Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Prediction, Picks & Odds | 01 Jun 2025

Points Look in Short Supply

The Sun battle it out with the Liberty in this Commissioner's Cup matchup at Barclays Center.

There’s every chance that the total won’t be as high as 162.5, so we’re prepared to take the -110 that the Sun and the Liberty go under the line.

Liberty H2H Record Includes 8 Wins in 10

Connecticut Sun got the win in their previous game. A 85-83 triumph occurred on the road at Gainbridge Fieldhouse when playing Indiana Fever.

New York Liberty won their last game 85-63. This was a road victory at Entertainment and Sports Arena against Washington Mystics.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The last head-to-head saw the Sun claim a 72-64 win over the Liberty at Barclays Center. The previous 10 games featuring these teams have resulted in eight Liberty victories.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
5  Liberty	24	15	3342	3160	182	16-5	8-10	2W
11  Sun	10	28	2906	3248	-342	6-12	4-16	1W

View Full Standings

Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Prediction & Picks

Don’t expect fireworks in this WNBA contest. The two teams might not score a huge combined total and our pick is to back Under 162.5 points at odds of -110.

The WNBA handicappers at Sportsgambler.com are aware of injuries that could affect the outcome along with the form guide. We also leave no stone unturned when it comes to analyzing the latest stats.

Key Sun vs Liberty stats:

• The 162.5 line hasn’t been covered in 8 of the last 10 Sun games on the road.
• The 162.5 line hasn’t been covered in 14 of the last 20 Sun games on the road.
• The 162.5 line hasn’t been covered in 4 of the last 5 Liberty games at home.
• The 162.5 line hasn’t been covered in 7 of the last 10 Liberty games.
• The 162.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 3 Liberty games.
• The 162.5 line hasn’t been covered in the last 4 games between these teams.

Under 162.5 Probability

According to the sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of winning. After careful examination, our analysts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. The bet can be recommended for this precise reason.

We recommend moving the line if you want more juice from your Total wager. If you’re going Under, then consider a slightly riskier bet which has a bigger payout.

Best Bet

Under 162.5 Points @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Breanna Stewart Over 3.5 Assists +110

Breanna Stewart (Liberty) is available at +110 to rack up Over 3.5 assists. We can place a Player Assists bet with confidence, with our pick expected to cover the total.

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Natasha Cloud Under 9.5 Points -104

Natasha Cloud (Liberty) can be wagered to total Under 9.5 points at -104. We’re expecting her to fall short when it comes to Player Points as the line looks high enough.

Correct Score Prediction

Sun 69 - 90 Liberty

For those looking to get more bang for their buck, consider a correct score wager on the Liberty. Backing them to win 90-69 means you can land a potential monster return.

Connecticut Sun vs New York Liberty Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Liberty Win on the Cards According to the Books

The sportsbooks are taking no chances with their Moneyline odds of -2500 about New York Liberty which reflects they have a 96% chance of winning this WNBA game. Connecticut Sun are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +1040.

The spread is calculated to be 18.5, while total points comes in at 163.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. If you fancy Under 163.5, then the odds are -110.

Whether you are betting pre-game or in-game, you can feast on a huge selection of team props and game lines. The options are practically endless and it’s great to have so many alternatives.

Moneyline

Sun

+1040

Liberty

-2500

Point Spread

Sun +18.5

-108

Liberty -18.5

-112

Total Points

Under 163.5

-110

Over 163.5

-110

Sabrina Ionescu Favorite to Score the Most Baskets

Sabrina Ionescu is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -105 that she gets Over 18.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -128.

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 18.5

-105

Under 18.5

-128

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 17.5

-122

Under 17.5

-111

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 16.5

-119

Under 16.5

-114

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 16.5

-110

Under 16.5

-123

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 15.5

-110

Under 15.5

-123

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 10.5

-100

Under 10.5

-135

Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun)

Over 8.5

-125

Under 8.5

-108

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 4.5

-132

Under 4.5

-103

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 3.5

+110

Under 3.5

-149

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 3.5

-115

Under 3.5

-118

Jonquel Jones (Liberty)

Over 10.5

-109

Under 10.5

-125

Breanna Stewart (Liberty)

Over 6.5

+112

Under 6.5

-152

Tina Charles (Sun)

Over 6.5

-111

Under 6.5

-122

Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun)

Over 6.5

-119

Under 6.5

-114

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Over 4.5

+105

Under 4.5

-143

Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+120

Natasha Cloud (Liberty)

Over 3.5

-118

Under 3.5

-115

Micro Betting

It’s possible to use stats to your advantage when it comes to basketball micro betting, especially if you’re predicting outcomes such as the Next Field Goal. Check out the live team, score and player props to see if you can find an angle.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Connecticut Sun Stats

New York Liberty Stats

Moneyline

• 4 wins and 6 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +12 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
• +12 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -12 Betting Line: Have not covered the spread in any of the last 10 games
• -12 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 159.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 164.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 163.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 163.5 on the Road: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 78.30 pts and allowed 80.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 77.10 pts and allowed 87.50 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 164.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 168.90 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 163.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 163.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.50 pts and allowed 82.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 87.60 pts and allowed 81.30 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	30	8	3288	2927	361	18-2	12-6	1L
2  Aces	26	14	3308	3263	45	14-5	12-9	12W
3  Dream	24	14	3154	2930	224	12-6	12-8	1L
4  Mercury	24	14	3160	3042	118	13-6	11-8	3W
5  Liberty	24	15	3342	3160	182	16-5	8-10	2W
6  Fever	20	18	3242	3137	105	11-9	9-9	1W
7  Storm	21	19	3300	3207	93	8-10	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	19	18	2898	2872	26	10-7	9-11	1W
9  Sparks	17	19	3108	3190	-82	7-11	10-8	1L
10  Mystics	16	23	3054	3165	-111	10-10	6-13	5L
11  Sun	10	28	2906	3248	-342	6-12	4-16	1W
12  Sky	9	29	2888	3274	-386	5-15	4-14	3L
13  Wings	9	30	3191	3424	-233	5-16	4-14	6L