Air Force vs Fresno State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 14 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Air Force vs Fresno State

The Air Force Falcons battle the Fresno State Bulldogs, with tip-off scheduled for 17:00 on Saturday, February 14.

We really fancy the chances of Fresno State beating Air Force handsomely. That is why we’re backing them at -17.5 on the spread at odds of -110.

Taking our side against the spread? Take a moment to read our full BetMGM review, then take advantage of the current promo code before you jump in.

Air Force Falcons lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 91-74 at home to Colorado State Rams.

Fresno State Bulldogs were beaten last game and this was on the road. Utah State Aggies claimed a 91-78 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Fresno State had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. They recorded a 79-62 win over Air Force. We’ve seen eight Fresno State wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Fresno State	11-13	1750	1732	18	9-6	2-7	2L
Air Force	3-21	1473	1882	-409	3-13	0-8	17L

View Full Standings

Air Force vs Fresno State Prediction & Picks

Take on Air Force vs Fresno State with our in-depth betting analysis, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a value-driven bet builder. Scroll down for the full breakdown.

Game Prediction

There are odds of -110 that Fresno State will cover the -17.5 line. We think this is a great spread for this college pick where there is lots of of value available.

Our basketball picks are built after tracking the latest team news and reviewing recent form. We also dive into stats, which often serve as a solid barometer for how the college hoops action might unfold.

Key Air Force vs Fresno State stats:

• The +17.5 line hasn’t been covered by Air Force in 4 of their last 5 games on the road.
• The +17.5 line hasn’t been covered by Air Force in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The +17.5 line hasn’t been covered by Air Force in 3 consecutive games on the road.

Fresno State -17.5 Probability

The best betting sites suggest there’s a 52.4% chance of our pick delivering a return. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

We recommend moving the line if you are searching for bigger odds about the same selection. Take your pick and get the juice that you want from your wager in the process.

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Our Game Prediction

Fresno State -17.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Air Force 63 - 85 Fresno State

We’re going for the Dogs to win by a 85-63 scoreline, something which is available at huge odds. This speculative wager can provide a big return for a small stake.

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Air Force vs Fresno State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

With an estimated 96% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -2500 betting odds about Fresno State triumphing in this college game. Air Force are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +1100.

The current spread is 16.5 and the total points line is 142.5. Having a wager on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball bets. If you’re going for Over 142.5, then the odds are -110.

There are stacks of game lines and team props s when it comes to wagering on college basketball and we recommend visiting the top betting apps to find the bet that matches your view on the contest.

Moneyline

Air Force

+1100

Fresno State

-2500

Point Spread

Air Force +16.5

-110

Fresno State -16.5

-110

Total Points

Under 142.5

-110

Over 142.5

-110

There is regularly betting value to be found from wagering on the player props with the best online gambling sites. You can find lots of ways to back for or against a specific player lining up for one of the two teams.

Micro betting is an exciting way to wager on college basketball. There are many live lines and it’s a simple case of predicting what is going to happen. Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer are among the options.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Air Force Stats

Fresno State Stats

Moneyline

• 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 games
• 0 wins and 10 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +17.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +17.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -17.5 Betting Line: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games
• -17.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 144.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 131.80 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 140.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 140.5 on the Road: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 59.20 pts and allowed 85.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 54.70 pts and allowed 77.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 143.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 145.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 140.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 140.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 70.90 pts and allowed 72.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 73.70 pts and allowed 71.40 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mountain West	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Utah State	22-2	2028	1643	385	12-0	10-2	7W
New Mexico	19-6	2020	1738	282	13-2	6-4	1W
San Diego State	17-6	1844	1607	237	11-2	6-4	2W
Nevada	17-7	1847	1708	139	13-3	4-4	1W
Boise State	16-8	1910	1778	132	10-5	6-3	2W
Grand Canyon	15-9	1788	1640	148	12-5	3-4	2L
Colorado State	14-10	1820	1690	130	9-5	5-5	2W
Wyoming	13-11	1868	1751	117	11-4	2-7	2L
Fresno State	11-13	1750	1732	18	9-6	2-7	2L
UNLV	10-14	1884	1906	-22	7-6	3-8	2W
San Jose State	6-18	1675	1840	-165	6-8	0-10	7L
Air Force	3-21	1473	1882	-409	3-13	0-8	17L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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