Mercury to Outclass Sun

The Mercury can finish well clear of the Sun and that means we’re going for them against the spread. There is -110 on offer that the favorites are able to cover a -15 line.

7 Wins in Previous 10 H2H Matchups for Sun

Connecticut Sun lost when they last took to the court. At Mohegan Sun Arena, they were turned over 87-78 at home to New York Liberty.

Phoenix Mercury won their last game 83-67. This was a road victory at Wintrust Arena against Chicago Sky.

The Mercury won the last matchup between the pair. Enjoying a 83-75 triumph when facing the Sun at Mohegan Sun Arena. In the past 10 H2H meetings, the Sun have won seven.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4 Mercury	17	11	2334	2265	69	9-4	8-7	1W
13 Sun	5	22	2021	2350	-329	4-11	1-11	1L

View Full Standings

Expert WNBA Analysis

The handicappers at Sportsgambler.com always keep close tabs on team news as it develops. We also rely on recent form and key WNBA stats to help shape our basketball predictions and guide the final call.

Key Sun vs Mercury stats:

The +15 line hasn’t been covered by Sun in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
The +15 line hasn’t been covered by Sun in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Sun vs Mercury Prediction

There’s a case to be made for Phoenix Mercury on the spread in this WNBA matchup. Our prediction is that the betting favorites can cover the -15 line at odds of -110 considering they should be superior.

It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.

Mercury -15 Probability

According to the latest odds, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. However, our cappers think that the probability sits between 55-60% taking all factors into consideration. That means we’re regarding it as a value bet.

Our Pick

Mercury -15 @ -110 Bet Now

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Published 00:52, 05 August 2025

Player Props

Satou Sabally Under 6.5 Rebounds -164

Satou Sabally (Mercury) is available at -164 to have Under 6.5 rebounds. It stands to reason that she will fall short of the line which looks generous for this Player Rebounds bet.

Latest Satou Sabally Player Prop Odds

Points

Rebounds

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Alyssa Thomas Over 8.5 Assists -135

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be backed to rack up Over 8.5 assists at -135. The total is attractive when it comes to betting on Player Assists and we’re confident of landing a return.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Assists

Rebounds

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Phoenix Mercury vs Connecticut Sun Bet Builder Tips

Spread Mercury -15

Totals Under 167.5

Player Rebounds Satou Sabally Under 6.5

Our same game parlay pick is Mercury -15 on the spread, Under 167.5 and Satou Sabally (Mercury) to record Under 6.5 rebounds.

The bet builder option is great for basketball bettors wanting a personalised multi-leg wager on the same game. It’s especially good if you have a strong view on the likely outcomes and the odds for each pick are combined.

Bet Boosts

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Correct Score Prediction

Sun

72 - 90 Mercury logo

Mercury

Let’s roll the dice and try the Mercury to enjoy a 90-72 winning scoreline here. There are massive odds for this potential outcome and it’s a fun type of wager to enjoy.

Connecticut Sun vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Mercury Big Favorites With the Books

At betting odds of -1429 with the sportsbooks, Phoenix Mercury are regarded as 93% likely to win this WNBA game. Connecticut Sun are the underdogs at +760 and they’re regarded as least likely to win.

The spread is currently 15, with the total points line at 168.5. The beauty of the Totals is that you only have to choose from one of two options. If you’re going for Under 168.5, this outcome can be backed at -108.

Consider every angle when placing your women's basketball bets. The best sportsbooks have hundreds of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a wager which matches your prediction of the game.

Betting Lines & Odds

Moneyline

Point Spread

Total Points

Kahleah Copper Favorite to Score the Most Points

The favorite to score most points is Kahleah Copper. You can get +102 that she scores Over 17.5 points or -132 that she goes Under.

Player Points

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Tina Charles (Sun)

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Player Assists

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Marina Mabrey (Sun)

Monique Akoa Makani (Mercury)

Player Rebounds

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Aneesah Morrow (Sun)

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Tina Charles (Sun)

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Best Betting Offers

Last 5 & H2H

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Home
Away

Last 5 Games

Mercury

WNBA: 04/08 Mercury 83 Sky67
WNBA: 02/08 Mercury 72 Dream95
WNBA: 31/07 Mercury 101 Fever107
WNBA: 28/07 Mercury 88 Mystics72
WNBA: 26/07 Mercury 76 Liberty89

Head to Head

Sun vs Mercury

WNBA: 19/06 2025 Mercury 83 Sun 75
WNBA: 14/09 2024 Sun 88 Mercury 69
WNBA: 14/07 2024 Mercury 69 Sun 96
WNBA: 02/07 2024 Sun 83 Mercury 72
WNBA: 29/05 2024 Mercury 47 Sun 70
WNBA: 01/09 2023 Mercury 74 Sun 84
WNBA: 11/08 2023 Sun 84 Mercury 90
WNBA: 19/07 2023 Sun 66 Mercury 72
WNBA: 05/08 2022 Mercury 64 Sun 77
WNBA: 03/08 2022 Mercury 63 Sun 87

Team Stats

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Connecticut Sun Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
1 win and 9 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
6 wins and 4 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

+15 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 8 of the last 10 games
+15 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

-15 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games
-15 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 2 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 165.30 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals on the Road: An average of 161.10 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
Over 167.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
Over 167.5 on the Road: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games on the road
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.30 pts and allowed 84.00 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 69.40 pts and allowed 91.70 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

Game Totals: An average of 164.30 pts in the previous 10 games
Game Totals at Home: An average of 168.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
Over 167.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
Over 167.5 at Home: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 home games
Team Totals: Have scored an average of 82.40 pts and allowed 81.90 pts in the last 10 games
Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 86.80 pts and allowed 81.70 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1 Lynx	24	5	2529	2186	343	15-1	9-4	2W
2 Liberty	18	10	2434	2272	162	12-3	6-7	1W
3 Dream	18	11	2452	2291	161	10-4	8-7	3W
4 Mercury	17	11	2334	2265	69	9-4	8-7	1W
5 Fever	17	12	2467	2343	124	9-6	8-6	5W
6 Storm	16	13	2358	2280	78	8-7	8-6	2L
7 Aces	15	14	2363	2409	-46	8-5	7-9	1W
8 Valkyries	14	14	2186	2197	-11	8-4	6-10	1L
9 Mystics	13	15	2206	2260	-54	9-6	4-9	2L
10 Sparks	12	15	2308	2377	-69	3-9	9-6	1W
11 Wings	8	21	2380	2510	-130	5-10	3-11	2L
12 Sky	7	21	2138	2436	-298	4-10	3-11	8L
13 Sun	5	22	2021	2350	-329	4-11	1-11	1L