Arizona State vs Baylor Prediction, Picks & Odds | 21 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Arizona State vs Baylor

The Arizona State Sun Devils battle the Baylor Bears, with tip-off scheduled for 16:00 on Saturday, February 21.

Our prediction is that Arizona State can outperform their odds against Baylor. It leads us to a bet on the spread lines considering that +6.5 has been chalked up at -110.

Arizona State Sun Devils previous game saw them claim a 72-67 home win over Texas Tech Red Raiders.

Baylor Bears lost on the road in their last game. Kansas State Wildcats won 90-74.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Baylor beat Arizona State in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 72-66 (OT) scoreline.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arizona State	14-12	2040	2046	-6	10-6	4-6	2W
Baylor	13-13	2158	1993	165	10-7	3-6	4L

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Arizona State vs Baylor Prediction & Picks

Our Arizona State vs Baylor betting guide delivers expert insight, including a main match pick, our correct score angle and bet builder recommendations. Dive into each section below for more.

Game Prediction

Our pick is that Arizona State will be able to cover the spread in this college showdown, with +6.5 looking favorable for our wager. Take the -110 that is currently available.

Getting the lowdown on injuries and analyzing the form guide are key steps before making basketball predictions. We also put strong emphasis on stats, where a data-led approach often leads to smarter college hoops picks.

Key Arizona State vs Baylor stats:

• The +6.5 line has been covered by Arizona State in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by Arizona State in 12 of their last 20 games.
• The +6.5 line has been covered by Arizona State in 2 consecutive games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Baylor in 4 consecutive games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Baylor in 8 of their last 10 games.
• The -6.5 line hasn’t been covered by Baylor in 12 of their last 20 games.

Arizona State +6.5 Probability

The top sportsbooks make it a 52.4% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. Taking all factors into consideration, our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and have a probability interval between 55-60%. It's therefore regarded as a value wager.

There are lots of alternatives to the spread and we particularly like the Winning Margin lines. It’s great whether you’re expecting things to be close or comprehensive.

Make the most of your next wager by unlocking the best betting offers along with the latest sign-up bonuses and promotions.

Our Game Prediction

Arizona State +6.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Feb 20, 20:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Arizona State 81 - 83 Baylor

There’s every chance that this is going to be a close game and we’ll have a play on Baylor enjoying a 83-81 winning scoreline. Hopefully this can go close.

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Arizona State vs Baylor Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have Baylor at -357 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 78% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. At +280, Arizona State are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

The spread is calculated to be 6.5, while total points comes in at 157.5. There are many ways to bet on basketball including the Totals. If you’re wanting to back Over 157.5, the odds are -115.

The good news is that you can access a wide range of team props and game lines for most college basketball contests. The best betting apps have a huge range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Arizona State

+280

Baylor

-357

Point Spread

Arizona State +6.5

-102

Baylor -6.5

-120

Total Points

Under 157.5

-105

Over 157.5

-115

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Points, Assists, Steals and Rebounds. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

It’s good to consider all wagering options when it comes to college basketball and micro betting can be an exciting way to get involved in the action. When everything goes in-game, consider whether the next shot will be a Two or a Three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Arizona State Stats

Baylor Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +6.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 games
• -6.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 153.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 162.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 156.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5 on the Road: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 74.80 pts and allowed 78.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.70 pts and allowed 84.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 153.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 164.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 156.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 156.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 73.90 pts and allowed 79.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 87.70 pts and allowed 76.80 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big 12	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Arizona	24-2	2281	1783	498	16-1	8-1	1W
Houston	23-3	2024	1602	422	16-1	7-2	1L
Iowa State	23-3	2175	1680	495	17-0	6-3	2W
Kansas	20-6	2009	1769	240	14-1	6-5	1W
Texas Tech	19-7	2117	1881	236	14-2	5-5	1L
BYU	19-7	2230	1938	292	14-3	5-4	1L
UCF	18-7	2044	1935	109	14-3	4-4	1W
West Virginia	16-10	1809	1655	154	13-5	3-5	1L
TCU	16-10	2043	1884	159	12-5	4-5	1L
Oklahoma State	16-10	2187	2114	73	13-4	3-6	4L
Cincinnati	14-12	1879	1741	138	13-4	1-8	3W
Arizona State	14-12	2040	2046	-6	10-6	4-6	2W
Colorado	14-12	2081	2042	39	13-5	1-7	2L
Baylor	13-13	2158	1993	165	10-7	3-6	4L
Kansas State	11-15	2095	2091	4	10-7	1-8	1W
Utah	10-16	1970	2044	-74	9-6	1-10	1W

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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