Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Thursday

NBA Betting Preview: Celtics vs Heat

The Boston Celtics battle the Miami Heat in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

We are eager to back the Celtics to beat the Heat and that leads us to the Moneyline for our prediction. It’s very difficult to turn down the -127 that the road team claim the win.

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Boston Celtics have been beaten in successive games and the latest was on the road at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Indiana Pacers claimed a 98-96 win. Payton Pritchard tallied 23 points, while Derrick White put up 18 and Anfernee Simons 16.

Miami Heat have enjoyed back-to-back home wins at Kaseya Center. Last time out, Phoenix Suns were beaten 127-121. Bam Adebayo scored 29 points, while Norman Powell finished with 27 and Tyler Herro 23.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was the Celtics who came out on top when they last played the Heat. At TD Garden, a 129-116 win was recorded. It’s been eight Celtics wins in the past 10 games between these teams.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	24	15	0.615	116.6	110.1	6.5	12-7	12-8	6-4	17-9	6-4	2L
Heat	21	19	0.525	119.6	117.8	1.8	14-6	7-13	3-3	12-11	6-4	1W

View Full Standings

6 wins and 4 losses in the past 10 games. The Celtics are averaging 118.4 points, 45.7 rebounds, 23.7 assists, 7.1 steals and 5.0 blocks while shooting 48.2% from the field and 80.4% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 110.6 points and 39.3 rebounds per contest.

Jaylen Brown is averaging 26.8 points, Neemias Queta 9.2 rebounds and Payton Pritchard 5.7 assists, while Anfernee Simons averages 3.4 (48.6%) 3-pointers made.

The Heat have won 6 and lost 4 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 120.5 points, 45.5 rebounds, 29.2 assists, 10.7 steals and 4.1 blocks per game while shooting 46.9% from the field and 82.2% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 118.3 points and 45.6 rebounds.

Norman Powell is averaging 21.8 points and 3.2 (43.2%) 3-pointers made. Bam Adebayo has an average of 8.2 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 7.0 assists.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

Discover our expert Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat betting tips, featuring a match prediction, correct score suggestion and bet builder advice. Scroll down for full analysis.

Game Prediction

Celtics should be able to come out on top in this NBA matchup. Our best pick is to back them on the Moneyline where an attractive -127 can be landed.

Recent form is always part of the equation and we combine it with team news as soon as it’s available. To deliver expert basketball picks, our handicappers also analyze the latest NBA stats to ensure we’re working with the best information possible.

Key Celtics vs Heat stats:

• Celtics have won 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• Celtics have won 14 of their last 20 games.
• Heat have lost 12 of their last 20 games.
• Heat have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Heat have lost 8 of their last 10 games against Celtics.

Celtics Moneyline Probability

The top sportsbooks make it a 55.9% chance that our pick is settled as a winner. After careful examination, our analysts calculate this probability to be somewhere between 60-65%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

If you’re looking to squeeze more juice from the odds, consider the Celtics against the spread. Those expecting this franchise to exceed expectations can wager them to cover the line.

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Our Game Prediction

Celtics Moneyline @ -127 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Celtics 121 - 118 Heat

We’ll roll the dice and go for the Celtics to enjoy a 121-118 victory. We don’t think that there will be too much between the teams and we’re happy to take the huge odds.

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

There are betting odds of +112 that Miami Heat land victory, with Boston Celtics alternatively at -132. According to the sportsbooks, the probability of the road team winning this NBA game is 57%.

The spread currently stands at 2 and the total points line is 233.5. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 233.5 at -110.

There are a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to wagering on this fantastic league and we recommend visiting the top NBA betting sites to find the wager that matches your view on the game.

Moneyline

Celtics

-132

Heat

+112

Point Spread

Celtics -2

-112

Heat +2

-108

Total Points

Under 233.5

-110

Over 233.5

-110

The gambling sites also allow you to place player prop bets such as Points, Assists, Steals and Rebounds. This means you can focus on an individual player’s performance rather than wager on the actual outcome of the game in question.

You don’t have to wait for the final outcome when it comes to basketball micro betting. Instead, there’s the opportunity to wager on live lines which tend to be settled in a shorter space of time and the in-game odds are always changing.

The Heat own a 5-5 mark in their past 10 home games, posting 122.90 points per contest while yielding 119.70.

The Celtics have seven wins and three losses in the last 10 road games, putting up 121.90 points on average and giving up 110.00.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O233.5	U233.5
Miami Heat Home Stats		5-5	242.60	122.90	119.70	7	3
Boston Celtics Away Stats		7-3	231.90	121.90	110.00	5	5

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O233.5 = Games Over 233.5 Points
• U233.5 = Games Under 233.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Boston Celtics Stats

Miami Heat Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -2 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -2 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +2 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +2 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 229.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 231.90 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 233.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 233.5 on the Road: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 118.40 pts and allowed 110.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 121.90 pts and allowed 110.00 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 238.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 242.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 233.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 233.5 at Home: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 120.50 pts and allowed 118.30 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 122.90 pts and allowed 119.70 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.10 (56%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 16.10 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 13.90 (80.35%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.7, Offensive 12.50, Defensive 33.20
• Assists: 23.70
• Blocks: 5.00
• Steals: 7.10
• Turnovers : 10.60
• Personal Fouls: 16.20

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.60 (60%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 16.20 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.10 (81.73%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.9, Offensive 12.50, Defensive 31.40
• Assists: 24.80
• Blocks: 5.20
• Steals: 8.60
• Turnovers : 11.00
• Personal Fouls: 17.90

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.40 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.70 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.60 (82.18%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.5, Offensive 11.90, Defensive 33.60
• Assists: 29.20
• Blocks: 4.10
• Steals: 10.70
• Turnovers : 15.10
• Personal Fouls: 19.20

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.70 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 14.30 (39%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.60 (80.17%)
• Rebounds: Total 43, Offensive 11.80, Defensive 31.20
• Assists: 28.00
• Blocks: 4.50
• Steals: 10.70
• Turnovers : 14.00
• Personal Fouls: 18.90

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	25	14	0.641	119.5	114.9	4.6	16-4	9-10	5-3	18-11	5-5	1W
Celtics	24	15	0.615	116.6	110.1	6.5	12-7	12-8	6-4	17-9	6-4	2L
Raptors	25	17	0.595	113.9	112.1	1.8	13-9	12-8	4-8	22-12	7-3	1W
76ers	22	17	0.564	116.8	115.6	1.2	10-10	12-7	8-4	17-14	6-4	1L
Nets	11	27	0.289	108.8	113.9	-5.1	5-15	6-12	3-7	8-16	2-8	5L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	28	10	0.737	117.8	111.2	6.6	15-4	13-6	7-3	20-6	6-4	1L
Cavaliers	23	19	0.548	120.1	117.4	2.7	14-10	9-9	7-3	15-13	6-4	1W
Bulls	19	21	0.475	117.5	120.9	-3.4	12-9	7-12	3-7	13-14	4-6	1W
Bucks	17	23	0.425	112.7	115.7	-3	9-10	8-13	5-4	13-14	5-5	2L
Pacers	9	32	0.22	110.6	118.3	-7.7	7-16	2-16	2-7	7-20	3-7	1L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	22	18	0.55	116.2	115	1.2	13-7	9-11	5-4	15-14	5-5	1W
Heat	21	19	0.525	119.6	117.8	1.8	14-6	7-13	3-3	12-11	6-4	1W
Hawks	20	22	0.476	118.3	118.9	-0.6	7-11	13-11	4-3	10-15	5-5	1L
Hornets	14	26	0.35	116.1	116.7	-0.6	7-12	7-14	4-4	11-18	4-6	1L
Wizards	10	28	0.263	112.8	124	-11.2	6-13	4-15	2-4	7-18	5-5	3L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	34	7	0.829	121.3	108.1	13.2	20-3	14-4	7-2	27-6	8-2	4W
Nuggets	27	13	0.675	122.7	117.5	5.2	11-6	16-7	4-1	17-7	5-5	2W
Timberwolves	27	14	0.659	120.3	114.6	5.7	15-6	12-8	4-4	14-10	7-3	2W
Trail Blazers	19	22	0.463	115.8	118.9	-3.1	10-10	9-12	4-4	16-14	7-3	2L
Jazz	14	26	0.35	119.3	127	-7.7	9-12	5-14	0-8	8-18	3-7	1L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	24	14	0.632	116.5	116.4	0.1	11-7	13-7	4-5	18-10	5-5	1W
Suns	24	16	0.6	114.8	112.2	2.6	14-5	10-11	8-4	20-13	7-3	1L
Warriors	22	19	0.537	115.5	113.2	2.3	14-6	8-13	5-3	15-12	6-4	1W
Clippers	16	23	0.41	112.1	113.5	-1.4	10-9	6-14	4-4	10-14	8-2	3W
Kings	10	30	0.25	110.2	121.2	-11	7-13	3-17	2-7	8-24	3-7	2W

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	27	13	0.675	117.6	112.8	4.8	13-5	14-8	7-1	15-11	4-6	2L
Rockets	23	14	0.622	117.9	110.8	7.1	12-2	11-12	2-4	12-13	6-4	1W
Grizzlies	17	22	0.436	114.9	116.2	-1.3	9-11	8-11	5-3	14-13	4-6	1W
Mavericks	15	25	0.375	113	116.8	-3.8	11-10	4-15	3-6	8-17	4-6	1W
Pelicans	10	33	0.233	114.9	122.2	-7.3	7-18	3-15	3-6	4-24	2-8	1W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	28	10	0.737	117.8	111.2	6.6	15-4	13-6	7-3	20-6	6-4	1L
Knicks	25	14	0.641	119.5	114.9	4.6	16-4	9-10	5-3	18-11	5-5	1W
Celtics	24	15	0.615	116.6	110.1	6.5	12-7	12-8	6-4	17-9	6-4	2L
Raptors	25	17	0.595	113.9	112.1	1.8	13-9	12-8	4-8	22-12	7-3	1W
76ers	22	17	0.564	116.8	115.6	1.2	10-10	12-7	8-4	17-14	6-4	1L
Magic	22	18	0.55	116.2	115	1.2	13-7	9-11	5-4	15-14	5-5	1W
Cavaliers	23	19	0.548	120.1	117.4	2.7	14-10	9-9	7-3	15-13	6-4	1W
Heat	21	19	0.525	119.6	117.8	1.8	14-6	7-13	3-3	12-11	6-4	1W
Hawks	20	22	0.476	118.3	118.9	-0.6	7-11	13-11	4-3	10-15	5-5	1L
Bulls	19	21	0.475	117.5	120.9	-3.4	12-9	7-12	3-7	13-14	4-6	1W
Bucks	17	23	0.425	112.7	115.7	-3	9-10	8-13	5-4	13-14	5-5	2L
Hornets	14	26	0.35	116.1	116.7	-0.6	7-12	7-14	4-4	11-18	4-6	1L
Nets	11	27	0.289	108.8	113.9	-5.1	5-15	6-12	3-7	8-16	2-8	5L
Wizards	10	28	0.263	112.8	124	-11.2	6-13	4-15	2-4	7-18	5-5	3L
Pacers	9	32	0.22	110.6	118.3	-7.7	7-16	2-16	2-7	7-20	3-7	1L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	34	7	0.829	121.3	108.1	13.2	20-3	14-4	7-2	27-6	8-2	4W
Spurs	27	13	0.675	117.6	112.8	4.8	13-5	14-8	7-1	15-11	4-6	2L
Nuggets	27	13	0.675	122.7	117.5	5.2	11-6	16-7	4-1	17-7	5-5	2W
Timberwolves	27	14	0.659	120.3	114.6	5.7	15-6	12-8	4-4	14-10	7-3	2W
Lakers	24	14	0.632	116.5	116.4	0.1	11-7	13-7	4-5	18-10	5-5	1W
Rockets	23	14	0.622	117.9	110.8	7.1	12-2	11-12	2-4	12-13	6-4	1W
Suns	24	16	0.6	114.8	112.2	2.6	14-5	10-11	8-4	20-13	7-3	1L
Warriors	22	19	0.537	115.5	113.2	2.3	14-6	8-13	5-3	15-12	6-4	1W
Trail Blazers	19	22	0.463	115.8	118.9	-3.1	10-10	9-12	4-4	16-14	7-3	2L
Grizzlies	17	22	0.436	114.9	116.2	-1.3	9-11	8-11	5-3	14-13	4-6	1W
Clippers	16	23	0.41	112.1	113.5	-1.4	10-9	6-14	4-4	10-14	8-2	3W
Mavericks	15	25	0.375	113	116.8	-3.8	11-10	4-15	3-6	8-17	4-6	1W
Jazz	14	26	0.35	119.3	127	-7.7	9-12	5-14	0-8	8-18	3-7	1L
Kings	10	30	0.25	110.2	121.2	-11	7-13	3-17	2-7	8-24	3-7	2W
Pelicans	10	33	0.233	114.9	122.2	-7.3	7-18	3-15	3-6	4-24	2-8	1W

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	34	7	0.829	121.3	108.1	13.2	20-3	14-4	7-2	27-6	8-2	4W
Pistons	28	10	0.737	117.8	111.2	6.6	15-4	13-6	7-3	20-6	6-4	1L
Nuggets	27	13	0.675	122.7	117.5	5.2	11-6	16-7	4-1	17-7	5-5	2W
Spurs	27	13	0.675	117.6	112.8	4.8	13-5	14-8	7-1	15-11	4-6	2L
Timberwolves	27	14	0.659	120.3	114.6	5.7	15-6	12-8	4-4	14-10	7-3	2W
Knicks	25	14	0.641	119.5	114.9	4.6	16-4	9-10	5-3	18-11	5-5	1W
Lakers	24	14	0.632	116.5	116.4	0.1	11-7	13-7	4-5	18-10	5-5	1W
Rockets	23	14	0.622	117.9	110.8	7.1	12-2	11-12	2-4	12-13	6-4	1W
Celtics	24	15	0.615	116.6	110.1	6.5	12-7	12-8	6-4	17-9	6-4	2L
Suns	24	16	0.6	114.8	112.2	2.6	14-5	10-11	8-4	20-13	7-3	1L
Raptors	25	17	0.595	113.9	112.1	1.8	13-9	12-8	4-8	22-12	7-3	1W
76ers	22	17	0.564	116.8	115.6	1.2	10-10	12-7	8-4	17-14	6-4	1L
Magic	22	18	0.55	116.2	115	1.2	13-7	9-11	5-4	15-14	5-5	1W
Cavaliers	23	19	0.548	120.1	117.4	2.7	14-10	9-9	7-3	15-13	6-4	1W
Warriors	22	19	0.537	115.5	113.2	2.3	14-6	8-13	5-3	15-12	6-4	1W
Heat	21	19	0.525	119.6	117.8	1.8	14-6	7-13	3-3	12-11	6-4	1W
Hawks	20	22	0.476	118.3	118.9	-0.6	7-11	13-11	4-3	10-15	5-5	1L
Bulls	19	21	0.475	117.5	120.9	-3.4	12-9	7-12	3-7	13-14	4-6	1W
Trail Blazers	19	22	0.463	115.8	118.9	-3.1	10-10	9-12	4-4	16-14	7-3	2L
Grizzlies	17	22	0.436	114.9	116.2	-1.3	9-11	8-11	5-3	14-13	4-6	1W
Bucks	17	23	0.425	112.7	115.7	-3	9-10	8-13	5-4	13-14	5-5	2L
Clippers	16	23	0.41	112.1	113.5	-1.4	10-9	6-14	4-4	10-14	8-2	3W
Mavericks	15	25	0.375	113	116.8	-3.8	11-10	4-15	3-6	8-17	4-6	1W
Hornets	14	26	0.35	116.1	116.7	-0.6	7-12	7-14	4-4	11-18	4-6	1L
Jazz	14	26	0.35	119.3	127	-7.7	9-12	5-14	0-8	8-18	3-7	1L
Nets	11	27	0.289	108.8	113.9	-5.1	5-15	6-12	3-7	8-16	2-8	5L
Wizards	10	28	0.263	112.8	124	-11.2	6-13	4-15	2-4	7-18	5-5	3L
Kings	10	30	0.25	110.2	121.2	-11	7-13	3-17	2-7	8-24	3-7	2W
Pelicans	10	33	0.233	114.9	122.2	-7.3	7-18	3-15	3-6	4-24	2-8	1W
Pacers	9	32	0.22	110.6	118.3	-7.7	7-16	2-16	2-7	7-20	3-7	1L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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