Cal Poly vs UC Davis Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Feb 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Cal Poly vs UC Davis

The Cal Poly Mustangs square off against the UC Davis Aggies, with tip-off scheduled for 17:00 on Saturday, February 7.

The -114 for Under 169.5 points to be scored by the two teams looks like really good value. Our prediction is that Cal Poly and UC Davis might not collectively reach this total.

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Cal Poly Mustangs lost when they last took to the court. They were turned over 97-96 at home to Cal State Northridge Matadors.

UC Davis Aggies won their last game which was at home. It was a 85-75 triumph against UC Santa Barbara Gauchos.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Cal Poly have won in their last two matchups with UC Davis. It was 86-76 on the road before they enjoyed a 84-78 winning scoreline at home. We’ve seen seven UC Davis wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
UC Davis	15-9	1903	1809	94	11-3	4-6	3W
Cal Poly	9-16	2028	2151	-123	4-7	5-9	2L

View Full Standings

Cal Poly vs UC Davis Prediction & Picks

Gear up for Cal Poly vs UC Davis with our betting guide, featuring an expert match prediction, scoreline advice and a hand-picked bet builder. Explore each section below for detailed insights.

Game Prediction

We’ve identified a betting angle for this college matchup on the totals. Our pick is Under 169.5 points which can currently be backed at odds of -114.

Team news and current form always play a key role in shaping our expert basketball predictions. We also dig into the latest stats and trends to help deliver the most accurate college hoops picks possible.

Key Cal Poly vs UC Davis stats:

• The 169.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 20 UC Davis games at home.
• The 169.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 10 games between these teams.

Under 169.5 Probability

The top sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 53.2% prospect of winning. Our experts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be closer to 60%. This college basketball bet can therefore be backed with confidence.

For a bigger payout, many bettors will include their Under pick on the Totals with other selections. A Bet Builder is perfect for combining all your predictions.

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Our Game Prediction

Under 169.5 Points @ -114 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Cal Poly 77 - 86 UC Davis

There’s a huge payout on the cards should you correctly predict the correct score. We’re siding with UC Davis to claim a 86-77 win which will hopefully go close.

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Cal Poly vs UC Davis Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have UC Davis at -263 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 72% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. Cal Poly are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +210.

5.5 is the spread and 169.5 is the total points line. Basketball bettors love the chance to get an alternative angle by going for a Total wager. Those expecting a low total can back Under 169.5 at -114.

If you’re planning to place a bet on a college hoops matchup, visit the top basketball betting sites and check out the many available game lines and team props. Find the lines which are the most attractive.

Moneyline

Cal Poly

+210

UC Davis

-263

Point Spread

Cal Poly +5.5

-108

UC Davis -5.5

-112

Total Points

Under 169.5

-114

Over 169.5

-106

As an alternative to the game lines and team props, check out the player props that are available. These can be a great alternative if you want to focus on a player’s performance. The best gambling sites will provide lots of options.

An increasing number of bettors are now enjoying micro betting on college basketball and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Cal Poly Stats

UC Davis Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 167.30 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 177.20 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 169.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 169.5 on the Road: Covered in 9 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.20 pts and allowed 86.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 86.30 pts and allowed 90.90 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 156.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 152.30 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 169.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 169.5 at Home: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 79.00 pts and allowed 77.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 81.30 pts and allowed 71.00 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Big West	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Hawaii	17-5	1765	1469	296	14-1	3-4	2W
UC Irvine	16-8	1858	1624	234	9-4	7-4	1L
UCSB	16-8	1904	1742	162	11-2	5-6	1W
UC San Diego	16-9	1921	1781	140	9-5	7-4	1L
UC Davis	15-9	1903	1809	94	11-3	4-6	3W
Cal State Northridge	15-10	2048	1994	54	11-1	4-9	4W
Cal State Fullerton	12-13	2095	2055	40	9-4	3-9	2W
Cal Poly	9-16	2028	2151	-123	4-7	5-9	2L
Long Beach State	8-16	1792	1845	-53	7-5	1-11	5L
UC Riverside	8-17	1804	1954	-150	5-5	3-12	3L
CSU Bakersfield	8-17	1801	1991	-190	6-7	2-10	8L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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