Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Monday

NBA Betting Preview: Mavericks vs Heat

The Dallas Mavericks battle the Miami Heat in this NBA clash. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

Our prediction is to snap up the -114 that the Heat are able to cover the spread. The favorites are -8 when playing the Mavericks and the margin of victory could be a good deal more significant.

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Dallas Mavericks lost their previous game, being beaten at home to Memphis Grizzlies 102-96 at American Airlines Center. Klay Thompson tallied 22 points, while Brandon Williams put up 18 and PJ Washington 15.

Miami Heat won last time out by a 127-117 scoreline. On the road against Philadelphia 76ers at Xfinity Mobile Arena, they made it four wins on the spin. Norman Powell recorded 32 points, Jaime Jaquez Jr. scored 22, with Kel'el Ware racking up 20 points and 16 rebounds.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Mavs beat the Heat when the teams last met. It was a 118-113 scoreline at American Airlines Center. The past 10 clashes between these teams have seen seven Mavs wins.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	11	6	0.647	124.9	118.9	6	7-1	4-5	2-1	7-3	7-3	4W
Mavericks	5	13	0.278	109.9	116	-6.1	4-9	1-4	1-5	2-9	3-7	1L

View Full Standings

3 wins and 7 losses in the past 10 games. The Mavs are averaging 112.9 points, 47.0 rebounds, 24.4 assists, 8.4 steals and 7.3 blocks while shooting 44.8% from the field and 72.8% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 117.8 points and 48.5 rebounds per matchup.

Cooper Flagg is averaging 15.9 points, PJ Washington 6.3 rebounds and Brandon Williams 5.4 assists, while Klay Thompson averages 2.8 (33.7%) 3-pointers made.

The Heat have won 7 and lost 3 of their last 10 contests. Averaging 125.7 points, 47.1 rebounds, 31.1 assists, 9.0 steals and 5.0 blocks per game while shooting 46.9% from the field and 79.4% from the free-throw line. Their opponents average 120.2 points and 53.1 rebounds.

Norman Powell is averaging 26.3 points and 3.4 (44.7%) 3-pointers made. Kel'el Ware has an average of 13.4 rebounds and Davion Mitchell 7.4 assists.

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Prediction & Picks

This expert Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat betting breakdown features our match prediction, a correct score pick and a carefully constructed bet builder to guide your wagers.

Game Prediction

Place a wager on Heat with a -8 spread in this NBA contest. We’re confident the moneyline favorites can cover this appealing line at odds of -114.

We put solid research behind every basketball prediction, starting with recent form and a clear read on injuries. From there, key NBA stats and advanced metrics help complete the picture and support smarter betting decisions.

Key Mavericks vs Heat stats:

• The -8 line has been covered by Heat in 3 consecutive games.
• The +8 line hasn’t been covered by Mavs in 7 of their last 10 games on the road.
• The +8 line hasn’t been covered by Mavs in 3 of their last 5 games on the road.

Heat -8 Probability

Based on the odds from the top betting apps, our pick has a 53.2% prospect of winning. However, our cappers have this figure closer to 60% based on their in-depth research. It is therefore regarded as a value wager.

It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.

Before you make your picks, explore our detailed betting guide filled with free bets, the latest promo codes and welcome bonuses.

Our Game Prediction

Heat -8 @ -114 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Mavericks 110 - 122 Heat

The Heat to win by a 122-110 scoreline could be worth a chance. There’s a big potential return if you can land this bet on the money and it should provide some entertainment.

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

The sportsbooks have Miami Heat at -323 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 76% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. Dallas Mavericks are trading at bigger odds than their opponents and they can be backed at +260.

8 is where the spread lies, with total points being 239.5 right now. Having a bet on the Totals is one of the most popular basketball wagers. There’s the chance to back Under 239.5 at -108.

You can find a huge selection of game lines and team props for every contest, with the best NBA betting sites creating many different options. Check out the pre-game and in-game selections before placing your bets.

Moneyline

Mavericks

+260

Heat

-323

Point Spread

Mavericks +8

-106

Heat -8

-114

Total Points

Under 239.5

-108

Over 239.5

-112

You shouldn’t overlook the player props when it comes to betting on individual games. Many gambling sites will give you the chance to get with or bet against a specific player when it comes to number of Points, Assists, Steals and Blocks.

Instead of focusing on the overall outcome, some basketball bettors prefer to look at the micro betting lines. As the name suggests, it means placing short-term in-game wagers and this might include Next Field Goal, with the options being for a two-pointer or a three-pointer.

The Heat are 7-3 in their last 10 home games, averaging 117.20 points scored and 120.20 points allowed.

The Mavs own a 2-8 mark in their past 10 road games, averaging 104.10 points scored and 118.20 points allowed.

The Heat beat the Mavs 123-118 in their most recent meeting at Kaseya Center. Over the last 7 head-to-head meetings at Kaseya Center, the Heat have claimed four wins compared to the Mavs who have three.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O239.5	U239.5
Miami Heat Home Stats		7-3	237.40	117.20	120.20	4	6
Dallas Mavericks Away Stats		2-8	222.30	104.10	118.20	0	10

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O239.5 = Games Over 239.5 Points
• U239.5 = Games Under 239.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dallas Mavericks Stats

Miami Heat Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +8 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +8 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 3 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -8 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -8 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 230.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 222.30 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 239.5: Covered in 2 of the previous 10 games
• Over 239.5 on the Road: Has not been covered in any of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 112.90 pts and allowed 117.80 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 104.10 pts and allowed 118.20 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 245.90 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 237.40 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 239.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 239.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 125.70 pts and allowed 120.20 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 117.20 pts and allowed 120.20 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.00 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.00 (32%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.90 (72.82%)
• Rebounds: Total 47, Offensive 11.40, Defensive 35.60
• Assists: 24.40
• Blocks: 7.30
• Steals: 8.40
• Turnovers : 16.60
• Personal Fouls: 21.70

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 28.90 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 9.20 (29%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.70 (73.05%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.6, Offensive 9.40, Defensive 32.20
• Assists: 22.80
• Blocks: 5.20
• Steals: 8.00
• Turnovers : 15.30
• Personal Fouls: 18.60

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 31.80 (53%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.40 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.90 (79.35%)
• Rebounds: Total 47.1, Offensive 11.30, Defensive 35.80
• Assists: 31.10
• Blocks: 5.00
• Steals: 9.00
• Turnovers : 13.10
• Personal Fouls: 22.00

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.00 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 12.90 (33%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.10 (80.09%)
• Rebounds: Total 45.3, Offensive 10.70, Defensive 34.60
• Assists: 28.10
• Blocks: 3.90
• Steals: 7.60
• Turnovers : 14.80
• Personal Fouls: 20.60

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Raptors	12	5	0.706	121	114.3	6.7	5-2	7-3	3-1	11-2	9-1	7W
Knicks	9	6	0.6	120.8	116.1	4.7	8-1	1-5	2-0	6-6	7-3	1L
76ers	9	7	0.563	118.3	116.8	1.5	5-4	4-3	4-2	8-7	4-6	1L
Celtics	9	8	0.529	114.6	110	4.6	5-4	4-4	2-4	6-6	6-4	1W
Nets	3	13	0.188	109.8	120.1	-10.3	0-7	3-6	1-5	3-10	3-7	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	14	2	0.875	119.5	112.4	7.1	8-1	6-1	3-2	10-2	10-0	12W
Cavaliers	12	6	0.667	119.9	115	4.9	8-3	4-3	5-0	10-5	7-3	2W
Bulls	9	7	0.563	120.8	123.1	-2.3	6-2	3-5	1-3	6-5	4-6	1W
Bucks	8	9	0.471	117.3	119.6	-2.3	5-5	3-4	2-3	6-6	3-7	4L
Pacers	2	14	0.125	110.1	122.9	-12.8	2-5	0-9	0-3	1-6	1-9	1L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	11	6	0.647	124.9	118.9	6	7-1	4-5	2-1	7-3	7-3	4W
Hawks	11	7	0.611	117.3	114.4	2.9	3-4	8-3	3-0	5-5	7-3	2W
Magic	10	8	0.556	118.3	114.9	3.4	7-3	3-5	3-2	7-7	7-3	1L
Hornets	4	13	0.235	116.2	120.4	-4.2	3-5	1-8	1-4	3-8	1-9	6L
Wizards	1	15	0.063	112.9	129.1	-16.2	0-6	1-9	0-2	0-11	0-10	14L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	17	1	0.944	122.6	105.7	16.9	8-0	9-1	2-1	13-1	9-1	9W
Nuggets	12	4	0.75	123.8	113.8	10	6-2	6-2	2-1	10-3	8-2	1L
Timberwolves	10	6	0.625	120.1	114.1	6	5-3	5-3	3-2	6-5	7-3	1L
Trail Blazers	7	10	0.412	119.6	122.5	-2.9	3-4	4-6	3-2	7-7	3-7	1L
Jazz	5	11	0.313	118.1	125	-6.9	4-5	1-6	0-4	2-8	3-7	3L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	12	4	0.75	117.3	114.6	2.7	4-2	8-2	1-1	9-3	8-2	4W
Suns	11	6	0.647	118.5	113.3	5.2	8-2	3-4	3-2	10-5	8-2	3W
Warriors	9	9	0.5	114.8	114.9	-0.1	5-1	4-8	3-1	8-5	4-6	3L
Clippers	5	12	0.294	111.8	117.2	-5.4	3-5	2-7	1-3	4-6	2-8	1L
Kings	4	13	0.235	112	124.4	-12.4	2-5	2-8	1-2	3-11	2-8	1W

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	10	4	0.714	122.9	112.5	10.4	5-2	5-2	2-1	3-3	8-2	1L
Spurs	11	5	0.688	118.3	112.2	6.1	8-2	3-3	5-0	6-5	6-4	1L
Grizzlies	6	11	0.353	112.1	116.5	-4.4	4-5	2-6	3-2	5-5	3-7	2W
Mavericks	5	13	0.278	109.9	116	-6.1	4-9	1-4	1-5	2-9	3-7	1L
Pelicans	2	15	0.118	108.6	121.4	-12.8	1-8	1-7	1-4	1-13	1-9	9L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	14	2	0.875	119.5	112.4	7.1	8-1	6-1	3-2	10-2	10-0	12W
Raptors	12	5	0.706	121	114.3	6.7	5-2	7-3	3-1	11-2	9-1	7W
Cavaliers	12	6	0.667	119.9	115	4.9	8-3	4-3	5-0	10-5	7-3	2W
Heat	11	6	0.647	124.9	118.9	6	7-1	4-5	2-1	7-3	7-3	4W
Knicks	9	6	0.6	120.8	116.1	4.7	8-1	1-5	2-0	6-6	7-3	1L
76ers	9	7	0.563	118.3	116.8	1.5	5-4	4-3	4-2	8-7	4-6	1L
Bulls	9	7	0.563	120.8	123.1	-2.3	6-2	3-5	1-3	6-5	4-6	1W
Hawks	11	7	0.611	117.3	114.4	2.9	3-4	8-3	3-0	5-5	7-3	2W
Magic	10	8	0.556	118.3	114.9	3.4	7-3	3-5	3-2	7-7	7-3	1L
Celtics	9	8	0.529	114.6	110	4.6	5-4	4-4	2-4	6-6	6-4	1W
Bucks	8	9	0.471	117.3	119.6	-2.3	5-5	3-4	2-3	6-6	3-7	4L
Hornets	4	13	0.235	116.2	120.4	-4.2	3-5	1-8	1-4	3-8	1-9	6L
Nets	3	13	0.188	109.8	120.1	-10.3	0-7	3-6	1-5	3-10	3-7	1L
Pacers	2	14	0.125	110.1	122.9	-12.8	2-5	0-9	0-3	1-6	1-9	1L
Wizards	1	15	0.063	112.9	129.1	-16.2	0-6	1-9	0-2	0-11	0-10	14L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	17	1	0.944	122.6	105.7	16.9	8-0	9-1	2-1	13-1	9-1	9W
Nuggets	12	4	0.75	123.8	113.8	10	6-2	6-2	2-1	10-3	8-2	1L
Lakers	12	4	0.75	117.3	114.6	2.7	4-2	8-2	1-1	9-3	8-2	4W
Rockets	10	4	0.714	122.9	112.5	10.4	5-2	5-2	2-1	3-3	8-2	1L
Spurs	11	5	0.688	118.3	112.2	6.1	8-2	3-3	5-0	6-5	6-4	1L
Suns	11	6	0.647	118.5	113.3	5.2	8-2	3-4	3-2	10-5	8-2	3W
Timberwolves	10	6	0.625	120.1	114.1	6	5-3	5-3	3-2	6-5	7-3	1L
Warriors	9	9	0.5	114.8	114.9	-0.1	5-1	4-8	3-1	8-5	4-6	3L
Trail Blazers	7	10	0.412	119.6	122.5	-2.9	3-4	4-6	3-2	7-7	3-7	1L
Grizzlies	6	11	0.353	112.1	116.5	-4.4	4-5	2-6	3-2	5-5	3-7	2W
Jazz	5	11	0.313	118.1	125	-6.9	4-5	1-6	0-4	2-8	3-7	3L
Clippers	5	12	0.294	111.8	117.2	-5.4	3-5	2-7	1-3	4-6	2-8	1L
Mavericks	5	13	0.278	109.9	116	-6.1	4-9	1-4	1-5	2-9	3-7	1L
Kings	4	13	0.235	112	124.4	-12.4	2-5	2-8	1-2	3-11	2-8	1W
Pelicans	2	15	0.118	108.6	121.4	-12.8	1-8	1-7	1-4	1-13	1-9	9L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	17	1	0.944	122.6	105.7	16.9	8-0	9-1	2-1	13-1	9-1	9W
Pistons	14	2	0.875	119.5	112.4	7.1	8-1	6-1	3-2	10-2	10-0	12W
Nuggets	12	4	0.75	123.8	113.8	10	6-2	6-2	2-1	10-3	8-2	1L
Lakers	12	4	0.75	117.3	114.6	2.7	4-2	8-2	1-1	9-3	8-2	4W
Rockets	10	4	0.714	122.9	112.5	10.4	5-2	5-2	2-1	3-3	8-2	1L
Raptors	12	5	0.706	121	114.3	6.7	5-2	7-3	3-1	11-2	9-1	7W
Spurs	11	5	0.688	118.3	112.2	6.1	8-2	3-3	5-0	6-5	6-4	1L
Cavaliers	12	6	0.667	119.9	115	4.9	8-3	4-3	5-0	10-5	7-3	2W
Heat	11	6	0.647	124.9	118.9	6	7-1	4-5	2-1	7-3	7-3	4W
Suns	11	6	0.647	118.5	113.3	5.2	8-2	3-4	3-2	10-5	8-2	3W
Timberwolves	10	6	0.625	120.1	114.1	6	5-3	5-3	3-2	6-5	7-3	1L
Hawks	11	7	0.611	117.3	114.4	2.9	3-4	8-3	3-0	5-5	7-3	2W
Knicks	9	6	0.6	120.8	116.1	4.7	8-1	1-5	2-0	6-6	7-3	1L
Bulls	9	7	0.563	120.8	123.1	-2.3	6-2	3-5	1-3	6-5	4-6	1W
76ers	9	7	0.563	118.3	116.8	1.5	5-4	4-3	4-2	8-7	4-6	1L
Magic	10	8	0.556	118.3	114.9	3.4	7-3	3-5	3-2	7-7	7-3	1L
Celtics	9	8	0.529	114.6	110	4.6	5-4	4-4	2-4	6-6	6-4	1W
Warriors	9	9	0.5	114.8	114.9	-0.1	5-1	4-8	3-1	8-5	4-6	3L
Bucks	8	9	0.471	117.3	119.6	-2.3	5-5	3-4	2-3	6-6	3-7	4L
Trail Blazers	7	10	0.412	119.6	122.5	-2.9	3-4	4-6	3-2	7-7	3-7	1L
Grizzlies	6	11	0.353	112.1	116.5	-4.4	4-5	2-6	3-2	5-5	3-7	2W
Jazz	5	11	0.313	118.1	125	-6.9	4-5	1-6	0-4	2-8	3-7	3L
Clippers	5	12	0.294	111.8	117.2	-5.4	3-5	2-7	1-3	4-6	2-8	1L
Mavericks	5	13	0.278	109.9	116	-6.1	4-9	1-4	1-5	2-9	3-7	1L
Hornets	4	13	0.235	116.2	120.4	-4.2	3-5	1-8	1-4	3-8	1-9	6L
Kings	4	13	0.235	112	124.4	-12.4	2-5	2-8	1-2	3-11	2-8	1W
Nets	3	13	0.188	109.8	120.1	-10.3	0-7	3-6	1-5	3-10	3-7	1L
Pacers	2	14	0.125	110.1	122.9	-12.8	2-5	0-9	0-3	1-6	1-9	1L
Pelicans	2	15	0.118	108.6	121.4	-12.8	1-8	1-7	1-4	1-13	1-9	9L
Wizards	1	15	0.063	112.9	129.1	-16.2	0-6	1-9	0-2	0-11	0-10	14L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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