Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 23 Jul 2025

Mercury to Dominate Dream

There’s a good opportunity to cover the spread by backing the Mercury at -8. We can get odds of -108 and our prediction is that they’ll overcome the Dream.

Mercury 74-66 Winners in Last H2H Battle

Atlanta Dream were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Michelob Ultra Arena. Las Vegas Aces claimed a 87-72 win.

Phoenix Mercury were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 79-66 reverse against Minnesota Lynx at Target Center.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mercury have beaten the Dream in the last two matchups. A 82-80 victory at Gateway Center Arena was followed by a 74-66 win at Footprint Center. In the previous 10 games between the teams, they have won five apiece.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L

View Full Standings

Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

Place a wager on Mercury with a -8 spread in this WNBA contest. We’re confident the moneyline favorites can cover this appealing line at odds of -108.

A good deal of research goes into our WNBA predictions. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Dream vs Mercury stats:

• The -8 line has been covered by Mercury in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -8 line has been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -8 line has been covered by Mercury in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The +8 line hasn’t been covered by Dream in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Mercury -8 Probability

The top sportsbooks make it a 51.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

A Bet Builder provides you with the chance to combine the Mercury on the spread with other picks. For every additional selection, the odds are boosted.

Best Bet

Mercury -8 @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Satou Sabally Over 2.5 Assists -141

Satou Sabally (Mercury) can be wagered to register Over 2.5 assists at -141. The total for her on the Overs has lots of appeal, with bettors able to get plenty of juice.

Latest Satou Sabally Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-108

Under 16.5

-120

Assists

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-114

Rebounds

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

-100

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Jordin Canada Under 13.5 Points -128

Jordin Canada (Dream) is available at -128 to register Under 13.5 points. We’re expecting her to fall short when it comes to Player Points as the line looks high enough.

Latest Jordin Canada Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-118

Assists

Over 6.5

-149

Under 6.5

+115

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-149

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Correct Score Prediction

Dream 77 - 88 Mercury

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Mercury to record a 88-77 victory. There’s a massive return if we get this right.

Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Mercury Big Favorites

For this WNBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Phoenix Mercury are -323 favorites to win and that means a 76% chance of landing a victory. Atlanta Dream are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +245.

7.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 163.5 right now. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you're keen on Over 163.5, this selection is available at -114.

The good news is that you can access a nice selection of game lines and team props when it comes to most WNBA contests. The top basketball betting sites offer a huge range of pre-game and in-game options.

Moneyline

Dream

+245

Mercury

-323

Point Spread

Dream +7.5

-110

Mercury -7.5

-110

Total Points

Under 163.5

-106

Over 163.5

-114

Allisha Gray Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Allisha Gray is the market leader to hit the most buckets. She is priced at -112 to score Over 16.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -115.

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 16.5

-112

Under 16.5

-115

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-108

Under 16.5

-120

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 13.5

-116

Under 13.5

-111

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 13.5

-100

Under 13.5

-130

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-118

Brionna Jones (Dream)

Over 12.5

+105

Under 12.5

-135

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-106

Under 9.5

-122

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-123

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 6.5

-149

Under 6.5

+115

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 3.5

-111

Under 3.5

-116

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-114

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

+110

Under 7.5

-143

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

-100

Brionna Jones (Dream)

Over 6.5

-149

Under 6.5

+115

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 5.5

-143

Under 5.5

+110

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-149

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+118

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

+120

Micro Betting

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Atlanta Dream Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 158.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 165.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.30 pts and allowed 76.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.20 pts and allowed 78.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 162.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 166.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 165.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.00 pts and allowed 80.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 88.00 pts and allowed 78.00 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W