Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction, Picks & Odds | NBA Wednesday

Dallas Mavericks (39-43, 10th in the Western Conference) square off against Sacramento Kings (40-42, ninth in the Western Conference) in this NBA Play-In game at Golden 1 Center.

The Overs is sticking out like a sore thumb considering the line for the Mavericks and the Kings is set at 216. We’re expecting a bigger total and -106 is available.

Dallas Mavericks have now lost three straight road games. In their previous game, Memphis Grizzlies won 132-97 at FedExForum. Daniel Gafford scored 20 points, with Jaden Hardy getting 17 and Max Christie 14.

Sacramento Kings were winners last time out. It was a 109-98 home victory against Phoenix Suns at Golden 1 Center. Jonas Valanciunas had 22 points and 10 rebounds, Domantas Sabonis racked up 20 points and 12 rebounds, with Zach LaVine scoring 16 points.

Head-to-Head Statistics

The Kings triumphed 122-98 when they last played the Mavs. This head-to-head was played at American Airlines Center. The Kings have triumphed in their previous three meetings against the Mavs. On the head-to-head front, it has been 6 Kings wins out of 10, with Kings winning the regular season series 3-0.

NBA Reg. Season	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Mavericks	19	33	0.365	114.2	117.2	-3	14-16	5-17	3-9	11-23	3-7	7L
Kings	12	42	0.222	110.8	120.6	-9.8	9-19	3-23	2-8	8-27	0-10	12L

View Full Standings

Confirmed Starting Lineups

Dallas Mavericks lineup: Dereck Lively, Anthony Davis, Naji Marshall, PJ Washington, Klay Thompson.

Sacramento Kings lineup: Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan, Domantas Sabonis, Keegan Murray, Keon Ellis.

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Prediction & Picks

Let’s go for Over 216 when these NBA teams lock horns. We think the line is too generous and we’re expecting the final total to be higher at -106.

The form is always taken into consideration and it’s great to combine this with team news as it becomes available. In order to provide an expert NBA verdict, the latest stats are analysed so that we have the best information.

Key Mavericks vs Kings stats:

• The 216 line has been covered in 17 of the last 20 Mavs games.
• The 216 line has been covered in 8 of the last 10 Mavs games on the road.
• The 216 line has been covered in the last 2 Mavs games.
• The 216 line has been covered in 17 of the last 20 Kings games at home.
• The 216 line has been covered in 7 of the last 10 Kings games.
• The 216 line has been covered in the last 2 games between these teams.

Over 216 Probability

The sportsbooks imply that our pick has a 51.5% prospect of winning. However, our cappers research has found that the actual probability is closer to 60%. It is therefore regarded as a value bet.

There’s a chance to secure bigger odds when you bet on the Totals. The top sportsbooks allow you to move the line for an Over pick until you’re happy with the potential return.

Our Game Prediction

Over 216 Points @ -106 Bet Now

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Disclosure: This preview contains affiliate links; we may earn a commission at no extra cost to you. T&Cs apply. We only recommend licensed and regulated operators. See our Editorial Policy. Pick odds and lines reflect the price available at the time of publication (00:52, 16 April 2025). Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Zach LaVine Over 23.5 Points -114

Zach LaVine (Kings) has scored an average of 29.8 points in the past 5 games. This statistic guides us towards Player Points where we’re able to back him at odds of -114 to cover the line.

Latest Zach LaVine Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-118

Assists

Over 4.5

+114

Under 4.5

-152

Rebounds

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+116

---

Anthony Davis Under 26.5 Points -122

Anthony Davis (Mavs) has averaged 20.29 points in the past 7 games. There’s every reason to expect a similar outcome here and he’s available at odds of -122 to go below the line.

Latest Anthony Davis Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 26.5

-108

Under 26.5

-122

Assists

Over 4.5

+125

Under 4.5

-167

Rebounds

Over 11.5

-122

Under 11.5

-109

Pick odds and lines correct at publication. Live market odds are updated regularly and may differ. T&Cs apply. 18+ (or legal age) | Gamble Responsibly.

Correct Score Prediction

Mavericks 107 - 114 Kings

There's a speculative wager that can be enjoyed on the Kings when it comes to the correct score lines. Taking them to triumph 114-107 should provide some entertainment.

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Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Odds

The odds and lines below are updated regularly and may differ from the prices shown in our picks, which are captured at the time of publication.

The sportsbooks have Sacramento Kings at -227 when it comes to the Moneyline betting, implying the favorites are 69% likely to win this game according to the latest odds. Dallas Mavericks are regarded as a long shot to win and you can currently back them at +188.

The current spread is 5.5 and total points is 213.5. There are many ways to wager on basketball including the Totals. If you want to back Over 213.5, it’s -112.

The Kings are -140 should you want to back the betting favorites in the Race to 20 points. The Mavs can be wagered at +110 to get to the 20-point mark first.

Consider every angle when placing your basketball wagers. The betting sites have a huge selection of team props and game lines and it’s all about finding a bet which matches your prediction of the contest.

Moneyline

Mavericks

+188

Kings

-227

Point Spread

Mavericks +5.5

-108

Kings -5.5

-112

Total Points

Under 213.5

-108

Over 213.5

-112

The favorite to score most points is Anthony Davis. You can get -108 that he scores Over 26.5 points or -122 that he goes Under.

Anthony Davis (Mavericks)

Over 26.5

-108

Under 26.5

-122

DeMar DeRozan (Kings)

Over 23.5

-127

Under 23.5

-105

Zach LaVine (Kings)

Over 23.5

-114

Under 23.5

-118

Domantas Sabonis (Kings)

Over 18.5

-118

Under 18.5

-114

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 14.5

-109

Under 14.5

-122

Keegan Murray (Kings)

Over 13.5

-104

Under 13.5

-128

Klay Thompson (Mavericks)

Over 12.5

-123

Under 12.5

-108

Naji Marshall (Mavericks)

Over 12.5

-108

Under 12.5

-123

Spencer Dinwiddie (Mavericks)

Over 9.5

-120

Under 9.5

-110

Keon Ellis (Kings)

Over 9.5

-108

Under 9.5

-125

Daniel Gafford (Mavericks)

Over 7.5

-132

Under 7.5

-100

Dereck Lively II (Mavericks)

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-103

Domantas Sabonis (Kings)

Over 6.5

+112

Under 6.5

-149

DeMar DeRozan (Kings)

Over 5.5

-105

Under 5.5

-127

Spencer Dinwiddie (Mavericks)

Over 5.5

-100

Under 5.5

-133

Anthony Davis (Mavericks)

Over 4.5

+125

Under 4.5

-167

Zach LaVine (Kings)

Over 4.5

+114

Under 4.5

-152

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-130

Klay Thompson (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

+123

Under 2.5

-161

Keon Ellis (Kings)

Over 2.5

-100

Under 2.5

-133

Domantas Sabonis (Kings)

Over 13.5

-120

Under 13.5

-110

Anthony Davis (Mavericks)

Over 11.5

-122

Under 11.5

-109

P.J. Washington (Mavericks)

Over 5.5

-130

Under 5.5

-103

Keegan Murray (Kings)

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-106

Daniel Gafford (Mavericks)

Over 5.5

-104

Under 5.5

-128

Dereck Lively II (Mavericks)

Over 4.5

-132

Under 4.5

-100

DeMar DeRozan (Kings)

Over 3.5

-164

Under 3.5

+123

Zach LaVine (Kings)

Over 3.5

-154

Under 3.5

+116

Klay Thompson (Mavericks)

Over 2.5

-132

Under 2.5

-100

Keon Ellis (Kings)

Over 2.5

-154

Under 2.5

+116

Among the various options for wagering on basketball, you will find that micro betting is provided. It focuses on short-term in-game outcomes such as Next Field Goal, where you select if the shot will be a two or three-pointer.

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dallas Mavericks Stats

Sacramento Kings Stats

Moneyline

• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games
• 3 wins and 7 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• -5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games
• -5.5 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 1 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• +5.5 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 games
• +5.5 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 4 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 238.50 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 241.60 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 231.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 231.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 117.00 pts and allowed 121.50 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 118.00 pts and allowed 123.60 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 230.70 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 226.60 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 231.5: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 games
• Over 231.5 at Home: Covered in 3 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 108.80 pts and allowed 121.90 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 109.10 pts and allowed 117.50 pts in the last 10 home games

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 37.30 (57%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 8.00 (31%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.40 (77.31%)
• Rebounds: Total 46.1, Offensive 9.30, Defensive 36.80
• Assists: 25.40
• Blocks: 6.60
• Steals: 6.40
• Turnovers : 14.50
• Personal Fouls: 17.30

Last 10 Games on the Road

• 2-Pointers Made: 34.50 (55%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.70 (37%)
• Free Throws Made: 16.90 (73.16%)
• Rebounds: Total 44.2, Offensive 9.60, Defensive 34.60
• Assists: 26.40
• Blocks: 5.10
• Steals: 6.60
• Turnovers : 12.80
• Personal Fouls: 19.10

Team Stats - Avg/Game

Last 10 Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 29.90 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 9.60 (32%)
• Free Throws Made: 20.20 (78.29%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.9, Offensive 13.00, Defensive 29.90
• Assists: 24.20
• Blocks: 5.30
• Steals: 9.80
• Turnovers : 14.50
• Personal Fouls: 21.10

Last 10 Home Games

• 2-Pointers Made: 30.10 (51%)
• 3-Pointers Made: 10.10 (32%)
• Free Throws Made: 18.60 (76.86%)
• Rebounds: Total 42.9, Offensive 12.40, Defensive 30.50
• Assists: 24.40
• Blocks: 5.20
• Steals: 10.80
• Turnovers : 12.40
• Personal Fouls: 19.90

Injuries & Suspensions

Starting Lineups

Sacramento Kings Confirmed Lineup

8 Zach LaVine

10 DeMar DeRozan

11 Domantas Sabonis

13 Keegan Murray

23 Keon Ellis

Dallas Mavericks Confirmed Lineup

2 Dereck Lively

3 Anthony Davis

13 Naji Marshall

25 PJ Washington

31 Klay Thompson

NBA Regular Season Table Select Season 2025/20262024/20252023/20242022/20232021/20222020/20212019/2020

Division Conference League

East Atlantic	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Celtics	34	19	0.642	115.1	108.4	6.7	17-9	17-10	7-5	23-13	7-3	1L
Knicks	34	19	0.642	117.3	111.8	5.5	21-6	13-13	9-3	23-12	9-1	1W
Raptors	32	22	0.593	114.1	112.2	1.9	16-12	16-10	4-9	24-14	7-3	2W
76ers	30	22	0.577	116.7	115.1	1.6	15-13	15-9	8-5	19-17	7-3	1W
Nets	14	37	0.275	107.3	114.9	-7.6	7-18	7-19	3-9	10-21	2-8	1W

East Central	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	38	13	0.745	117.5	109.7	7.8	22-6	16-7	8-3	24-7	7-3	1W
Cavaliers	32	21	0.604	119.7	115.9	3.8	17-11	15-10	7-3	19-13	8-2	3W
Bulls	24	29	0.453	117	120.5	-3.5	15-12	9-17	3-9	16-20	3-7	4L
Bucks	21	29	0.42	112	115.7	-3.7	12-12	9-17	7-4	16-17	4-6	3W
Pacers	13	40	0.245	110.6	118.5	-7.9	10-18	3-22	3-9	9-26	3-7	4L

East Southeast	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Magic	27	24	0.529	115.1	115.5	-0.4	17-9	10-15	6-5	18-17	4-6	2W
Heat	28	26	0.519	119.7	117.3	2.4	16-10	12-16	4-5	15-16	5-5	1W
Hawks	26	28	0.481	117.5	118.4	-0.9	10-15	16-13	5-4	13-19	6-4	1L
Hornets	25	28	0.472	116	114	2	11-13	14-15	7-4	15-19	9-1	9W
Wizards	14	38	0.269	112.1	122.8	-10.7	9-18	5-20	2-6	9-22	4-6	2L

West Northwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	40	13	0.755	119.9	107.9	12	22-6	18-7	8-3	30-9	5-5	2L
Nuggets	34	19	0.642	120.4	116.3	4.1	14-10	20-9	4-2	19-9	5-5	1W
Timberwolves	32	22	0.593	119.1	114.8	4.3	17-10	15-12	5-5	18-17	5-5	2L
Trail Blazers	25	28	0.472	115.8	118	-2.2	15-13	10-15	4-4	20-15	4-6	2W
Jazz	16	37	0.302	118.3	126.7	-8.4	10-17	6-20	1-8	9-24	2-8	2L

West Pacific	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Lakers	32	19	0.627	116.1	115.8	0.3	14-8	18-11	5-6	21-12	7-3	3W
Suns	31	22	0.585	113.6	111.4	2.2	17-9	14-13	8-6	21-15	5-5	2L
Warriors	28	25	0.528	115.6	113.5	2.1	17-9	11-16	6-4	18-15	4-6	1L
Clippers	25	27	0.481	112.4	112.7	-0.3	13-11	12-16	7-4	15-15	6-4	2W
Kings	12	42	0.222	110.8	120.6	-9.8	9-19	3-23	2-8	8-27	0-10	12L

West Southwest	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Spurs	36	16	0.692	117.6	112.2	5.4	19-6	17-10	10-3	22-13	7-3	4W
Rockets	32	19	0.627	115.1	110	5.1	17-6	15-13	6-5	18-15	6-4	1W
Grizzlies	20	31	0.392	115.3	117.5	-2.2	11-15	9-16	5-6	16-19	2-8	2L
Mavericks	19	33	0.365	114.2	117.2	-3	14-16	5-17	3-9	11-23	3-7	7L
Pelicans	14	40	0.259	114.6	120.9	-6.3	8-19	6-21	6-7	8-26	4-6	1W

Eastern Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Pistons	38	13	0.745	117.5	109.7	7.8	22-6	16-7	8-3	24-7	7-3	1W
Knicks	34	19	0.642	117.3	111.8	5.5	21-6	13-13	9-3	23-12	9-1	1W
Celtics	34	19	0.642	115.1	108.4	6.7	17-9	17-10	7-5	23-13	7-3	1L
Cavaliers	32	21	0.604	119.7	115.9	3.8	17-11	15-10	7-3	19-13	8-2	3W
Raptors	32	22	0.593	114.1	112.2	1.9	16-12	16-10	4-9	24-14	7-3	2W
76ers	30	22	0.577	116.7	115.1	1.6	15-13	15-9	8-5	19-17	7-3	1W
Magic	27	24	0.529	115.1	115.5	-0.4	17-9	10-15	6-5	18-17	4-6	2W
Heat	28	26	0.519	119.7	117.3	2.4	16-10	12-16	4-5	15-16	5-5	1W
Hawks	26	28	0.481	117.5	118.4	-0.9	10-15	16-13	5-4	13-19	6-4	1L
Hornets	25	28	0.472	116	114	2	11-13	14-15	7-4	15-19	9-1	9W
Bulls	24	29	0.453	117	120.5	-3.5	15-12	9-17	3-9	16-20	3-7	4L
Bucks	21	29	0.42	112	115.7	-3.7	12-12	9-17	7-4	16-17	4-6	3W
Nets	14	37	0.275	107.3	114.9	-7.6	7-18	7-19	3-9	10-21	2-8	1W
Wizards	14	38	0.269	112.1	122.8	-10.7	9-18	5-20	2-6	9-22	4-6	2L
Pacers	13	40	0.245	110.6	118.5	-7.9	10-18	3-22	3-9	9-26	3-7	4L

Western Conference	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	40	13	0.755	119.9	107.9	12	22-6	18-7	8-3	30-9	5-5	2L
Spurs	36	16	0.692	117.6	112.2	5.4	19-6	17-10	10-3	22-13	7-3	4W
Nuggets	34	19	0.642	120.4	116.3	4.1	14-10	20-9	4-2	19-9	5-5	1W
Rockets	32	19	0.627	115.1	110	5.1	17-6	15-13	6-5	18-15	6-4	1W
Lakers	32	19	0.627	116.1	115.8	0.3	14-8	18-11	5-6	21-12	7-3	3W
Timberwolves	32	22	0.593	119.1	114.8	4.3	17-10	15-12	5-5	18-17	5-5	2L
Suns	31	22	0.585	113.6	111.4	2.2	17-9	14-13	8-6	21-15	5-5	2L
Warriors	28	25	0.528	115.6	113.5	2.1	17-9	11-16	6-4	18-15	4-6	1L
Clippers	25	27	0.481	112.4	112.7	-0.3	13-11	12-16	7-4	15-15	6-4	2W
Trail Blazers	25	28	0.472	115.8	118	-2.2	15-13	10-15	4-4	20-15	4-6	2W
Grizzlies	20	31	0.392	115.3	117.5	-2.2	11-15	9-16	5-6	16-19	2-8	2L
Mavericks	19	33	0.365	114.2	117.2	-3	14-16	5-17	3-9	11-23	3-7	7L
Jazz	16	37	0.302	118.3	126.7	-8.4	10-17	6-20	1-8	9-24	2-8	2L
Pelicans	14	40	0.259	114.6	120.9	-6.3	8-19	6-21	6-7	8-26	4-6	1W
Kings	12	42	0.222	110.8	120.6	-9.8	9-19	3-23	2-8	8-27	0-10	12L

NBA	W	L	PCT	PPG	OPP PPG	DIFF	Home	Road	Div	Conf	Last 10	Strk
Thunder	40	13	0.755	119.9	107.9	12	22-6	18-7	8-3	30-9	5-5	2L
Pistons	38	13	0.745	117.5	109.7	7.8	22-6	16-7	8-3	24-7	7-3	1W
Spurs	36	16	0.692	117.6	112.2	5.4	19-6	17-10	10-3	22-13	7-3	4W
Celtics	34	19	0.642	115.1	108.4	6.7	17-9	17-10	7-5	23-13	7-3	1L
Nuggets	34	19	0.642	120.4	116.3	4.1	14-10	20-9	4-2	19-9	5-5	1W
Knicks	34	19	0.642	117.3	111.8	5.5	21-6	13-13	9-3	23-12	9-1	1W
Rockets	32	19	0.627	115.1	110	5.1	17-6	15-13	6-5	18-15	6-4	1W
Lakers	32	19	0.627	116.1	115.8	0.3	14-8	18-11	5-6	21-12	7-3	3W
Cavaliers	32	21	0.604	119.7	115.9	3.8	17-11	15-10	7-3	19-13	8-2	3W
Timberwolves	32	22	0.593	119.1	114.8	4.3	17-10	15-12	5-5	18-17	5-5	2L
Raptors	32	22	0.593	114.1	112.2	1.9	16-12	16-10	4-9	24-14	7-3	2W
Suns	31	22	0.585	113.6	111.4	2.2	17-9	14-13	8-6	21-15	5-5	2L
76ers	30	22	0.577	116.7	115.1	1.6	15-13	15-9	8-5	19-17	7-3	1W
Magic	27	24	0.529	115.1	115.5	-0.4	17-9	10-15	6-5	18-17	4-6	2W
Warriors	28	25	0.528	115.6	113.5	2.1	17-9	11-16	6-4	18-15	4-6	1L
Heat	28	26	0.519	119.7	117.3	2.4	16-10	12-16	4-5	15-16	5-5	1W
Hawks	26	28	0.481	117.5	118.4	-0.9	10-15	16-13	5-4	13-19	6-4	1L
Clippers	25	27	0.481	112.4	112.7	-0.3	13-11	12-16	7-4	15-15	6-4	2W
Hornets	25	28	0.472	116	114	2	11-13	14-15	7-4	15-19	9-1	9W
Trail Blazers	25	28	0.472	115.8	118	-2.2	15-13	10-15	4-4	20-15	4-6	2W
Bulls	24	29	0.453	117	120.5	-3.5	15-12	9-17	3-9	16-20	3-7	4L
Bucks	21	29	0.42	112	115.7	-3.7	12-12	9-17	7-4	16-17	4-6	3W
Grizzlies	20	31	0.392	115.3	117.5	-2.2	11-15	9-16	5-6	16-19	2-8	2L
Mavericks	19	33	0.365	114.2	117.2	-3	14-16	5-17	3-9	11-23	3-7	7L
Jazz	16	37	0.302	118.3	126.7	-8.4	10-17	6-20	1-8	9-24	2-8	2L
Nets	14	37	0.275	107.3	114.9	-7.6	7-18	7-19	3-9	10-21	2-8	1W
Wizards	14	38	0.269	112.1	122.8	-10.7	9-18	5-20	2-6	9-22	4-6	2L
Pelicans	14	40	0.259	114.6	120.9	-6.3	8-19	6-21	6-7	8-26	4-6	1W
Pacers	13	40	0.245	110.6	118.5	-7.9	10-18	3-22	3-9	9-26	3-7	4L
Kings	12	42	0.222	110.8	120.6	-9.8	9-19	3-23	2-8	8-27	0-10	12L

• W = Wins
• L = Losses
• PCT = Winning Percentage
• PPG = Points Per Game
• OPP PPG = Opponent Points Per Game
• DIFF = Average Point Differential
• Home = Home Record
• Road = Away Record
• Div = Division Record
• Conf = Conference Record
• Last 10 = Record last 10 games
• Strk = Current Streak

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