Auburn vs Mississippi State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 18 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Auburn vs Mississippi State

The Auburn Tigers face the Mississippi State Bulldogs, with tip-off scheduled for 21:00 on Wednesday, February 18.

There’s an attractive line of -4.5 when it comes to Auburn when they go up against Mississippi State. The -105 that the favorites cover the spread has lots of juice and our prediction is it will happen.

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Auburn Tigers were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road. Arkansas Razorbacks claimed a 88-75 win.

Mississippi State Bulldogs won their last game 90-78. This was a road victory against Ole Miss Rebels.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Auburn had the edge in the most recent matchup between these teams. They recorded a 88-66 win over Mississippi State. Auburn have beaten Mississippi State in the past three meetings. They’ve also claimed 8 victories in the past 10 head-to-head matchups.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Auburn	14-11	2099	1976	123	11-5	3-6	4L
Mississippi State	12-13	1934	1959	-25	8-8	4-5	1W

View Full Standings

Auburn vs Mississippi State Prediction & Picks

Step into Auburn vs Mississippi State with confidence, armed with our expert match prediction, likely scoreline and a custom-built bet builder for maximum value.

Game Prediction

Get with Auburn with a -4.5 spread. We really like this pick and are playing the favorites at odds of -105 to enjoy a solid victory in this college contest.

The formbook is always a smart starting point when making basketball predictions. Up-to-date college hoops team news is just as important, while the stats we provide often reveal valuable insights.

Key Auburn vs Mississippi State stats:

• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by MS State in 4 of their last 5 games at home.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by MS State in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by MS State in 3 consecutive games at home.
• The +4.5 line hasn’t been covered by MS State in 3 consecutive games against Auburn.

Auburn -4.5 Probability

If you go by the top sportsbooks, our pick has a 51.3% chance of winning. However, our research has found that the actual probability is between 55-60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this college basketball wager.

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Our Game Prediction

Auburn -4.5 @ -105 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Auburn 79 - 70 MS State

Should you wish to go for a speculative bet, try Auburn to win 79-70 on the correct score lines. This should be a fun wager which could potentially yield a huge return.

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Auburn vs Mississippi State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

Sportsbooks’ favorites Auburn are regarded as likeliest victors for this college game and the -208 about them triumphing means a 68% chance based on their current Moneyline betting odds. Mississippi State are the underdogs at +172 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread currently stands at 4.5 and the total points line is 154.5. The Totals offers basketball fans an alternative way of getting involved. Those that want to back Under 154.5 can find odds of -115 available.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college hoops matchup, visit the top basketball betting sites and check out the many available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Auburn

-208

MS State

+172

Point Spread

Auburn -4.5

-105

MS State +4.5

-115

Total Points

Under 154.5

-115

Over 154.5

-105

If you have a view on Rebounds, Steals, Blocks, Assists or Points, then the player props could be an option. It’s a fantastic way of betting on a player to perform well and the gambling sites provide lots of choice.

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Auburn Stats

Mississippi State Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -4.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +4.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
• +4.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 157.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 158.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 154.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.40 pts and allowed 78.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 75.60 pts and allowed 82.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 154.40 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 148.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 154.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 154.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.20 pts and allowed 82.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 74.30 pts and allowed 74.60 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Southeastern	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Vanderbilt	21-4	2210	1840	370	13-2	8-2	2W
Florida	20-6	2238	1848	390	15-2	5-4	6W
Arkansas	19-6	2219	1912	307	14-3	5-3	3W
Tennessee	18-7	2026	1732	294	14-3	4-4	2W
Alabama	18-7	2294	2067	227	12-5	6-2	4W
Georgia	18-8	2344	2037	307	12-5	6-3	1W
Texas A&M	17-8	2245	1964	281	12-3	5-5	4L
Missouri	17-8	2001	1858	143	13-2	4-6	1L
Texas	17-9	2218	1944	274	13-4	4-5	5W
Kentucky	17-9	2119	1890	229	14-5	3-4	2L
Auburn	14-11	2099	1976	123	11-5	3-6	4L
LSU	14-12	2103	1971	132	10-6	4-6	4L
Oklahoma	13-12	2086	1943	143	10-4	3-8	2W
Mississippi State	12-13	1934	1959	-25	8-8	4-5	1W
Ole Miss	11-14	1851	1842	9	9-5	2-9	7L
South Carolina	11-15	1973	1974	-1	10-6	1-9	7L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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