Cal vs Florida State Prediction, Picks & Odds | 11 Mar 2026

College Basketball Betting Preview: Cal vs Florida State

The California Golden Bears square off against the Florida State Seminoles, with tip-off scheduled for 19:00 on Wednesday, March 11.

Our best prediction is that Florida State will get the better of Cal. This leads us to back the favorites against the spread at -110, with the -3.5 line offering plenty of appeal.

California Golden Bears were beaten in their previous game and this was on the road. Wake Forest Demon Deacons claimed a 80-73 win.

Florida State Seminoles last game saw them claim a 91-78 home win over SMU Mustangs.

Head-to-Head Statistics

FSU beat Cal in their last head-to-head matchup. It was a 63-61 scoreline.

NCAAB	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
California	21-10	2403	2249	154	17-4	4-6	1L
Florida State	17-14	2478	2403	75	11-8	6-6	3W

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Cal vs Florida State Prediction & Picks

We dive into the top Cal vs Florida State betting angles, including our main match prediction, best correct score play and a bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Florida State are available at odds of -110 when it comes to backing them against the spread in this college contest. The appealing -3.5 line could be covered with ease by the favorites and this looks like a value bet.

Our team of college basketball handicappers track current injuries closely. Combined with recent form, this helps us identify the best value odds. A data-led approach backed by key stats and the latest team news keeps our analysis sharp.

Key Cal vs Florida State stats:

• The -3.5 line has been covered by FSU in 6 of their last 10 games.
• The -3.5 line has been covered by FSU in 3 of their last 5 games.

FSU -3.5 Probability

According to the top betting apps, there’s a 52.4% likelihood of our pick delivering a return. However, we have this number closer to 60% based on our in-depth research. It’s why we think it’s worth placing this college basketball wager.

There’s often the option to sell points and that allows you to leverage a bigger potential return. Conversely, buying points will give you a less-risky bet but smaller odds.

Getting ready to place a wager? Check our updated guide for the latest betting offers, including free bets and the newest promos codes.

Our Game Prediction

FSU -3.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Cal 75 - 82 Florida State

If you want to achieve a big return from your stake, then it’s worth checking out the correct score lines. the Seminoles to claim a 82-75 victory is on offer at huge betting odds.

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Cal vs Florida State Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks’ betting odds have Florida State as -185 favorites for this college game, implying that they are 65% likely to win. For those wanting to back California, you will find +152 about the underdogs.

The current spread is 4.5 and the total points line is 152.5. A bet on the Totals allows fans to use the latest basketball data to good effect. If you fancy Over 152.5, this outcome can be backed at -115.

The top basketball sportsbooks offer a huge selection of game lines and team props when it comes to most college games. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Cal

+152

FSU

-185

Point Spread

Cal +4.5

-110

FSU -4.5

-110

Total Points

Under 152.5

-105

Over 152.5

-115

As an alternative to the game lines, check out the player prop bets that are available. It’s especially great if you have a view when it comes to Turnovers, Steals, Blocks and Points, while there are lots of other options.

There are some exciting college basketball micro betting lines that are created and they are available in-game. Among them are Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer. The long-ball option pays better, and in today’s game, you can never discount the three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Cal Stats

Florida State Stats

Moneyline

• 6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 games
• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 8 wins and 2 defeats in the last 10 games
• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• +3.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -3.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games
• -3.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 154.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 159.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 152.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 152.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 76.70 pts and allowed 78.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 79.10 pts and allowed 80.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 152.10 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 153.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 152.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 152.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.90 pts and allowed 73.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 76.40 pts and allowed 77.10 pts in the last 10 home games

NCAAB Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Atlantic Coast	Overall	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
Duke	29-2	2571	1937	634	18-0	11-2	8W
Virginia	27-4	2507	2116	391	17-1	10-3	2W
Miami	24-7	2564	2192	372	15-4	9-3	1L
North Carolina	24-7	2474	2202	272	19-0	5-7	1L
Clemson	22-9	2309	2055	254	15-3	7-6	1W
Louisville	22-9	2662	2246	416	15-2	7-7	2W
California	21-10	2403	2249	154	17-4	4-6	1L
SMU	20-12	2721	2499	222	17-3	3-9	1W
Stanford	20-12	2431	2326	105	12-7	8-5	1L
NC State	19-12	2590	2356	234	12-7	7-5	4L
Virginia Tech	19-13	2521	2396	125	15-4	4-9	2L
Florida State	17-14	2478	2403	75	11-8	6-6	3W
Wake Forest	17-15	2540	2472	68	12-6	5-9	2W
Syracuse	15-17	2400	2376	24	12-6	3-11	6L
Notre Dame	13-18	2308	2335	-27	11-7	2-11	2L
Pittsburgh	13-19	2239	2272	-33	8-10	5-9	2W
Boston College	11-20	2090	2191	-101	10-10	1-10	1W
Georgia Tech	11-20	2287	2400	-113	10-10	1-10	12L

• Overall = Overall Wins-Losses
• PF = Total Points For
• PA = Total Points Against
• N. Pts = Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Away = Away Record
• Strk = Current Streak

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