Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Monday

NBA Betting Preview: Mavericks vs Nuggets

The Dallas Mavericks tip off against the Denver Nuggets in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

We’re sweet on the Nuggets who are -10.5 on the spread. The betting favorites should enjoy a big victory against the Mavericks and cover the line at -112.

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Dallas Mavericks got the win in their previous game. A 114-110 triumph occurred on the road at Intuit Dome when playing LA Clippers. Cooper Flagg led the way with 35 points, while Klay Thompson added 23 and Naji Marshall chipped in 18.

Denver Nuggets have lost three straight home games. In their last appearance, they won on the road, beating Phoenix Suns 130-112 at Mortgage Matchup Center. Nikola Jokic had 26 points and 10 assists, while Jamal Murray scored 24 points and Tim Hardaway Jr. 23.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Nuggets have won the last two matchups against the Mavs. They achieved winning scorelines of 112-101 and 118-99 at American Airlines Center. The Nuggets have triumphed in seven of the previous 10 clashes between these teams.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Nuggets	14	5	0.737	124.8	115.1	9.7	6-3	8-2	2-1	12-4	7-3	1W
Mavericks	6	15	0.286	110.2	115.9	-5.7	4-9	2-6	1-5	3-10	3-7	1W

View Full Standings

The Mavs have 3 wins and 7 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 113.5 points, 44.9 rebounds, 24.0 assists, 8.5 steals and 6.4 blocks while shooting 44.4% from the field and 76.1% from the free-throw line. The opposition average 118.4 points and 48.8 rebounds per matchup.

Cooper Flagg is averaging 16.9 points, Naji Marshall 6.1 rebounds and Brandon Williams 5.7 assists, while Klay Thompson averages 3.8 (39.6%) 3-pointers made.

The Nuggets have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 125.3 points, 43.7 rebounds, 28.2 assists, 5.9 steals and 4.0 blocks per game while shooting 51.5% from the field and 82.0% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have an average of 118.7 points and 39.3 rebounds.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 32.3 points, 11.9 rebounds and 10.1 assists, while Jamal Murray has an average of 3.5 (44.3%) 3-pointers made.

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks

We cover the essential Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets betting angles, featuring our main match prediction, correct score pick, top player prop plays and a carefully crafted bet builder.

Game Prediction

We strongly fancy the chances of Nuggets beating the underdogs handsomely in this NBA contest. That is why we’re betting the market leaders at -10.5 on the spread at -112.

Our basketball picks are rooted in solid team news and up-to-date form for each NBA franchise. We also dig deep to uncover the most relevant stats that help guide and strengthen our predictions.

Key Mavericks vs Nuggets stats:

• The -10.5 line has been covered by Nuggets in 2 consecutive games against Mavs.

Nuggets -10.5 Probability

According to the best sportsbooks, there’s a 52.9% likelihood of our pick landing a return. After careful examination, our experts have this probability somewhere between 55-60%. This is why we can recommend this bet.

If the initial odds don’t grab your fancy, there’s the option to shoot for more juice by moving the line when it comes to your points spread pick. It all comes down to how confident you feel.

Power up your bet with the latest free bets, sign-up bonuses and premium betting offers found in our in-depth guide.

Our Game Prediction

Nuggets -10.5 @ -112 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Cooper Flagg Over 5.5 Rebounds -143

Cooper Flagg (Mavs) has recorded Over 5.5 rebounds in 5 straight games. Out of all the prop bets available, we’re going to take the -143 when it comes to this Player Rebounds wager.

Latest Cooper Flagg Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 17.5

-103

Under 17.5

-123

Assists

Over 3.5

-112

Under 3.5

-118

Rebounds

Over 5.5

-143

Under 5.5

+108

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Jamal Murray Over 23.5 Points -122

Jamal Murray (Nuggets) has totaled an average of 29.25 points in the past 4 home games. On this basis, we are happy to back Overs at -122 when it comes to his Player Points, with the line making plenty of appeal.

Latest Jamal Murray Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 23.5

-122

Under 23.5

-105

Assists

Over 6.5

-101

Under 6.5

-132

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-139

Under 3.5

+106

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Correct Score Prediction

Mavericks 112 - 127 Nuggets

The Nuggets will be chasing down a victory and a winning scoreline of 127-112 might be along the right lines. There are enormous odds available about this bet.

Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Denver Nuggets are strong -500 favorites to win this NBA game according to the Moneyline betting odds. The sportsbooks give them a 83% chance of claiming victory. Dallas Mavericks are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +385.

The current spread is 10.5 and total points is 233.5. A wager on the Totals allows basketball bettors to use the latest data to good effect. There’s an opportunity to bet Over 233.5 at -106.

The best basketball betting sites offer a huge selection of team props and game lines when it comes to most NBA contests. Make sure you look through all the available options before deciding which bet to place.

Moneyline

Mavericks

+385

Nuggets

-500

Point Spread

Mavericks +10.5

-108

Nuggets -10.5

-112

Total Points

Under 233.5

-114

Over 233.5

-106

In terms of landing the most baskets, favorite Nikola Jokic is available at -111 to rack up Over 29.5 points. If you want to go Under, then -115 is available.

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 29.5

-111

Under 29.5

-115

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 23.5

-122

Under 23.5

-105

Anthony Davis (Mavericks)

Over 19.5

-106

Under 19.5

-120

Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)

Over 17.5

-103

Under 17.5

-123

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 15.5

-114

Under 15.5

-112

Cameron Johnson (Nuggets)

Over 14.5

-114

Under 14.5

-112

Peyton Watson (Nuggets)

Over 11.5

-127

Under 11.5

-101

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 10.5

-110

Under 10.5

-120

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 6.5

-101

Under 6.5

-132

Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)

Over 3.5

-112

Under 3.5

-118

Anthony Davis (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

-145

Under 2.5

+110

Cameron Johnson (Nuggets)

Over 2.5

+125

Under 2.5

-164

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 1.5

-167

Under 1.5

+127

Peyton Watson (Nuggets)

Over 1.5

-149

Under 1.5

+114

Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)

Over 12.5

-133

Under 12.5

+102

Anthony Davis (Mavericks)

Over 8.5

-106

Under 8.5

-123

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 6.5

-114

Under 6.5

-118

Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)

Over 5.5

-143

Under 5.5

+108

Peyton Watson (Nuggets)

Over 5.5

-112

Under 5.5

-118

Cameron Johnson (Nuggets)

Over 4.5

+107

Under 4.5

-141

Jamal Murray (Nuggets)

Over 3.5

-139

Under 3.5

+106

The Nuggets have come up short in three consecutive outings at Ball Arena. They own a 7-3 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 125.80 points on average and giving up 114.30.

The Mavs have a 3-7 record in their last 10 games away from home, posting 108.40 points per contest while yielding 114.60.

The last time these teams met at Ball Arena, the Mavs came out on top 123-120 against the Nuggets. The previous 10 H2H clashes at Ball Arena have ended with both teams winning five times.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O233.5	U233.5
Denver Nuggets Home Stats		7-3	240.10	125.80	114.30	6	4
Dallas Mavericks Away Stats		3-7	223.00	108.40	114.60	1	9

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O233.5 = Games Over 233.5 Points
• U233.5 = Games Under 233.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dallas Mavericks Stats

Denver Nuggets Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +10.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 6 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -10.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -10.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 231.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 223.00 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 233.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 233.5 on the Road: Covered in 1 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 113.50 pts and allowed 118.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 108.40 pts and allowed 114.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 244.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 240.10 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 233.5: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games
• Over 233.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 125.30 pts and allowed 118.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 125.80 pts and allowed 114.30 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 26.90 (52%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.20 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.10 (76.14%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.9, Offensive 10.70, Defensive 34.20
• Assists: 24.00
• Blocks: 6.40
• Steals: 8.50
• Turnovers : 15.70
• Personal Fouls: 21.90

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.30 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.30 (32%)
• Free Throws Made: 17.90 (76.5%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.4, Offensive 10.10, Defensive 32.30
• Assists: 24.30
• Blocks: 5.20
• Steals: 9.30
• Turnovers : 13.80
• Personal Fouls: 20.20

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.20 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 15.00 (43%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.90 (82.02%)
• Rebounds: Total 43.7, Offensive 11.80, Defensive 31.90
• Assists: 28.20
• Blocks: 4.00
• Steals: 5.90
• Turnovers : 13.80
• Personal Fouls: 19.00

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 32.80 (59%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.60 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 22.40 (84.21%)
• Rebounds: Total 48.3, Offensive 12.40, Defensive 35.90
• Assists: 30.60
• Blocks: 3.90
• Steals: 7.50
• Turnovers : 12.90
• Personal Fouls: 19.30

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	13	6	0.684	120.4	112.9	7.5	10-1	3-5	4-0	10-6	7-3	4W
Raptors	14	7	0.667	117.6	112.9	4.7	7-2	7-5	3-2	13-4	8-2	2L
Celtics	11	9	0.55	114.9	110.9	4	6-4	5-5	2-4	8-6	7-3	1W
76ers	10	9	0.526	118.2	118.8	-0.6	5-6	5-3	5-2	9-9	4-6	1L
Nets	3	16	0.158	108.4	119.3	-10.9	0-9	3-7	1-7	3-13	2-8	4L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	16	4	0.8	119.8	114	5.8	8-2	8-2	4-2	12-4	8-2	1W
Cavaliers	12	9	0.571	118.8	115.6	3.2	8-4	4-5	5-0	10-8	5-5	3L
Bulls	9	10	0.474	119.9	123.1	-3.2	6-2	3-8	1-4	6-7	3-7	3L
Bucks	9	12	0.429	115.5	117.7	-2.2	6-6	3-6	2-3	7-8	2-8	1W
Pacers	4	16	0.2	109.8	118.6	-8.8	4-6	0-10	1-4	3-8	3-7	2W

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	13	7	0.65	123.6	118.2	5.4	9-2	4-5	2-1	8-4	7-3	1L
Hawks	13	8	0.619	118.9	116.6	2.3	4-4	9-4	3-1	7-6	7-3	2W
Magic	12	8	0.6	119.3	114.1	5.2	7-3	5-5	3-2	9-7	8-2	2W
Hornets	6	14	0.3	115.9	120.2	-4.3	5-6	1-8	1-4	5-9	3-7	2W
Wizards	2	16	0.111	112.4	127.7	-15.3	1-6	1-10	1-2	1-12	1-9	1L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	20	1	0.952	122.2	106.7	15.5	10-0	10-1	4-1	16-1	10-0	12W
Nuggets	14	5	0.737	124.8	115.1	9.7	6-3	8-2	2-1	12-4	7-3	1W
Timberwolves	12	8	0.6	119.2	114.1	5.1	7-3	5-5	3-3	7-7	6-4	2W
Trail Blazers	8	12	0.4	118.3	121.2	-2.9	3-6	5-6	3-3	7-9	3-7	2L
Jazz	6	13	0.316	117.7	125.4	-7.7	5-6	1-7	0-4	3-10	3-7	1L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	15	4	0.789	119.6	115.4	4.2	7-2	8-2	2-1	12-3	8-2	7W
Suns	12	9	0.571	116.7	114	2.7	8-4	4-5	4-2	11-8	6-4	2L
Warriors	11	10	0.524	114.5	113.6	0.9	7-2	4-8	3-1	10-6	5-5	1W
Clippers	5	15	0.25	111.8	117.7	-5.9	3-7	2-8	1-4	4-9	2-8	4L
Kings	5	16	0.238	111.8	122.9	-11.1	3-7	2-9	1-3	4-14	2-8	3L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	13	4	0.765	121.6	109.9	11.7	5-2	8-2	2-1	6-3	8-2	3W
Spurs	13	6	0.684	118.8	113.6	5.2	8-2	5-4	5-0	8-6	6-4	1L
Grizzlies	9	12	0.429	113.4	116.5	-3.1	4-6	5-6	4-2	8-6	5-5	3W
Mavericks	6	15	0.286	110.2	115.9	-5.7	4-9	2-6	1-5	3-10	3-7	1W
Pelicans	3	18	0.143	111.2	122.1	-10.9	2-9	1-9	1-5	1-16	1-9	3L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	16	4	0.8	119.8	114	5.8	8-2	8-2	4-2	12-4	8-2	1W
Knicks	13	6	0.684	120.4	112.9	7.5	10-1	3-5	4-0	10-6	7-3	4W
Raptors	14	7	0.667	117.6	112.9	4.7	7-2	7-5	3-2	13-4	8-2	2L
Heat	13	7	0.65	123.6	118.2	5.4	9-2	4-5	2-1	8-4	7-3	1L
Hawks	13	8	0.619	118.9	116.6	2.3	4-4	9-4	3-1	7-6	7-3	2W
Magic	12	8	0.6	119.3	114.1	5.2	7-3	5-5	3-2	9-7	8-2	2W
Cavaliers	12	9	0.571	118.8	115.6	3.2	8-4	4-5	5-0	10-8	5-5	3L
Celtics	11	9	0.55	114.9	110.9	4	6-4	5-5	2-4	8-6	7-3	1W
76ers	10	9	0.526	118.2	118.8	-0.6	5-6	5-3	5-2	9-9	4-6	1L
Bulls	9	10	0.474	119.9	123.1	-3.2	6-2	3-8	1-4	6-7	3-7	3L
Bucks	9	12	0.429	115.5	117.7	-2.2	6-6	3-6	2-3	7-8	2-8	1W
Hornets	6	14	0.3	115.9	120.2	-4.3	5-6	1-8	1-4	5-9	3-7	2W
Pacers	4	16	0.2	109.8	118.6	-8.8	4-6	0-10	1-4	3-8	3-7	2W
Nets	3	16	0.158	108.4	119.3	-10.9	0-9	3-7	1-7	3-13	2-8	4L
Wizards	2	16	0.111	112.4	127.7	-15.3	1-6	1-10	1-2	1-12	1-9	1L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	20	1	0.952	122.2	106.7	15.5	10-0	10-1	4-1	16-1	10-0	12W
Lakers	15	4	0.789	119.6	115.4	4.2	7-2	8-2	2-1	12-3	8-2	7W
Rockets	13	4	0.765	121.6	109.9	11.7	5-2	8-2	2-1	6-3	8-2	3W
Nuggets	14	5	0.737	124.8	115.1	9.7	6-3	8-2	2-1	12-4	7-3	1W
Spurs	13	6	0.684	118.8	113.6	5.2	8-2	5-4	5-0	8-6	6-4	1L
Timberwolves	12	8	0.6	119.2	114.1	5.1	7-3	5-5	3-3	7-7	6-4	2W
Suns	12	9	0.571	116.7	114	2.7	8-4	4-5	4-2	11-8	6-4	2L
Warriors	11	10	0.524	114.5	113.6	0.9	7-2	4-8	3-1	10-6	5-5	1W
Grizzlies	9	12	0.429	113.4	116.5	-3.1	4-6	5-6	4-2	8-6	5-5	3W
Trail Blazers	8	12	0.4	118.3	121.2	-2.9	3-6	5-6	3-3	7-9	3-7	2L
Jazz	6	13	0.316	117.7	125.4	-7.7	5-6	1-7	0-4	3-10	3-7	1L
Mavericks	6	15	0.286	110.2	115.9	-5.7	4-9	2-6	1-5	3-10	3-7	1W
Clippers	5	15	0.25	111.8	117.7	-5.9	3-7	2-8	1-4	4-9	2-8	4L
Kings	5	16	0.238	111.8	122.9	-11.1	3-7	2-9	1-3	4-14	2-8	3L
Pelicans	3	18	0.143	111.2	122.1	-10.9	2-9	1-9	1-5	1-16	1-9	3L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	20	1	0.952	122.2	106.7	15.5	10-0	10-1	4-1	16-1	10-0	12W
Pistons	16	4	0.8	119.8	114	5.8	8-2	8-2	4-2	12-4	8-2	1W
Lakers	15	4	0.789	119.6	115.4	4.2	7-2	8-2	2-1	12-3	8-2	7W
Rockets	13	4	0.765	121.6	109.9	11.7	5-2	8-2	2-1	6-3	8-2	3W
Nuggets	14	5	0.737	124.8	115.1	9.7	6-3	8-2	2-1	12-4	7-3	1W
Knicks	13	6	0.684	120.4	112.9	7.5	10-1	3-5	4-0	10-6	7-3	4W
Spurs	13	6	0.684	118.8	113.6	5.2	8-2	5-4	5-0	8-6	6-4	1L
Raptors	14	7	0.667	117.6	112.9	4.7	7-2	7-5	3-2	13-4	8-2	2L
Heat	13	7	0.65	123.6	118.2	5.4	9-2	4-5	2-1	8-4	7-3	1L
Hawks	13	8	0.619	118.9	116.6	2.3	4-4	9-4	3-1	7-6	7-3	2W
Timberwolves	12	8	0.6	119.2	114.1	5.1	7-3	5-5	3-3	7-7	6-4	2W
Magic	12	8	0.6	119.3	114.1	5.2	7-3	5-5	3-2	9-7	8-2	2W
Cavaliers	12	9	0.571	118.8	115.6	3.2	8-4	4-5	5-0	10-8	5-5	3L
Suns	12	9	0.571	116.7	114	2.7	8-4	4-5	4-2	11-8	6-4	2L
Celtics	11	9	0.55	114.9	110.9	4	6-4	5-5	2-4	8-6	7-3	1W
76ers	10	9	0.526	118.2	118.8	-0.6	5-6	5-3	5-2	9-9	4-6	1L
Warriors	11	10	0.524	114.5	113.6	0.9	7-2	4-8	3-1	10-6	5-5	1W
Bulls	9	10	0.474	119.9	123.1	-3.2	6-2	3-8	1-4	6-7	3-7	3L
Grizzlies	9	12	0.429	113.4	116.5	-3.1	4-6	5-6	4-2	8-6	5-5	3W
Bucks	9	12	0.429	115.5	117.7	-2.2	6-6	3-6	2-3	7-8	2-8	1W
Trail Blazers	8	12	0.4	118.3	121.2	-2.9	3-6	5-6	3-3	7-9	3-7	2L
Jazz	6	13	0.316	117.7	125.4	-7.7	5-6	1-7	0-4	3-10	3-7	1L
Hornets	6	14	0.3	115.9	120.2	-4.3	5-6	1-8	1-4	5-9	3-7	2W
Mavericks	6	15	0.286	110.2	115.9	-5.7	4-9	2-6	1-5	3-10	3-7	1W
Clippers	5	15	0.25	111.8	117.7	-5.9	3-7	2-8	1-4	4-9	2-8	4L
Kings	5	16	0.238	111.8	122.9	-11.1	3-7	2-9	1-3	4-14	2-8	3L
Pacers	4	16	0.2	109.8	118.6	-8.8	4-6	0-10	1-4	3-8	3-7	2W
Nets	3	16	0.158	108.4	119.3	-10.9	0-9	3-7	1-7	3-13	2-8	4L
Pelicans	3	18	0.143	111.2	122.1	-10.9	2-9	1-9	1-5	1-16	1-9	3L
Wizards	2	16	0.111	112.4	127.7	-15.3	1-6	1-10	1-2	1-12	1-9	1L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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