Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Bet Builder Tips & Odds | WNBA, 10 Aug 2025

We’re Expecting a Win for Mercury

The Mercury are on offer at an attractive -149 when it comes to the Moneyline. Our prediction is that the home team will outscore the Dream and there’s value available when it comes to these odds.

Dream Beat Mercury When Teams Last Met

Atlanta Dream won their previous game 86-65. This was a road victory at Wintrust Arena against Chicago Sky.

Phoenix Mercury last game saw them claim a 95-60 home win over Indiana Fever at Footprint Center.

The Dream have claimed victories in the last two matchups against the Mercury. At Footprint Center, the scoreline was 90-79 and then we saw 95-72 at Gateway Center Arena. It’s been six Dream wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  Dream	20	11	2612	2422	190	10-4	10-7	5W
4  Mercury	19	12	2577	2465	112	11-5	8-7	1L

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Expert WNBA Analysis

We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our WNBA handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.

Key Dream vs Mercury stats:

• Mercury have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Mercury have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Mercury have won 3 consecutive games.

Dream vs Mercury Prediction

Take Phoenix Mercury at -149 on the Moneyline to get the better of their opponents. We believe that they have a great chance of claiming a victory in this WNBA matchup.

An alternative way to support the Mercury is the Double Result. You can get bigger odds by siding with them to lead at the halfway phase before running out winners.

Mercury Moneyline Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 59.9% likelihood of our pick landing a return. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this WNBA bet.

Our Pick

Mercury Moneyline @ -149 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 Assists -100

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) is available at -100 to register Over 8.5 assists. There’s an opportunity to enjoy a Player Assists bet that she is able to cover an appealing line.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-102

Under 14.5

-127

Assists

Over 8.5

-103

Under 8.5

-125

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+113

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Satou Sabally Over 14.5 Points -120

Satou Sabally (Mercury) can be wagered to record Over 14.5 points at -120. We think this is the pick of the prop bets that are on offer when it comes to backing her on Player Points.

Latest Satou Sabally Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-135

Under 14.5

+105

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-101

Under 5.5

-128

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Correct Score Prediction

Dream 79 - 82 Mercury

A close game could be on the cards. We’ll wager the Mercury to secure a 82-79 win at massive odds and this correct score pick should hopefully be a fun one.

Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Mercury Moneyline Favorites

With a 63% chance of securing victory, Phoenix Mercury are favorites for this WNBA game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -169. At +138, Atlanta Dream are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

4 is the spread and 166.5 is the total points line. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you’re going for Under 166.5, this outcome can be backed at -114.

Whether you are wagering in-game or pre-game, the best basketball sportsbooks let you feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless, and it’s great to have lots of options.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Dream

+138

Mercury

-169

Point Spread

Dream +4

-114

Mercury -4

-106

Total Points

Under 166.5

-114

Over 166.5

-106

Allisha Gray Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Allisha Gray is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can get +103 that she scores Over 17.5 points or -133 that she goes Under.

Player Points

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 17.5

+103

Under 17.5

-133

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-123

Under 15.5

-105

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-135

Under 14.5

+105

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-102

Under 14.5

-127

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Brionna Jones (Dream)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Naz Hillmon (Dream)

Over 11.5

-130

Under 11.5

-100

Player Assists

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-103

Under 8.5

-125

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 6.5

+103

Under 6.5

-133

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 3.5

+103

Under 3.5

-133

Player Rebounds

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+113

Brionna Jones (Dream)

Over 6.5

+104

Under 6.5

-135

Naz Hillmon (Dream)

Over 6.5

-156

Under 6.5

+120

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-154

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 5.5

-101

Under 5.5

-128

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 3.5

-119

Under 3.5

-109

Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live team, score and player props to see if you can find an angle.

Last 5 & H2H

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	27	5	2783	2420	363	16-1	11-4	5W
2  Liberty	20	11	2678	2508	170	13-4	7-7	1L
3  Dream	20	11	2612	2422	190	10-4	10-7	5W
4  Mercury	19	12	2577	2465	112	11-5	8-7	1L
5  Fever	18	14	2710	2608	102	10-6	8-8	1W
6  Aces	18	14	2625	2653	-28	10-5	8-9	4W
7  Valkyries	16	15	2404	2391	13	10-5	6-10	2W
8  Storm	16	16	2622	2555	67	8-8	8-8	5L
9  Sparks	15	16	2663	2722	-59	6-9	9-7	1W
10  Mystics	14	17	2437	2496	-59	9-6	5-11	1W
11  Sky	8	23	2351	2678	-327	5-11	3-12	2L
12  Wings	8	24	2611	2774	-163	5-12	3-12	5L
13  Sun	5	26	2321	2702	-381	4-11	1-15	5L

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