Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds | WNBA, 23 Jul 2025

Mercury to Dominate Dream

There’s a good opportunity to cover the spread by backing the Mercury at -8. We can get odds of -108 and our prediction is that they’ll overcome the Dream.

Mercury 74-66 Winners in Last H2H Battle

Atlanta Dream were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road at Michelob Ultra Arena. Las Vegas Aces claimed a 87-72 win.

Phoenix Mercury were defeated in their last game. On the road, they suffered a 79-66 reverse against Minnesota Lynx at Target Center.

The Mercury have beaten the Dream in the last two matchups. A 82-80 victory at Gateway Center Arena was followed by a 74-66 win at Footprint Center. In the previous 10 games between the teams, they have won five apiece.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  Mercury	15	7	1835	1745	90	9-3	6-4	1L
5  Dream	13	10	1915	1809	106	8-3	5-7	1L

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Expert WNBA Analysis

A good deal of research goes into our WNBA predictions. We start by studying the latest form and getting a handle on injuries. The key stats can then be used as the missing piece of the jigsaw.

Key Dream vs Mercury stats:

• The -8 line has been covered by Mercury in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The -8 line has been covered by Mercury in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -8 line has been covered by Mercury in 2 consecutive games at home.
• The +8 line hasn’t been covered by Dream in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Dream vs Mercury Prediction

Place a wager on Phoenix Mercury with a -8 spread in this WNBA contest. We’re confident the moneyline favorites can cover this appealing line at odds of -108.

A Bet Builder provides you with the chance to combine the Mercury on the spread with other picks. For every additional selection, the odds are boosted.

Mercury -8 Probability

The top sportsbooks make it a 51.8% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. However, our analysts in-depth research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. This is why we regard this as a value bet.

Our Pick

Mercury -8 @ -108 Bet Now

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Player Props

Satou Sabally Over 2.5 Assists -141

Satou Sabally (Mercury) can be wagered to register Over 2.5 assists at -141. The total for her on the Overs has lots of appeal, with bettors able to get plenty of juice.

Latest Satou Sabally Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

-108

Under 16.5

-120

Assists

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-114

Rebounds

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

-100

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Jordin Canada Under 13.5 Points -128

Jordin Canada (Dream) is available at -128 to register Under 13.5 points. We’re expecting her to fall short when it comes to Player Points as the line looks high enough.

Latest Jordin Canada Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-118

Assists

Over 6.5

-149

Under 6.5

+115

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-149

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Correct Score Prediction

Dream 77 - 88 Mercury

There are a range of correct score lines to choose from and we’re taking a chance on the Mercury to record a 88-77 victory. There’s a massive return if we get this right.

Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Mercury Big Favorites

For this WNBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Phoenix Mercury are -323 favorites to win and that means a 76% chance of landing a victory. Atlanta Dream are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +245.

7.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 163.5 right now. A Total wager is always available and can often provide value selections. If you're keen on Over 163.5, this selection is available at -114.

The good news is that you can access a nice selection of game lines and team props when it comes to most WNBA contests. The top basketball betting sites offer a huge range of pre-game and in-game options.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Dream

+245

Mercury

-323

Point Spread

Dream +7.5

-110

Mercury -7.5

-110

Total Points

Under 163.5

-106

Over 163.5

-114

Allisha Gray Favorite to Get the Most Buckets

Allisha Gray is the market leader to hit the most buckets. She is priced at -112 to score Over 16.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -115.

Player Points

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 16.5

-112

Under 16.5

-115

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-108

Under 16.5

-120

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 13.5

-116

Under 13.5

-111

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 13.5

-100

Under 13.5

-130

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 12.5

-110

Under 12.5

-118

Brionna Jones (Dream)

Over 12.5

+105

Under 12.5

-135

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-106

Under 9.5

-122

Player Assists

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-123

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 6.5

-149

Under 6.5

+115

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 3.5

-111

Under 3.5

-116

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-114

Under 2.5

-114

Player Rebounds

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 7.5

+110

Under 7.5

-143

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-130

Under 6.5

-100

Brionna Jones (Dream)

Over 6.5

-149

Under 6.5

+115

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 5.5

-143

Under 5.5

+110

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 4.5

+115

Under 4.5

-149

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+118

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 2.5

-156

Under 2.5

+120

Micro Betting

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	21	4	2123	1867	256	13-0	8-4	3W
2  Liberty	16	6	1922	1747	175	11-2	5-4	4W
3  Mercury	15	7	1835	1745	90	9-3	6-4	1L
4  Storm	14	10	1924	1883	41	8-5	6-5	1L
5  Dream	13	10	1915	1809	106	8-3	5-7	1L
6  Aces	12	11	1861	1878	-17	7-4	5-7	3W
7  Fever	12	12	2021	1942	79	7-6	5-6	2L
8  Mystics	11	12	1812	1861	-49	7-4	4-8	2L
9  Valkyries	10	12	1741	1717	24	7-4	3-8	3L
10  Sparks	9	14	1924	1997	-73	3-8	6-6	3W
11  Sky	7	16	1784	1989	-205	4-6	3-10	3L
12  Wings	7	17	1969	2060	-91	4-7	3-10	1W
13  Sun	3	19	1599	1935	-336	2-8	1-11	3L

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