered in 6 of the last 10 Alabama games.
• The 175.5 line hasn’t been covered in 3 of the last 5 Alabama games.

Under 175.5 Probability

The best sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% chance of this pick winning. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this college basketball bet.

It’s all about getting the best odds and one way of maximising your Unders bet is by combining it with the winner on the Match Result & Total lines.

Explore the best betting offers before you stake your money. Our guide showcases a variety of welcome bonuses worth grabbing.

Our Game Prediction

Under 175.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 25, 01:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

MS State 75 - 94 Alabama

Should you want to go for a selection at massive odds, head to the correct score lines where the Crimson Tide can be backed speculatively to achieve a 94-75 victory.

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Mississippi State vs Alabama Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -909 about Alabama which reflects they have a 90% chance of winning this college game. If you’re looking for an alternative angle, Mississippi State are trading at +610.

The current spread is 12.5 and total points is 175.5. The Totals offers basketball fans an alternative way of getting involved. There’s the chance to back Under 175.5 at -105.

The top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to most college games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

MS State

+610

Alabama

-909

Point Spread

MS State +12.5

-110

Alabama -12.5

-110

Total Points

Under 175.5

-105

Over 175.5

-115

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Points they might score or the number of Assists they might have.

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to college basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live player, score and team props to see if you can find an angle.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Mississippi State Stats

Alabama Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +14.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +14.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -14.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -14.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 166.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 175.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 175.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 75.20 pts and allowed 81.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 81.50 pts and allowed 85.40 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 176.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 179.20 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 175.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 175.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 90.80 pts and allowed 86.00 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 94.40 pts and allowed 84.80 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Florida	22-6	2416	1994	422	15-2	7-4	8W
Vanderbilt	22-6	2443	2070	373	14-3	8-3	1W
Arkansas	21-7	2527	2199	328	16-3	5-4	2W
Alabama	21-7	2601	2340	261	14-5	7-2	7W
Tennessee	20-8	2253	1936	317	15-3	5-5	1L
Texas A&M	19-9	2484	2211	273	13-3	6-6	1L
Missouri	19-9	2241	2101	140	15-2	4-7	1W
Georgia	19-9	2515	2205	310	13-5	6-4	1L
Kentucky	18-10	2265	2028	237	14-5	4-5	1W
Texas	17-11	2369	2119	250	13-5	4-6	2L
Auburn	15-13	2338	2232	106	12-5	3-8	1L
LSU	15-13	2292	2160	132	10-7	5-6	1W
Oklahoma	14-14	2314	2186	128	11-5	3-9	1W
Mississippi State	13-15	2189	2241	-52	9-8	4-7	2L
South Carolina	12-16	2133	2135	-2	11-7	1-9	1L
Ole Miss	11-17	2102	2122	-20	9-7	2-10	10L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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