Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction, Picks & Odds | 07 Jul 2025

Find Out Why We’re Siding With Mercury

We’re very excited to see the Mercury at -6 on the spread and think it’s a good number for the favorites to cover against the Wings at odds of -110.

Wings Beat Mercury When Teams Last Met

When Phoenix Mercury and Dallas Wings met on Thursday night, Wings claimed a 98-89 win. We’ve seen six Wings wins in the past 10 meetings between the teams.

WNBA	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W

View Full Standings

Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Prediction & Picks

Mercury should be taken against the spread at -6 with our pick being for the favorites to achieve a comfortable margin of victory in this WNBA contest. Back them at the odds of -110 that are available.

Injuries are taken into account by the basketball handicappers at Sportsgambler.com. Our WNBA forecasts are also shaped by the latest form, with the stats playing a big part before picks are made.

Key Wings vs Mercury stats:

• The -6 line has been covered by Mercury in 7 of their last 10 games.
• The -6 line has been covered by Mercury in 3 of their last 5 games.
• The +6 line hasn’t been covered by Wings in 12 of their last 20 games on the road.

Mercury -6 Probability

The sportsbooks are estimating that there is a 52.4% likelihood of this pick winning. After careful examination, our cappers calculate this probability to be somewhere between 55-60%. That means we’re regarding it as a value wager.

It’s possible to move the line for your selection and this allows bettors to get increasingly bigger odds. If you’re looking for more juice, then this option could tick the boxes.

Best Bet

Mercury -6 @ -110 Bet Now

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Player Prop Picks

Top Pick: Paige Bueckers Under 5.5 Assists +106

Paige Bueckers (Wings) can be wagered to have Under 5.5 assists at +106. She’s not guaranteed to cover the Player Assists line and we’re happy to take this bet.

Latest Paige Bueckers Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 19.5

-103

Under 19.5

-125

Assists

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-103

Rebounds

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-143

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Alyssa Thomas Over 10.5 Assists -102

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) can be wagered to rack up Over 10.5 assists at -102. We can back her when it comes to a Player Assists bet and hope that Overs comes in.

Latest Alyssa Thomas Player Prop Odds

Points

Over 16.5

+103

Under 16.5

-133

Assists

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-123

Rebounds

Over 8.5

+109

Under 8.5

-141

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Correct Score Prediction

Wings 81 - 91 Mercury

Correct score betting might be tough to predict but there’s a tasty potential return if you get it right. We’ll try the Mercury to achieve a 91-81 victory at huge odds.

Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury Odds

The odds and lines are updated on a frequent basis. You might therefore find that they are different to the ones listed for the above betting predictions.

Books Think Mercury Likeliest to Win

For this WNBA game, the sportsbooks’ Moneyline betting odds mean Phoenix Mercury are -250 favorites to win and that means a 71% chance of landing a victory. For those wanting to back Dallas Wings, you will find +198 about the underdogs.

The current spread is 6 and total points is 163.5. There is no denying the popularity of wagering on the Totals. The Over 163.5 selection is available to back at -110.

Basketball fans are spoilt for choice thanks to the huge selection of team props and game lines which are available for every contest on the coupon. Head to the betting sites and find the best value picks.

Moneyline

Wings

+198

Mercury

-250

Point Spread

Wings +6

-114

Mercury -6

-106

Total Points

Under 163.5

-110

Over 163.5

-110

Paige Bueckers Favorite to Score the Most Points

Paige Bueckers is the market leader to rack up the most points. You can back -103 that she gets Over 19.5 points. Alternatively, Under is trading at -125.

Paige Bueckers (Wings)

Over 19.5

-103

Under 19.5

-125

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 18.5

-100

Under 18.5

-130

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 16.5

-127

Under 16.5

-102

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 16.5

+103

Under 16.5

-133

Aziaha James (Wings)

Over 14.5

-130

Under 14.5

-100

Sami Whitcomb (Mercury)

Over 12.5

+110

Under 12.5

-143

Monique Akoa Makani (Mercury)

Over 11.5

-108

Under 11.5

-120

Li Yueru (Wings)

Over 8.5

+103

Under 8.5

-133

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 9.5

-105

Under 9.5

-123

Paige Bueckers (Wings)

Over 5.5

-125

Under 5.5

-103

Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)

Over 8.5

+109

Under 8.5

-141

Satou Sabally (Mercury)

Over 6.5

-147

Under 6.5

+114

Li Yueru (Wings)

Over 5.5

-167

Under 5.5

+128

Paige Bueckers (Wings)

Over 4.5

+110

Under 4.5

-143

Kahleah Copper (Mercury)

Over 3.5

-147

Under 3.5

+113

Micro Betting

An increasing number of basketball bettors are now enjoying micro betting and it’s something which is available on an in-game basis. Wait for the action to start and then wager on something specific to happen.

Last 5 & H2H

Latest regular season and playoff games stats.

Dallas Wings Stats

Phoenix Mercury Stats

Moneyline

• 5 wins and 5 defeats in the last 10 games
• 2 wins and 8 defeats in the last 10 games on the road

Moneyline

• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 games
• 7 wins and 3 defeats in the last 10 home games

Point Spread

• +6 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• +6 Betting Line on the Road: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games on the road

Point Spread

• -6 Betting Line: Have covered the spread in 7 of the last 10 games
• -6 Betting Line at Home: Have covered the spread in 5 of the last 10 home games

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 163.00 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals on the Road: An average of 174.40 pts in the previous 10 games on the road
• Over 164.5: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 games
• Over 164.5 on the Road: Covered in 8 of the previous 10 games on the road
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 81.40 pts and allowed 81.60 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals on the Road: Have scored an average of 85.60 pts and allowed 88.80 pts in the last 10 games on the road

Total Points

• Game Totals: An average of 171.80 pts in the previous 10 games
• Game Totals at Home: An average of 163.70 pts in the previous 10 home games
• Over 164.5: Covered in 7 of the previous 10 games
• Over 164.5 at Home: Covered in 6 of the previous 10 home games
• Team Totals: Have scored an average of 88.70 pts and allowed 83.10 pts in the last 10 games
• Team Totals at Home: Have scored an average of 84.60 pts and allowed 79.10 pts in the last 10 home games

WNBA Table Select Season 20252024202320222021202020192018

Team	W	L	PF	PA	N. Pts	Home	Away	Strk
1  Lynx	34	10	3787	3373	414	20-2	14-8	1W
2  Aces	30	14	3680	3552	128	17-5	13-9	16W
3  Dream	30	14	3712	3378	334	16-6	14-8	6W
4  Mercury	27	17	3643	3525	118	15-7	12-10	3L
5  Liberty	27	17	3713	3534	179	17-5	10-12	3W
6  Fever	24	20	3734	3586	148	13-9	11-11	3W
7  Storm	23	21	3614	3524	90	10-12	13-9	1W
8  Valkyries	23	21	3420	3359	61	14-8	9-13	3L
9  Sparks	21	23	3769	3882	-113	9-13	12-10	1L
10  Mystics	16	28	3394	3589	-195	10-12	6-16	10L
11  Sun	11	33	3337	3782	-445	7-15	4-18	2L
12  Sky	10	34	3335	3777	-442	6-16	4-18	4L
13  Wings	10	34	3594	3871	-277	6-16	4-18	1W