Bowling Green vs Toledo Prediction, Picks & Odds | 12 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Bowling Green vs Toledo

The Bowling Green Falcons battle the Toledo Rockets, with tip-off scheduled for 13:30 on Thursday, March 12.

There is merit in simply backing Toledo on the Moneyline considering our prediction is that they will prove too strong for Bowling Green. Especially as -114 is available about this happening.

Bowling Green Falcons won their previous game by a 77-69 scoreline. It was on the road against Eastern Michigan Eagles.

Toledo Rockets won their last game, beating Buffalo Bulls at home. It was a 98-78 win.

Head-to-Head Statistics

It was Bowling Green who came out on top when they last played Toledo. A 80-70 win was recorded. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved Toledo winning seven times.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Bowling Green	18-13	2526	2213	313	12-7	6-6	2W
Toledo	17-14	2524	2381	143	11-4	6-10	1W

View Full Standings

Bowling Green vs Toledo Prediction & Picks

This Bowling Green vs Toledo betting guide features sharp analysis across major markets, including an expert match prediction, correct score bet and a strategic bet builder.

Game Prediction

We’re eager to back Toledo to achieve a victory in this college matchup and that leads us to the Moneyline for our pick. It’s difficult to turn down the -114 that the home team claim the win.

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com stay on top of the latest injuries, while recent form also shapes our basketball predictions. We combine this insight with up-to-date college hoops stats for sharper picks.

Key Bowling Green vs Toledo stats:

• Toledo have won 8 of their last 10 games at home.
• Toledo have won 4 of their last 5 games.
• Toledo have won 3 consecutive games at home.
• BGSU have lost 3 of their last 5 games.
• Toledo have won 7 of their last 10 games against BGSU.

Toledo Moneyline Probability

According to the top betting apps, there’s a 53.2% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. Based on our cappers in-depth research, we calculate the actual probability to be closer to 60%. It is the reason why we are recommending this college basketball wager.

As an alternative, you could consider the spread where you can back Toledo to cover a particular line. That means you might need a margin of victory to yield a return.

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Our Game Prediction

Toledo Moneyline @ -114 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (Mar 11, 18:02). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Bowling Green 72 - 74 Toledo

There are massive odds on offer when it comes to the Rockets landing a 74-72 win. A close game is anticipated between two evenly-matched teams.

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Bowling Green vs Toledo Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The betting odds about Toledo winning is -114, with Bowling Green priced up at -106 to achieve victory. According to the top sportsbooks, the home team have an implied probability of 53%.

1.5 is where the spread lies, with total points being 152.5 right now. There is no denying the popularity of betting on the Totals. If you’re going for Under 152.5, this outcome can be backed at -110.

Consider every angle when placing your college basketball wagers. The best sportsbooks have a huge selection of game lines and team props and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the game.

Moneyline

BGSU

-106

Toledo

-114

Point Spread

BGSU +1.5

-115

Toledo -1.5

-105

Total Points

Under 152.5

-110

Over 152.5

-110

Prop bets don’t involve betting on a team to win and instead might look at a player’s individual performance. For example, the number of Points they might score or the number of Assists they might have.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some bettors prefer to look at the college basketball micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Bowling Green Stats

Toledo Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games
• +1.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -1.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -1.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 143.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 148.70 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 152.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 152.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 72.30 pts and allowed 71.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 74.10 pts and allowed 74.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 158.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 152.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 152.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.80 pts and allowed 72.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.70 pts and allowed 74.20 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Mid-American	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Miami (OH)	31-0	2818	2322	496	17-0	14-0	27W
Akron	26-5	2777	2285	492	16-2	10-3	7W
Kent State	22-8	2543	2410	133	15-3	7-5	2W
Bowling Green	18-13	2526	2213	313	12-7	6-6	2W
Toledo	17-14	2524	2381	143	11-4	6-10	1W
Buffalo	17-14	2427	2364	63	8-8	9-6	1L
UMass	16-15	2494	2402	92	11-6	5-9	1W
Ohio	15-16	2417	2429	-12	11-8	4-8	3L
Ball State	12-19	2093	2154	-61	8-7	4-12	4W
Central Michigan	10-21	2275	2384	-109	8-5	2-16	2L
Western Michigan	10-21	2318	2464	-146	7-8	3-13	3L
Eastern Michigan	9-21	2105	2231	-126	6-7	3-14	4L
Northern Illinois	9-21	2086	2334	-248	6-7	3-14	5L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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