Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Friday

NBA Betting Preview: Mavericks vs Thunder

The Dallas Mavericks go head-to-head with the Oklahoma City Thunder in this NBA game. Our betting preview features expert NBA predictions, betting tips, the latest odds, H2H stats, player stats, team news and confirmed starting lineups.

We’re predicting that the Thunder will be superior to the Mavericks and that’s why we’re backing them at -15.5 on the spread. Take the -110 that the big favorites are able to cover this line.

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Dallas Mavericks made it three consecutive wins after a 118-108 home success over Miami Heat at American Airlines Center. Cooper Flagg poured in 22 points, with Naji Marshall contributing 18 and Klay Thompson adding 17.

Oklahoma City Thunder have triumphed in their last thirteen games. The latest of these was on the road where Golden State Warriors were beaten 124-112 at Chase Center. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 38 points, with Jalen Williams putting up 22 and Chet Holmgren contributing 21.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Thunder won the most recent matchup between these teams. A 101-94 victory was registered against the Mavs at American Airlines Center. The previous 10 H2H meetings have involved the Mavs winning seven times.

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	21	1	0.955	122.3	107	15.3	10-0	11-1	4-1	17-1	10-0	13W
Mavericks	8	15	0.348	111.4	115.7	-4.3	5-9	3-6	1-5	4-10	5-5	3W

View Full Standings

The Mavs have 5 wins and 5 losses in the past 10 games. They are averaging 114.3 points, 44.7 rebounds, 25.6 assists, 7.4 steals and 5.8 blocks while shooting 45.7% from the field and 76.6% from the free-throw line. The opposition have averaged 115.7 points and 48.5 rebounds per matchup.

Cooper Flagg is averaging 18.3 points, Naji Marshall 6.1 rebounds and Brandon Williams 4.9 assists, while Klay Thompson averages 3.6 (41.4%) 3-pointers made.

The Thunder have won all of their previous 10 contests. Averaging 121.8 points, 41.6 rebounds, 27.2 assists, 10.0 steals and 5.8 blocks per game while shooting 51.3% from the field and 81.0% from the free-throw line. Their opponents have averaged 105.4 points and 43.5 rebounds.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 32.8 points and 6.5 assists, while Chet Holmgren has an average of 7.3 rebounds and Isaiah Joe 2.4 (42.9%) 3-pointers made.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Picks

We’ve got your Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder bets covered, including our expert match prediction, correct score recommendation and a hand-picked bet builder tailored for value.

Game Prediction

Our pick is that Thunder will get the better of their opponents by a significant margin in this NBA contest. With this in mind, let’s go for the favorites on the spread at -15.5 which is currently available at odds of -110.

We closely track recent form and look for patterns that may impact the outcome. The same goes for injuries to key players. When combined with the most relevant NBA stats, this gives us a strong foundation for accurate basketball predictions.

Key Mavericks vs Thunder stats:

• The -15.5 line has been covered by Thunder in 5 of their last 10 games at home.

Thunder -15.5 Probability

If you go by the top NBA sportsbooks, our pick has a 52.4% chance of delivering a return. Our analysts think there’s a stronger chance of success and calculate the probability to be 55-60%. The wager can be recommended for this precise reason.

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Our Game Prediction

Thunder -15.5 @ -110 Bet Now

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Correct Score Prediction

Mavericks 101 - 120 Thunder

Let’s roll the dice and try the Thunder to enjoy a 120-101 winning scoreline here. There are massive odds for this potential outcome and it’s a fun type of wager to enjoy.

Dallas Mavericks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

With an estimated 93% chance of winning, the sportsbooks are taking no chances with their -1250 betting odds about Oklahoma City Thunder triumphing in this NBA game. The market suggests that Dallas Mavericks are least likely to win at +750.

The current spread is 15.5 and total points is 228.5. The Totals offers basketball bettors an alternative way of getting involved. Those that want to back Under 228.5 can find odds of -110 available.

The good news is that you can access hundreds of team props and game lines for most basketball contests. The best betting apps have a massive range of pre-game and in-game wagering options.

Moneyline

Mavericks

+750

Thunder

-1250

Point Spread

Mavericks +15.5

-110

Thunder -15.5

-110

Total Points

Under 228.5

-110

Over 228.5

-110

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the market leader to hit the most buckets. He is priced at -108 to score Over 32.5 points. Alternatively, you can back Under at -118.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 32.5

-108

Under 32.5

-118

Anthony Davis (Mavericks)

Over 21.5

-123

Under 21.5

-104

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 19.5

-110

Under 19.5

-116

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 17.5

-104

Under 17.5

-122

Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)

Over 16.5

-108

Under 16.5

-119

Ajay Mitchell (Thunder)

Over 14.5

-104

Under 14.5

-123

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 14.5

-103

Under 14.5

-123

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 10.5

-120

Under 10.5

-105

Klay Thompson (Mavericks)

Over 10.5

-118

Under 10.5

-109

Isaiah Joe (Thunder)

Over 9.5

-109

Under 9.5

-116

Max Christie (Mavericks)

Over 8.5

-119

Under 8.5

-108

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 7.5

-109

Under 7.5

-118

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 6.5

-128

Under 6.5

-103

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 4.5

-147

Under 4.5

+112

Ajay Mitchell (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+124

Under 3.5

-164

Anthony Davis (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

-137

Under 2.5

+104

Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

+109

Under 2.5

-145

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 1.5

-154

Under 1.5

+118

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 1.5

-125

Under 1.5

-106

Anthony Davis (Mavericks)

Over 10.5

-128

Under 10.5

-102

Chet Holmgren (Thunder)

Over 8.5

-133

Under 8.5

+102

Cooper Flagg (Mavericks)

Over 6.5

-110

Under 6.5

-119

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 6.5

-149

Under 6.5

+114

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+117

Under 5.5

-154

Jalen Williams (Thunder)

Over 5.5

+115

Under 5.5

-152

Ajay Mitchell (Thunder)

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+125

Cason Wallace (Thunder)

Over 3.5

+111

Under 3.5

-147

Aaron Wiggins (Thunder)

Over 2.5

-172

Under 2.5

+131

Max Christie (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

+121

Under 2.5

-161

The Thunder own a 10-0 mark in their past 10 home games, putting up 121.40 points per contest and giving up 105.10.

The Mavs have a 3-7 record in their last 10 road games, scoring 109.50 points per contest and conceding 116.10.

The previous meeting at Paycom Center saw the Mavs defeat the Thunder 121-115. The previous 10 H2H clashes at Paycom Center have ended with both teams winning five times.

Last 10 Games		W-L	P	PF	PA	O228.5	U228.5
Oklahoma City Thunder Home Stats		10-0	226.50	121.40	105.10	4	6
Dallas Mavericks Away Stats		3-7	225.60	109.50	116.10	3	7

• W-L = Wins-Losses
• P = Avg. Points
• PF = Avg. Points For
• PA = Avg. Points Against
• O228.5 = Games Over 228.5 Points
• U228.5 = Games Under 228.5 Points

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dallas Mavericks Stats

Oklahoma City Thunder Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 games
• 10 wins and 0 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +15.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games
• +15.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 9 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -15.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• -15.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 230.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 225.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 228.5: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 games
• Over 228.5 on the Road: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 114.30 pts and allowed 115.70 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 109.50 pts and allowed 116.10 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 227.20 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 226.50 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 228.5: Covered in 5 of the previous 10 games
• Over 228.5 at Home: Covered in 4 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 121.80 pts and allowed 105.40 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 121.40 pts and allowed 105.10 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 27.60 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.70 (38%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.00 (76.6%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.7, Offensive 10.50, Defensive 34.20
• Assists: 25.60
• Blocks: 5.80
• Steals: 7.40
• Turnovers : 13.70
• Personal Fouls: 20.50

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.30 (54%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 11.50 (32%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.40 (73.87%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.6, Offensive 9.80, Defensive 32.80
• Assists: 24.90
• Blocks: 4.80
• Steals: 8.80
• Turnovers : 13.90
• Personal Fouls: 20.60

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.40 (58%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.50 (40%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.50 (81.03%)
• Rebounds: Total 41.6, Offensive 7.60, Defensive 34.00
• Assists: 27.20
• Blocks: 5.80
• Steals: 10.00
• Turnovers : 12.80
• Personal Fouls: 20.30

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.30 (60%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 13.80 (35%)
• Free Throws Made: 21.50 (83.98%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.4, Offensive 8.90, Defensive 33.50
• Assists: 27.50
• Blocks: 5.90
• Steals: 11.10
• Turnovers : 12.10
• Personal Fouls: 21.40

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Both teams’ confirmed lineups will be published ahead of tip-off. There is also the chance to look at the lineups from the previous 10 games.

NBA Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Knicks	14	7	0.667	120.2	113	7.2	11-1	3-6	4-1	11-7	7-3	1W
Raptors	15	8	0.652	117.8	113.6	4.2	8-3	7-5	3-2	13-4	7-3	1L
Celtics	13	9	0.591	116.7	110.7	6	7-4	6-5	3-4	10-6	8-2	3W
76ers	12	9	0.571	117.4	117	0.4	7-6	5-3	5-2	10-9	5-5	2W
Nets	5	17	0.227	109	118	-9	1-10	4-7	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	17	5	0.773	118.3	113.2	5.1	9-2	8-3	4-3	13-5	7-3	1L
Cavaliers	13	10	0.565	119.1	116	3.1	8-5	5-5	6-0	11-8	5-5	1L
Bucks	10	13	0.435	115.8	117.8	-2	7-6	3-7	3-3	8-9	2-8	1W
Bulls	9	12	0.429	119.1	122.7	-3.6	6-3	3-9	1-4	6-9	3-7	5L
Pacers	4	18	0.182	110.6	120.1	-9.5	4-8	0-10	1-5	3-9	3-7	2L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Heat	14	8	0.636	123.6	118.4	5.2	10-2	4-6	2-1	8-4	7-3	1L
Magic	13	9	0.591	119.2	114.3	4.9	8-4	5-5	3-2	10-7	7-3	1L
Hawks	13	10	0.565	116.8	115.7	1.1	4-5	9-5	3-1	7-7	5-5	2L
Hornets	6	16	0.273	114.7	119.9	-5.2	5-6	1-10	1-4	5-11	2-8	2L
Wizards	3	18	0.143	112.2	128.1	-15.9	2-7	1-11	1-2	2-14	2-8	2L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	21	1	0.955	122.3	107	15.3	10-0	11-1	4-1	17-1	10-0	13W
Nuggets	15	6	0.714	125.1	116	9.1	6-4	9-2	2-1	12-5	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	13	8	0.619	120.6	115.4	5.2	7-3	6-5	3-3	8-7	6-4	3W
Trail Blazers	9	13	0.409	118.4	120.6	-2.2	3-6	6-7	3-3	7-9	3-7	1W
Jazz	8	13	0.381	118.7	124.6	-5.9	6-6	2-7	0-4	4-10	4-6	2W

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	16	5	0.762	119.2	116	3.2	7-3	9-2	2-2	12-4	8-2	1W
Suns	13	9	0.591	117	113.7	3.3	8-4	5-5	5-2	12-8	6-4	1W
Warriors	11	12	0.478	113.7	113.4	0.3	7-3	4-9	3-1	10-7	4-6	2L
Clippers	6	16	0.273	112.5	117.5	-5	3-7	3-9	1-4	4-9	2-8	1W
Kings	5	17	0.227	111	122.8	-11.8	3-7	2-10	1-3	4-15	2-8	4L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Rockets	14	5	0.737	121.7	110.3	11.4	6-2	8-3	2-1	7-4	8-2	1W
Spurs	15	6	0.714	119	113.8	5.2	9-2	6-4	6-0	9-6	7-3	2W
Grizzlies	9	13	0.409	113.6	117	-3.4	4-6	5-7	4-3	8-7	5-5	1L
Mavericks	8	15	0.348	111.4	115.7	-4.3	5-9	3-6	1-5	4-10	5-5	3W
Pelicans	3	19	0.136	112.6	123.3	-10.7	2-10	1-9	1-5	1-17	1-9	4L

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	17	5	0.773	118.3	113.2	5.1	9-2	8-3	4-3	13-5	7-3	1L
Knicks	14	7	0.667	120.2	113	7.2	11-1	3-6	4-1	11-7	7-3	1W
Raptors	15	8	0.652	117.8	113.6	4.2	8-3	7-5	3-2	13-4	7-3	1L
Heat	14	8	0.636	123.6	118.4	5.2	10-2	4-6	2-1	8-4	7-3	1L
Celtics	13	9	0.591	116.7	110.7	6	7-4	6-5	3-4	10-6	8-2	3W
Magic	13	9	0.591	119.2	114.3	4.9	8-4	5-5	3-2	10-7	7-3	1L
76ers	12	9	0.571	117.4	117	0.4	7-6	5-3	5-2	10-9	5-5	2W
Cavaliers	13	10	0.565	119.1	116	3.1	8-5	5-5	6-0	11-8	5-5	1L
Hawks	13	10	0.565	116.8	115.7	1.1	4-5	9-5	3-1	7-7	5-5	2L
Bucks	10	13	0.435	115.8	117.8	-2	7-6	3-7	3-3	8-9	2-8	1W
Bulls	9	12	0.429	119.1	122.7	-3.6	6-3	3-9	1-4	6-9	3-7	5L
Hornets	6	16	0.273	114.7	119.9	-5.2	5-6	1-10	1-4	5-11	2-8	2L
Nets	5	17	0.227	109	118	-9	1-10	4-7	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Pacers	4	18	0.182	110.6	120.1	-9.5	4-8	0-10	1-5	3-9	3-7	2L
Wizards	3	18	0.143	112.2	128.1	-15.9	2-7	1-11	1-2	2-14	2-8	2L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	21	1	0.955	122.3	107	15.3	10-0	11-1	4-1	17-1	10-0	13W
Lakers	16	5	0.762	119.2	116	3.2	7-3	9-2	2-2	12-4	8-2	1W
Rockets	14	5	0.737	121.7	110.3	11.4	6-2	8-3	2-1	7-4	8-2	1W
Spurs	15	6	0.714	119	113.8	5.2	9-2	6-4	6-0	9-6	7-3	2W
Nuggets	15	6	0.714	125.1	116	9.1	6-4	9-2	2-1	12-5	6-4	1W
Timberwolves	13	8	0.619	120.6	115.4	5.2	7-3	6-5	3-3	8-7	6-4	3W
Suns	13	9	0.591	117	113.7	3.3	8-4	5-5	5-2	12-8	6-4	1W
Warriors	11	12	0.478	113.7	113.4	0.3	7-3	4-9	3-1	10-7	4-6	2L
Grizzlies	9	13	0.409	113.6	117	-3.4	4-6	5-7	4-3	8-7	5-5	1L
Trail Blazers	9	13	0.409	118.4	120.6	-2.2	3-6	6-7	3-3	7-9	3-7	1W
Jazz	8	13	0.381	118.7	124.6	-5.9	6-6	2-7	0-4	4-10	4-6	2W
Mavericks	8	15	0.348	111.4	115.7	-4.3	5-9	3-6	1-5	4-10	5-5	3W
Clippers	6	16	0.273	112.5	117.5	-5	3-7	3-9	1-4	4-9	2-8	1W
Kings	5	17	0.227	111	122.8	-11.8	3-7	2-10	1-3	4-15	2-8	4L
Pelicans	3	19	0.136	112.6	123.3	-10.7	2-10	1-9	1-5	1-17	1-9	4L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	21	1	0.955	122.3	107	15.3	10-0	11-1	4-1	17-1	10-0	13W
Pistons	17	5	0.773	118.3	113.2	5.1	9-2	8-3	4-3	13-5	7-3	1L
Lakers	16	5	0.762	119.2	116	3.2	7-3	9-2	2-2	12-4	8-2	1W
Rockets	14	5	0.737	121.7	110.3	11.4	6-2	8-3	2-1	7-4	8-2	1W
Nuggets	15	6	0.714	125.1	116	9.1	6-4	9-2	2-1	12-5	6-4	1W
Spurs	15	6	0.714	119	113.8	5.2	9-2	6-4	6-0	9-6	7-3	2W
Knicks	14	7	0.667	120.2	113	7.2	11-1	3-6	4-1	11-7	7-3	1W
Raptors	15	8	0.652	117.8	113.6	4.2	8-3	7-5	3-2	13-4	7-3	1L
Heat	14	8	0.636	123.6	118.4	5.2	10-2	4-6	2-1	8-4	7-3	1L
Timberwolves	13	8	0.619	120.6	115.4	5.2	7-3	6-5	3-3	8-7	6-4	3W
Celtics	13	9	0.591	116.7	110.7	6	7-4	6-5	3-4	10-6	8-2	3W
Magic	13	9	0.591	119.2	114.3	4.9	8-4	5-5	3-2	10-7	7-3	1L
Suns	13	9	0.591	117	113.7	3.3	8-4	5-5	5-2	12-8	6-4	1W
76ers	12	9	0.571	117.4	117	0.4	7-6	5-3	5-2	10-9	5-5	2W
Hawks	13	10	0.565	116.8	115.7	1.1	4-5	9-5	3-1	7-7	5-5	2L
Cavaliers	13	10	0.565	119.1	116	3.1	8-5	5-5	6-0	11-8	5-5	1L
Warriors	11	12	0.478	113.7	113.4	0.3	7-3	4-9	3-1	10-7	4-6	2L
Bucks	10	13	0.435	115.8	117.8	-2	7-6	3-7	3-3	8-9	2-8	1W
Bulls	9	12	0.429	119.1	122.7	-3.6	6-3	3-9	1-4	6-9	3-7	5L
Grizzlies	9	13	0.409	113.6	117	-3.4	4-6	5-7	4-3	8-7	5-5	1L
Trail Blazers	9	13	0.409	118.4	120.6	-2.2	3-6	6-7	3-3	7-9	3-7	1W
Jazz	8	13	0.381	118.7	124.6	-5.9	6-6	2-7	0-4	4-10	4-6	2W
Mavericks	8	15	0.348	111.4	115.7	-4.3	5-9	3-6	1-5	4-10	5-5	3W
Hornets	6	16	0.273	114.7	119.9	-5.2	5-6	1-10	1-4	5-11	2-8	2L
Clippers	6	16	0.273	112.5	117.5	-5	3-7	3-9	1-4	4-9	2-8	1W
Nets	5	17	0.227	109	118	-9	1-10	4-7	1-7	5-13	4-6	1L
Kings	5	17	0.227	111	122.8	-11.8	3-7	2-10	1-3	4-15	2-8	4L
Pacers	4	18	0.182	110.6	120.1	-9.5	4-8	0-10	1-5	3-9	3-7	2L
Wizards	3	18	0.143	112.2	128.1	-15.9	2-7	1-11	1-2	2-14	2-8	2L
Pelicans	3	19	0.136	112.6	123.3	-10.7	2-10	1-9	1-5	1-17	1-9	4L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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