Mississippi State vs Alabama Prediction, Picks & Odds | 25 Feb 2025

We’re not sure that Mississippi State and Alabama will reach a certain points threshold. Our prediction is to take the -110 that there are Under 170.5 points.

Mississippi State Bulldogs lost on the road in their previous game. Oklahoma Sooners won 93-87.

Alabama Crimson Tide last game saw them claim a 96-83 home win over Kentucky Wildcats.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Alabama won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 88-84 victory was registered against Mississippi State. Alabama have seven straight victories against Mississippi State. They have won 9 of the 10 previous head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Alabama	12-5	1593	1405	188	9-4	3-1	1W
Mississippi State	10-7	1362	1326	36	8-4	2-3	2L

View Full Standings

Mississippi State vs Alabama Prediction & Picks

Totals wagering for this college contest provides lots of value at -110. The line is set at 170.5 and we’d be surprised if the combined points total exceeds that amount.

The team news that filters through can have a knock-on effect as far as the lines and odds are concerned. We use this information along with the form guide, while the latest stats are also taken into consideration.

Key Mississippi State vs Alabama stats:

• The 170.5 line hasn’t been covered in 19 of the last 20 MS State games on the road.
• The 170.5 line hasn’t been covered in 9 of the last 10 MS State games on the road.
• The 170.5 line hasn’t been covered in 11 of the last 20 Alabama games at home.

Under 170.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick landing a return. In the opinion of our analysts, there’s actually a probability of success between 55-60%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball bet.

There’s the chance to boost your odds about an Under pick. The Match Result & Total lines provide a prime opportunity to squeeze more juice by predicting the winner too.

Our Game Prediction

Under 170.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Mark Sears Over 2.5 Rebounds -164

Mark Sears (Alabama) can be wagered to total Over 2.5 rebounds at -164. We’re confident that he can oblige with an Overs bet considering the generous line that’s on offer.

Latest Mark Sears Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 20.5

-110

Under 20.5

-118

Assists

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-103

Rebounds

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

+123

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Grant Nelson Under 1.5 Assists -130

Grant Nelson (Alabama) is available at -130 to finish with Under 1.5 assists. He might fall short when it comes to covering the Player Assists line and we’re confident when it comes to this prop bet.

Latest Grant Nelson Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 11.5

-116

Under 11.5

-111

Assists

Over 1.5

+103

Under 1.5

-133

Rebounds

Over 7.5

-101

Under 7.5

-128

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Correct Score Prediction

MS State 77 - 87 Alabama

There are some big returns lying in wait if you can get the correct score right. With this in mind, we’ll have a play on the Crimson Tide to enjoy a 87-77 winning scoreline.

Mississippi State vs Alabama Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Alabama are regarded as having a 78% chance of winning this college game according to the latest betting odds. The sportsbooks have priced them up at -357. Mississippi State are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +280.

The spread is currently 8.5, with the total points line at 174.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. There’s the chance to back Under 174.5 at -112.

Bama can be backed in lots of ways and that includes Race to 20 Points where they are -210 favorites. Mississippi State are +155 should you think they’ll make this total first instead.

College basketball fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the wide range of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

MS State

+280

Alabama

-357

Point Spread

MS State +8.5

-110

Alabama -8.5

-110

Total Points

Under 174.5

-112

Over 174.5

-108

Josh Hubbard is favorite when it comes to getting the most points. You can get -114 that he goes Over 20.5 points or the same odds when it comes to Under.

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 20.5

-114

Under 20.5

-114

Mark Sears (Alabama)

Over 20.5

-110

Under 20.5

-118

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 13.5

-103

Under 13.5

-125

Aden Holloway (Alabama)

Over 11.5

-128

Under 11.5

-101

Grant Nelson (Alabama)

Over 11.5

-116

Under 11.5

-111

Chris Youngblood (Alabama)

Over 11.5

-103

Under 11.5

-125

RJ Melendez (MS State)

Over 10.5

+118

Under 10.5

-154

Riley Kugel (MS State)

Over 9.5

-130

Under 9.5

-100

Labaron Philon (Alabama)

Over 9.5

-100

Under 9.5

-130

Claudell Harris Jr. (MS State)

Over 9.5

+103

Under 9.5

-133

Clifford Omoruyi (Alabama)

Over 6.5

-132

Under 6.5

+102

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 6.5

-115

Under 6.5

-112

Michael Nwoko (MS State)

Over 5.5

-127

Under 5.5

-102

Mark Sears (Alabama)

Over 4.5

-125

Under 4.5

-103

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 3.5

+120

Under 3.5

-156

Labaron Philon (Alabama)

Over 3.5

+136

Under 3.5

-179

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-152

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 1.5

+124

Under 1.5

-161

Aden Holloway (Alabama)

Over 1.5

-102

Under 1.5

-127

Grant Nelson (Alabama)

Over 1.5

+103

Under 1.5

-133

KeShawn Murphy (MS State)

Over 7.5

-106

Under 7.5

-122

Grant Nelson (Alabama)

Over 7.5

-101

Under 7.5

-128

Clifford Omoruyi (Alabama)

Over 7.5

-100

Under 7.5

-130

Cameron Matthews (MS State)

Over 6.5

-118

Under 6.5

-110

RJ Melendez (MS State)

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+113

Riley Kugel (MS State)

Over 3.5

+117

Under 3.5

-152

Michael Nwoko (MS State)

Over 3.5

-123

Under 3.5

-105

Josh Hubbard (MS State)

Over 2.5

-108

Under 2.5

-120

Mark Sears (Alabama)

Over 2.5

-161

Under 2.5

+123

Aden Holloway (Alabama)

Over 2.5

-135

Under 2.5

+104

Chris Youngblood (Alabama)

Over 2.5

-182

Under 2.5

+138

Labaron Philon (Alabama)

Over 2.5

-182

Under 2.5

+138

Claudell Harris Jr. (MS State)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+118

Micro betting is something that’s really popular with bettors, with college basketball fans essentially being able to wager in-game when it comes to score, player and team props. Check out the two-way lines where you can bet whether the next shot will be a Two-pointer or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Mississippi State Stats

Alabama Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +7.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -7.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -7.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 149.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 143.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 170.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 170.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 73.20 pts and allowed 75.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 73.20 pts and allowed 70.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 178.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 166.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 170.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 170.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 93.00 pts and allowed 85.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 89.40 pts and allowed 77.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Vanderbilt	16-1	1552	1233	319	10-0	6-1	1L
Georgia	14-3	1638	1295	343	11-2	3-1	1L
Texas A&M	13-4	1581	1326	255	10-1	3-3	1L
Arkansas	13-4	1538	1304	234	11-2	2-2	1W
Missouri	13-4	1391	1221	170	11-0	2-4	1W
Florida	12-5	1459	1214	245	11-1	1-4	3W
Tennessee	12-5	1405	1158	247	11-2	1-3	1W
Alabama	12-5	1593	1405	188	9-4	3-1	1W
LSU	12-5	1444	1235	209	9-3	3-2	4L
Kentucky	11-6	1413	1185	228	10-4	1-2	2W
Texas	11-6	1484	1265	219	9-3	2-3	2W
Oklahoma	11-6	1430	1262	168	9-1	2-5	3L
Ole Miss	10-7	1300	1208	92	9-2	1-5	2W
Mississippi State	10-7	1362	1326	36	8-4	2-3	2L
Auburn	10-7	1474	1349	125	9-3	1-4	1L
South Carolina	10-7	1346	1221	125	9-3	1-4	2L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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