Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 10 Aug 2025

WNBA Betting Preview: Dream vs Mercury

The Atlanta Dream square off against the Phoenix Mercury in this WNBA matchup at Footprint Center, with tip-off scheduled for 18:00 on Sunday, August 10. Our betting preview features expert predictions, betting tips, the latest odds and H2H stats.

We’re Expecting a Win for Mercury

The Mercury are on offer at an attractive -149 when it comes to the Moneyline. Our prediction is that the home team will outscore the Dream and there’s value available when it comes to these odds.

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Dream Beat Mercury When Teams Last Met

Atlanta Dream won their previous game 86-65. This was a road victory at Wintrust Arena against Chicago Sky.

Phoenix Mercury last game saw them claim a 95-60 home win over Indiana Fever at Footprint Center.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Dream have claimed victories in the last two matchups against the Mercury. At Footprint Center, the scoreline was 90-79 and then we saw 95-72 at Gateway Center Arena. It’s been six Dream wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L

View Full Standings

Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

Explore our top Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury betting tips, including a match prediction, correct score forecast, player performance props and a bet builder ready to use.

Game Prediction

Take Mercury at -149 on the Moneyline to get the better of their opponents. We believe that they have a great chance of claiming a victory in this WNBA matchup.

We’re always on top of team news and when combined with recent form, it helps us uncover the best value. Our WNBA handicappers also take a data-led approach, using key stats to back every pick.

Key Dream vs Mercury stats:

• Mercury have won 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• Mercury have won 7 of their last 10 games at home.
• Mercury have won 3 consecutive games.

Mercury Moneyline Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 59.9% likelihood of our pick landing a return. In the opinion of our cappers, there’s actually a probability of success between 65-70%. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this WNBA bet.

An alternative way to support the Mercury is the Double Result. You can get bigger odds by siding with them to lead at the halfway phase before running out winners.

Before placing your wager, explore the best betting offers. Our in-depth bonus guide features a wide range of promotions to choose from.

Best Bet

Mercury Moneyline @ -149 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 Assists -100

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) is available at -100 to register Over 8.5 assists. There’s an opportunity to enjoy a Player Assists bet that she is able to cover an appealing line.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-102

Under 14.5

-127

Assists

Over 8.5

-103

Under 8.5

-125

Rebounds

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+113

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Satou Sabally Over 14.5 Points -120

Satou Sabally (Mercury) can be wagered to record Over 14.5 points at -120. We think this is the pick of the prop bets that are on offer when it comes to backing her on Player Points.

Latest Satou Sabally Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 14.5

-135

Under 14.5

+105

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-101

Under 5.5

-128

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Correct Score Prediction

Dream 79 - 82 Mercury

A close game could be on the cards. We’ll wager the Mercury to secure a 82-79 win at massive odds and this correct score pick should hopefully be a fun one.

Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Make Mercury Moneyline Favorites

With a 63% chance of securing victory, Phoenix Mercury are favorites for this WNBA game and the sportsbooks have them at betting odds of -169. At +138, Atlanta Dream are regarded as having a lower probability of winning.

4 is the spread and 166.5 is the total points line. Basketball fans love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. If you’re going for Under 166.5, this outcome can be backed at -114.

Whether you are wagering in-game or pre-game, the best basketball sportsbooks let you feast on a wide range of game lines and team props. The selections are practically endless, and it’s great to have lots of options.

Moneyline

Dream

+138

Mercury

-169

Point Spread

Dream +4

-114

Mercury -4

-106

Total Points

Under 166.5

-114

Over 166.5

-106

Allisha Gray Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Allisha Gray is the favorite to hit the most buckets. You can get +103 that she scores Over 17.5 points or -133 that she goes Under.

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 17.5

+103

Under 17.5

-133

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 15.5

-123

Under 15.5

-105

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-135

Under 14.5

+105

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 14.5

-102

Under 14.5

-127

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Brionna Jones (Dream)

Over 12.5

-114

Under 12.5

-114

Naz Hillmon (Dream)

Over 11.5

-130

Under 11.5

-100

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-103

Under 8.5

-125

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 6.5

+103

Under 6.5

-133

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 3.5

+103

Under 3.5

-133

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

-147

Under 8.5

+113

Brionna Jones (Dream)

Over 6.5

+104

Under 6.5

-135

Naz Hillmon (Dream)

Over 6.5

-156

Under 6.5

+120

Allisha Gray (Dream)

Over 5.5

+118

Under 5.5

-154

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 5.5

-101

Under 5.5

-128

Jordin Canada (Dream)

Over 3.5

-119

Under 3.5

-109

Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live team, score and player props to see if you can find an angle.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Atlanta Dream Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +2.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -2.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -2.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 161.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 158.50 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 165.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 85.30 pts and allowed 76.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 80.20 pts and allowed 78.30 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 162.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 166.00 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 165.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 165.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.00 pts and allowed 80.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 88.00 pts and allowed 78.00 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W